In this work, we consider the problem of estimating a behaviour policy for use in Off-Policy Policy Evaluation (OPE) when the true behaviour policy is unknown. Via a series of empirical studies, we demonstrate how accurate OPE is strongly dependent on the calibration of estimated behaviour policy models: how precisely …
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48 results for “Policy Modeling”
New method improves policies by combining Markov and non-Markov strategies.
problem Improving policies in reinforcement learning.
method Geometric Policy Composition (GPI) using a geometric horizon model (GHM).
result GPI can improve non-Markov policies by composing GHMs of base Markov policies.
Introduces GAMPS for better model-based policy learning.
problem Misspecified model classes lead to poor policy estimates.
method Exploits current policy to learn approximate transition model, focusing on relevant parts of the environment.
result Empirically validated GAMPS on benchmark domains, demonstrating improved properties.
Adapts model-based advice to stabilize black-box policies for nonlinear control.
problem Stabilizing machine-learned policies for nonlinear control with limited model information.
method Proposes an adaptive -confident policy to combine black-box and model-based advice.
result Proves the stability of the adaptive -confident policy and its competitive ratio.
Recently, a novel class of Approximate Policy Iteration (API) algorithms have demonstrated impressive practical performance (e.g., ExIt from [2], AlphaGo-Zero from [27]). This new family of algorithms maintains, and alternately optimizes, two policies: a fast, reactive policy (e.g., a deep neural network) deployed at t…
CF-GPS learns policies from logged data by considering counterfactual outcomes.
problem Learning policies from limited real experience in complex environments.
method Assumes logged real experience and models counterfactual outcomes. Uses structural causal models for evaluation.
result Improves policy evaluation and search results on a grid-world task.
Paper explores models for summarizing AI agent policies.
problem Improving human understanding of AI agent behavior.
method Imitation learning-based approach to policy summarization.
result Matching summary extraction model to user model improves performance.
New method learns policies without limiting to Gaussian distributions.
problem Limitations of Gaussian parameterization in policy learning.
method Advantage weighted quantile regression for implicit policy modeling.
result Comparable or superior performance on MuJoCo benchmarks.
The study compares reinforcement learning models and finds model-based approaches superior for complex MDPs.
problem Complexity of optimal Q-functions and policies in MDPs exceeds dynamics, hindering model-free methods.
method Theoretical analysis and empirical testing of neural network expressivity for policies, Q-functions, and dynamics.
result Model-based planning yields better policies for complex MDPs, improving performance on MuJoCo tasks.
A new estimator for evaluating policies in unknown environments.
problem Evaluating policies when both logging policy and value function are unknown.
method Doubly-Robust (DR) off-policy evaluation (OPE) estimator, DRUnknown, that estimates both the logging policy and value function.
result DRUnknown achieves the smallest asymptotic variance and is optimal when both models are correctly specified.
Proposes a Riemannian optimization for policy improvement in MDPs.
problem Optimizing policy functions in Markov decision processes (MDPs).
method Riemannian proximal optimization algorithm with Gaussian mixture model (GMM).
result Guaranteed convergence and efficacy demonstrated in preliminary experiments.
POTEC tackles off-policy learning in large action spaces, improving effectiveness.
problem Existing OPL methods fail in large discrete action spaces due to bias or variance issues.
method Two-stage algorithm: cluster selection via policy-based approach, action selection via regression-based approach.
result POTEC provides substantial improvements in off-policy learning effectiveness, especially in large and structured action spaces.
Proposes a new framework to optimize policies while accounting for model uncertainty.
problem Model-based reinforcement learning's vulnerability to model bias and inefficiency.
method Uncertainty-aware model-based policy optimization framework.
result Significantly lower sample complexity and competitive asymptotic performance.
MoMA improves model-based RL by using unrestricted policy classes.
problem Limited sample efficiency and generalizability in model-based offline RL.
method Model-based mirror ascent algorithm with general function approximations.
result Theoretical guarantees and practical implementation of MoMA.
The paper analyzes the reward improvement of aligned policies in large language models.
problem Optimizing policies in large language models while staying close to a reference policy.
method Information-theoretic analysis and reduction to exponential order statistics.
result Information-theoretic upper bounds on reward improvement are derived.
CPR models complex decision processes by breaking them into context-specific policies, improving interpretability and accuracy.
problem Interpreting dynamic human decision-making processes in medical contexts.
method Develops Contextualized Policy Recovery (CPR) framework for multi-task learning, modeling each context-specific policy as a linear map.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance in predicting medical decisions, closing the gap between interpretable and black-box methods.
