A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
The paper defines and analyzes Poissonian occupation times for negative Lévy processes.
New examples of variational bivectors found that are not Poissonian.
Existence of Q-processes for Brownian motion on hyperbolic spaces with Poissonian potentials shown.
Proposes a new model to accurately describe random series of events.
We propose the point process model as the Poissonian-like stochastic sequence with slowly diffusing mean rate and adjust the parameters of the model to the empirical data of trading activity for 26 stocks traded on NYSE. The proposed scaled stochastic differential equation provides the universal description of the trad…
Study of bandit problem with Poisson decision times and Lévy processes.
Research examines correlations of complex logarithms of lattice points, showing level repulsion and Poissonian behavior.
Study optimizes dividend strategies for risk processes with Lévy jumps.
The study examines correlations of logarithms of integers at different scalings.
We introduce a deterministic dealer model which implements most of the empirical laws, such as fat tails in the price change distributions, long term memory of volatility and non-Poissonian intervals. We also clarify the causality between microscopic dealers' dynamics and macroscopic market's empirical laws.
Abstract result on correlations of pairs in exponentially growing discrete subsets.
We study a linear price impact model including other liquidity takers, whose flow of orders either follows a Poisson or a Hawkes process. The optimal execution problem is solved explicitly in this context, and the closed-formula optimal strategy describes in particular how one should react to the orders of other trader…
Motivated by the desire to bridge the gap between the microscopic description of price formation (agent-based modeling) and the stochastic differential equations approach used classically to describe price evolution at macroscopic time scales, we present a mathematical study of the order book as a multidimensional cont…
Optimizes hybrid dividend strategies in dual models with periodic and continuous payments.
Factor analysis improves PET image interpretation by considering non-standard noise distributions.
Order cancellation process plays a crucial role in the dynamics of price formation in order-driven stock markets and is important in the construction and validation of computational finance models. Based on the order flow data of 18 liquid stocks traded on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in 2003, we investigate the empiric…
The usual development of the continuous-time random walk (CTRW) proceeds by assuming that the present is one of the jumping times. Under this restrictive assumption integral equations for the propagator and mean escape times have been derived. We generalize these results to the case when the present is an arbitrary tim…
We study the activity, i.e., the number of transactions per unit time, of financial markets. Using the diffusion entropy technique we show that the autocorrelation of the activity is caused by the presence of peaks whose time distances are distributed following an asymptotic power law which ultimately recovers the Pois…
We present a simple microstructure model of financial returns that combines (i) the well-known ARFIMA process applied to tick-by-tick returns, (ii) the bid-ask bounce effect, (iii) the fat tail structure of the distribution of returns and (iv) the non-Poissonian statistics of inter-trade intervals. This model allows us…
This work provides a semi-analytic approximation method for decoupled forwardbackward SDEs (FBSDEs) with jumps. In particular, we construct an asymptotic expansion method for FBSDEs driven by the random Poisson measures with σ-finite compensators as well as the standard Brownian motions around the small-variance limit …
This paper consists of two parts. The first part is devoted to empirical analysis of consolidated order book (COB) for the index RTS futures. In the second part we consider Poissonian multi--agent model of the COB. By varying parameters of different groups of agents submitting orders to the book we are able to model va…
We present an empirical study of the subordination hypothesis for a stochastic time series of a stock price. The fluctuating rate of trading is identified with the stochastic variance of the stock price, as in the continuous-time random walk (CTRW) framework. The probability distribution of the stock price changes (log…
We explore the possibilities of importance sampling in the Monte Carlo pricing of a structured credit derivative referred to as Collateralized Debt Obligation (CDO). Modeling a CDO contract is challenging, since it depends on a pool of (typically about 100) assets, Monte Carlo simulations are often the only feasible ap…
In this paper we build a link between the Teichmuller theory of hyperbolic Riemann surfaces and isomonodromic deformations of linear systems whose monodromy group is the Fuchsian group associated to the given hyperbolic Riemann surface by the Poincare' uniformization. In the case of a one-sheeted hyperboloid with n orb…
Study on signal recovery from low-rank matrix with sparse noise.
Social, technological and economic time series are divided by events which are usually assumed to be random albeit with some hierarchical structure. It is well known that the interevent statistics observed in these contexts differs from the Poissonian profile by being long-tailed distributed with resting and active per…
New method improves sampling for weakly log-concave posteriors.
Introduces a new class of hybrid processes combining Markov chains and Hawkes processes.
This chapter is an attempt to present a mathematical theory of compound fractional Poisson processes. The chapter begins with the characterization of a well-known Lévy process: The compound Poisson process. The semi-Markov extension of the compound Poisson process naturally leads to the compound fractional Poisson proc…
A deep Neyman-Scott process uses Poisson processes for efficient inference in complex point processes.
The study examines Hawkes processes and their long-term behavior.
Paper discovers process models from online event streams.
Elliptical processes generalize Gaussian and Student-t models with fat tails and computational efficiency.
Directly proves CRP from stick-breaking process without measure theory.
We show that the stick-breaking construction of the beta process due to Paisley, et al. (2010) can be obtained from the characterization of the beta process as a Poisson process. Specifically, we show that the mean measure of the underlying Poisson process is equal to that of the beta process. We use this underlying re…
SNP extends Neural Processes to handle temporal dependencies in sequences.
We investigate the Student-t process as an alternative to the Gaussian process as a nonparametric prior over functions. We derive closed form expressions for the marginal likelihood and predictive distribution of a Student-t process, by integrating away an inverse Wishart process prior over the covariance kernel of a G…
Efficient methods for Lévy models using SINH-regular processes.
GRM uses graph neural networks to score process activity relevance.
Researchers study the geometric properties of a specific type of stable processes.
This study bridges discrete and continuous state spaces using the Ehrenfest process and diffusion models.
Paper proposes a new method for online process discovery.
Student's-T processes improve on Gaussian processes by handling outliers and variance more flexibly.
The fractional Poisson process (FPP) is a counting process with independent and identically distributed inter-event times following the Mittag-Leffler distribution. This process is very useful in several fields of applied and theoretical physics including models for anomalous diffusion. Contrary to the well-known Poiss…
Proposes a new BSP-Tree process for flexible space partition modeling.
Elliptical processes extend Gaussian models with heavier tails.
Introduces GIMP processes for multivariate equity derivatives.
Recurrent neural networks improve process instance classification.