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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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69137206274 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Proximity Inference

The paper analyzes two ISGD modes for statistical inference, deriving error bounds and confidence intervals.

problem Statistical inference with implicit SGD for smooth convex functions.
method Proximal Robbins-Monro (proxRM) and proximal Polyak-Ruppert (proxPR) procedures for ISGD.
result Derives non-asymptotic error bounds and confidence interval estimators for model parameters.

Variational inference is a powerful approach for approximate posterior inference. However, it is sensitive to initialization and can be subject to poor local optima. In this paper, we develop proximity variational inference (PVI). PVI is a new method for optimizing the variational objective that constrains subsequent i…

2017-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper uses UKS to improve BLE RSSI for proximity inference in mobile phone apps.

problem Improper BLE RSSI for accurate proximity inference during pandemics.
method Single-dimensional Unscented Kalman Smoother (UKS) with Gaussian process observation transforms.
result UKS outperforms traditional methods in predicting infection risk from BLE RSSI.

Unified framework for causal inference with reliable uncertainty quantification.

problem Causal inference under unobserved confounding with unreliable uncertainty quantification.
method Deconditional Gaussian Process (DGP) framework for uncertainty-aware causal learning.
result Strong predictive performance and informative uncertainty quantification.

Guarantees convergence for black-box variational inference without modifications.

problem Convergence guarantees for black-box variational inference.
method Analysis of log-smooth posterior densities, location-scale variational family, and convergence rates of algorithm design choices.
result Proximal stochastic gradient descent fixes suboptimal convergence rates and achieves strongest known guarantees.

Proximal Mediation Analysis with Hidden Recanting Witnesses

problem Identifying path-specific effects in mediation analysis when recanting witnesses are unknown
method Proximal causal inference and semiparametric inference framework
result Developed three novel identification strategies and a semiparametric inference framework

Develops methods for personalized treatment decisions in the presence of unmeasured factors.

problem Personalized treatment decisions in the presence of unmeasured confounding.
method Proximal learning approaches to estimate optimal individualized treatment regimes (ITRs).
result Established identification results for different classes of ITRs, improving decision-making value function.

Extends robust methods for causal inference, improving estimator performance.

problem Estimating causal effects in the presence of latent confounders.
method Minimax kernel machine learning for doubly robust functionals.
result Proposed method leads to robust and high-performance estimators.

PRL improves off-policy evaluation in partially observed MDPs.

problem Confounding and bias in offline reinforcement learning with unobserved state factors.
method Extends proximal causal inference to POMDPs, identifying and estimating target policy value.
result Semiparametrically efficient estimators for PRL in partially observed MDPs.

DML-CMR estimator reduces bias in CMR problems using deep neural networks.

problem Solving conditional moment restrictions with deep neural networks.
method Double/debiased machine learning framework for unbiased estimation.
result Achieves minimax optimal convergence rate of O(N1/2)O(N^{-1/2}).

New method controls gradient error for sparse MRFs.

problem Efficient learning for sparse discrete MRFs with NP-hard inference.
method Stochastic proximal gradient (SPG) with controlled gradient approximation error.
result Novel bounds control gradient approximation quality.

Proposes methods for learning optimal dynamic treatment regimes robust to unconfoundedness violations.

problem Estimating optimal dynamic treatment regimes using historical observational data when unconfoundedness is violated.
method Utilizes proximal causal inference framework to propose three nonparametric identification methods, a (K+1)-robust method, and establish a semiparametric efficiency bound.
result Establishes the (K+1)-robust method for learning optimal dynamic treatment regimes, validating its efficiency and multiple robustness through numerical experiments.

Quantile regression using random forest proximities improves prediction and uncertainty quantification.

problem Forecasting corporate bond volume with uncertainty quantification.
method Introduced a novel approach to compute quantile regressions from random forests using proximity metrics.
result Superior performance in approximating conditional target distributions and prediction intervals.

New guarantees for black-box variational inference methods.

problem Insufficient theoretical guarantees for black-box variational inference.
method Novel convergence guarantees for stochastic optimization of variational inference.
result Provable convergence of proximal and projected stochastic gradient descent for variational inference.

We present a new proximal bundle method for Maximum-A-Posteriori (MAP) inference in structured energy minimization problems. The method optimizes a Lagrangean relaxation of the original energy minimization problem using a multi plane block-coordinate Frank-Wolfe method that takes advantage of the specific structure of …

2018-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

New methods estimate causal effects through mediators, handling confounding without strict assumptions.

problem Estimating causal effects through mediators while accounting for unmeasured confounding.
method Developed four nonparametric identification strategies using proximal confounding bridge functions, efficient influence function, and quadruply robust estimator. Proposed proximal debiased machine learning approach for high-dimensional nuisance parameters.
result Achieved n\sqrt{n}-consistency and asymptotic normality for path-specific effect estimation.

