A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Study uses LLMs to improve financial forecasting by integrating textual and numerical data.
Paper shows robustness of kernel-based pairwise learning without strict assumptions.
Biological systems are often modelled at different levels of abstraction depending on the particular aims/resources of a study. Such different models often provide qualitatively concordant predictions over specific parametrisations, but it is generally unclear whether model predictions are quantitatively in agreement, …
Steganography is the science of hiding a secret message within an ordinary public message, which is referred to as Carrier. Traditionally, digital signal processing techniques, such as least significant bit encoding, were used for hiding messages. In this paper, we explore the use of deep neural networks as steganograp…
As machine learning systems become ubiquitous, there has been a surge of interest in interpretable machine learning: systems that provide explanation for their outputs. These explanations are often used to qualitatively assess other criteria such as safety or non-discrimination. However, despite the interest in interpr…
In this paper, we explore new approaches to combining information encoded within the learned representations of auto-encoders. We explore models that are capable of combining the attributes of multiple inputs such that a resynthesised output is trained to fool an adversarial discriminator for real versus synthesised da…
Several methods of estimating the mutual information of random variables have been developed in recent years. They can prove valuable for novel approaches to learning statistically independent features. In this paper, we use one of these methods, a mutual information neural estimation (MINE) network, to present a proof…
A new method clusters qualitative data with mixed variables, improving interpretability.
Disentangled representations, where the higher level data generative factors are reflected in disjoint latent dimensions, offer several benefits such as ease of deriving invariant representations, transferability to other tasks, interpretability, etc. We consider the problem of unsupervised learning of disentangled rep…
Computer simulations often involve both qualitative and numerical inputs. Existing Gaussian process (GP) methods for handling this mainly assume a different response surface for each combination of levels of the qualitative factors and relate them via a multiresponse cross-covariance matrix. We introduce a substantiall…
E-commerce websites such as Amazon, Alibaba, Flipkart, and Walmart sell billions of products. Machine learning (ML) algorithms involving products are often used to improve the customer experience and increase revenue, e.g., product similarity, recommendation, and price estimation. The products are required to be repres…
This paper explores semi-qualitative probabilistic networks (SQPNs) that combine numeric and qualitative information. We first show that exact inferences with SQPNs are NPPP-Complete. We then show that existing qualitative relations in SQPNs (plus probabilistic logic and imprecise assessments) can be dealt effectively …
Predicting the exit (e.g. bankrupt, acquisition, etc.) of privately held companies is a current and relevant problem for investment firms. The difficulty of the problem stems from the lack of reliable, quantitative and publicly available data. In this paper, we contribute to this endeavour by constructing an exit predi…
We formulate and study a novel multi-armed bandit problem called the qualitative dueling bandit (QDB) problem, where an agent observes not numeric but qualitative feedback by pulling each arm. We employ the same regret as the dueling bandit (DB) problem where the duel is carried out by comparing the qualitative feedbac…
Unsupervised deep learning detects image quality issues without annotations.
Study shows neural networks trained with GD converge to Gaussian processes with polynomial decay.
This paper presents a novel CNN-based approach for synthesizing high-resolution LiDAR point cloud data. Our approach generates semantically and perceptually realistic results with guidance from specialized loss-functions. First, we utilize a modified per-point loss that addresses missing LiDAR point measurements. Secon…
Although Bayesian Optimization (BO) has been employed for accelerating materials design in computational materials engineering, existing works are restricted to problems with quantitative variables. However, real designs of materials systems involve both qualitative and quantitative design variables representing materi…
New approach identifies and explains errors in machine learning pipelines.
Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have gathered a lot of attention from the computer vision community, yielding impressive results for image generation. Advances in the adversarial generation of natural language from noise however are not commensurate with the progress made in generating images, and still lag far …
CADD improves generative quality by augmenting discrete diffusion with continuous latent space.
Study privacy and accuracy in high-dimensional LASSO with perturbation mechanisms.
