Machine learning algorithms aim at minimizing the number of false decisions and increasing the accuracy of predictions. However, the high predictive power of advanced algorithms comes at the costs of transparency. State-of-the-art methods, such as neural networks and ensemble methods, often result in highly complex mod…
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48 results for “Prediction Transparency”
Enhances machine learning performance predictions with transparency.
problem Providing accurate and practical performance guarantees for machine learning.
method Natural extension of conformal prediction framework.
result Valid and well-calibrated predictive statements about future performance.
Paper uses deep learning to make predictions transparently.
problem Lack of transparency in DNN predictions.
method Extracts latent variables from trained DNNs for unified analysis.
result Improved prediction accuracy and transparency.
Paper tackles transparency and auditability of machine learning in credit scoring.
problem Missed potential in using modern machine learning for credit scoring due to lack of transparency.
method Develops a framework for making black box machine learning models transparent, auditable, and explainable.
result Comparable interpretability can be achieved with machine learning while maintaining predictive power.
New method learns interpretable concepts from user feedback for high-dimensional data.
problem Lack of interpretable concepts in machine learning models trained on high-dimensional tabular data.
method Proposes a method for learning transparent concept definitions from user labeling of concept features, not instances.
result Demonstrates more efficient learning of aligned concept definitions from user feedback compared to alternative transparent approaches.
TRUST improves tree models' accuracy while maintaining interpretability.
problem Piecewise-constant regression trees lack in predictive accuracy compared to black-box models.
method Combines Random Forest accuracy with interpretability of shallow trees and sparsity of linear models, using LLMs for explanations.
result TRUST outperforms other interpretable models in predictive accuracy and matches Random Forest's accuracy.
Hides the complexity of neural networks, making them more transparent.
problem Lack of transparency in Neural Networks hinders their adoption.
method Proposes Hide-and-Seek (HnS) framework for training interpretable neural networks.
result Interpretable neural networks can be trained without sacrificing predictive power.
Deep learning has demonstrated success in many applications; however, their use in healthcare has been limited due to the lack of transparency into how they generate predictions. Algorithms such as Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) when applied to Electronic Medical Records (EMR) introduce additional barriers to transpa…
Integrating causal machine learning with inherently interpretable models for decision support.
problem Providing causal insights and decision support through machine learning models.
method Proposing an approach that integrates causal machine learning with inherently interpretable models.
result The proposed approach achieves competitive performance in prediction and what-if analysis while offering transparency on the system structure, causal relationships among variables, and functional forms connecting them.
Develops transparent global models consistent with local explanations.
problem Creating globally interpretable models that align with local explanations from black-box models.
method Custom boolean features from sparse local contrastive explanations are used to train a globally transparent model.
result Custom transparent models have higher local consistency compared to other strategies.
Interpretable machine learning has become a strong competitor for traditional black-box models. However, the possible loss of the predictive performance for gaining interpretability is often inevitable, putting practitioners in a dilemma of choosing between high accuracy (black-box models) and interpretability (interpr…
Driven by an increasing need for model interpretability, interpretable models have become strong competitors for black-box models in many real applications. In this paper, we propose a novel type of model where interpretable models compete and collaborate with black-box models. We present the Model-Agnostic Linear Comp…
This work addresses the situation where a black-box model with good predictive performance is chosen over its interpretable competitors, and we show interpretability is still achievable in this case. Our solution is to find an interpretable substitute on a subset of data where the black-box model is overkill or nearly …
Proposes a method to improve deep active learning for NER tasks.
problem Weaknesses of existing deep active learning algorithms in practice.
method Estimates error decay curves of feature-defined subsets to improve sampling efficiency and robustness.
result Significantly outperforms diversification-based methods for black-box NER taggers and makes sampling more robust to labeling noise.
BPR matches NN accuracy in crop classification while being more transparent.
problem Lack of auditability and alignment with domain knowledge in neural networks for high-dimensional climate data.
method Bagged polynomial regression with random projections (BPR), averaging many low-degree polynomial models.
result BPR matches neural networks in accuracy but is more transparent.
