The paper describes a method to infer the signal-to-noise ratio in portfolio optimization.
problem Estimating the signal-to-noise ratio in portfolio optimization problems.
method A statistic similar to the Sharpe Ratio Information Criterion is used for inference.
result The method works well for reasonable sample and asset universe sizes.
Paper introduces procedural noise for generating adversarial examples that fool deep networks.
problem Vulnerability of deep convolutional networks to adversarial examples.
method Structured approach for generating Universal Adversarial Perturbations (UAPs) with procedural noise.
result Single noise patterns can fool up to 90% of a dataset, with high universal evasion rates.
The chapter compares Gaussian process models for stochastic simulators with varying noise.
problem Modeling stochastic simulators with varying noise.
method Various Gaussian process models are compared, including input varying noise variance, non-Gaussian noise, and quantile modeling.
result Sequential design procedures are adapted for these models.
We develop a flexible framework for low-rank matrix estimation that allows us to transform noise models into regularization schemes via a simple bootstrap algorithm. Effectively, our procedure seeks an autoencoding basis for the observed matrix that is stable with respect to the specified noise model; we call the resul…
Optimal ridge regularization computed iteratively from generative parameters.
problem Finding the optimal ridge regularization strength for linear regression.
method Iterative procedure to compute optimal regularization strength numerically.
result The proposed procedure attains near-optimal generalization across various conditions.
The paper develops methods for conditional inference on the asset with the highest Sharpe ratio.
problem Performing inference on the asset with the highest Sharpe ratio among correlated assets.
method Conditional inference procedure using multivariate Sharpe ratio standard error, alternative tests, and asymptotic adjustments.
result The conditional inference procedure achieves nominal type I rate and maintains near-nominal rejection rates under the conditional null.
Method estimates noise variance in Gaussian process regression.
problem Estimating noise variance in Gaussian process regression models.
method Reduces hyperparameter space, uses marginal likelihood function, derives bounds and asymptotes.
result Computational advantages and robustness compared to traditional methods.
A new robust gradient descent method improves generalization efficiency.
problem Improving off-sample generalization of learning algorithms under heavy-tailed data.
method Smoothed multiplicative noise applied to observations before constructing a sum of soft-truncated gradient coordinates.
result The proposed method achieves competitive theoretical guarantees and efficient generalization over a wide class of data distributions.
We show that asymptotically, completely asynchronous stochastic gradient procedures achieve optimal (even to constant factors) convergence rates for the solution of convex optimization problems under nearly the same conditions required for asymptotic optimality of standard stochastic gradient procedures. Roughly, the n…
New method reduces uncertainty in deep neural networks with minimal computation.
problem Uncertainty in over-parameterized neural networks hinders reliability and statistical guarantees.
method Procedural-noise-correcting (PNC) predictor and resampling methods.
result Asymptotically exact-coverage confidence intervals constructed with minimal computation.
Paper tackles small eigen-gap estimation and inference for noisy symmetric matrices.
problem Estimating eigenvectors with small eigen-gap and fine-grained statistical reasoning.
method Eigen-decomposition of asymmetric data matrix, distribution-free procedures, adaptive to heteroscedastic noise.
result Minimax optimal under Gaussian noise, confidence intervals for eigenvalues, small eigen-gap handling.
DCNs are fooled by Gabor noise patterns similar to adversarial perturbations.
problem Sensitivity of DCNs to Gabor noise patterns.
method Examined different DCN architectures and their sensitivity to Gabor noise.
result DCNs are fooled by Gabor noise patterns similar to adversarial perturbations.
Efficiently refits black box predictions with wild refitting method.
problem Computing high-probability upper bounds on prediction errors.
method Three-step procedure: residuals, symmetrization, and solving a modified prediction problem.
result Wild refitting provides an upper bound on prediction error with high probability.
Improved graph classification with noisy labels using GNNs and loss correction.
problem Robustness of GNNs to symmetric label noise.
method Combining GNNs with loss correction methods.
result Test accuracy improvement under noisy conditions.
Algorithm learns halfspaces in noisy data efficiently.
problem Learning halfspaces with Tsybakov noise.
method Novel semi-definite programming and online convex optimization.
result First non-trivial PAC learning algorithm for Tsybakov noise.
