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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Power Generation

Photovoltaic systems have been widely deployed in recent times to meet the increased electricity demand as an environmental-friendly energy source. The major challenge for integrating photovoltaic systems in power systems is the unpredictability of the solar power generated. In this paper, we analyze the impact of havi…

2018-02-12abs ↗pdf ↗

We classify groups generated by powers of 2 Dehn twists which are 1) free or 2) have no ``unexpected'' reducible elements. We give some sufficient conditions in the case of groups generated by powers of more than two twists.

1998-09-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved Bayesian inference using power priors with historical data.

problem Improving Bayesian inference with historical data.
method Generalized power priors that adapt to the α\alpha parameter of Amari's α\alpha-divergence.
result Improved performance through appropriate choices of the α\alpha parameter.

Driven by climatic processes, wind power generation is inherently variable. Long-term simulated wind power time series are therefore an essential component for understanding the temporal availability of wind power and its integration into future renewable energy systems. In the recent past, mainly power curve based mod…

2019-12-09abs ↗pdf ↗

In the first part of this paper we prove that the mapping class subgroups generated by the DD-th powers of Dehn twists (with D2D\geq 2) along a sparse collection of simple closed curves on an orientable surface are right angled Artin groups. The second part is devoted to power quotients, i.e. quotients by the normal s…

2009-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗

New method minimizes robust density power-based divergences for general parametric densities.

problem Computational complexity of minimizing DPD for general parametric densities.
method Stochastic approach to minimize DPD for general parametric density models.
result Proposed method can be applied to minimize other density power-based γ-divergences.

Paper introduces normalizing flows for accurate probabilistic energy forecasting.

problem Uncertainty in renewable energy forecasting for power systems.
method Normalizing flows for direct learning of multivariate stochastic distributions.
result Normalizing flows outperform other deep learning models in probabilistic forecasting.

Study shows limits of certain normalizing flows in higher dimensions.

problem Understanding the representation power of normalizing flows in different dimensions.
method Rigorously established bounds on expressive power of basic normalizing flows.
result Limited representation power in higher dimensions, especially with moderate depth.

Power system studies require the topological structures of real-world power networks; however, such data is confidential due to important security concerns. Thus, power grid synthesis (PGS), i.e., creating realistic power grids that imitate actual power networks, has gained significant attention. In this letter, we cas…

2019-01-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper extends prediction-powered inference using conformal prediction for robust and valid imputation.

problem Safe use of black-box ML models for imputing missing data with strong guarantees.
method Connecting prediction-powered inference with conformal prediction for valid and additional guarantees.
result First general prediction-powered procedure for e-values operating off-line.

This work analyzes neural scaling laws using power-law data spectra and derives analytical expressions for generalization error.

problem Understanding how neural network performance scales with key factors like data size and model complexity.
method Statistical mechanics techniques applied to one-pass stochastic gradient descent in a student-teacher framework.
result Derivation of analytical expressions for generalization error under power-law data spectra and identification of conditions for power-law scaling.

The abstract discusses parallels between Galois theory and Stone-Weierstrass theorem in various fields.

problem Connecting distinguishing power and expressive power in different fields.
method Elementary theorem connecting distinguishing power and expressive power.
result Foundational principle in linguistics linking distinguishing power and expressive power.

PhI-GPR improves power grid state estimation and forecasting.

problem Accurate state estimation and forecasting in power grids with sparse measurements.
method Physics-informed Gaussian process regression (PhI-GPR) for stochastic differential equations.
result PhI-GPR provides more accurate forecasts and estimates of power grid states compared to ARIMA.

Auto-regressive conditionally heteroskedastic (ARCH) family models are still used, by practitioners in business and economic policy making, as a conditional volatility forecasting models. Furthermore ARCH models still are attracting an interest of the researchers. In this contribution we consider the well known GARCH(1…

2014-12-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Signed graphs encode positive (attractive) and negative (repulsive) relations between nodes. We extend spectral clustering to signed graphs via the one-parameter family of Signed Power Mean Laplacians, defined as the matrix power mean of normalized standard and signless Laplacians of positive and negative edges. We pro…

2019-05-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes power systems with energy storage under uncertainty using scenario-based method.

problem Optimizing power systems with energy storage, intermittent renewable generation, and uncontrollable loads under uncertainty.
method Developed a novel solution method based on scenario optimization and strategic sampling to solve the chance-constrained optimal power system operation problem.
result The strategic sampling method significantly improves computational efficiency and data-driven convex approximation of power flow.

Paper proposes a method for weather-informed probabilistic forecasting and scenario generation in power systems.

problem Challenges of integrating renewable energy sources into power grids due to their stochasticity and uncertainty.
method Combines probabilistic forecasting and Gaussian copula for day-ahead prediction and scenario generation of load, wind, and solar power.
result Demonstrates superior performance of the proposed weather-informed Temporal Fusion Transformer (WI-TFT) model.

We derive the implied volatility estimation formula in European power call options pricing, where the payoff functions are in the form of V=(STαK)+V=(S^α_T-K)^{+} and V=(STαKα)+V=(S^α_T-K^α)^{+} (α>0α>0)respectively. Using quadratic Taylor approximations, We develop the computing formula of implied volatility in European power call op…

2012-03-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Neural Power Unit (NPU) learns arbitrary power functions on real numbers.

problem Neural Networks struggle with generalizing beyond seen data and arithmetic operations.
method Introduces Neural Power Unit (NPU) that operates on real numbers and learns arbitrary power functions.
result NPU outperforms competitors in accuracy and sparsity on arithmetic datasets and discovers governing equations from data.

A robust model handles up to 25% of outliers in time-series data for power flow calculations.

problem Handling outliers in time-series data for accurate power flow calculations.
method Robust data-driven process model with Schweppe-type generalized maximum likelihood estimator and projection statistics for outlier weighting.
result The model can handle up to 25% of outliers in the training data set.

Reshef & Reshef recently published a paper in which they present a method called the Maximal Information Coefficient (MIC) that can detect all forms of statistical dependence between pairs of variables as sample size goes to infinity. While this method has been praised by some, it has also been criticized for its lack …

2013-08-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Non-availability of reliable and sustainable electric power is a major problem in the developing world. Renewable energy sources like solar are not very lucrative in the current stage due to various uncertainties like weather, storage, land use among others. There also exists various other issues like mis-commitment of…

2017-11-08abs ↗pdf ↗