Study uses machine learning to optimize seismic design parameters.
problem Optimizing seismic design parameters for performance-based design.
method Implementing explainable machine learning models to map design variables and performance metrics, integrated into a genetic optimization algorithm.
result Highly accurate surrogate models (R2> 90%) across diverse building types and hazards, identifying optimal member properties.
Combines VaR and ES forecasts from a large pool of methods.
problem Combining forecasts from a large pool of VaR and ES methods.
method Adapted interval forecast combination methods, including trimmed means and mixtures approach.
result Trimmed mean combinations, mixtures method, and performance-based weighting delivered strong results.
A new insurance and reinsurance pricing scheme based on realized loss.
problem Determining fair and risk-adjusted insurance premiums.
method Performance-based variable premium scheme with random initial premium adjusted based on realized loss.
result The variable premium scheme reduces reinsurer's total risk exposure compared to expected-value premium.
A machine learning surrogate model predicts earthquake-induced building responses.
problem Expensive FE model simulations for earthquake damage estimation.
method SVD-based earthquake characterization and machine learning model training.
result Deep neural network provides most accurate predictions of building responses.
An extreme wind speed estimation method that considers wind hazard climate types is critical for design wind load calculation for building structures affected by mixed climates. However, it is very difficult to obtain wind hazard climate types from meteorological data records, because they restrict the application of e…
Model analyzes OTC market making with reputation feedback.
problem Optimizing electronic OTC liquidity provision considering reputation.
method Developed a stochastic-control model with feedback loops.
result Policy alternates between reputation-building and franchise monetization phases.
Model analyzes how reputation feedback affects OTC market making.
problem Understanding and optimizing OTC market making strategies.
method Developed a stochastic-control model with feedback loops.
result Policy alternates between reputation building and franchise monetization.
Proposes a method to evaluate meta-learning performance based on task similarity.
problem Meta-learning performance evaluation ignores task similarity, leading to biased results.
method Generative approach using Latent Dirichlet Allocation to analyze task similarity.
result The proposed method provides an insightful evaluation of meta-learning algorithms, matching common intuition.
This paper analyzes CNNs for malware detection in cloud IaaS.
problem Malware vulnerability in cloud IaaS environments.
method Analysis of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) for online malware detection using process-level performance metrics.
result State-of-the-art DenseNets and ResNets effectively detect malware in online cloud systems.
Estimates model performance from compute budget for distillation.
problem Risk mitigation in large-scale distillation.
method Distillation scaling law based on compute budget allocation.
result Maximizes student performance with compute-optimal allocation.
We introduce performance-based regularization (PBR), a new approach to addressing estimation risk in data-driven optimization, to mean-CVaR portfolio optimization. We assume the available log-return data is iid, and detail the approach for two cases: nonparametric and parametric (the log-return distribution belongs in …
Deep learning models predict stock prices with high accuracy and speed.
problem Precise prediction of stock prices in an efficient market.
method Design and training of ten deep learning regression models.
result Models achieve high accuracy in forecasting stock prices of an auto sector company.
DCSO dynamically selects top-performing base detectors for outlier ensembles.
problem Challenges in selecting and combining outlier scores from different detectors.
method DCSO dynamically selects top-performing base detectors based on local k-nearest neighbors.
result DCSO provides consistent performance improvement over static combination approaches.
Paper proposes E/PD-Control for better neural network training.
problem Training efficiency and robustness of CNNs in online data flows.
method E/PD-Control combines feedback PD controller with exponential signal.
result Better learning efficiency and robustness demonstrated experimentally.
New method combines ensembling and regularization for genomic disease prediction.
problem Genomic diseases require accurate prediction and biomarker identification.
method Integrates regularization with ensembling techniques for high-dimensional binary classification.
result Identifies critical biomarkers overlooked by competing methods.
FedSmart optimizes federated learning models for non-IID data.
problem Model performance on non-IID data is poor and privacy is at risk.
method FedSmart optimizes models by sharing global gradients and adjusting weights based on local validation set accuracy.
result FedSmart improves model performance by allocating more weight to similar data distributions.
