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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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135270404539 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Permutation Importance Measure

A new method reduces computational costs for testing RF variable importance measures.

problem Testing variable importance measures from random forests is computationally expensive and challenging.
method Sequential permutation testing and sequential p-value estimation to reduce computational costs.
result Theoretical properties of sequential tests are confirmed, maintaining type-I error and high power.

Paper proves a Central Limit Theorem for Random Forest Permutation Importance Measure.

problem Lack of theoretical analysis of Random Forest Permutation Importance Measure (RFPIM).
method Formal proof using U-Statistics theory, deviating from conventional Random Forest model.
result Established a Central Limit Theorem for RFPIM.

The paper derives theoretical foundations for two common machine learning variable importance measures.

problem Understanding variable importance in machine learning problems.
method The paper derives closed-form expressions for Permute-and-Predict (PaP) and Leave-One-Covariate-Out (LOCO) methods.
result Theoretical derivations explain the behavior of PaP and LOCO under collinearity, linking them to coefficients and predictor variability.

A new method improves feature importance and model stress-testing reliability.

problem Estimating feature contributions in machine learning models for trust and transparency.
method Replacing multiple random permutations with a single, deterministic, and optimal permutation.
result Improved bias-variance tradeoffs and accuracy in challenging scenarios.

Paper introduces new importance metrics for machine learning models, linking them to CATE.

problem Interpreting black-box models' importance metrics due to data dependence and non-parametric nature.
method Introduces MVIM and CVIM, proposing permutation-based estimation and bias-variance decomposition.
result MVIM and CVIM have a quadratic relationship with CATE, addressing bias in correlated predictors.

CPI overcomes limitations of permutation importance by providing accurate variable selection.

problem Misidentification of unimportant variables in complex models due to covariate correlations.
method Developed a model agnostic and computationally lean Conditional Permutation Importance (CPI) approach.
result CPI provides accurate type-I error control and more parsimonious variable selection.

New methods reduce extrapolation errors in feature importance.

problem Flawed feature importance methods using unrestricted permutations lead to extrapolation errors.
method Three new approaches: conditional model reliance, Knockoffs with Gaussian transformation, and restricted ALE plot designs.
result Theoretical and numerical results show our strategies reduce/eliminate extrapolation.

TRIP detects unreliable feature importance scores in random forests.

problem Unreliable feature importance scores in random forests due to model extrapolation.
method Develops TRIP (Test for Reliable Interpretation via Permutation) to detect unreliable permutation feature importance scores.
result TRIP reliably detects unreliable permutation feature importance scores in high-dimensional settings.

Study examines challenges in variable importance ranking due to feature correlation.

problem Challenges in variable importance ranking under correlation.
method Simulation study and theoretical analysis of feature knockoffs and conditional predictive impact (CPI).
result Highly correlated features increase the correlation of knockoff variables, posing a limitation for CPI.

Improves full conformal prediction for stochastic non-conformity measures.

problem Inability of existing conditions to guarantee full conformal prediction validity under stochastic settings.
method Introduces a new sufficient condition: Conditional Independence & Permutation Invariance in Distribution.
result Corrects the insufficient condition and provides a new sufficient condition for full conformal prediction validity.

A new method resolves permutation issues in shuffled linear regression for large-scale applications.

problem Estimating latent features through linear transformation with unknown permutations.
method Spectral matching method to align spectral components of measurement and feature covariances.
result Achieves accurate estimates in shuffled LS and LASSO settings with sufficient samples.

Graph neural networks improve systemic risk measures for financial networks.

problem Computing systemic risk measures for graph-structured financial networks.
method Extended permutation equivariant neural networks (X-PENNs) for numerical approximation.
result Graph neural networks outperform other methods in approximating optimal allocations.

Proposes Population Difference Criterion for visually observed subpopulation differences.

problem Statistical significance of visually observed subpopulation differences in high-dimensional and high-signal contexts.
method Balanced permutation approach and bootstrap confidence interval for quantifying uncertainty.
result Balanced permutation approach is more powerful in high-signal contexts.

New link topology connects permutation discrepancies to Diaconis-Graham inequalities.

problem Characterize permutations for which Diaconis-Graham inequalities hold with equality.
method Relate permutation discrepancies to the Euler characteristic of their associated links.
result Permutation discrepancies are directly related to the Euler characteristic of their associated links.