NoMoPy models noise as HMM/FHMM in Python.
problem Modeling noise in data.
method Approximate and exact EM algorithms, cross-validation, confidence region estimation.
result Validated on example problems.
Using integration by parts on Gaussian space we construct a Stein Unbiased Risk Estimator (SURE) for the drift of Gaussian processes using their local and occupation times. By almost-sure minimization of the SURE risk of shrinkage estimators we derive an estimation and de-noising procedure for an input signal perturbed…
We study empirical covariance matrices in finance. Due to the limited amount of available input information, these objects incorporate a huge amount of noise, so their naive use in optimization procedures, such as portfolio selection, may be misleading. In this paper we investigate a recently introduced filtering proce…
New methods improve estimation accuracy in noisy settings.
problem Estimating treatment effects in the presence of treatment noise.
method Developed new structure-agnostic cumulant estimators and practical procedures for higher-order robustness.
result Demonstrated that existing DML estimator is suboptimal for non-Gaussian treatment noise and introduced ACE procedures for improved accuracy.
Efficient algorithm for online control with adversarial disturbances, nearly minimizing regret.
problem Online control of linear systems with adversarial disturbances.
method Developed an efficient algorithm that provides nearly tight regret bounds.
result The algorithm nearly minimizes regret for the problem of online control with adversarial disturbances.
We consider the problem of learning from distributed data in the agnostic setting, i.e., in the presence of arbitrary forms of noise. Our main contribution is a general distributed boosting-based procedure for learning an arbitrary concept space, that is simultaneously noise tolerant, communication efficient, and compu…
PANDA augments data to regularize GLM estimation and inference.
problem Regularizing estimation and inference in GLMs with noisy data.
method Iteratively optimizes augmented noise data to converge to regularized model estimates.
result Established convergence and asymptotic distributions for regularized parameters.
Novel privatization framework for high-dimensional variable selection with differential privacy.
problem High-dimensional controlled variable selection with rigorous FDR control under differential privacy constraints.
method Gaussian Johnson-Lindenstrauss Transformation for privatizing the knockoff matrix.
result The proposed private variable selection procedure maintains statistical power even under strict privacy budgets.
We present two Bayesian procedures to infer the interactions and external currents in an assembly of stochastic integrate-and-fire neurons from the recording of their spiking activity. The first procedure is based on the exact calculation of the most likely time courses of the neuron membrane potentials conditioned by …
A method refines weights to estimate smooth manifolds from noisy data.
problem Estimating smooth manifolds from noisy data.
method Structure-adaptive procedure that iteratively refines weights using structural information.
result The method achieves nearly optimal performance even with large noise.
Let $\cF$ be a set of M classification procedures with values in [−1,1]. Given a loss function, we want to construct a procedure which mimics at the best possible rate the best procedure in $\cF$. This fastest rate is called optimal rate of aggregation. Considering a continuous scale of loss functions with various …
Develops efficient inference for noise heterogeneity in machine learning models.
problem Downstream procedures based on residuals can be biased in additive noise models.
method Semiparametrically efficient inference using a novel Hilbert-valued one-step estimator.
result Constructs tests and confidence intervals for residual independence and goodness of fit.
New method solves group synchronization with cycle-edge message passing.
problem Solving group synchronization with adversarial or uniform corruption and small noise.
method Cycle-edge message passing procedure using cycle consistency information.
result Exact recovery and linear convergence guarantees under adversarial corruption.
The study finds that memorization is necessary or harmful depending on the prior distribution and noise level.
problem The impact of memorization on generalization in overparameterized models.
method An overparameterized linear model with general priors in a Bayesian setup.
result Explicit conditions for optimal generalization based on the prior distribution and noise level.
Proposes ENVAR for causal discovery in structural VAR models with equal noise variance.
problem Challenges in causal discovery from multivariate time series with contemporaneous effects.
method Introduces observational equivalence and the observational alignment discrepancy for structural VAR models with equal noise variance.
result Shows that multiple structural VAR parameterizations can induce the same stationary observed process law.
The paper develops tests for variable selection using LARS in high dimensions.
problem Variable selection and multiple testing in high-dimensional settings.
method Least Angle Regression (LARS) and post-selection joint law of knots.
result Exact non-asymptotic level testing procedures for variable selection.
