Panoptic trades options without oracles on Ethereum.
problem Trading options without relying on oracles.
method Perpetual, trustless, instant-settlement protocol on Ethereum.
result Trustless, permissionless trading of options on Uniswap v3.
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,695 papers · 148 categories
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48 results for “Permissionless Trading”
The paper tackles dynamic collateral control for spot-perpetual basis trading in decentralized finance.
problem Dynamic control of collateral in spot-perpetual basis trading in decentralized finance.
method Solves a static control problem and derives an asymmetric dynamic extension, validated with live execution.
result The dynamic control approach provides a more robust operating benchmark and shows significant rebalancing effects.
Detects malicious accounts in permissionless blockchains using graph properties and ML.
problem Identifying and classifying malicious accounts in permissionless blockchains.
method Temporal graph properties, ML algorithms (ExtraTreesClassifier, K-Means), cosine similarity, behavior change analysis.
result ExtraTreesClassifier performs best in detecting malicious accounts on Ethereum blockchain.
QubitSwap improves DEX efficiency by reducing impermanent loss and slippage.
problem Challenges in decentralised exchanges, especially impermanent loss and slippage.
method Hybrid approach integrating external oracle price with internal pool dynamics, parameterized by .
result Reduction in impermanent loss and slippage compared to traditional DEX frameworks.
A new sequencing rule prevents miners from front-running transactions in decentralized exchanges.
problem Miners exploit their privileged position to front-run transactions, leading to unfair profits.
method Introduce verifiable sequencing rules that constrain transaction execution order and are verifiable.
result A verifiable sequencing rule ensures users receive at least fair execution prices, preventing front-running.
Compound examines decentralized lending users and their short loan durations.
problem Systemic risk in decentralized finance due to concentration and interconnection.
method Analysis of on-chain transaction data and smart contract programming.
result Many users borrow for yield farming, not for traditional lending.
A new method for creating derivatives without oracles.
problem Lack of trust in external oracles for derivatives pricing.
method Using Replicating Market Makers (RMMs) to create derivative instruments.
result Demonstrated the feasibility of on-chain expiring options without oracles.
Foresight Arena benchmarks AI forecasting on real-world markets, isolating predictive edge.
problem Evaluating AI forecasting ability in real-world markets is challenging due to overfitting, centralized trust, and conflated metrics.
method Permissionless, on-chain benchmark using probabilistic forecasts, commit-reveal protocol, and smart contracts.
result Demonstrates the need for 350 predictions to reliably distinguish agents of different skill levels.
The paper examines how decentralized credit curators have taken over risk management from traditional protocols.
problem Risk management in decentralized credit has shifted from centralized protocols to decentralized curators.
method Analysis of ERC 4626 vaults and third-party curators, focusing on capital utilization, concentration, and fee margins.
result Curators have a significant impact on the risk profile of decentralized credit systems, with a small set of curators handling a disproportionate share of system TVL.
Model for open, decentralized network with task load balancing.
problem Complex computational tasks in open, decentralized networks.
method Incentive-based load balancing using economic mechanisms.
result Optimized resource allocation and enhanced system resilience.
This paper analyzes liquidations in DeFi protocols, showing how price volatility can lead to significant losses.
problem Price volatility undermines overcollateralization in DeFi protocols, leading to potential losses.
method Empirical analysis of Compound's PLFs, examining participants' behavior and risk-appetite.
result Price volatility can result in over 10m USD becoming liquidable with only 3% price change.
The paper proposes a machine learning framework for detecting DeFi fraud across multiple blockchain chains.
problem Early detection of financial crimes in decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystems.
method Extracting features from different blockchain chains, employing XGBoost and Neural Network for fraud detection.
result Introduction of novel DeFi-related features significantly improves fraud detection accuracy.
DeFi Lending During The Mergeq-fin.GN
DeFi lending protocols faced challenges during Ethereum's merge, but avoided major liquidations.
problem Ethereum's merge caused volatility and potential liquidations in DeFi lending.
method Analyzed AAVE and Compound lending protocols during the merge and hard fork.
result Borrowing rates spiked but no significant liquidations occurred.
Decentralised fund framework allocates capital via tokenised vaults.
problem Traditional asset management's inefficiencies and centralisation.
method Permissionless, multi-strategy capital allocation through on-chain vaults.
result Self-regulating, cooperative optimisation across financial domains.