Bayesian optimization method for permutations accelerates combinatorial search.

problem Optimizing expensive-to-evaluate objectives on permutation problems.
method LAW2ORDER, a batch Bayesian optimization method based on the acquisition weighted kernel.
result LAW2ORDER achieves sublinear batch cumulative regret, demonstrating accelerated search.

The paper examines properties of GW optimal transport plans, showing they can be sparse and permutation-supported.

problem Properties of Gromov-Wasserstein optimal transport plans.
method Exploration of sparsity, permutation support, and cyclical monotonicity properties.
result GW optimal plans can be sparse and permutation-supported under certain conditions.

Neural networks learn from ensemble forecasts without considering their order.

problem Improving reliability of probabilistic weather forecasts.
method Permutation-invariant neural networks for postprocessing ensemble forecasts.
result Models achieve state-of-the-art prediction quality in surface temperature and wind gust forecasts.

New metric captures individual neuron tuning across neural networks.

problem Need a metric that respects individual neuron tuning across different neural networks.
method Derived a 'soft' permutation-based metric using optimal transport theory.
result Metric avoids counter-intuitive outcomes and captures geometric insights.

Permutation-equivariant neural networks improve auction mechanisms by reducing regret and sample complexity.

problem Designing optimal auction mechanisms that balance revenue and bidders' regret.
method Introduced permutation-equivariant neural networks to auction mechanisms.
result Permutation-equivariant neural networks decrease expected ex-post regret and improve model generalizability.

This paper evaluates and improves metrics for identifying important features in machine learning models.

problem Evaluation metrics for explainable AI are limited by multicollinearity and model accuracy.
method Proposes Expected Accuracy Interval (EAI) to predict model accuracy with multicollinearity.
result EAI is a useful metric for identifying important features in models with multicollinearity.

SMP model preserves proximity and permutation in graph neural networks.

problem Challenges in graph mining, such as community and leader finding.
method Stochastic Message Passing (SMP) model that maintains proximity and permutation-equivariance.
result SMP model effectively preserves node proximities and permutation-equivariance.

Researchers formalize PD and PFI to relate them to data generating process.

problem Lack of theory linking PD and PFI to data generating process.
method Formalize PD and PFI as estimators of ground truth estimands, account for model variance with learner-PD and learner-PFI.
result PD and PFI estimates deviate from ground truth due to statistical biases, model variance, and Monte Carlo approximation errors.

New sampling methods improve Shapley value estimation for machine learning models.

problem Approximating Shapley values for non-trivial models is computationally challenging.
method Investigates new quadrature techniques and quasi-Monte Carlo methods for permutation sampling.
result Significant improvements in Shapley value estimates over existing methods.

C-MinHash reduces the number of permutations needed for MinHash from thousands to just two.

problem Approximating Jaccard similarity in large binary datasets using many permutations.
method Initial permutation followed by circulant shifting of a second permutation to generate hashes.
result C-MinHash achieves unbiased Jaccard similarity estimation with uniformly smaller variance.

VarPro selects features without model dependence, achieving balanced performance.

problem Finding a small set of features with high explanatory power.
method Rule-based variable priority approach, avoiding model-specific methods and artificial data.
result VarPro has a consistent filtering property for noise variables and achieves balanced performance.

Enhances functional classifier performance with new tree-based methods and unbiased feature importance assessment.

problem Challenges of high-dimensional functional data and biased feature importance assessment.
method Augmented functional classification trees and random forests with ad-hoc conditional permutations for unbiased feature importance.
result Significant enhancement in predictive power of functional classifiers through new feature importance assessment.

This study compares feature importance and explainability in quantum vs classical ML models.

problem Lack of transparency in ML models, especially in sensitive fields.
method Comparison of classical ML (SVM, Random Forest) and hybrid quantum ML (VQC, QSVC) models using feature importance and explainability methods.
result Quantum ML models provide insights similar to classical models but with unique quantum features.

A new nonparametric test measures dependence between variables using decision trees.

problem Measuring statistical dependence between two variables robustly and efficiently.
method An ensemble of decision trees discriminates between observed and permuted samples without generating the latter.
result The method effectively detects complex relationships from noisy data.