ATT-MADDPG models teammates' policies in RL for cooperative systems.
problem Modeling and exploiting changing policies of teammates in cooperative multi-agent systems.
method Extends DDPG with a centralized critic and attention mechanism to model dynamic joint policies.
result ATT-MADDPG outperforms state-of-the-art RL methods and achieves better scalability and robustness.
Develops a new method for optimizing policies in hierarchical models.
problem Optimizing complex policies in hierarchical models.
method Applies second-order methods in the space of state-action paths.
result The natural path gradient method can be computed exactly and reflects state-space hierarchy.
New models analyze how ECB's unconventional policies affect stock market volatility.
problem Analyzing the impact of ECB's unconventional policies on stock market volatility.
method Developed MEM with Asymmetry and Policy effects (MAP) models to separate base volatility from policy effects.
result Significant improvement in forecasting power after Expanded Asset Purchase Programme implementation.
Policy Prediction Network improves continuous control problems with model-free and model-based learning.
problem Improving sample complexity and performance in continuous control problems.
method Integrates model-free and model-based reinforcement learning, introduces implicit model-based learning for continuous action space.
result First to introduce implicit model-based learning to Policy Gradient algorithms for continuous action space.
New method optimizes policies without assuming known link functions between preferences and rewards.
problem Policy alignment with unknown and unrestricted link functions.
method Formulates an -divergence-constrained reward maximization problem, learning policies directly.
result Induces a semiparametric single-index binary choice model for policy alignment.
Diffusion-QL uses diffusion models to improve offline RL performance.
problem Offline RL struggles with function approximation errors on out-of-distribution actions.
method Diffusion-QL represents the policy as a conditional diffusion model and optimizes action-values.
result Diffusion-QL achieves state-of-the-art performance on D4RL benchmark tasks.
Validates policies using past observational data with guarantees about out-of-sample performance.
problem Evaluating decision policies using past data observed under a different policy.
method Sample-splitting method to draw inferences about the entire loss distribution with finite-sample coverage guarantees.
result Valid inferences about out-of-sample loss with finite-sample coverage guarantees, accounting for model misspecifications.
The paper tackles robust reinforcement learning with performance guarantees.
problem Finding a robust policy for RMDP with state space uncertainties.
method Proposes RLSPI algorithm for learning optimal robust policy with performance bounds.
result Demonstrates the performance of RLSPI on standard benchmark problems.
This work extends ME-RL using diffusion models to sample optimal policies.
problem Sampling from the optimal policy trajectory distribution in ME-RL.
method Introducing Diffusion-Augmented Markov Decision Processes (DA-MDPs) to minimize reverse KL divergence.
result DA-MDPs enable seamless integration into various ME-RL methods and outperform baselines.
Study model selection in batch policy optimization with three error sources.
problem Learn a policy competitive with the best model class in batch policy optimization.
method Formalized in contextual bandit setting with linear model classes, addressing approximation error, statistical complexity, and dataset shift.
result No algorithm can optimally trade-off all three error sources, but relaxing any one enables near-oracle inequalities for the others.
Real-time policy distillation speeds up and improves reinforcement learning.
problem Slow and inefficient policy distillation in reinforcement learning.
method Simultaneous training and distillation of a teacher and student model.
result Significantly reduced distillation time and improved small model performance.
Study evaluates new models using human feedback from another model.
problem Evaluate a new model using human feedback collected for another model.
method Formalize problem, propose model-based and model-free estimators, analyze unbiasedness, and empirically evaluate.
result Proposed estimators can predict absolute values, rank, and optimize evaluated policies.
Agent learns policies from world models in simulated environments.
problem Training reinforcement learning agents in diverse environments.
method Generative neural network models environments, compact policies evolved from features.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance across various environments.
Study off-policy evaluation in partially observable environments, reducing bias and errors.
problem Bias and large errors in off-policy evaluation for partially observable environments.
method Defined and solved off-policy evaluation for POMDPs, introduced Decoupled POMDP model.
result Demonstrated and compared off-policy evaluation methods, showing benefits of new approach.
End-to-end policy learning method improves CATE estimation.
problem Learning optimal treatment policies from partially observed data.
method Modified causal forest for policy learning.
result Maximizing policy value is equivalent to minimizing CATE.
Reduces policy space complexity for reinforcement learning.
problem Efficiency in exploring vast policy spaces in reinforcement learning.
method Uses Rényi divergence and norm to determine sample size for accurate policy approximation.
result Established error bounds for sample size requirements in model-based and model-free settings.
