A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
This paper analyzes optimal stopping regions for American options with Poisson exercise opportunities.
Using a fast numerical technique, we investigate a large database of investor suboptimal non-exercise of short maturity American call options on dividend-paying stocks listed on the Dow Jones. The correct modelling of the discrete dividend is essential for a correct calculation of the early exercise boundary as confirm…
Intro to Poisson geometry, focusing on basics and recent tools.
What are East Africa's industrial opportunities? In this article we explore this question by using the Product Space to study the productive structure of five south-east African countries: Kenya, Mozambique, Rwanda, Tanzania and Zambia. The Product Space is a network connecting products that tend to be exported by the …
Continuous-time optimal stopping solved with deep reinforcement learning
This paper studies a class of optimal multiple stopping problems driven by Lévy processes. Our model allows for a negative effective discount rate, which arises in a number of financial applications, including stock loans and real options, where the strike price can potentially grow at a higher rate than the original d…
Study of bandit problem with Poisson decision times and Lévy processes.
Deep Q-Learning models optimal exercise strategies for option-type products.
We investigate a class of optimal stopping problems arising in, for example, studies considering the timing of an irreversible investment when the underlying follows a skew Brownian motion. Our results indicate that the local directional predictability modeled by the presence of a skew point for the underlying has a no…
Game contingent claims (GCCs) generalize American contingent claims by allowing the writer to recall the option as long as it is not exercised, at the price of paying some penalty. In incomplete markets, an appealing approach is to analyze GCCs like their European and American counterparts by solving option holder's an…
Social media based digital epidemiology has the potential to support faster response and deeper understanding of public health related threats. This study proposes a new framework to analyze unstructured health related textual data via Twitter users' post (tweets) to characterize the negative health sentiments and non-…
New method uses CNN to solve optimal stopping problem in financial options.
We introduce a general decision tree framework to value an option to invest/divest in a project, focusing on the model risk inherent in the assumptions made by standard real option valuation methods. We examine how real option values depend on the dynamics of project value and investment costs, the frequency of exercis…
In this paper we study perpetual American call and put options in an exponential Lévy model. We consider a negative effective discount rate which arises in a number of financial applications including stock loans and real options, where the strike price can potentially grow at a higher rate than the original discount f…
Pricing Bermudan swaptions with few exercise dates using analytic methods.
Unified framework for fair pricing in long-term insurance products.
We present a novel method for the numerical pricing of American options based on Monte Carlo simulation and the optimization of exercise strategies. Previous solutions to this problem either explicitly or implicitly determine so-called optimal exercise regions, which consist of points in time and space at which a given…
Pen-and-paper exercises cover various machine learning topics.
This study proposes an exercise fatigue detection model based on real-time clinical data which includes time domain analysis, frequency domain analysis, detrended fluctuation analysis, approximate entropy, and sample entropy. Furthermore, this study proposed a feature extraction method which is combined with an analyti…
We present three models of stock price with time-dependent interest rate, dividend yield, and volatility, respectively, that allow for explicit forms of the optimal exercise boundary of the finite maturity American put option. The optimal exercise boundary satisfies the nonlinear integral equation of Volterra type. We …
Paper examines floating exercise boundaries for American options in time-inhomogeneous models.
XVA is a material component of a trade valuation and hence it must impact the decision to exercise options within a given netting set. This is true for both unsecured trades and secured / cleared trades where KVA and MVA play a material role even if CVA and FVA do not. However, this effect has frequently been ignored i…
American options in a multi-asset market model with proportional transaction costs are studied in the case when the holder of an option is able to exercise it gradually at a so-called mixed (randomised) stopping time. The introduction of gradual exercise leads to tighter bounds on the option price when compared to the …
Game (Israeli) options in a multi-asset market model with proportional transaction costs are studied in the case when the buyer is allowed to exercise the option and the seller has the right to cancel the option gradually at a mixed (or randomised) stopping time, rather than instantly at an ordinary stopping time. Allo…
Characterizes measures preserving compound mixed renewal process properties.
Quadratic hedging of option payoffs generates the variance optimal martingale measure. When an option features an exercise policy and its cash flows are hedged according to this approach, it may be tempting to optimize such a policy under this measure. Because the variance optimal martingale measure may not be an equiv…
New pricing methods for -quantile and early-exercise options using Spitzer identities.
This paper analyzes model risk in American put options using Heston volatility model.
Paper defines when early exercise of American options is optimal under negative rates.
The paper presents a method for personalized exercise recommendations that improves learner skill gain.
The assessment of energy expenditure in real life is of great importance for monitoring the current physical state of people, especially in work, sport, elderly care, health care, and everyday life even. This work reports about application of some machine learning methods (linear regression, linear discriminant analysi…
Two neural network methods solve American-style option pricing and hedging.
MEx: Multi-modal Exercises Dataset is a multi-sensor, multi-modal dataset, implemented to benchmark Human Activity Recognition(HAR) and Multi-modal Fusion algorithms. Collection of this dataset was inspired by the need for recognising and evaluating quality of exercise performance to support patients with Musculoskelet…
Cognitive diagnosis is a fundamental issue in intelligent education, which aims to discover the proficiency level of students on specific knowledge concepts. Existing approaches usually mine linear interactions of student exercising process by manual-designed function (e.g., logistic function), which is not sufficient …
Researchers find the optimal exercise time for American options using a specific type of diffusion process.
We consider a modification of the dividend maximization problem from ruin theory. Based on a classical risk process we maximize the difference of expected cumulated discounted dividends and total expected discounted additional funding (subject to some proportional transaction costs). For modelling dividends we use the …
Proposes a reverse stress testing framework for dynamic models.
RKT model improves knowledge tracing by considering exercise relations and student forget behavior.
Social media provide a platform for users to express their opinions and share information. Understanding public health opinions on social media, such as Twitter, offers a unique approach to characterizing common health issues such as diabetes, diet, exercise, and obesity (DDEO), however, collecting and analyzing a larg…
Three physics-constrained regression exercises for image velocimetry and turbulence modeling.
The purpose of this paper is to construct the early exercise boundary for a class of nonlinear Black--Scholes equations with a nonlinear volatility depending on the option price. We review a method how to transform the problem into a solution of a time depending nonlinear parabolic equation defined on a fixed domain. R…
New method uses Hermite polynomials for American option valuation.
In this paper we generalize and analyze the model for pricing American-style Asian options due to (Hansen and Jorgensen 2000) by including a continuous dividend rate and a general method of averaging of the floating strike. We focus on the qualitative and quantitative analysis of the early exercise boundary. The fi…
Develops a real-time exercise recommendation system using deep learning.
We analyse the optimal exercise of an executive stock option (ESO) written on a stock whose drift parameter falls to a lower value at a change point, an exponentially distributed random time independent of the Brownian motion driving the stock. Two agents, who do not trade the stock, have differing information on the c…
This article gives solutions to the exercises in Bestvina and Feighn's paper on Sela's work on limit groups. We prove that all constructible limit groups are limit groups and give an account of the shortening argument of Rips and Sela.
This paper examines the valuation of American capped call options with two-level caps. The structure of the immediate exercise region is significantly more complex than in the classical case with constant cap. When the cap grows over time, making extensive use of probabilistic arguments and local time, we show that the…
Researchers find a way to price American options without relying on specific asset price models.