arXiv research

Modified model for Quanto CDS pricing with stochastic recovery and reduced complexity.

We propose a new model for pricing Quanto CDS and risky bonds. The model operates with four stochastic factors, namely: hazard rate, foreign exchange rate, domestic interest rate, and foreign interest rate, and also allows for jumps-at-default in the FX and foreign interest rates. Corresponding systems of PDEs are deri…

Simple method solves Quanto Skew problem.

This research uses empirical copulas to price quanto options, showing significant differences from traditional models.

The paper models quanto weather and energy derivatives using Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes and develops methods to hedge them.

Developing a semi-analytical approximation for general default intensity models

The paper explores local-correlation models for pricing complex financial contracts.

In the paper, the pricing of Quanto options is studied, where the underlying foreign asset and the exchange rate are correlated with each other. Firstly, we adopt Bayesian methods to estimate unknown parameters entering the pricing formula of Quanto options, including the volatility of stock, the volatility of exchange…

Credit Default Swaps (CDS) on a reference entity may be traded in multiple currencies, in that protection upon default may be offered either in the domestic currency where the entity resides, or in a more liquid and global foreign currency. In this situation currency fluctuations clearly introduce a source of risk on C…

Study compares models for pricing multi-strike quanto call options with SV, SC, and SER.

We develop an expansion approach for the pricing of European quanto options written on LIBOR rates (of a foreign currency). We derive the dynamics of the system of foreign LIBOR rates under the domestic forward measure and then consider the price of the quanto option. In order to take the skew/smile effect observed in …

Develops a new model for cross-currency derivatives pricing.

We explore inverse and quanto inverse crypto options, their pricing, and applications.

Study uses AI to price exotic options with a new Levy process model.

In recent years there has been an advent of quanto options in energy markets. The structure of the payoff is rather a different type from other markets since it is written as a product of an underlying energy index and a measure of temperature. In the HJM framework, by adopting the futures energy dynamics, we use the M…

Modified perturbation method removes non-smoothness in solving Black-Scholes equations.

The study presents examples of $CD(0,N)$ spaces with varying dimensions and discusses the limitations of the $CD(0,N)$ condition.

The CD equalities were introduced to imply the gradient estimate of laplace operator on graphs. This article is based on the unbounded Laplacians, and finally concludes some equivalent properties of the CD(K,$\infty$)and CD(K,n).

We present a generic framework for parallel coordinate descent (CD) algorithms that includes, as special cases, the original sequential algorithms Cyclic CD and Stochastic CD, as well as the recent parallel Shotgun algorithm. We introduce two novel parallel algorithms that are also special cases---Thread-Greedy CD and …

Paper offers a simple CDS approximation formula with high accuracy.

We introduce a more restrictive version of the strict $CD(K,\infty)$ -condition, the so-called very strict $CD(K,\infty)$ -condition, and show the existence of optimal maps in very strict $CD(K,\infty)$ -spaces despite the possible lack of uniqueness of optimal plans.

The problem of quantile hedging for basket derivatives in the Black-Scholes model with correlation is considered. Explicit formulas for the probability maximizing function and the cost reduction function are derived. Applicability of the results for the widely traded derivatives as digital, quantos, outperformance and …

Given any K and N we show that there exists a compact geodesic metric measure space satisfying locally the CD(0,4) condition but failing CD(K,N) globally. The space with this property is a suitable non convex subset of R^2 equipped with the l^\infty-norm and the Lebesgue measure. Combining many such spaces gives a (non…

New methods improve prediction regions for high-dimensional data.

This paper uses SLT to ensure learning guarantees in CD detection.

