Introduces RPU to explain randomization preference in dynamic settings.
problem Explains preference for randomization in dynamic investment problems.
method Introduces recursive perturbed utility (RPU) to incorporate randomization preference.
result Proves RPU-optimal portfolio policy is Gaussian and can be expressed in closed form.
The paper analyzes investment and consumption strategies under uncertain market conditions.
problem Investment and consumption under drift and volatility uncertainties.
method Randomization approach to construct robust preferences and strategies.
result Developed optimal and robust investment and consumption strategies remain valid in the physical market.
Meta-algorithm for efficient reinforcement learning from human preferences.
problem Learning from human preference comparisons in Markov decision processes.
method Randomized exploration and experimental design for batch comparison queries.
result Meta-algorithm achieves both regret and last-iterate guarantees with minimal preference queries.
Tutorials on preference learning with Gaussian Processes.
problem Understanding individual preferences and choices for efficient and personalized applications.
method Presentation of a comprehensive framework for preference learning with Gaussian Processes, incorporating rationality principles.
result Construction of preference learning models that encompass various utility models and scenarios.
Randomly initialized transformers show extreme token preferences.
problem Structural biases in randomly initialized transformers.
method Dissection of transformer architecture at initialization.
result Initialization-induced biases persist throughout training.
The paper solves portfolio selection for complex preferences in continuous time.
problem Dynamic portfolio selection for nonlinear preferences with time inconsistency.
method Stochastic maximum principle and verification theorems for equilibrium strategies.
result Equilibrium strategies derived in closed form for CRRA and CARA preferences.
Automates debiasing for large language model evaluations through Fisher random walk.
problem Rigorous and scalable evaluation of large language models.
method Semiparametric efficient estimator using Fisher random walk for weighted residual balancing.
result Efficient estimation of contextual preference scores for large language models.
Paper extends RUMs with features to handle incomplete preferences and proves identifiability.
problem Learning preferences from incomplete and possibly noisy data.
method Generalized Mixture of Random Utility Models with features, proving identifiability and consistency of MLE.
result Proves consistency of Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) for PL with features under certain conditions.
New algorithm learns human preferences from few comparisons efficiently.
problem Learning human preferences from limited comparison feedback.
method Formulated as D-optimal design for Plackett-Luce model, solved using randomized Frank-Wolfe algorithm.
result Proposed algorithm efficiently solves D-optimal design problem for Plackett-Luce objective.
Efficiently calculates PL model likelihood for partitioned preference data.
problem Computational infeasibility of calculating PL model likelihood for partitioned preference data.
method Random utility model formulation and efficient numerical integration approach.
result Proposed method outperforms existing LTR baselines and scales to real-world tasks.
Paper solves a complex portfolio selection problem with time-inconsistent preferences.
problem Time-inconsistent preferences in portfolio selection.
method Unified framework with minimal assumptions, proving existence and uniqueness of solution.
result Existence and uniqueness of square-integrable solution for the integral equation.
We perform a stability analysis for the utility maximization problem in a general semimartingale model where both liquid and illiquid assets (random endowments) are present. Small misspecifications of preferences (as modeled via expected utility), as well as views of the world or the market model (as modeled via subjec…
Study optimal portfolios for many players in a market model with random coefficients.
problem Optimal portfolio selection for many players under relative performance criteria in a market model with random coefficients.
method Game theory and stochastic optimal control, focusing on CARA and CRRA risk preferences, and extending to continuum of players.
result Existence of forward Nash equilibrium and mean field equilibrium for the n-agent game and corresponding mean field stochastic optimal control problem.
Paper introduces a novel framework for recognizing dynamic ranking structures in preference-based data.
problem Complex and noisy preference-based data often hide underlying homogeneous structures.
method Developed an approach to identify dynamic ranking groups using temporal penalties and spectral estimation. Introduced an objective function for detecting structural changes.
result Consistent recognition of ranking groups and structural changes in preference-based data.
In this paper we propose a Bayesian nonparametric model for clustering partial ranking data. We start by developing a Bayesian nonparametric extension of the popular Plackett-Luce choice model that can handle an infinite number of choice items. Our framework is based on the theory of random atomic measures, with the pr…
Paper shows faster core identification in matching markets.
problem Core Identification Problem in one-sided matching markets.
method Randomized SVD on preference-derived Markov matrix.
result CIP solved in O(Ln) time, matching lower bound.