Paper proposes hybrid approach for transparent credit scoring models.
problem Lack of transparency in machine learning models limits their use in regulated environments.
method Post-hoc interpretation of black-box models guides feature selection, followed by training glass-box models.
result Reduces feature usage from 106 to 10 while maintaining comparable performance.
Interactive explanations improve machine learning transparency.
problem Transparency of machine learning predictions for diverse stakeholders.
method Personalized counterfactual explanations and follow-up questions.
result Improved understanding of black-box systems through interactive explanations.
We investigate a long-debated question, which is how to create predictive models of recidivism that are sufficiently accurate, transparent, and interpretable to use for decision-making. This question is complicated as these models are used to support different decisions, from sentencing, to determining release on proba…
CONFINE enhances neural networks' interpretability without sacrificing accuracy.
problem Lack of interpretability in deep neural networks, especially in healthcare.
method CONFINE uses conformal prediction to generate prediction sets with robust uncertainty estimates.
result CONFINE achieves correct efficiency up to 3.3% higher than original accuracy.
Complex nonlinear models such as deep neural network (DNNs) have become an important tool for image classification, speech recognition, natural language processing, and many other fields of application. These models however lack transparency due to their complex nonlinear structure and to the complex data distributions…
New framework makes ML methods compliant with regulations.
problem Ensuring ML methods meet regulatory standards.
method InfoGram and Admissible Machine Learning framework.
result Redesigns ML methods for regulatory compliance.
Paper introduces a hybrid GPR model for more interpretable RUL prediction in aeroengine.
problem Challenges in interpreting and modeling uncertainty in RUL prediction models.
method Modified Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) with temporal feature extraction.
result Effective prediction of RUL intervals with transparent feature significance.
survex explains machine learning survival models, improving model transparency.
problem Lack of tools to explain machine learning survival models.
method Introduces survex R package using explainable AI techniques.
result Improves model reliability and detects biases in survival models.
Recent studies have shown that information disclosed on social network sites (such as Facebook) can be used to predict personal characteristics with surprisingly high accuracy. In this paper we examine a method to give online users transparency into why certain inferences are made about them by statistical models, and …
We provide a new approach to training neural models to exhibit transparency in a well-defined, functional manner. Our approach naturally operates over structured data and tailors the predictor, functionally, towards a chosen family of (local) witnesses. The estimation problem is setup as a co-operative game between an …
As artificial intelligence plays an increasingly important role in our society, there are ethical and moral obligations for both businesses and researchers to ensure that their machine learning models are designed, deployed, and maintained responsibly. These models need to be rigorously audited for fairness, robustness…
FinBERT-XRC model assesses financial report risk, offering transparent explanations.
problem Assessing post-event return volatility risk in financial reports.
method Deep-learning model FinBERT-XRC with explainability at word, sentence, and corpus levels.
result FinBERT-XRC outperforms state-of-the-art models in predictive accuracy.
This work analyzes how frequency components affect CNN predictions and robustness.
problem Lack of frequency-based explanation for CNNs leading to vulnerabilities.
method Frequency component analysis and quantification of their contribution to CNN predictions.
result Adversarial attacks exploit high-frequency features, while robustness comes from low-frequency associations.
We propose the development of a prediction market for forecasting prices for "toxic assets" to be transferred from Irish banks to the National Asset Management Agency (NAMA). Such a market allows market participants to assume a stake in a security whose value is tied to a future event. We propose that securities are cr…
Recent advances in deep learning have achieved impressive gains in classification accuracy on a variety of types of data, including images and text. Despite these gains, however, concerns have been raised about the calibration, robustness, and interpretability of these models. In this paper we propose a simple way to m…
KACDP model improves credit default prediction with enhanced interpretability.
problem Insufficient interpretability and limited performance in credit default prediction.
method Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs) for handling complex multi-dimensional data.
result KACDP model outperforms mainstream models in performance metrics.
New tools explain FRF model predictions in high-dimensional ECG data.
problem Lack of interpretability in Functional Random Forests (FRF) models.
method Introduces FPDPs, FPC Probability Heatmaps, and various FPC importance metrics.
result Enhances transparency of FRF models by revealing FPC contributions.
