This paper explores the information-theoretic limitations of graph property testing in zero-field Ising models. Instead of learning the entire graph structure, sometimes testing a basic graph property such as connectivity, cycle presence or maximum clique size is a more relevant and attainable objective. Since property…
The paper tests properties of trees in graphical models using covariance queries.
problem Testing properties of trees in graphical models.
method Covariance queries model, randomized tests for tree properties.
result Efficient testing of global tree properties using sub-quadratic number of queries.
The article proposes a deep learning method to test and infer the Markov property in time series data.
problem Testing and inferring the Markov property in high-dimensional time series data.
method Deep conditional generative learning to estimate conditional density functions and derive a doubly robust test statistic.
result The test controls the type-I error asymptotically and has power approaching one.
Survey of Machine Learning Testing: Properties, Components, and Trends.
problem Challenges in testing machine learning models.
method Comprehensive review of 144 ML testing papers.
result Identification of research challenges and directions.
The paper tests properties of multiple distributions with limited samples.
problem Testing properties of multiple distributions with few samples.
method Designing testers for uniformity, identity, and closeness testing under specific conditions.
result Sample optimal testers for uniformity, identity, and closeness testing are provided.
New property of Kendall correlation tested for stock markets.
problem Adequacy of elliptical model for stock returns distribution.
method Proved new property, constructed tests, applied Holm procedure.
result Elliptical model rejected for Chinese stock market but accepted for others.
The study examines property testing and estimation under non-identically distributed samples, finding necessary and sufficient sample complexities.
problem Property testing and estimation under non-identically distributed samples.
method Analysis of distributional property testing and estimation in settings with heterogeneous entities.
result Necessary and sufficient sample complexities for property testing and estimation under non-identically distributed samples.
PG-EVIKAL refines molecular property predictions using neighbor fusion and evidential neural networks.
problem Improving molecular property predictions using test-time neighbor fusion.
method Adapting evidential neural networks to refine predictions by re-ranking structurally similar neighbors.
result PG-EVIKAL reduces RMSE on 14 out of 16 molecular datasets, improving calibration and sequential refinement.
Polynomial delay algorithm tests causal models with hidden variables.
problem Testing causal models with hidden variables in polynomial delay.
method c-component local Markov property (C-LMP) and polynomial delay algorithm.
result First algorithm for poly-delay testing of CIs in causal graphs with hidden variables.
Paper tests DPPs for diversity models, distinguishing them from other distributions.
problem Testing whether a given distribution is a Determinantal Point Process (DPP) or far from any DPP.
method Proposes the first algorithm for DPP testing and establishes a lower bound on sample complexity.
result Establishes a matching lower bound on the sample complexity of DPP testing.
Optimal tests developed for sequential experiments with asymptotic properties.
problem Performing hypothesis tests after sequential experiments without prior design.
method Analyze asymptotic properties of sequential experiments; develop tests for Gaussian process observations.
result Asymptotic power function of any test can be matched by a specific test in a limit experiment.
New test for conditional independence using GNNs avoids estimating conditional distributions.
problem Testing conditional independence of X and Y given Z. method Proposes a non-parametric testing procedure using GNNs to sample from marginal conditional distributions.
result Test statistic is doubly robust against GNN approximation errors.
The paper improves the robustness of approximate randomization tests.
problem Noisy data limits the robustness of approximate randomization tests.
method Derives non-asymptotic bounds and novel conditions for approximate randomization tests.
result Valid approximate randomization tests under data invariances can be derived.
Financial econometrics has become an increasingly popular research field. In this paper we review a few parametric and nonparametric models and methods used in this area. After introducing several widely used continuous-time and discrete-time models, we study in detail dependence structures of discrete samples, includi…
Paper develops a new test for high-dimensional matrix-valued data.
problem Hypothesis testing for mean of matrix-valued data in high-dimensional settings.
method Proposes a new test statistic for high-dimensional matrix rank testing.
result Develops a novel approach for sparse singular value decomposition (SVD) estimation.
Gaussian kernel tests are optimal against smooth alternatives.
problem Understanding the statistical properties of nonparametric tests using Gaussian kernels.
method Analysis of Gaussian kernel-based goodness-of-fit, homogeneity, and independence tests.
result Gaussian kernel tests are minimax optimal against smooth alternatives in all three settings.
