Improves AI-prior reliability for Bayesian inference.
problem Error propagation from predictive models into posterior inference.
method Rectified AI-informed prior elicitation framework.
result Significant reduction in bias and improvement in predictive performance.
New method improves Robbins-Monro algorithm convergence with prior information.
problem Improving convergence speed of Robbins-Monro algorithm.
method Integrates prior information into Robbins-Monro iteration without regression model.
result Prior-information Robbins-Monro sequence converges faster than standard.
There are three principle paradigms of statistical inference: (i) Bayesian, (ii) information-based and (iii) frequentist inference. We describe an objective prior (the weighting or w-prior) which unifies objective Bayes and information-based inference. The w-prior is chosen to make the marginal probability an unbia…
New PAC-Bayes method updates priors without losing confidence information.
problem Lack of sequential prior updates in PAC-Bayes without losing confidence information.
method Recursive PAC-Bayes decomposition of expected loss.
result Sequential prior updates with no information loss.
Additive Bayesian networks are types of graphical models that extend the usual Bayesian generalized linear model to multiple dependent variables through the factorisation of the joint probability distribution of the underlying variables. When fitting an ABN model, the choice of the prior of the parameters is of crucial…
Two data-dependent information metrics are developed to quantify the information of the prior and likelihood functions within a parametric Bayesian model, one of which is closely related to the reference priors from Berger, Bernardo, and Sun, and information measure introduced by Lindley. A combination of theoretical, …
The paper proposes a method to integrate prior information into penalized regression.
problem Improving predictive performance in high-dimensional tasks with prior information.
method Integrating multiple sources of prior information into penalized regression.
result The method improves predictive performance, as shown by simulations and applications.
Statsformer validates and adapts LLM-derived semantic priors for improved supervised learning.
problem Unreliable semantic priors from LLMs can degrade supervised learning performance.
method Adapts LLM-derived feature scores into a family of learner-specific prior-injection mechanisms, calibrating their influence using out-of-fold validation.
result Improves prediction performance by adaptively downweighting unreliable LLM priors, ensuring a guardrailed statistical learning system.
The choice of sentence encoder architecture reflects assumptions about how a sentence's meaning is composed from its constituent words. We examine the contribution of these architectures by holding them randomly initialised and fixed, effectively treating them as as hand-crafted language priors, and evaluating the resu…
Bounded rationality investigates utility-optimizing decision-makers with limited information-processing power. In particular, information theoretic bounded rationality models formalize resource constraints abstractly in terms of relative Shannon information, namely the Kullback-Leibler Divergence between the agents' pr…
Unified framework for Bayesian PDE-constrained inversion using physics-informed neural networks.
problem Incorporating prior distributions in function space into Bayesian PINN-based inversion.
method Functional-prior-based approaches (fpBPINN) to Bayesian PDE-constrained inversion using physics-informed neural networks (PINNs). Two complementary approaches: FPI-BPINN and fParVI-PINN.
result Accurate estimation of posterior distributions in seismic traveltime tomography and Darcy-flow permeability inversion.
Word embeddings have demonstrated strong performance on NLP tasks. However, lack of interpretability and the unsupervised nature of word embeddings have limited their use within computational social science and digital humanities. We propose the use of informative priors to create interpretable and domain-informed dime…
Enhances neural networks with prior function values to improve accuracy.
problem Improving neural network accuracy in regions without training data.
method Develops a probabilistic approach to augment BNNs with prior function values.
result Predictions rely more on prior information in uncertain regions.
New method uses KL-divergence to create non-informative priors for multivariate Gaussian.
problem Handling hyperparameters for non-informative limits in multivariate Gaussian conjugate priors.
method Using scaled KL-divergence between multivariate Gaussians to construct Wishart and normal-Wishart conjugate priors.
result Forming non-informative priors without violating Wishart shape parameter restrictions.
Study characterizes training and test risks for MAP regression with Gaussian priors.
problem Understanding high-dimensional behavior of regularized linear regression with informative priors.
method Maximum a posteriori (MAP) regression with Gaussian priors, using random matrix theory.
result Closed-form risk formulas reveal the bias-variance-prior tradeoff and explain double descent.
Improves robustness of information bottleneck framework with sparsity-inducing prior.
problem Fixed-dimensional priors restrict flexibility and restrict robustness.
method Sparsity-inducing spike-slab categorical prior that learns dimension distribution per data point.
result Improves accuracy and robustness compared to traditional priors and other methods.