A new perspective on portfolio selection using realized returns.
problem Choosing between two investments with the same expected return.
method Modeling realized returns as random variables and applying the CAPM formula.
result The CAPM formula applies to realized returns, not just their expectations.
The definition of preferences assigned to individuals is a concept that concerns many disciplines, from economics, with the search of an acceptable outcome for an ensemble of individuals, to decision making an analysis of vote systems. We are concerned in the phenomena of good selection and economic fairness. In Arrow'…
Investigates optimal strategies for behavioral control problems with finite variation controls.
problem Behavioral singular stochastic control problems with finite variation controls.
method Abstract framework, applied to storage management and portfolio investment problems, using CPT preferences and Skorokhod representation theorem.
result Existence of optimal strategies for various goal functionals, including CPT preferences.
The paper tackles statistical and computational challenges in learning correlated reward models.
problem The Independence of Irrelevant Alternatives (IIA) assumption collapses human preferences into a universal utility function, leading to coarse approximations.
method The paper investigates the statistical and computational challenges of learning a correlated probit model using best-of-three preference data.
result Best-of-three preference data overcomes the limitations of pairwise preference data, allowing for more fine-grained modeling of human preferences.
Investigates time-inconsistent portfolio selection under MMV preferences.
problem Time-inconsistent optimal strategies for MMV preferences.
method Nash equilibrium controls for MMV and MV preferences, solving FBSDE and HJB equations.
result MMV optimal strategies lead to higher investment amounts than MV strategies, narrowing over time.
GBS uses machine learning to design products based on consumer preferences.
problem Designing products to meet consumer preferences.
method GBS is a discrete choice experiment that uses machine learning to adaptively construct paired comparison questions.
result GBS outperforms existing methods in accuracy and sample efficiency.
Introduces SMMV preferences to avoid inconsistency in portfolio selection.
problem Monotone mean-variance preferences fail to differentiate strictly dominant payoffs.
method Introduces strictly monotone mean-variance preferences and applies them to portfolio selection problems.
result SMMV preferences provide a more rational basis for assessing prospects and coincide with MV preferences under certain conditions.
The paper addresses privacy in rank aggregation using randomized responses.
problem Preserving privacy while aggregating pairwise rankings.
method Adaptive debiasing method for randomized response rankings.
result Established minimax rates for estimation errors and optimal privacy guarantees.
This paper studies optimal consumption, investment, and healthcare spending under Epstein-Zin preferences. Given consumption and healthcare spending plans, Epstein-Zin utilities are defined over an agent's random lifetime, partially controllable by the agent as healthcare reduces mortality growth. To the best of our kn…
We provide an axiomatic foundation for the representation of numéraire-invariant preferences of economic agents acting in a financial market. In a static environment, the simple axioms turn out to be equivalent to the following choice rule: the agent prefers one outcome over another if and only if the expected (under t…
In the presence of ambiguity on the driving force of market randomness, we consider the dynamic portfolio choice without any predetermined investment horizon. The investment criteria is formulated as a robust forward performance process, reflecting an investor's dynamic preference. We show that the market risk premium …
Best-of-N sampling reveals reward targets from preference data, influencing N and base distribution choices.
problem Understanding reward extraction from Best-of-N preference data and optimal N and base distribution choices.
method Specialized analysis of preference data via induced conditional distribution, deriving reward targets and design principles.
result Reward targets are explicit functions of N and base distribution, and bounded-class minimizers approach these targets as N grows.
In this paper, we investigate the impact of diverse user preference on learning under the stochastic multi-armed bandit (MAB) framework. We aim to show that when the user preferences are sufficiently diverse and each arm can be optimal for certain users, the O(log T) regret incurred by exploring the sub-optimal arms un…
Due to the drastic increase of mobile traffic, wireless caching is proposed to serve repeated requests for content download. To determine the caching scheme for decentralized caching networks, the content preference learning problem based on mobility prediction is studied. We first formulate preference prediction as a …
A game-theoretic approach to multi-criteria ranking from ordinal data.
problem Ranking objects from ordinal data with multiple criteria.
method Generalizing von Neumann winner to multi-criteria setting using Blackwell's approachability.
result The Blackwell winner can be computed as a convex optimization problem and achieves near-optimal sample complexity.