Learning algorithms for energy based Boltzmann architectures that rely on gradient descent are in general computationally prohibitive, typically due to the exponential number of terms involved in computing the partition function. In this way one has to resort to approximation schemes for the evaluation of the gradient.…

This paper is devoted to the analysis of metric measure spaces satisfying locally the curvature-dimension condition CD(K,N) introduced by the second author and also studied by Lott & Villani. We prove that the local version of CD(K,N) is equivalent to a global condition CD*(K,N), slightly weaker than the (usual, global…

Basel III introduces new capital charges for CVA. These charges, and the Basel 2.5 default capital charge can be mitigated by CDS. Therefore, to price in the capital relief that CDS contracts provide, we introduce a CDS pricing model with three legs: premium; default protection; and capital relief. If markets are compl…

Estimating the log-likelihood gradient with respect to the parameters of a Restricted Boltzmann Machine (RBM) typically requires sampling using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques. To save computation time, the Markov chains are only run for a small number of steps, which leads to a biased estimate. This bias ca…

Quantum annealer speeds up RBM training for image classification.

Regulators require financial institutions to estimate counterparty default risks from liquid CDS quotes for the valuation and risk management of OTC derivatives. However, the vast majority of counterparties do not have liquid CDS quotes and need proxy CDS rates. Existing methods cannot account for counterparty-specific…

Almost-Riemannian manifolds fail to meet a synthetic curvature condition.

Uniform bounds on ends for non-branching CD spaces with nonnegative curvature outside a compact set.

We study insolvency cascades in an interbank system when banks are allowed to insure their loans with credit default swaps (CDS) sold by other banks. We show that, by properly shifting financial exposures from one institution to another, a CDS market can be designed to rewire the network of interbank exposures in a way…

Differentially private random block coordinate descent improves utility in machine learning.

CDS options allow investors to express a view on spread volatility and obtain a wider range of payoffs than are possible with vanilla CDS. We give a detailed exposition of different types of single-name CDS option, including options with upfront protection payment, recovery options and recovery swaps, and also presents…

Study compares CDS databases and finds discrepancies due to various factors.

We review different approaches for measuring the impact of liquidity on CDS prices. We start with reduced form models incorporating liquidity as an additional discount rate. We review Chen, Fabozzi and Sverdlove (2008) and Buhler and Trapp (2006, 2008), adopting different assumptions on how liquidity rates enter the CD…

Absence-of-Arbitrage (AoA) is the basic assumption underpinning derivatives pricing theory. As part of the OTC derivatives market, the CDS market not only provides a vehicle for participants to hedge and speculate on the default risks of corporate and sovereign entities, it also reveals important market-implied default…

CD algorithm achieves near-optimal convergence rate for unnormalized models.

We prove generalized lower Ricci bounds for Euclidean and spherical cones over complete Riemannian manifolds. These cones are regarded as complete metric measure spaces. In general, they will be neither manifolds nor Alexandrov spaces. We show that the Euclidean cone over an n-dimensional Riemannian manifold whose Ricc…

We introduce a modified non-linear heat equation $\partial_t u = Δu + Γu$ as a substitute of $\log P_t f$ where $P_t$ is the heat semigroup. We prove an exponential decay of $Γu$ under the Bakry Emery curvature condition $CD(K,\infty)$ and prove the Li-Yau inequality $-Δu_t \leq \frac{n}{2t}$ under the Bakry Emery curv…

The study proves sub-Riemannian manifolds cannot satisfy $\mathrm{CD}$ conditions unless they are Riemannian.

We show that if a noncollapsed $CD(K,n)$ space $X$ with $n\ge 2$ has curvature bounded above by $κ$ in the sense of Alexandrov then $K\le (n-1)κ$ and $X$ is an Alexandrov space of curvature bounded below by $K-κ(n-2)$. We also show that if a $CD(K,n)$ space $Y$ with finite $n$ has curvature bounded above then it is inf…

Contrastive divergence (CD) is a promising method of inference in high dimensional distributions with intractable normalizing constants, however, the theoretical foundations justifying its use are somewhat shaky. This document proposes a framework for understanding CD inference, how/when it works, and provides multiple…

Through a long-period analysis of the inter-temporal relations between the French markets for credit default swaps (CDS), shares and bonds between 2001 and 2008, this article shows how a financial innovation like CDS could heighten financial instability. After describing the operating principles of credit derivatives i…

Sharp log-Sobolev inequalities proved for ${\sf CD}(0,N)$ spaces.

In this paper,we will give an easy example to satisfy that we can not conclude CDE' Inequality just from the CD Inequality.