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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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316293124 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for Price Volatility

Paper prices geometric Asian options using a multifactor stochastic volatility model.

problem Pricing continuous geometric Asian options under multifactor stochastic volatility.
method Asymptotic expansion and perturbation techniques for both floating and fixed strike GAOs.
result Simplified pricing formulae for GAOs derived in a multifactor stochastic volatility framework.

A new model adds stochastic spot/volatility correlation to Heston model for better exotic pricing.

problem Improving exotic option pricing in foreign exchange markets.
method Developed a Double Heston model with stochastic spot/volatility correlation, an affine model.
result The new model increases prices of out-of-the-money knockout options and one touch options.

The paper addresses pricing interest rate derivatives in markets with volatility uncertainty.

problem Pricing interest rate derivatives under uncertainty about volatility.
method Modeling volatility uncertainty with G-Brownian motion and defining forward sublinear expectation.
result Developed robust pricing formulas for interest rate derivatives.

Study large deviations in fractional volatility models with non-Gaussian volatility.

problem Large deviations in fractional volatility models with non-Gaussian volatility.
method Established a small-noise large deviation principle for log-price.
result Logarithmic call price asymptotics for large strikes in a special case.

Efficient method for pricing European and American options using Markov switching stochastic volatility model.

problem Modeling and pricing options under varying volatility and mean-reversion speeds.
method Discrete-time Markov switching stochastic volatility with co-jump model, computationally efficient approach for European options, and conversion to European option pricing for American options.
result Efficient and accurate methods for pricing options, including variance swap analysis.

Approximates derivative pricing under fractional stochastic volatility.

problem Derivative pricing under fractional stochastic volatility model.
method Approximate expression derived from deterministic functions and fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.
result Numerical simulations show the feasibility and effect of long-range dependencies on derivative prices.

Paper generalizes pricing and hedging of volatility swaps in stochastic models.

problem Pricing and hedging of volatility swaps in stochastic volatility models.
method Generalizes zero vanna approximation to seasoned swaps, derives hedges using vanilla options and variance swaps.
result Pricing and hedging of volatility swaps are made practical and robust.

Hydropower reduces system electricity price and volatility, especially at extreme levels.

problem Impact of hydropower on system electricity price and volatility.
method Robust statistical analysis using multiple linear regression and quantile regression.
result Hydropower reduces system electricity price and volatility, especially at extreme levels.

The literature on volatility modelling and option pricing is a large and diverse area due to its importance and applications. This paper provides a review of the most significant volatility models and option pricing methods, beginning with constant volatility models up to stochastic volatility. We also survey less comm…

2009-04-08abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we study the price of Variable Annuity Guarantees, especially of Guaranteed Annuity Options (GAO) and Guaranteed Minimum Income Benefit (GMIB), and this in the settings of a derivative pricing model where the underlying spot (the fund) is locally governed by a geometric Brownian motion with local volatil…

2012-04-02abs ↗pdf ↗

New financial model with sandwiched volatility for option pricing.

problem Developing a new financial model for option pricing.
method Introducing a new model with stochastic volatility driven by a Gaussian Volterra process, ensuring the solution is sandwiched between two arbitrary Hölder continuous functions.
result Developed an algorithm for pricing options with discontinuous payoffs using Malliavin calculus.

The aim of this paper is to present a simple stochastic model that accounts for the effects of a long-memory in volatility on option pricing. The starting point is the stochastic Black-Scholes equation involving volatility with long-range dependence. We consider the option price as a sum of classical Black-Scholes pric…

2004-03-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Based on empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model is proposed with volatility driven by fractional noise. The model is used to obtain a risk-neutrality option pricing formula and an option pricing equation.

2004-04-28abs ↗pdf ↗

This research improves option pricing models using Heston, GARCH, and jump diffusion models.

problem Inaccurate option pricing due to Black-Scholes assumptions.
method Monte Carlo simulation, GARCH model, Heston model, Merton jump-diffusion model.
result Heston model produces estimates closer to market prices, Merton model performs well for volatile assets, GARCH model improves volatility forecasts.

