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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Personalized Policy Analysis

The paper tackles personalized policy learning from diverse data sources in a federated setting.

problem Learning personalized decision policies from observational bandit feedback across multiple heterogeneous data sources.
method Introduces a novel regret analysis for distinguishing global and local regret, and presents a federated policy learning algorithm using local policies trained with doubly robust offline policy evaluation strategies.
result Establishes finite-sample upper bounds on global and local regret, characterizing them by source heterogeneity and distribution shift.

Develops c-GNF for personalized social science policy analysis.

problem Challenges in estimating causal effects and counterfactual inference in social sciences.
method causal-Graphical Normalizing Flow (c-GNF) method.
result c-GNF performs well in estimating causal effects and counterfactual inference.

The paper proposes a policy learning framework for interpretable personalization.

problem Effective personalization of goods and services to improve revenues and maintain competitive edge.
method Policy learning with linear decision boundaries using causal inference and Bayesian optimization.
result The learned policy improves net sales revenue by 88.2% and provides insights into important features.

The paper tackles robust policy learning from multiple data sources.

problem Learning a policy that generalizes across diverse settings from multiple heterogeneous data sources.
method Proposes a minimax regret optimization objective and a policy learning algorithm combining doubly robust offline policy evaluation and no-regret learning.
result Achieves minimal worst-case mixture regret up to a moderated vanishing rate of the total data across all sources.

New method for personalized pricing using invalid instrumental variables.

problem Personalized pricing under endogeneity with limited standard methods.
method PRINT method for continuous treatment, solving conditional moment restrictions.
result Established optimal pricing strategy under endogeneity with invalid instrumental variables.

The goal of personalized decision making is to map a unit's characteristics to an action tailored to maximize the expected outcome for that unit. Obtaining high-quality mappings of this type is the goal of the dynamic regime literature. In healthcare settings, optimizing policies with respect to a particular causal pat…

2018-09-27abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes a game where players must balance short-term and long-term interests, leading to cooperative or competitive outcomes.

problem Analyzing time inconsistency in inter-personal decision-making under non-exponential discounting.
method Iterative procedures and Zorn's lemma to find Nash equilibria between players' intra-personal equilibria.
result Inter-personal equilibria exist and depend on the impatience levels of the players.

We study the problem of learning personalized decision policies from observational data while accounting for possible unobserved confounding. Previous approaches, which assume unconfoundedness, i.e., that no unobserved confounders affect both the treatment assignment as well as outcome, can lead to policies that introd…

2018-05-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently models agent dependencies in large social networks.

problem Challenges in incorporating inter-agent dependencies in social reinforcement learning models.
method Clusters users based on payoff and contribution, combines cluster-level policies with personalized agent-level policies, and uses dynamic clustering.
result Our approach learns more accurate policy estimates and converges more quickly than existing methods.

Consider a platform that wants to learn a personalized policy for each user, but the platform faces the risk of a user abandoning the platform if she is dissatisfied with the actions of the platform. For example, a platform is interested in personalizing the number of newsletters it sends, but faces the risk that the u…

2018-02-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Personalized pricing analytics is becoming an essential tool in retailing. Upon observing the personalized information of each arriving customer, the firm needs to set a price accordingly based on the covariates such as income, education background, past purchasing history to extract more revenue. For new entrants of t…

2018-05-03abs ↗pdf ↗

The personalization of treatment via bio-markers and other risk categories has drawn increasing interest among clinical scientists. Personalized treatment strategies can be learned using data from clinical trials, but such trials are very costly to run. This paper explores the use of active learning techniques to desig…

2012-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

PFedRL-Rep learns shared and personalized policies for heterogeneous environments.

problem Poor performance of single policy in heterogeneous environments.
method Develops PFedRL-Rep framework with shared feature representation and personalized weights.
result Proves linear convergence speedup with respect to the number of agents.

We present a new approach to the problems of evaluating and learning personalized decision policies from observational data of past contexts, decisions, and outcomes. Only the outcome of the enacted decision is available and the historical policy is unknown. These problems arise in personalized medicine using electroni…

2017-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Statistical test evaluates if personalizing interventions is cost-effective.

problem Balancing the benefits of personalizing interventions with their potential costs.
method Developed a statistical hypothesis test to assess the performance of personalized interventions.
result The test shows that personalized interventions can outperform standard approaches under certain conditions.