In this paper, we face the problem of simulating discrete random variables with general and varying distributions in a scalable framework, where fully parallelizable operations should be preferred. The new paradigm is inspired by the context of discrete choice models. Compared to classical algorithms, we add paralleliz…
Proposes a new consumption strategy based on martingale principles.
problem Optimizing consumption based on investment strategies without risk preferences.
method Introduces martingale consumption as a consumption pattern that adjusts to expected future consumption.
result Identifies explicit solutions in deterministic models and establishes uniqueness in general cases.
New MAB model incentivizes user arm-pulling with self-reinforcing preferences.
problem Balancing exploration and exploitation in recommender systems with incentivized user preferences.
method Proposes a new MAB model with random arm selection and two policies: At-Least-n Explore-Then-Commit and UCB-List. result Achieves O(logT) expected regret and O(logT) expected payment over a time horizon T. We study the role of latent space dimensionality in Wasserstein auto-encoders (WAEs). Through experimentation on synthetic and real datasets, we argue that random encoders should be preferred over deterministic encoders. We highlight the potential of WAEs for representation learning with promising results on a benchmar…
Random utility theory models an agent's preferences on alternatives by drawing a real-valued score on each alternative (typically independently) from a parameterized distribution, and then ranking the alternatives according to scores. A special case that has received significant attention is the Plackett-Luce model, fo…
This paper explores the preference-based top-K rank aggregation problem. Suppose that a collection of items is repeatedly compared in pairs, and one wishes to recover a consistent ordering that emphasizes the top-K ranked items, based on partially revealed preferences. We focus on the Bradley-Terry-Luce (BTL) model…
A determinantal point process (DPP) is a random process useful for modeling the combinatorial problem of subset selection. In particular, DPPs encourage a random subset Y to contain a diverse set of items selected from a base set Y. For example, we might use a DPP to display a set of news headlines that are relevant to…
This paper solves the consumption-investment problem under Epstein-Zin preferences on a random horizon. In an incomplete market, we take the random horizon to be a stopping time adapted to the market filtration, generated by all observable, but not necessarily tradable, state processes. Contrary to prior studies, we do…
We provide a detailed characterization of the optimal consumption stream for the additive habit-forming utility maximization problem, in a framework of general discrete-time incomplete markets and random endowments. This characterization allows us to derive the monotonicity and concavity of the optimal consumption as a…
LLMs prefer Bitcoin under crisis frames, affecting financial decisions.
problem Testing whether LLMs have built-in biases towards specific financial assets.
method Developed a three-level audit protocol to examine Bitcoin's representation and influence in LLMs.
result An identifiable internal feature in LLMs can be perturbed to move financial choices, but only within measurable limits.
This paper formulates an utility indifference pricing model for investors trading in a discrete time financial market under non-dominated model uncertainty. The investors preferences are described by strictly increasing concave random functions defined on the positive axis. We prove that under suitable conditions the m…
Proposes a new machine learning-based method for conjoint analysis.
problem Testing the importance of factors in conjoint analysis with interactions.
method Conditional randomization test based on machine learning algorithms.
result Validates the importance of factors in conjoint analysis without model specification.
The paper defines and characterizes conditional nonlinear expectations.
problem Defining and characterizing conditional nonlinear expectations.
method Embedding in decision theory, using state-dependent preferences, and continuous utility representation.
result Consistent backward conditional projections are characterized by the Sure-Thing Principle.
Note improves confidence bounds for random variables.
problem Improving confidence bounds for random variables with unbounded ranges and different distributions.
method PAC-Bayes-ification of a derived confidence bound.
result Streamlined proofs for existing results.
Paper introduces Functional Effects Models to account for individual heterogeneity in panel data.
problem Accounting for preference heterogeneity in panel data with machine learning.
method Functional Effects Models using gradient boosting decision trees and deep neural networks to learn individual-specific preference parameters.
result Functional Effects Models outperform traditional models in learning inter-individual heterogeneity and predictive performance.
A minimal model of a market of myopic non-cooperative agents who trade bilaterally with random bids reproduces qualitative features of short-term electric power markets, such as those in California and New England. Each agent knows its own budget and preferences but not those of any other agent. The near-equilibrium pr…
Suppose that we wish to estimate a user's preference vector w from paired comparisons of the form "does user w prefer item p or item q?," where both the user and items are embedded in a low-dimensional Euclidean space with distances that reflect user and item similarities. Such observations arise in numerous se…