Machine learning predicts molecular crystal stability.
problem Predicting the stability of molecular crystals.
method Supervised and unsupervised machine learning techniques to classify and predict lattice energy.
result Data-driven assessment of chemical groups' contribution to crystal stability.
Aggregating multiple learners through an ensemble of models aim to make better predictions by capturing the underlying distribution of the data more accurately. Different ensembling methods, such as bagging, boosting, and stacking/blending, have been studied and adopted extensively in research and practice. While baggi…
We consider a class of participation rights, i.e. obligations issued by a company to investors who are interested in performance-based compensation. Albeit having desirable economic properties equity-based debt obligations (EbDO) pose challenges in accounting and contract pricing. We formulate and solve the associated …
Experiment shows cognitive biases impact human-AI collaboration, highlighting the need for diverse evaluator samples.
problem Cognitive biases affect human-AI collaboration, leading to suboptimal outcomes.
method Randomized experiment with 2,784 participants, manipulating AI suggestion quality, task burden, and financial incentives.
result Individual attitudes toward AI are the strongest predictor of performance, influencing accuracy and overcorrection.
Near real-time damage diagnosis of building structures after extreme events (e.g., earthquakes) is of great importance in structural health monitoring. Unlike conventional methods that are usually time-consuming and require human expertise, pattern recognition algorithms have the potential to interpret sensor recording…
Cryptos remained resilient after SVB's collapse, contrary to expectations.
problem Impact of SVB collapse on crypto markets.
method Factual summary, sentiment analysis, and market performance examination.
result Cryptocurrencies showed resilience after SVB's collapse.
Convolutional Neural Networks (ConvNets) are commonly developed at a fixed resource budget, and then scaled up for better accuracy if more resources are available. In this paper, we systematically study model scaling and identify that carefully balancing network depth, width, and resolution can lead to better performan…
Statistical analysis of financial data most focused on testing the validity of Brownian motion (Bm). Analysis performed on several time series have shown deviation from the Bm hypothesis, that is at the base of the evaluation of many financial derivatives. We inquiry in the behavior of measures of performance based on …
We propose a prediction model based on the minority game in which traders continuously evaluate a complete set of trading strategies with different memory lengths using the strategies' past performance. Based on the chosen trading strategy they determine their prediction of the movement for the following time period of…
Early results in using convolutional neural networks (CNNs) on x-rays to diagnose disease have been promising, but it has not yet been shown that models trained on x-rays from one hospital or one group of hospitals will work equally well at different hospitals. Before these tools are used for computer-aided diagnosis i…
Improved random forest models enhance machine learning predictions.
problem Equal weights for random forest base decision trees are not optimal.
method Proposes algorithms to modify weighting strategy of regular random forest.
result Numerical results show significant improvements over regular random forest.
Deep learning improves sensor performance optimization.
problem Optimizing sensor performance based on key metrics.
method Re-approach non-linear regression using deep learning with Keras and Tensorflow.
result Deep learning models improve sensor performance optimization.
Dual Variable Learning Rates improve neural network training efficiency.
problem Training neural networks efficiently and effectively.
method DVLR uses different learning rates for correct and incorrect responses, and adjusts rates based on network performance.
result DVLR consistently improves neural network accuracy across different types and domains.
Model-agnostic interpretation techniques allow us to explain the behavior of any predictive model. Due to different notations and terminology, it is difficult to see how they are related. A unified view on these methods has been missing. We present the generalized SIPA (sampling, intervention, prediction, aggregation) …
New rationalization method avoids spurious correlations.
problem Spurious correlations in rationalization criteria.
method Invariant rationalization using game theory constraints.
result Rationales generalize better and align with human judgments.
Active learning from demonstration allows a robot to query a human for specific types of input to achieve efficient learning. Existing work has explored a variety of active query strategies; however, to our knowledge, none of these strategies directly minimize the performance risk of the policy the robot is learning. U…
We propose unitary group convolutions (UGConvs), a building block for CNNs which compose a group convolution with unitary transforms in feature space to learn a richer set of representations than group convolution alone. UGConvs generalize two disparate ideas in CNN architecture, channel shuffling (i.e. ShuffleNet) and…
New risk measure improves creditor protection in financial regulation.
problem Current solvency requirements fail to control the size of recovery on creditors' claims.
method Developed Recovery Value at Risk (Recovery VaR) to control recovery on creditors' claims.
result Recovery VaR flexibly controls recovery on creditors' claims and integrates protection needs into management incentives.