MCML uses ML to study learnability of Alloy properties, showing simple models can perform well but fail on full input space.
problem Empirical study of learnability of relational properties in Alloy.
method MCML combines ML with model counting to evaluate performance on bounded input spaces.
result Simple ML models can achieve high accuracy and F1-score on training/test datasets but fail on full input space, highlighting complexity of learning relational properties.
This paper tests yield curve generators for property-casualty insurers.
problem Quantifying interest-rate risk for property-casualty insurers with high bond holdings.
method Develops and tests yield curve generators to quantify bond-value changes.
result Tests yield curve generators against known distributional properties of yield curves.
Optimal testing of discrete distributions with high probability, achieving sample complexity bounds.
problem Testing discrete distributions with high probability accuracy.
method Characterizing sample complexity as a function of parameters like δ, providing sample-optimal testers.
result Optimal algorithms for closeness and independence testing, achieving within constant factors of information-theoretic lower bounds.
Research proposes a test case generation system for deep learning models using dataset properties.
problem Automated generation of extensive test cases for deep learning models is challenging.
method Measures dataset quality and proposes a test case generation system guided by dataset properties.
result Systematic test case generation for deep learning models is effective.
This article develops a framework for testing general hypothesis in high-dimensional models where the number of variables may far exceed the number of observations. Existing literature has considered less than a handful of hypotheses, such as testing individual coordinates of the model parameter. However, the problem o…
Develops a two-sample test using projected Wasserstein distance to handle high-dimensional data.
problem Testing whether two high-dimensional samples come from the same distribution.
method Optimal projection to find a low-dimensional linear mapping that maximizes the Wasserstein distance between projected probability distributions.
result Characterizes the convergence rate of the projected Wasserstein distance and presents practical algorithms.
PML estimator optimally solves three statistical learning problems.
problem Distribution estimation, property estimation, and property testing.
method Profile Maximum Likelihood (PML) estimator.
result PML achieves optimal sample complexity for various learning tasks.
We study the statistical properties of an estimator derived by applying a gradient ascent method with multiple initializations to a multi-modal likelihood function. We derive the population quantity that is the target of this estimator and study the properties of confidence intervals (CIs) constructed from asymptotic n…
We study 'meta-dependence' in conditional independence tests across different empirical distributions.
problem Understanding the breakdown of conditional independence properties in finite data.
method Geometric intuition and information projections to measure meta-dependence between conditional independences.
result We provide a measure of meta-dependence that consolidates findings across synthetic and real-world data.
We derive properties of the cdf of random variables defined as saddle-type points of real valued continuous stochastic processes. This facilitates the derivation of the first-order asymptotic properties of tests for stochastic spanning given some stochastic dominance relation. We define the concept of Markowitz stochas…
We develop a simple test for deviations from power law tails, which is based on the asymptotic properties of the empirical distribution function. We use this test to answer the question whether great natural disasters, financial crashes or electricity price spikes should be classified as dragon kings or 'only' as black…
New algorithm tests model calibration in nearly-linear time.
problem Testing model calibration from samples efficiently.
method Reformulated as minimum-cost flow, solved with dynamic programming.
result Optimal testing problem solved in nearly-linear time.
New method relaxes TV distance for two-sample testing without distributional assumptions.
problem Challenges in certifying equality or providing tight bounds on TV distance for two distributions.
method Examined blurred total variation distance, a relaxation of TV distance.
result Provided theoretical guarantees for upper and lower bounds on blurred TV distance.
New method tests mixtures of distributions with fewer samples than previously thought.
problem Testing if a distribution is a mixture of known distributions.
method Noise model where the noisy distribution is a mixture of the original and known noise.
result Sample complexity is the same as for non-mixture cases.
New test assesses probabilistic model calibration without expensive approximations.
problem Assessing calibration of probabilistic models with scores.
method Kernel Calibration Conditional Stein Discrepancy (KCCSD) test using new score-based kernels.
result Control over type-I error with improved scalability and efficiency.