Paper formulates mutual information optimal control for discrete-time systems.
problem Optimal control of discrete-time linear systems with mutual information.
method Formulates MIOCP as an extension of MEOCP, derives optimal policy and prior, proposes alternating minimization algorithm.
result Proposes an alternating minimization algorithm for MIOCP.
Bayesian metalearning improves performance in linear bandits with misspecified priors.
problem Improper priors lead to suboptimal performance in sequential decision-making.
method Proves performance bounds for metalearning priors in stochastic linear bandits and develops a metalearning algorithm.
result Metalearning can improve performance by learning the prior from multiple tasks.
Detects graph topology changes from noisy signals using prior spectral information.
problem Detecting changes in graph topology from graph signals.
method Leverages graph filtering and subspace detection to distill problem into a CUSUM-based algorithm.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of incorporating prior spectral signatures for change-point detection.
Proposes a method to integrate prior knowledge into trajectory prediction models.
problem Improving accuracy and robustness in trajectory prediction models.
method Continual learning approach that allows integration of arbitrary prior knowledge and probabilistic predictions.
result Outperforms non-informed and informed learning methods, using half as many observation examples.
Model captures decision-making under bounded rationality with prior beliefs and market feedback.
problem Bounded rationality in decision-making with limited processing abilities.
method Maximum entropy principle applied to Quantal Response Statistical Equilibrium framework.
result Prior beliefs influence decision-making, altering the outcome of market feedback.
Bayesian models use hyperparameters to indirectly assign priors, and this work shows how these priors can be derived from maximum entropy principles.
problem Understanding the assumptions and dependencies in Bayesian hierarchical models.
method Demonstrates how canonical distributions and maximum entropy principles can be used to derive marginal priors in hierarchical models.
result Marginal priors in hierarchical models derived from maximum entropy principles have different constraints compared to the original priors.
This paper analyzes and guarantees convergence of prior-guided ZO algorithms.
problem Understanding convergence properties of prior-guided zeroth-order optimization algorithms.
method Analysis of convergence under a greedy descent framework with various gradient estimators, and development of ARS algorithm.
result Convergence guarantee for prior-guided random gradient-free (PRGF) algorithms and accelerated random search (ARS) algorithm.
Bayesian PROCOVA uses AI to adjust for covariates in RCTs.
problem Unbiased and precise treatment effect inferences from RCTs.
method Generative AI constructs digital twins for covariate adjustment, using an additive mixture prior.
result Efficiency gains in smaller RCTs compared to frequentist methods.
A single algebraic identity unifies information-theoretic variational results.
problem Deriving and generalizing classical information-theoretic variational results
method Proving a single algebraic mixed coincidence identity
result Unified derivation of classical cornerstones of information theory
Bayesian neural networks improve with summary information and Dirichlet process.
problem Lack of prior knowledge in BNNs for complex architectures.
method Incorporates external summary information about predicted probabilities using a Dirichlet process.
result Improves model accuracy, uncertainty calibration, and robustness.
We investigate the problem of estimating the causal effect of a treatment on individual subjects from observational data, this is a central problem in various application domains, including healthcare, social sciences, and online advertising. Within the Neyman Rubin potential outcomes model, we use the Kullback Leibler…
We develop a new method called Discriminated Hub Graphical Lasso (DHGL) based on Hub Graphical Lasso (HGL) by providing prior information of hubs. We apply this new method in two situations: with known hubs and without known hubs. Then we compare DHGL with HGL using several measures of performance. When some hubs are k…
The study finds that memorization is necessary or harmful depending on the prior distribution and noise level.
problem The impact of memorization on generalization in overparameterized models.
method An overparameterized linear model with general priors in a Bayesian setup.
result Explicit conditions for optimal generalization based on the prior distribution and noise level.
PIPA aligns preferences without reinforcement learning, improving language model performance.
problem Aligning preferences in language models efficiently and without reinforcement learning.
method Formulates preference alignment as a Maximum Likelihood Estimation problem with prior constraints.
result PIPA algorithms achieve up to 10% performance improvement on benchmarks.
Spatial information is not always necessary for spatio-temporal models.
problem The necessity of including spatial information in spatio-temporal models.
method Comparison of spatial agnostic neural networks with state-of-the-art models on ten datasets.
result Spatial information is not always needed in most spatio-temporal models.