This paper examines how regional trade agreements affect global trade relationships.
problem The relationship between regional trade agreements and global trade purity.
method Defined and decomposed synthesized trade resistance, separated natural and artificial factors, used expectation maximization algorithm to optimize parameters, and quantified trade purity indicator.
result Regional trade agreements contribute to the relative prosperity of EU and NAFTA countries, but weaken the role of trade unions and accelerate multilateral trade liberalization.
Paper predicts international trade flows using machine learning and factorization models.
problem Predicting international bilateral trade flows with PTAs.
method Two-stage approach combining SHAP Explainer and Factorization Machine models.
result Enhanced predictive accuracy and deeper insights into trade dynamics.
Traders in a stock market exchange stock shares and form a stock trading network. Trades at different positions of the stock trading network may contain different information. We construct stock trading networks based on the limit order book data and classify traders into classes using the -shell decomposition m…
Analysis shows preference for Chinese yuan in global trade network.
problem Analyzing the preference of countries to trade in US dollars or Chinese yuan.
method Mathematical analysis of world trade network using Ising spin interactions.
result Majority of countries prefer trading in Chinese yuan due to network structure.
Model predicts trading strategies based on latent demand and price impact.
problem Predicting strategic trading behavior of investors with private targets.
method Equilibrium model of dynamic trading, learning, and pricing by strategic investors.
result Trading strategies are a combination of target following, liquidity provision, and front-running based on latent demand and price pressure.
Here, we present the World Trade Atlas 1870-2013, a collection of annual world trade maps in which distance combines economic size and the different dimensions that affect international trade beyond mere geography. Trade distances, which are based on a gravity model predicting the existence of significant trade channel…
A dynamic herding model with interactions of trading volumes is introduced. At time , an agent trades with a probability, which depends on the ratio of the total trading volume at time to its own trading volume at its last trade. The price return is determined by the volume imbalance and number of trades. The …
This paper conducts an empirically study on the trade package composed of a sequence of consecutive purchases or sales of 23 stocks in Chinese stock market. We investigate the probability distributions of the execution time, the number of trades and the total trading volume of trade packages, and analyze the possible s…
Automated trading system with preprocessing and reinforcement learning.
problem Efficient portfolio trading for individual investors.
method Feature preprocessing, recurrent reinforcement learning, automated trading algorithm.
result System outperforms other strategies in profit and drawdown.
The paper limits the profitability of technical trading rules and finds they are not better than random trading.
problem The profitability of technical trading rules in stock markets is controversial.
method Proves the upper bound of cumulative return and investigates the profitability of technical trading rules using bootstrap methodology.
result Technical trading rules are not better than random trading and less profitable than the market.
Trade Co-occurrence, Trade Flow Decomposition, and Conditional Order Imbalance in Equity Marketsq-fin.TR
The paper classifies trades into types based on proximity and measures their impact on stock prices.
problem Understanding the impact of high-frequency trades on stock prices and their predictability.
method Classifies trades into five types based on proximity, measures conditional order imbalance (COI), and develops trading strategies.
result Strong positive correlations between contemporaneous returns and COIs, and positive associations with future returns for isolated trades.
Study high-frequency trading patterns in cryptocurrencies.
problem Understanding automated trading algorithms in cryptocurrency markets.
method Analyzes intraday trading data of cryptocurrencies, focusing on returns, volumes, and volatility.
result Provides insights into predictability of economic value in cryptocurrency markets.
Developed Forex trading heuristics with high profit potential.
problem Reduced trade opportunities due to technical indicator values.
method Machine learning simulation of 10 years of Forex data.
result Optimized trade parameters for 118 pips daily profit.
Paper examines costs of using wrong price impact models in trading.
problem Misspecifying price impact models in trading predictions.
method Derives formulas for misspecification costs and applies to trading data.
result Misspecification costs are asymmetric, affecting profits and losses.
This paper surveys cryptocurrency trading research, covering various aspects.
problem Understanding the unique nature and behavior of cryptocurrencies as assets.
method Comprehensive review of 146 research papers on cryptocurrency trading.
result Identifies promising open opportunities in cryptocurrency trading.
We extend the framework of trading strategies of Gatheral [2010] from single stocks to a pair of stocks. Our trading strategy with the executions of two round-trip trades can be described by the trading rates of the paired stocks and the ratio of their trading periods. By minimizing the potential cost arising from cros…
Brazil proposes a new BRICS trade currency to dominate international trade.
problem Dominance of BRICS currency in international trade.
method Mathematical model of influence battle between three currencies, using trade flows and weights in global trade.
result By 2012, about 58% of countries preferred trading with the BRICS currency.