Study evaluates SHAP for credit card default model consistency.
problem Model transparency and fairness in credit card default prediction models.
method Evaluates SHAP stability in credit card default prediction models via a case study.
result SHAP consistency is related to variable importance level.
AICO tests feature significance in machine learning models.
problem Lack of transparency in machine learning models.
method AICO framework for feature significance testing.
result AICO provides statistical guarantees for feature importance.
Today, artificial intelligence systems driven by machine learning algorithms can be in a position to take important, and sometimes legally binding, decisions about our everyday lives. In many cases, however, these systems and their actions are neither regulated nor certified. To help counter the potential harm that suc…
Corporate transparency reduces investors' disposition effect by increasing confidence in holding profitable and losing stocks.
problem Irrational disposition effect in investors selling profitable assets too soon and holding onto losing assets for too long.
method Examined the impact of corporate transparency on individual investors' disposition effect.
result Increased corporate transparency significantly reduces the disposition effect.
Interpretable deep learning model for insurance pricing.
problem Developing transparent yet accurate insurance pricing models.
method Developed a novel deep learning model with interpretable components.
result The model outperforms traditional methods in prediction accuracy.
DW-KNN: A Transparent Local Classifier Integrating Distance Consistency and Neighbor Reliabilitycs.LG
DW-KNN improves KNN by integrating distance and neighbor reliability for better prediction accuracy.
problem Standard KNN assumes all neighbors are equally reliable, leading to unreliable predictions in heterogeneous feature spaces.
method DW-KNN integrates exponential distance with neighbor validity, providing instance-level interpretability and reducing hyperparameter sensitivity.
result DW-KNN achieves 0.8988 average accuracy, ranks 2nd among six methods, and has the lowest cross-validation variance.
Bringing transparency to black-box decision making systems (DMS) has been a topic of increasing research interest in recent years. Traditional active and passive approaches to make these systems transparent are often limited by scalability and/or feasibility issues. In this paper, we propose a new notion of black-box D…
E2Tree explains random forest models in regression tasks.
problem Lack of transparency in random forest models.
method E2Tree extends random forest to regression by explaining model predictions through graphical representation and dissimilarity measures.
result E2Tree provides a transparent explanation of random forest models in regression tasks.
ABOUT ML aims to improve transparency in ML lifecycle documentation.
problem Lack of standard documentation in machine learning lifecycle.
method Initiative to operationalize ML transparency and standardize documentation.
result Helps address gaps in ML lifecycle documentation.
Let be a closed orientable surface of negative curvature. A connection is said to be transparent if its parallel transport along closed geodesics is the identity. We describe all transparent SU(2)-connections and we show that they can be built up from suitable Bäcklund transformations.
Defines explainability as reasoning under background knowledge.
problem Lack of agreed definitions in explainable AI.
method Reviews philosophical and social foundations, translates to tech realm.
result Defines explainability as logical reasoning under background knowledge.
Extends local attributions to Bayesian Neural Networks for improved explanations.
problem Lack of explanations for Bayesian Neural Networks' predictions.
method Extend local attributions to a probabilistic explanation distribution of BNNs.
result Enriches standard explanations with uncertainty information and visualizes explanation stability.
The paper shows how uncertainty quantification improves counterfactual explainability in AI.
problem Lack of foundational concepts in transparency research.
method Integrates uncertainty quantification into counterfactual explainability.
result Demonstrates competitive performance of an uncertainty-based explainer.
A new model answers questions about medical images.
problem Lack of transparency in deep learning models for medical imaging.
method A question-centric model that queries image models directly.
result The model achieves equal or higher accuracy than existing methods.
A new framework explains GNN predictions by simulating graph structure and feature changes.
problem Lack of transparency in GNN predictions hinders understanding.
method TraP2 framework using a three-layer architecture: Translation, Perturbation, and Paraphrase layers.
result TraP2 achieves 10.2% higher explanation accuracy than state-of-the-art methods.
Study Type skein modules using webs and construct transparent elements.
problem Understanding Type skein modules and constructing transparent elements.
method Diagrammatic approach using multivariable Chebyshev polynomials and explicit braiding formulas.
result Construction of transparent elements in the skein module at roots of unity.