Accelerates policy optimization in RL with optimistic and adaptive updates.
problem Improving policy optimization methods in reinforcement learning.
method Integrates foresight into policy improvement step via optimistic and adaptive updates.
result Designs an optimistic policy gradient algorithm, adaptive via meta-gradient learning.
New bounds assess policy evaluation under unobserved confounders, showing model-based methods are more effective.
problem Policy evaluation under unobserved confounders in uncertain causal environments.
method Developed worst-case bounds for sensitivity to unobserved confounders, demonstrating model-based methods are more effective.
result Model-based approaches with robust MDPs provide sharper lower bounds for policy evaluation.
ARM policy gradient reduces variance for binary actions.
problem High variance in policy gradients for binary actions.
method Augment-Reinforce-Merge (ARM) policy gradient estimator.
result ARM estimator achieves significant variance reduction and faster convergence.
Near-Optimal Provable Uniform Convergence in Offline Policy Evaluation for Reinforcement Learningcs.LG
Paper addresses offline policy evaluation in RL, achieving near-optimal bounds for various policy classes.
problem Evaluate all policies in a class simultaneously for offline RL.
method Uniform convergence in OPE for various policy classes, achieving optimal episode complexity.
result Achieves optimal episode complexity of O(H^3/d_mε^2) for identifying ε-optimal policies.
Study optimal treatment assignment policies under strategic agent responses.
problem Learning optimal treatment policies with strategic agents complicates estimation.
method Dynamic model with threshold convergence to mean-field equilibrium, consistent estimator for policy gradient.
result Threshold for treatment assignment converges to mean-field equilibrium threshold under large but finite number of agents.
Paper proposes a policy-search algorithm to learn entropy-maximizing exploration policies in reward-free environments.
problem Reward-free learning in high-dimensional, continuous-control domains.
method Maximum Entropy POLicy optimization (MEPOL) algorithm that maximizes a non-parametric state entropy estimate.
result MEPOL learns a maximum-entropy exploration policy that facilitates learning various reward-based tasks.
ZDPG learns model-free policies without critics, improving on PG.
problem Model-free policy learning in complex dynamic problems.
method Approximates policy-reward gradients via two-point stochastic evaluations of the Q-function.
result Restores true model-free policy learning without critics, with improved stability and efficiency.
MB-MPO meta-learns a policy to adapt quickly to model ensembles, improving robustness and performance.
problem Challenges in learning accurate dynamics models for model-based reinforcement learning.
method Model-Based Meta-Policy-Optimization (MB-MPO) using an ensemble of learned dynamic models.
result MB-MPO achieves asymptotic performance similar to model-free methods with less experience and robustness to model imperfections.
The goal of reinforcement learning (RL) is to let an agent learn an optimal control policy in an unknown environment so that future expected rewards are maximized. The model-free RL approach directly learns the policy based on data samples. Although using many samples tends to improve the accuracy of policy learning, c…
Procedure for evaluating RL policies in risky settings.
problem Identifying risky episodes in RL policy applications.
method Gumbel-Max SCMs for generating counterfactual trajectories.
result Identifies episodes with dramatic counterfactual reward differences.
On Policy Gradientscs.LG
Policy gradient aims to maximize expected return using gradient ascent.
problem Finding a policy that maximizes expected return in a given class of policies.
method Gradient ascent applied to a differentiable model of the policy, estimating the gradient of expected return.
result Policy gradient methods require on-policy data for gradient estimation, limiting sample efficiency.
wd1 improves reasoning in dLLMs by optimizing policies without policy ratios.
problem Improving reasoning in diffusion-based large language models through RL.
method wd1: ratio-free policy optimization using weighted log-likelihood.
result wd1 outperforms diffusion-based GRPO while requiring lower computational cost.
We study the problem of off-policy policy evaluation (OPPE) in RL. In contrast to prior work, we consider how to estimate both the individual policy value and average policy value accurately. We draw inspiration from recent work in causal reasoning, and propose a new finite sample generalization error bound for value e…
Study evaluates task selection policies for multitask learning.
problem How to allocate training resources among multiple tasks.
method Empirical evaluation of task selection policies in synthetic and real-world settings.
result Improved model performance through counterfactual estimation.
Efficient policy learning from observational data using weighted classification reductions.
problem Efficient policy evaluation does not necessarily lead to efficient estimation of policy parameters.
method Proposed an estimation approach based on generalized method of moments, efficient for policy parameters.
result Demonstrated empirical efficiency and regret benefits of a proposed method.
Bayesian regularization improves policy performance in noisy MDPs.
problem Suboptimal policies from estimated model parameters.
method Bayesian regularization of MDP objective function with prior information.
result Regularized policies show better robustness against model noise.