The paper compares three option pricing models with varying volatility dynamics.

problem Comparing the accuracy and efficiency of different option pricing models with changing volatility.
method Used stochastic volatility models including Heston and MSV, and compared them with existing models on 15 index option datasets.
result Stochastic volatility models achieve comparable accuracy to existing models and are faster to calibrate.

We examine in this article the pricing of target volatility options in the lognormal fractional SABR model. A decomposition formula by Ito's calculus yields a theoretical replicating strategy for the target volatility option, assuming the accessibilities of all variance swaps and swaptions. The same formula also sugges…

2018-01-24abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we investigate general linear stochastic volatility models with correlated Brownian noises. In such models the asset price satisfies a linear SDE with coefficient of linearity being the volatility process. This class contains among others Black-Scholes model, a log-normal stochastic volatility model and H…

2009-09-25abs ↗pdf ↗

We apply the concepts of utility based pricing and hedging of derivatives in stochastic volatility markets and introduce a new class of "reciprocal affine" models for which the indifference price and optimal hedge portfolio for pure volatility claims are efficiently computable. We obtain a general formula for the marke…

2004-04-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces a new volatility model for natural gas markets and discusses swing option pricing.

problem Modeling price and storage dynamics in natural gas markets with path-dependent volatility.
method Developed a novel stochastic path-dependent volatility model and used deep learning for swing option pricing.
result Proposed a deep learning method for numerical approximations of swing option pricing.

Using classical Taylor series techniques, we develop a unified approach to pricing and implied volatility for European-style options in a general local-stochastic volatility setting. Our price approximations require only a normal CDF and our implied volatility approximations are fully explicit (ie, they require no spec…

2013-08-22abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper models cryptocurrency price and volatility with jumps and fractional volatility.

problem Empirical evidence shows jumps in cryptocurrency price and volatility.
method Fractional stochastic volatility model with jumps and short-term volatility dependency.
result Fractional stochastic volatility models outperform other models in pricing and hedging cryptocurrency options.

This paper uses Gaussian processes to forecast short-term stock price volatility.

problem Inaccurate short-term volatility forecasts for high-frequency trades.
method Combines numerical and probabilistic models, specifically Gaussian Processes (GPs), to correct and forecast stock price data.
result Effective short-term volatility forecasts for high-frequency trades using Gaussian Processes.

We will compare three types of prices, namely, rational (hedging) prices, geometric (growth rate) prices, and martingale (measure) prices. We will show that rational prices in the complete market theory are sometimes contrary to common sense. In the continuous-time case, we insist that the market model should differ be…

2008-03-11abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper models Gasoil options using Brent benchmarks, improving volatility estimation.

problem Inability to directly model illiquid Gasoil options market.
method Jointly models Brent and Gasoil futures prices with a correlated Bachelier model, estimating volatility spread.
result The proposed framework accurately maps Brent implied volatilities to Gasoil implied volatilities.

Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatility of an underlying price process may have correlations that decay slowly under certain market conditions. In this paper, the volatility is modeled as a stationary process with long-range correlation properties in order to capture such a situation, and we consider Europ…

2016-04-01abs ↗pdf ↗

New framework improves option pricing models by addressing volatility dynamics.

problem Challenges in standard option pricing models, especially in deriving implied volatility.
method Developed a new framework called Implied Remaining Variance (IRV), identifying minimal conditions for absence of arbitrage.
result Reformulated results of Schweizer and Wissel (2008b) and independently derived El Amrani, Jacquier and Martini (2021) results within IRV framework.

A new model captures irregularly spaced high-frequency prices and their volatility.

problem Modeling high-frequency prices with irregular spacing and market noise.
method Observation-driven model using Skellam distribution with time-varying volatility and smoothing splines.
result The model provides a good fit to IBM stock data and measures daily realized volatility.