Trade finance history traced from medieval origins to modern markets.
problem Evolution and standardization of trade finance products.
method Historical analysis of market structures and regulatory changes.
result Global trade finance market evolved from local to centralized, then decentralized.
CREDIT learns to master pair trading with risk-aware RL, outperforming existing methods.
problem Challenges in applying RL to pair trading due to temporal correlations and risk considerations.
method Risk-aware recurrent reinforcement learning (RL) with bidirectional GRU and temporal attention.
result CREDIT achieves significant profit in pair trading over five years of U.S. stock data.
Study reveals inefficiencies in EU carbon trading market.
problem Inefficiencies in carbon trading market undermine emission reduction goals.
method Analysis of granular transaction data from 2005-2020.
result 40% of firms never trade in a given year, and many trade only during high-price months.
Using the United Nations COMTRADE database \cite{comtrade} we construct the Google matrix of multiproduct world trade between the UN countries and analyze the properties of trade flows on this network for years 1962 - 2010. This construction, based on Markov chains, treats all countries on equal democratic grounds …
Unified market-based description of returns and variances of trades.
problem Market-based variance of trades and market portfolio.
method Unified market-based approach to describe returns and variances of trades and market portfolio.
result Market-based variance accounts for random volumes of trades and differs from Markowitz's portfolio variance.
Automated trading systems on developed and emerging capital markets are studied in this paper. The standard for developed market is automated trading system with 40-days simple moving average. We tested it for the index SIX Industrial for 1000 and 730 trading days of the slovak emerging capital market. The Buy and Hold…
Optimal transport and neural networks improve trade modeling accuracy.
problem Capturing subtler drivers of trade beyond supply and demand.
method Employing optimal transport and deep neural networks to learn a time-dependent cost function from data.
result Consistently outperforms traditional gravity models in accuracy.
Paper examines trade/no trade patterns in illiquid stocks, highlighting effects of varying zero returns probabilities.
problem Detecting long-run trade/no trade effects in illiquid stocks with varying zero returns probabilities.
method Proposes a framework considering constant and time-varying zero returns probabilities, analyzing trade/no trade categorical sequences.
result Long-run trade/no trade effects may be spuriously detected in presence of non-constant zero returns probabilities.
We develop a polynomial method to optimize trading in markets with transaction costs.
problem Optimizing trading strategies in markets with proportional transaction costs.
method Polynomial approximation of the residual value function to determine optimal trading strategies.
result Identify the trade-off between trading frequency and trade sizes for satisfactory agreement with theoretically optimal strategies.
Study identifies key trades predicting market movements.
problem Predicting future market price movements.
method Optimized neural network predictor to identify influential trades.
result Trades with specific characteristics significantly impact future price predictions.
RL enhances cryptocurrency trading profits.
problem Enhancing cryptocurrency trading profits through dynamic scaling.
method Combining RL with pair trading, using new reward shaping and observation/action spaces.
result RL-based trading achieved 9.94% to 31.53% annualized profits, vs. 8.33% for traditional methods.
Market crowd trading behavior and volume impact stock prices in China.
problem Little known about the role of trading volume in market behavior.
method Adaptive hypotheses tested on Chinese stock market data.
result Market crowd trades efficiently and achieves agreement on prices.
This paper uses RL for better financial trading.
problem Improving financial trading algorithms.
method Deep Q Learning applied to quantitative trading.
result RL can outperform traditional trading algorithms.
Algorithm combines ESG ratings with pairs trading for sustainable investing.
problem Lack of socially responsible investment solutions.
method Integrates ESG data with pairs trading strategy using technical indicators.
result Model generates positive returns while adhering to ESG principles.
Develops a new flexible grid trading model using ANN and SSO.
problem Improving automated trading strategies in financial markets.
method Combines SSO algorithm with ANN for optimizing trading parameters.
result Provides a robust and efficient trading model with better returns.
Predicting risk/reward ratio in financial markets for asset management using machine learningq-fin.CP
Study improves trading decisions by predicting profit and loss outcomes.
problem Inconsistent profitability of machine learning forecasts in financial markets.
method Developed a novel algorithm for forecasting profit and loss outcomes, integrating with market trend predictions.
result Significantly improved performance of trading strategies, including traditional and algorithmic trading.
Trading-R1 uses LLMs for financial trading, improving risk-adjusted returns.
problem Lack of interpretability and trust in AI for finance.
method Supervised fine-tuning and reinforcement learning with a curriculum.
result Improved risk-adjusted returns and lower drawdowns compared to other models.