We investigate the integration of a planning mechanism into sequence-to-sequence models using attention. We develop a model which can plan ahead in the future when it computes its alignments between input and output sequences, constructing a matrix of proposed future alignments and a commitment vector that governs whet…
At the core of interpretable machine learning is the question of whether humans are able to make accurate predictions about a model's behavior. Assumed in this question are three properties of the interpretable output: coverage, precision, and effort. Coverage refers to how often humans think they can predict the model…
New method for mixed-variable GSA improves material design efficiency.
Meta-causal states group equivalent qualitative causal dynamics, useful for analyzing system changes.
The study explains how neural networks align their kernels to target functions during training.
Qualitative analysis of MC dropout for NN model uncertainty.
Trend and Value are pervasive anomalies, common to all financial markets. We address the problem of their co-existence and interaction within the framework of Heterogeneous Agent Based Models (HABM). More specifically, we extend the Chiarella (1992) model by adding noise traders and a non-linear demand of fundamentalis…
Effective feature representation is key to the predictive performance of any algorithm. This paper introduces a meta-procedure, called Non-Euclidean Upgrading (NEU), which learns feature maps that are expressive enough to embed the universal approximation property (UAP) into most model classes while only outputting fea…
This paper introduces a new method to cluster qualitative attribute data using tree structures.
The study examines how model predictions hold up under model extensions.
A simple encoder and complex decoder for secure image encryption and decryption.
In this work, we develop a technique to produce counterfactual visual explanations. Given a 'query' image for which a vision system predicts class , a counterfactual visual explanation identifies how could change such that the system would output a different specified class . To do this, we select a 'dis…
Support vector machines have attracted much attention in theoretical and in applied statistics. Main topics of recent interest are consistency, learning rates and robustness. In this article, it is shown that support vector machines are qualitatively robust. Since support vector machines can be represented by a functio…
LMGPs extend GPs to handle mixed data, offering better accuracy and interpretability.
How initialization and loss function affect the learning of a deep neural network (DNN), specifically its generalization error, is an important problem in practice. In this work, by exploiting the linearity of DNN training dynamics in the NTK regime \citep{jacot2018neural,lee2019wide}, we provide an explicit and quanti…
Develops fully Bayesian LVGP for better uncertainty quantification.
MassMutual uses neural network embeddings from financial news to predict downgrade risk.
GPs' decisions can vary significantly with different kernels, even if kernels are qualitatively similar.
We prove qualitative estimates on the total curvature of closed minimal hypersurfaces in closed Riemannian manifolds in terms of their index and area, restricting to the case where the hypersurface has dimension less than seven. In particular, we prove that if we are given a sequence of closed minimal hypersurfaces of …
We review and extend here some recent results on the existence of minimal surfaces and isoperimetric sets in non homogeneous and anisotropic periodic media. We also describe the qualitative properties of the homogenized surface tension, also known as stable norm (or minimal action) in Weak KAM theory. In particular we …
This survey summarizes the results discussed in a talk at "Bielefeld Geometry & Topology Days" held at Bielefeld University in July 2015. We are interested in quantitative and qualitative properties of Bott-Chern cohomology. We announce new results obtained in [D. Angella, N. Tardini, Quantitative and qualitative cohom…
Method estimates parameters for disease spread models robustly.
A new method explains RNNs by decision lists over skipgrams, improving explanation fidelity and interpretability.
In this paper we present a kinetic model with stochastic game-type interactions, analyzing the relationship between the level of political competition in a society and the degree of economic liberalization. The above issue regards the complex interactions between economy and institutional policies intended to introduce…
This work explores the trade-offs between stability and accuracy in statistical estimation.
Variable selection for optimal treatment regime in a clinical trial or an observational study is getting more attention. Most existing variable selection techniques focused on selecting variables that are important for prediction, therefore some variables that are poor in prediction but are critical for decision-making…