A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
This study compares machine learning methods for high-cardinality categorical variables.
Machine learning provides algorithms that can learn from data and make inferences or predictions on data. Bayesian networks are a class of graphical models that allow to represent a collection of random variables and their condititional dependencies by directed acyclic graphs. In this paper, an inference algorithm for …
Bayesian networks with hidden variables help identify causal relationships obscured by confounding.
CIPNN model tackles continuous latent variables, solving intractable posterior problems.
The reparameterization trick enables optimizing large scale stochastic computation graphs via gradient descent. The essence of the trick is to refactor each stochastic node into a differentiable function of its parameters and a random variable with fixed distribution. After refactoring, the gradients of the loss propag…
CMRFs extend PGMs for topological data, capturing both conditional and marginal dependencies.
Paper combines LSTM and Random Forest for better stock market predictions.
Paper generalizes tensor-train approximation for complex random variables.
GCNs converge and remain stable on large random graphs, revealing geometric insights.
This paper provides a tutorial on Boltzmann Machines and Deep Belief Networks.
The paper deals with distribution of singular values of product of random matrices arising in the analysis of deep neural networks. The matrices resemble the product analogs of the sample covariance matrices, however, an important difference is that the population covariance matrices, which are assumed to be non-random…
Structure learning of Bayesian networks is an important problem that arises in numerous machine learning applications. In this work, we present a novel approach for learning the structure of Bayesian networks using the solution of an appropriately constructed traveling salesman problem. In our approach, one computes an…
The structure of a Bayesian network encodes most of the information about the probability distribution of the data, which is uniquely identified given some general distributional assumptions. Therefore it's important to study the variability of its network structure, which can be used to compare the performance of diff…
We introduce Network Maximal Correlation (NMC) as a multivariate measure of nonlinear association among random variables. NMC is defined via an optimization that infers transformations of variables by maximizing aggregate inner products between transformed variables. For finite discrete and jointly Gaussian random vari…
Stochastic recurrent neural networks with latent random variables of complex dependency structures have shown to be more successful in modeling sequential data than deterministic deep models. However, the majority of existing methods have limited expressive power due to the Gaussian assumption of latent variables. In t…
Bayesian networks, and especially their structures, are powerful tools for representing conditional independencies and dependencies between random variables. In applications where related variables form a priori known groups, chosen to represent different "views" to or aspects of the same entities, one may be more inte…
SHAFF estimates Shapley effects efficiently even with dependent variables.
New method uses CNNs to estimate graph means.
New method uses DNN for genetic variant identification, controlling randomness and improving interpretability.
XSPNs combine SPNs and MEVMs for efficient inference in data with repeated parts.
Stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics (SGLD) is a computationally efficient sampler for Bayesian posterior inference given a large scale dataset. Although SGLD is designed for unbounded random variables, many practical models incorporate variables with boundaries such as non-negative ones or those in a finite interval.…
Information bottleneck (IB) is a technique for extracting information in one random variable that is relevant for predicting another random variable . IB works by encoding in a compressed "bottleneck" random variable from which can be accurately decoded. However, finding the optimal bottleneck variab…
Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) have been proposed to address the problem of model uncertainty in training and inference. By introducing weights associated with conditioned probability distributions, BNNs are capable of resolving the overfitting issue commonly seen in conventional neural networks and allow for small-da…
In this work, we consider an extension of graphical models to random graphs, trees, and other objects. To do this, many fundamental concepts for multivariate random variables (e.g., marginal variables, Gibbs distribution, Markov properties) must be extended to other mathematical objects; it turns out that this extensio…
The weights of a neural network are typically initialized at random, and one can think of the functions produced by such a network as having been generated by a prior over some function space. Studying random networks, then, is useful for a Bayesian understanding of the network evolution in early stages of training. In…
Multi-layer neural networks have lead to remarkable performance on many kinds of benchmark tasks in text, speech and image processing. Nonlinear parameter estimation in hierarchical models is known to be subject to overfitting and misspecification. One approach to these estimation and related problems (local minima, co…
We present a model for random simple graphs with a degree distribution that obeys a power law (i.e., is heavy-tailed). To attain this behavior, the edge probabilities in the graph are constructed from Bertoin-Fujita-Roynette-Yor (BFRY) random variables, which have been recently utilized in Bayesian statistics for the c…
A recent Cell paper [Chang and Tsao, 2017] reports an interesting discovery. For the face stimuli generated by a pre-trained active appearance model (AAM), the responses of neurons in the areas of the primate brain that are responsible for face recognition exhibit strong linear relationship with the shape variables and…
Measuring dependence between two random variables is very important, and critical in many applied areas such as variable selection, brain network analysis. However, we do not know what kind of functional relationship is between two covariates, which requires the dependence measure to be equitable. That is, it gives sim…
A new method selects features for ERGMs to improve network modeling.
Neural Chaos uses neural networks instead of polynomials for stochastic modeling.
Sharp concentration results for sums of heavy-tailed random variables.
Paper extends stochastic dominance for compound binomial distributions.
AL methods show inconsistent performance gains over random sampling, highlighting variability in neural network-based approaches.
New tree-structured Markov fields with Poisson marginals for counting variables.
Proposes a novel neural network method to estimate average treatment effect.
FREEtree improves tree-based methods for correlated longitudinal data.
Representation learning over graph structured data has been mostly studied in static graph settings while efforts for modeling dynamic graphs are still scant. In this paper, we develop a novel hierarchical variational model that introduces additional latent random variables to jointly model the hidden states of a graph…
Within many machine learning algorithms, a fundamental problem concerns efficient calculation of an unbiased gradient wrt parameters $\gammav$ for expectation-based objectives $\Ebb_{q_{\gammav} (\yv)} [f(\yv)]$. Most existing methods either (i) suffer from high variance, seeking help from (often) complicated variance-…
The structure of a Bayesian network includes a great deal of information about the probability distribution of the data, which is uniquely identified given some general distributional assumptions. Therefore it's important to study its variability, which can be used to compare the performance of different learning algor…
We propose Graphical Generative Adversarial Networks (Graphical-GAN) to model structured data. Graphical-GAN conjoins the power of Bayesian networks on compactly representing the dependency structures among random variables and that of generative adversarial networks on learning expressive dependency functions. We intr…
Study on random matrices in deep neural networks with IID entries.
Random feature models approximate functions in Banach spaces efficiently.
Low-variance gradient estimation is crucial for learning directed graphical models parameterized by neural networks, where the reparameterization trick is widely used for those with continuous variables. While this technique gives low-variance gradient estimates, it has not been directly applicable to discrete variable…
We provide a new extension of Breiman's Theorem on computing tail probabilities of a product of random variables to a multivariate setting. In particular, we give a complete characterization of regular variation on cones in under random linear transformations. This allows us to compute probabilities of a…
New class of heavy-tailed distributions shows weighted averages dominate individual variables.
Proposes a new Gaussian factor for probabilistic inference with degenerate settings.
Consider an experiment involving a potentially small number of subjects. Some random variables are observed on each subject: a high-dimensional one called the "observed" random variable, and a one-dimensional one called the "outcome" random variable. We are interested in the dependencies between the observed random var…