Private RL algorithm with privacy guarantees for personalized medicine decisions.

problem Privacy-preserving reinforcement learning for personalized medicine decisions.
method Developed a private optimism-based RL algorithm using joint differential privacy (JDP).
result Achieved strong PAC and regret bounds with a privacy guarantee.

A new federated multi-armed bandit framework with personalization balances generalization and personalization.

problem Balancing generalization and personalization in federated multi-armed bandits.
method Proposed a Personalized Federated Upper Confidence Bound (PF-UCB) algorithm to achieve a O(log(T))O(\log(T)) regret.
result PF-UCB achieves an O(log(T))O(\log(T)) regret regardless of personalization degree and has similar instance dependency to lower bound.

PerSense assesses personality traits from text for commonsense reasoning.

problem Estimating human personality traits from text for mental health analysis.
method Aggregated Probability Density Functions (PDF) and Machine Learning (ML) models.
result PerSense algorithms achieve comparable results to ground truth data, with high accuracy for personality assessment and commonsense prediction.

This paper develops explainable treatment policies for RPM using clinical knowledge.

problem Barriers to adoption of DHIs and lack of interpretability in purely black-box algorithms.
method Developed a pipeline for learning explainable treatment policies using clinician-informed representations.
result Policies learned from clinician-informed representations are more efficacious and efficient than black-box policies.

Deep learning improves trip prediction accuracy in transportation planning.

problem Traditional models fail to accurately predict person and vehicle trips due to complexity and dynamics.
method Developed and trained a deep learning model using NHTS data.
result Deep learning model achieved 98% accuracy for person trip prediction and 96% for vehicle trip estimation.

Develops deep jump learning for continuous treatment OPE.

problem Estimating mean outcomes under new treatment rules using historical data from different rules.
method Adaptive deep discretization of continuous treatment space using deep learning and multi-scale change point detection.
result Validated method through theoretical results, simulations, and real application to Warfarin Dosing.

News on inflation and monetary policy impacts US household inflation expectations.

problem Understanding how news affects inflation expectations.
method Monthly disaggregated US data from 1978 to 2016, controlling for various factors.
result News on rising inflation and easier monetary policy has a stronger impact on inflation expectations.

Reduces variance in noisy social outcomes to improve policy evaluation and optimization.

problem Improving access to opportunity through personalized treatment decisions.
method Data-driven dimensionality-reduction using reduced rank regression to denoise multiple outcomes.
result Improves estimation error in policy evaluation and optimization, including on real-world data.

The paper develops deep learning models for personalized treatment rules in survival analysis.

problem Deriving optimal treatment rules for bivariate survival outcomes in randomized trials.
method Adaptive prediction-powered learning using deep neural networks and stochastic policies.
result Maximizes joint survival probability beyond fixed time points (t1,t2)(t_1, t_2).

Bayesian Supervised Causal Clustering identifies patient subgroups for personalized decision-making.

problem Finding patient subgroups with similar characteristics for personalized decision-making.
method Bayesian Supervised Causal Clustering (BSCC) that identifies homogenous subgroups based on treatment effects.
result BSCC identifies subgroups with similar covariate profiles and treatment effects.

An algorithm for efficient experimentation in a dynamic environment with personalized preferences and context drifts.

problem Efficiently recommending decisions to users with personalized preferences in a context where the environment is changing over time.
method Dri-MED, inspired from the linear version of the MED strategy, adapted to handle non-stationary heteroskedastic noise.
result The instance-dependent regret scales as $ ilde{\mathcal O}\left(\fracκ{ ildeΔ}d^2(\log(T) ight)$, with ildeΔ ildeΔ being the constraint-aware sub-optimality gap.

CAPITAL algorithm identifies optimal patient subgroups for better treatment.

problem Identify maximum number of patients benefiting from better treatment.
method Constrained Policy Tree Search (CAPITAL) algorithm to find optimal subgroup selection rule (SSR).
result Maximizes the number of patients with enhanced treatment effects.