In unsupervised outlier ensembles, the absence of ground truth makes the combination of base outlier detectors a challenging task. Specifically, existing parallel outlier ensembles lack a reliable way of selecting competent base detectors, affecting accuracy and stability, during model combination. In this paper, we pr…
In kernel methods, the median heuristic has been widely used as a way of setting the bandwidth of RBF kernels. While its empirical performances make it a safe choice under many circumstances, there is little theoretical understanding of why this is the case. Our aim in this paper is to advance our understanding of the …
Deep neural networks (DNNs) have been proven to have many redundancies. Hence, many efforts have been made to compress DNNs. However, the existing model compression methods treat all the input samples equally while ignoring the fact that the difficulties of various input samples being correctly classified are different…
New risk theory for 'Pay-for-Performance' models.
problem How to price and hedge operational and financial risks in new business models.
method Developed a new risk theory and calculation method for 'Pay-for-Performance' models.
result Presented a model for determining risk premiums including both financial and operational risks.
The study improves crime prediction using Foursquare and streetlight data with demographic info.
problem Improving crime prediction models using diverse data sources.
method Combining Foursquare and streetlight data with demographic info for crime prediction.
result The proposed model enhances classification performance in crime prediction.
Online advertising in E-commerce platforms provides sellers an opportunity to achieve potential audiences with different target goals. Ad serving systems (like display and search advertising systems) that assign ads to pages should satisfy objectives such as plenty of audience for branding advertisers, clicks or conver…
Deep autoencoder detects anomalies in wastewater sensor data.
problem Anomaly detection in in-situ wastewater sensor data.
method 1D Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) autoencoder for anomaly detection.
result Validation on in-sewer process monitoring data shows effective anomaly detection.
Paper introduces metrics to evaluate missing data imputation without ground truth.
problem Handling missing data in time series without ground truth.
method Introduces Wasserstein distance (WD) and Jensen-Shannon divergence (JSD) as metrics to evaluate imputation quality.
result WD and JSD are effective metrics for assessing missing data imputation quality.
GNNS uses graph neural networks to efficiently estimate subgraph frequency distributions.
problem Efficiently calculating subgraph frequency distributions in large networks.
method Graph Neural Networks (GNNS) for sampling and estimating subgraph frequencies.
result GNNS achieves comparable accuracy with a significant speedup of three orders of magnitude.
This study uses NLP to predict stock performance based on analyst reports.
problem Predicting stock performance using textual information from analyst reports.
method Natural language processing (NLP) and a customized BERT deep learning model for Chinese text.
result Strong positive sentiment in analyst reports increases excess return and intraday volatility, while strong negative sentiment increases volatility and trading volume but decreases excess return.
This study examines yield aggregators in DeFi, summarizing strategies and analyzing performance.
problem Understanding and optimizing yield farming strategies in DeFi.
method Summarizes yield farming protocols and tokens, analyzes performance through simulations and empirical data.
result Plausible connection between data anomalies and historical events in yield aggregators.
New ITID assumption improves generalization in practical tasks.
problem Generalization theories fail to interpret many generalization phenomena and guide practical learning tasks due to the IID assumption.
method Proposes ITID assumption to consider task properties, derives a new generalization bound, and introduces an invariance enhancement algorithm.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the new generalization theory in improving practical generalization performance.
Fast approximate nearest neighbor (NN) search in large databases is becoming popular. Several powerful learning-based formulations have been proposed recently. However, not much attention has been paid to a more fundamental question: how difficult is (approximate) nearest neighbor search in a given data set? And which …
A novel weighted feature selection method using fuzzy sets improves classification accuracy and stability.
problem Improving feature selection accuracy and stability in machine learning models.
method Combination of four feature selection methods using fuzzy sets and bootstrap.
result Our method achieved significantly higher stability than individual methods.