Research
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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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13263851 · Apr 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Public Sentiments

Taureau uses Twitter sentiment analysis to predict stock market movement.

problem Predicting stock market movement using public opinion on Twitter.
method Obtained historical tweets, filtered and labeled, generated word embeddings, assessed sentiment scores, correlated with stock price movement, designed and evaluated predictive model.
result Taureau can predict stock price movement from lagged sentiment scores.

Study uses machine learning to analyze Twitter sentiments about COVID-19.

problem Examining public concerns and sentiments about COVID-19 from Twitter.
method Machine learning (Latent Dirichlet Allocation) to identify topics and sentiments.
result Identified 13 topics and categorized into five themes, revealing dominant fears and mixed feelings.

AI models predict stock trends using historical data and public sentiment.

problem Improving stock market prediction accuracy using AI.
method Employed regression and classification ML algorithms for technical and fundamental analysis respectively.
result Median performance suggests AI is not yet superior to stock markets.

Study analyzes global public sentiment on DeFi from 2012-2022.

problem Global public sentiment on DeFi is understudied.
method Sentiment analysis, spatial econometrics, clustering, topic modeling.
result Economic development significantly influences DeFi engagement, especially after 2015.

With the rapid growth in the number of scientific publications, year after year, it is becoming increasingly difficult to identify quality authoritative work on a single topic. Though there is an availability of scientometric measures which promise to offer a solution to this problem, these measures are mostly quantita…

2019-10-07abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper predicts Bitcoin prices using machine learning and sentiment analysis.

problem Predicting the future price of Bitcoin in USD.
method Applied supervised machine learning and sentiment analysis to Twitter and Reddit data.
result LSTM models with multi-feature analysis outperformed ARIMA models in predicting Bitcoin prices.

Enhanced portfolio selection using sentiment data and LSTM.

problem Improving portfolio selection through sentiment analysis and price prediction.
method Semantic Attention Model for sentiment prediction, LSTM for price prediction, mean-variance strategy for portfolio optimization.
result Sentiment-aware portfolio strategies outperform non-sentiment aware models on average.

The ability to identify sentiment in text, referred to as sentiment analysis, is one which is natural to adult humans. This task is, however, not one which a computer can perform by default. Identifying sentiments in an automated, algorithmic manner will be a useful capability for business and research in their search …

2018-04-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Study predicts cryptocurrency price movements using Twitter sentiment analysis.

problem Predicting short-term price movements of cryptocurrencies.
method Conditional examination of return and excess return rates following tweet publication.
result Statistically significant increases in return rates within the first three minutes after tweet publication.

In this paper we introduce score embedding, a neural network based model to learn interpretable vector representations for words. Score embedding is a supervised method that takes advantage of the labeled training data and the neural network architecture to learn interpretable representations for words. Health care has…

2019-08-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Due to the increased availability of online reviews, sentiment analysis had been witnessed a booming interest from the researchers. Sentiment analysis is a computational treatment of sentiment used to extract and understand the opinions of authors. While many systems were built to predict the sentiment of a document or…

2019-07-26abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper improves cryptocurrency price forecasting using deep learning and NLP on financial, blockchain, and social media data.

problem Improving cryptocurrency price forecasting accuracy and profitability.
method Integrates financial, blockchain, and social media data; applies BART MNLI model for sentiment analysis; uses deep learning NLP models; compares with traditional methods; uses local extrema as predictive targets.
result Significantly improves forecasting accuracy and profitability of cryptocurrency price predictions.

Study shows publicly available news impacts financial markets.

problem Impact of publicly available news on financial markets.
method Extracted news from Common Crawl, identified relevant companies, used sentiment analysis and information theory.
result Publicly available news has significant impact on financial markets.

Study shows negative war news correlates with increased stock market volatility.

problem Understanding the impact of geopolitical events on financial markets.
method Used BERT model for sentiment analysis and GARCH model for volatility forecasting.
result Negative news sentiment during geopolitical crises is associated with increased stock market volatility.