Algorithm distinguishes light-tailed from non-light-tailed distributions.
problem Characterize the tail of a distribution using hazard rate.
method Careful bucketing scheme based on hazard rate.
result Polynomial number of samples required for success.
Improved change point detection using matched filters for non-parametric tests.
problem False positives and localization ambiguity in non-parametric two-sample tests.
method Derived and applied matched filters for various two-sample tests.
result Matched filters reduce false positives and improve test precision.
The paper proposes a method to align AI models using conformal risk control.
problem Aligning AI models to meet end-user requirements in non-generative settings.
method Post-processing a pre-trained model to better align with a subset of functions using conformal risk control.
result A probabilistic guarantee that the resulting conformal interval around a model contains a function approximately satisfying a desired property.
Survey on statistical inference under memory constraints.
problem Effect of memory limitations on statistical inference performance.
method Review of state-of-the-art in several canonical problems.
result Identification of fundamental building blocks and useful techniques.
We propose procedures for testing whether stock price processes are martingales based on limit order type betting strategies. We first show that the null hypothesis of martingale property of a stock price process can be tested based on the capital process of a betting strategy. In particular with high frequency Markov …
A family of maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) kernel two-sample tests is introduced. Members of the test family are called Block-tests or B-tests, since the test statistic is an average over MMDs computed on subsets of the samples. The choice of block size allows control over the tradeoff between test power and computatio…
We propose a new multivariate dependency measure. It is obtained by considering a Gaussian kernel based distance between the copula transform of the given d-dimensional distribution and the uniform copula and then appropriately normalizing it. The resulting measure is shown to satisfy a number of desirable properties. …
New tests compare regression functions using machine learning, overcoming dimensionality issues.
problem Comparing regression functions in high-dimensional settings.
method Generalized kernel-based conditional mean dependence, machine learning methods for flexible estimation.
result Established asymptotic properties of tests under fixed and high-dimensional regimes.
The properties of statistical tests for hypotheses concerning the parameters of the multifractal model of asset returns (MMAR) are investigated, using Monte Carlo techniques. We show that, in the presence of multifractality, conventional tests of long memory tend to over-reject the null hypothesis of no long memory. Ou…
Develops tests for conditional symmetry under group actions.
problem Testing conditional symmetry in distributions under group actions.
method Nonparametric randomization tests with kernel methods and asymptotic consistency.
result Tests achieve finite-sample Type I error control and power.
This article develops a statistical test for the null hypothesis of strict stationarity of a discrete time stochastic process in the frequency domain. When the null hypothesis is true, the second order cumulant spectrum is zero at all the discrete Fourier frequency pairs in the principal domain. The test uses a window …
Line graph transformation aids graph isomorphism tests by excluding challenging graph properties.
problem Limited theoretical understanding of line graph transformation's impact on GNN models.
method Examined CFI and strongly regular graphs, showing line graph transformation helps WL tests distinguish these graphs.
result Line graph transformation aids WL tests in distinguishing challenging graph properties.
New tests for ES risk measure introduced to assess forecast quality.
problem Assessing forecast quality for Expected Shortfall (ES) risk measure.
method Developed three ES encompassing test variants using joint loss functions.
result Tests robust to misspecification and effective in finite samples.
We derive new theoretical results on the properties of the adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (adaptive lasso) for time series regression models. In particular, we investigate the question of how to conduct finite sample inference on the parameters given an adaptive lasso model for some fixed valu…
A test for comparing function samples using MMD.
problem Testing if two functional data samples come from the same distribution.
method Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) for functional data, with theoretical scaling analysis.
result The proposed test is effective and robust to functional reconstructions.
A new test assesses how well observed networks fit a specified ERGM model.
problem Testing the goodness of fit for ERGMs with a single network observation.
method Kernel Stein discrepancy combined with a discrete Stein operator for ERGMs, Monte Carlo simulation.
result The test provides theoretical and practical support for assessing ERGM fit.
We introduce a bootstrap procedure for high-frequency statistics of Brownian semistationary processes. More specifically, we focus on a hypothesis test on the roughness of sample paths of Brownian semistationary processes, which uses an estimator based on a ratio of realized power variations. Our new resampling method,…