We introduce coroICA, confounding-robust independent component analysis, a novel ICA algorithm which decomposes linearly mixed multivariate observations into independent components that are corrupted (and rendered dependent) by hidden group-wise stationary confounding. It extends the ordinary ICA model in a theoretical…
New findings show noisy gradient descent can generalize well, even with non-SGD noise.
problem The role of noise in gradient descent's generalization ability.
method Analyzed the structure of SGD noise and proposed a new noisy gradient descent algorithm.
result Noises in classes different from SGD can also effectively regularize gradient descent.
Alternative hypothesis tests for class-conditional noise using local maximum likelihood.
problem Assessing label noise in supervised learning datasets.
method Proposes hypothesis tests based on local maximum likelihood estimation for nonparametric logistic regression.
result Shows improved applicability and flexibility of the proposed tests compared to parametric approaches.
In this work, we investigate a novel training procedure to learn a generative model as the transition operator of a Markov chain, such that, when applied repeatedly on an unstructured random noise sample, it will denoise it into a sample that matches the target distribution from the training set. The novel training pro…
Paper proposes a universal probabilistic model for handling instance-dependent label noise.
problem Instance-dependent label noise in data quality challenges DNN training robustness.
method Categorizes instances into confusing and unconfusing, proposes a probabilistic model.
result Significant improvements in robustness over state-of-the-art methods on various datasets.
Paper derives convergence rates and confidence intervals for LSA with Markovian noise.
problem Analyzing convergence rates and constructing confidence intervals for LSA with Markovian noise.
method Derives non-asymptotic Berry-Esseen bounds and multiplier block bootstrap procedure.
result Provides O(n−1/4) convergence rates and guarantees consistent inference. A new method for identifying causal directions in complex systems.
problem Identifying causal relationships in nonlinear systems with limited data.
method Sequential edge orientation approach using pairwise additive noise model.
result The method can recover true causal DAGs under nonlinear additive noise models.
The paper analyzes continuous optimization for DAG structure learning and its limitations.
problem The performance of continuous structure learning approaches is not consistent after data standardization.
method Analysis of continuous optimization for DAG structure learning, focusing on equal and non-equal noise variances.
result Continuous structure learning approaches may not perform well after data standardization, especially with non-equal noise variances.
Develops statistical confidence sets for multidimensional scaling.
problem Statistical uncertainty in multidimensional scaling of noisy data.
method Formal statistical framework, distributional convergence results, uniform confidence sets, bootstrap procedures.
result Construction of reliable confidence sets for latent configurations in multidimensional scaling.
Improves model generalization by minimizing loss sharpness.
problem Overparameterized models often fail to generalize well despite low training loss.
method Sharpness-Aware Minimization (SAM) minimizes both loss value and sharpness.
result SAM improves model generalization across various datasets and models.
Feature noise causes loss discrepancies across groups even with equal data.
problem Loss discrepancies observed in learning procedures across different groups.
method Characterized the effect of feature noise on loss discrepancy in linear regression.
result Feature noise leads to loss discrepancy even when groups have equal data.
We present a theoretically grounded approach to train deep neural networks, including recurrent networks, subject to class-dependent label noise. We propose two procedures for loss correction that are agnostic to both application domain and network architecture. They simply amount to at most a matrix inversion and mult…
EarlyStopping package helps prevent overfitting in iterative learning procedures.
problem Preventing overfitting in iterative learning procedures.
method Early stopping implemented in a Python package.
result Demonstrates how to use the EarlyStopping package to explore implicit regularization.
This paper evaluates a method to improve representations using incomplete external evidence across tasks.
problem Increasing labelled data quality and quantity is challenging due to manual labelling errors and noise.
method Evidence Transfer method using incomplete categorical external evidence.
result Evidence Transfer proves effective and robust against different levels of incompleteness.
Discrete noise improves graph generation quality and speed.
problem Generating high-quality discrete graph samples.
method Using discrete noise in diffusion models for graph generation.
result Discrete noise leads to 1.5x better MMDs and 30x faster sampling.
Two classes of methods have been proposed for escaping from saddle points with one using the second-order information carried by the Hessian and the other adding the noise into the first-order information. The existing analysis for algorithms using noise in the first-order information is quite involved and hides the es…
GnIES recovers causal structure from unknown interventions.
problem Recovering causal structure from unknown interventions.
method Characterization of equivalence classes, greedy learning algorithm GnIES.
result GnIES recovers the equivalence class of the data-generating model.