Improved volatility forecasts for U.S. stocks using social media and news data.

problem Challenges in forecasting equity market volatility due to infrequency and variability of macroeconomic announcements.
method Estimating public attention and sentiment towards scheduled macroeconomic variables using various data sources and machine learning.
result Significant improvement in volatility forecasts for U.S. stocks, up to 14.99% on average.

Study analyzes misinformation on social media during COVID-19.

problem Misinformation spreads on social media during the COVID-19 pandemic, affecting public health adherence.
method Analysis of model-labeled data, random forest classifier, sentiment analysis.
result Misinformation tweets show more negative sentiment and evolve over time, incorporating details from unrelated theories.

BioFinBERT analyzes sentiment of biotech press releases and financial text around inflection points.

problem Analyzing sentiment of biotech press releases and financial text around inflection points.
method Finetuning BioBERT on financial datasets to create BioFinBERT for sentiment analysis.
result BioFinBERT accurately analyzes sentiment of biotech press releases and financial text around inflection points.

Bitcoin reacts positively to USDT minting but not burning, showing state-dependence.

problem Understanding Bitcoin's response to Tether's supply changes.
method Analyzing Bitcoin's intraday price movements in response to USDT minting and burning events.
result Bitcoin's response to USDT minting events declines after 60 minutes and is influenced by investor sentiment and public announcements.

Opioid addiction is a severe public health threat in the U.S, causing massive deaths and many social problems. Accurate relapse prediction is of practical importance for recovering patients since relapse prediction promotes timely relapse preventions that help patients stay clean. In this paper, we introduce a Generati…

2018-11-14abs ↗pdf ↗

GRU-PFG model extracts inter-stock correlations from stock factors using graph neural networks.

problem Limited effectiveness of models relying solely on stock factors for capturing stock correlations.
method Project stock factors into a graph and use graph neural networks to extract inter-stock correlations.
result Achieves better prediction results than models relying solely on stock factors and comparable to second category models.

New distress dictionary improves bankruptcy prediction from disclosure text.

problem Bankruptcy prediction from financial disclosures.
method Proposes a distress dictionary based on managers' sentences, quantifies linguistic features, and builds predictive models.
result Predictive models based on the distress dictionary outperform existing methods.

In recent years, we have been faced with a series of natural disasters causing a tremendous amount of financial, environmental, and human losses. The unpredictable nature of natural disasters' behavior makes it hard to have a comprehensive situational awareness (SA) to support disaster management. Using opinion surveys…

2019-03-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Study finds investor sentiment has a significant positive relationship with stock returns in Moroccan and Tunisian markets.

problem Investor sentiment and stock returns relationship in Moroccan and Tunisian markets.
method Used indirect measures of investor sentiment (SENT and ARMS) and Granger causality tests.
result Sentiment has a significant positive relationship with stock returns, but not the other way around.

Study develops a new algorithm for assessing clinical trial abstracts.

problem Limited tools for assessing qualitative statements in clinical research.
method Developed a three-class sentiment classification algorithm using BERT model.
result Algorithm achieved 91.3% classification accuracy and 0.92 macro F1-Score.

News sentiment in U.S. economic newspapers has become more persistent over 45 years.

problem Understanding the temporal dynamics of U.S. economic news sentiment over time.
method Daily economic news sentiment index from 1980-2025, analyzed using sentiment indexes.
result News sentiment states have become more persistent, with longer residence times in optimistic or pessimistic regimes.

Study uses Granger causality to show investor sentiment influences stock prices.

problem Understanding the relationship between investor sentiment and stock market movements.
method Applied Granger causality to analyze the relationship between close price index and sentiment score.
result Sentiment analysis shows a positive correlation with stock price movements.

Can textual data be compressed intelligently without losing accuracy in evaluating sentiment? In this study, we propose a novel evolutionary compression algorithm, PARSEC (PARts-of-Speech for sEntiment Compression), which makes use of Parts-of-Speech tags to compress text in a way that sacrifices minimal classification…

2017-09-20abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a memory augmented neural network for natural language understanding: Neural Semantic Encoders. NSE is equipped with a novel memory update rule and has a variable sized encoding memory that evolves over time and maintains the understanding of input sequences through read}, compose and write operations. NSE c…

2016-07-14abs ↗pdf ↗