Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

0.3%0.5%0.8%0.4% · Sep 201019922001200920172026
9 results for Pro-cyclicality

We present a simple agent-based model of a financial system composed of leveraged investors such as banks that invest in stocks and manage their risk using a Value-at-Risk constraint, based on historical observations of asset prices. The Value-at-Risk constraint implies that when perceived risk is low, leverage is high…

2014-07-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Model predicts internal fraud in retail banking is cyclical and influenced by corruption.

problem Predicting and mitigating internal fraud losses in retail banking.
method Developed a dynamic model considering internal factors and macroeconomic indicators.
result Internal fraud losses are pro-cyclical and positively affected by corruption perceptions.

We review the evidence that the erratic dynamics of markets is to a large extent of endogenous origin, i.e. determined by the trading activity itself and not due to the rational processing of exogenous news. In order to understand why and how prices move, the joint fluctuations of order flow and liquidity - and the way…

2010-09-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The study examines how choice of risk measure and volatility estimator affects procyclicality.

problem Understanding the factors affecting procyclicality in risk measure estimation.
method Examined three risk measures (Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall, Expectile), realized volatility estimators (sample variance, mean absolute deviation), and two models (iid and GARCH).
result Procyclicality is always present regardless of the choice of risk measure and realized volatility estimator.