SPACY discovers causal graphs from spatiotemporal data using variational inference.

problem Inferring causal relationships from high-dimensional spatiotemporal data with complex correlations.
method SPACY uses variational inference to model latent time series and their causal relationships, incorporating spatial factors to aggregate correlated data.
result SPACY outperforms state-of-the-art methods on synthetic and real-world data, identifying key causal phenomena.

New method for inference on strongly identified functionals even when nuisance functions are weakly identified.

problem Inference on continuous linear functionals of weakly identified nuisance functions defined by conditional moment restrictions.
method Proposes penalized minimax estimators for both the primary and debiasing nuisance functions, which can converge to fixed limits regardless of nuisance identifiability.
result Proves the asymptotic normality of a debiased estimator for the functional of interest, leading to asymptotically valid confidence intervals.

Preconditioned neural posterior estimation improves reliability in misspecified models.

problem Reliability issues in neural posterior estimation for misspecified models.
method Preconditioning with data-dependent weights and forest-proximity scores to stabilize and improve accuracy.
result Preconditioned robust neural posterior estimation increases stability and accuracy over standard methods.

Improves time series classification with forest proximities.

problem Time series classification accuracy and efficiency.
method PF-GAP, an extension of RF-GAP proximities to proximity forests, combined with Multi-Dimensional Scaling and Local Outlier Factors.
result Forest proximities show stronger connection between misclassified points and outliers.

We consider the problem of maximum a posteriori (MAP) inference in discrete graphical models. We present a parallel MAP inference algorithm called Bethe-ADMM based on two ideas: tree-decomposition of the graph and the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM). However, unlike the standard ADMM, we use an inexa…

2013-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

CFR-Pro enhances treatment effect estimation by incorporating local proximity.

problem Treatment selection bias in HTE estimation from observational data.
method Proximity-enhanced CounterFactual Regression (CFR-Pro) with pair-wise proximity regularizer and subspace projector.
result Significantly outperforms competitors in HTE estimation accuracy.

Paper analyzes convergence of proximal algorithm in metric spaces without geodesic convexity.

problem Analyzing convergence of proximal algorithm in general metric spaces.
method Analysis of the Wasserstein proximal algorithm without geodesic convexity assumption.
result Establishes unbiased and linear convergence rate for proximal algorithm under natural Wasserstein inequality.

Improved bounds for proximal gradient algorithms with computational errors.

problem Analyzing convergence of proximal gradient algorithms with inaccuracies.
method Deriving new tighter deterministic and probabilistic bounds for convex composite problems.
result Probabilistic bounds are more robust and accurate for algorithm verification and performance guarantees.

Paper extends theorem on covering spaces and Jordan curves.

problem Covering and extending theorems for Alexandrov spaces.
method Introduces proximal homotopic cycles to extend the Mitsuishi-Yamaguchi theorem.
result Extensions of the Mitsuishi-Yamaguchi Good Covering Theorem and Jordan curve theorem.

DLC enhances distillation-based continual learning with lightweight plugins.

problem Stability-plasticity dilemma in distillation-based continual learning.
method DLC deploys lightweight residual plugins into the classifier-proximal layer of a shared feature extractor.
result Significant 8% accuracy gain on large-scale benchmarks with minimal parameter increase.

EPINE enhances network embedding by improving adjacency matrix-based high-order proximity.

problem Inaccurate and poorly designed calculation of high-order proximity in network embedding.
method EPINE redefines high-order proximity intuitively and proposes a scalable algorithm for accurate calculation.
result EPINE outperforms existing methods in network reconstruction, link prediction, and node classification.

Unified framework for estimating indirect effects in observational studies with unmeasured confounding.

problem Challenges in evaluating indirect effects due to unmeasured confounding and unethical exposures.
method Developed a unified identification and estimation framework using proximal causal inference.
result Unified identification and estimation of PIIE and causal effect of an intervening variable in settings with pervasive unmeasured confounding.

This paper extends the Good Covering Theorem and Jordan Curve Theorem for proximal Alexandrov spaces.

problem Extending the Good Covering Theorem and Jordan Curve Theorem to proximal Alexandrov spaces.
method Introducing path cycles and using them to extend the Good Covering Theorem and Jordan Curve Theorem.
result Extensions of the Mitsuishi-Yamaguchi Good Covering Theorem and Jordan Curve Theorem for proximal Alexandrov spaces.

This paper studies fixed sets in ribbon complexes using descriptive proximity spaces.

problem Understanding fixed sets in ribbon complexes within descriptive proximity spaces.
method Introduces descriptive fixed sets and their properties in ribbon complexes, using descriptive proximally continuous maps.
result Establishes that proximal descriptive conjugacy preserves fixed sets in ribbon complexes.