This work considers an estimation task in compressive sensing, where the goal is to estimate an unknown signal from compressive measurements that are corrupted by additive pre-measurement noise (interference, or clutter) as well as post-measurement noise, in the specific setting where some (perhaps limited) prior knowl…
The vast majority of optimization and online learning algorithms today require some prior information about the data (often in the form of bounds on gradients or on the optimal parameter value). When this information is not available, these algorithms require laborious manual tuning of various hyperparameters, motivati…
This paper relaxes the common prior assumption in the public and private information game of Morris and Shin (2000, 2004). For the generalized game, where the agent's prior expectations are heterogenous, it derives a sharp condition for the emergence of unique/multiple equilibria. This condition indicates that unique e…
We consider the problem of compressed sensing and of (real-valued) phase retrieval with random measurement matrix. We derive sharp asymptotics for the information-theoretically optimal performance and for the best known polynomial algorithm for an ensemble of generative priors consisting of fully connected deep neural …
CONCERT improves transfer learning by borrowing partial information from auxiliary datasets.
problem Inefficiency of global similarity measures in transfer learning for high-dimensional data.
method Conditional spike-and-slab prior with covariate-specific priors for robust partial information transfer.
result CONCERT achieves variable selection and information transfer simultaneously, improving performance on the target.
We consider an online version of the robust Principle Component Analysis (PCA), which arises naturally in time-varying source separations such as video foreground-background separation. This paper proposes a compressive online robust PCA with prior information for recursively separating a sequences of frames into spars…
InfoSEM infers gene regulatory networks without GT labels, improving performance.
problem Inferring GRNs from gene expression data with high accuracy and avoiding biases.
method InfoSEM uses deep generative models with informative priors (textual gene embeddings).
result InfoSEM outperforms existing models by 38.5% across four datasets.
In this paper the problem of learning appropriate bias for an environment of related tasks is examined from a Bayesian perspective. The environment of related tasks is shown to be naturally modelled by the concept of an {\em objective} prior distribution. Sampling from the objective prior corresponds to sampling differ…
Regularization methods, specifically those which directly alter weights like L1 and L2, are an integral part of many learning algorithms. Both the regularizers mentioned above are formulated by assuming certain priors in the parameter space and these assumptions, in some cases, induce sparsity in the parameter sp…
Machine Learning benefits from prior information and computational power for better performance and understanding.
problem Improper use of Machine Learning methods leads to lack of understanding and performance issues.
method Employing prior information and computational power to solve learning problems, emphasizing interpretability and performance.
result Combining prior information and computational power can lead to better understanding and performance in Machine Learning.
Bayesian model enhances phenotype discovery in asthma EHRs.
problem Lack of interpretability in unsupervised learning phenotyping of EHR data.
method Operationalized a Bayesian latent class framework with clinical knowledge priors.
result Identified an asthma sub-phenotype with elevated eosinophil levels and allergy markers.
Prior information can be incorporated in matrix completion to improve estimation accuracy and extrapolate the missing entries. Reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces provide tools to leverage the said prior information, and derive more reliable algorithms. This paper analyzes the generalization error of such approaches, and…
Bayesian optimization improves with nonstationary covariance functions.
problem Stationary covariance functions fail to capture prior information in high dimensions.
method Proposes nonstationary covariance functions to encode prior information and adaptively promote local exploration.
result Nonstationary covariance functions increase sample efficiency in high dimensions.
Physics-informed kernel learning integrates physical priors into machine learning models.
problem Tackles the integration of physical laws into machine learning models for improved accuracy and efficiency.
method Uses Fourier methods to approximate the kernel and minimizes a physics-informed risk function.
result Demonstrates PIKL outperforms physics-informed neural networks and traditional PDE solvers in various scenarios.
Algorithm estimates graph structure with prior information and Langevin diffusion.
problem Support estimation of partially known Gaussian graphical models.
method Proposes an algorithm using annealed Langevin diffusion and graph neural networks to estimate the posterior distribution of the graph.
result Demonstrates the benefits of the approach through numerical experiments.
The lack of interpretability often makes black-box models difficult to be applied to many practical domains. For this reason, the current work, from the black-box model input port, proposes to incorporate data-based prior information into the black-box soft-margin SVM model to enhance its interpretability. The concept …
New method samples Jeffreys prior for objective Bayesian inference.
problem Sampling from Jeffreys prior is challenging.
method Metropolis-Adjusted Langevin Algorithm
result Samples can be directly used in Bayesian methods.