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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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2805608401,120 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Performance Guarantees

DKPS provides guarantees for synthetic data from Transformer models, improving downstream tasks.

problem Lack of labeled data for building performant AI models.
method Data Kernel Perspective Space (DKPS) for mathematical analysis of synthetic data quality.
result Concrete statistical guarantees for the quality of transformer model outputs.

This paper introduces a new metric, ULI, for RL that ensures both cumulative and instantaneous performance.

problem High-stakes applications require RL algorithms to avoid playing bad policies.
method Introduces uniform last-iterate (ULI) guarantee, a stronger metric capturing both cumulative and instantaneous performance.
result ULI directly implies near-optimal cumulative performance across various metrics, but not the other way around.

New approach for off-policy learning in contextual bandits with performance guarantees.

problem Improving performance of logging policies in contextual bandits.
method PAC-Bayesian analysis of policy mixtures, providing tighter generalization bounds and tractable optimization algorithms.
result Proved tighter generalization bounds and demonstrated effectiveness in practical scenarios.

Extracting actionable intelligence from distributed, heterogeneous, correlated and high-dimensional data sources requires run-time processing and learning both locally and globally. In the last decade, a large number of meta-learning techniques have been proposed in which local learners make online predictions based on…

2015-12-23abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper provides theoretical guarantees for optimized sampling in compressed sensing, showing error vanishes with more measurements.

problem Theoretical and practical improvements in compressed sensing with optimized sampling schemes.
method Theoretical analysis and empirical experiments with optimized sampling schemes for subsampled unitary matrices.
result The error caused by measurement noise vanishes with an increasing number of measurements for optimized sampling schemes, assuming Gaussian noise.

Paper provides a performance guarantee for spectral clustering.

problem Finding the global solution to the minimum ratio cut problem.
method Two-step spectral clustering method with a rounding step, analyzed using two-to-infinity norm perturbation bounds.
result Spectral clustering is guaranteed to output the global solution under certain conditions.

Develops robust MDPs for unknown disturbances with performance guarantees.

problem Unknown disturbance distribution in MDPs.
method Empirical distribution, sublevel set of distance function, weak convergence, concentration inequality.
result Robust optimal value function converges to true optimal value function with increasing sample sizes.

Paper presents adaptive minimax risk classifiers for multidimensional concept drift.

problem Multidimensional concept drift in supervised classification.
method Adaptive minimax risk classifiers (AMRCs) tracking multivariate and high-order distribution changes.
result AMRCs provide computable tight performance guarantees and improve classification.

Fine-tuning neural networks to guarantee performance on specific examples can also introduce incorrect inputs.

problem Ensuring reliable performance of neural networks on specific examples.
method Using SMT solvers to fine-tune ReLU neural networks to guarantee outcomes on a finite set of particular examples.
result Fine-tuning can introduce incorrect inputs that trigger unexpected performance.

New online GP algorithm offers performance guarantees for streaming data.

problem Training and inference of GPs require all historic data, limiting online decision-making.
method Developed a new theoretical framework based on PAC-Bayes theory, optimizing empirical risk and parameter divergence.
result Offers both a guarantee of generalized performance and good accuracy.

Validates policies using past observational data with guarantees about out-of-sample performance.

problem Evaluating decision policies using past data observed under a different policy.
method Sample-splitting method to draw inferences about the entire loss distribution with finite-sample coverage guarantees.
result Valid inferences about out-of-sample loss with finite-sample coverage guarantees, accounting for model misspecifications.

Paper proposes method for optimal control of unknown systems with latent states.

problem Jointly estimating dynamics and latent states in systems with unmeasurable states.
method Combination of particle Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and scenario theory.
result Probabilistic performance guarantees for optimal input trajectories.

We extend contrastive learning theory for multiway classification and prove convergence guarantees.

problem Efficient self-supervised training for multiway classification tasks.
method Contrastive representation learning with multiple negative samples and convergence guarantees for gradient descent.
result Convergence guarantees for contrastive learning with gradient descent of an overparametrized encoder.

Paper proposes DC functions for better regularization of inverse problems with theoretical guarantees.

problem Improving regularization for ill-posed inverse problems.
method Introduces difference-of-convex (DC) functions and uses them with optimization algorithms like DCA and PSM.
result DC functions yield improved performance and theoretical guarantees compared to weakly convex functions.

Study evaluates conformal prediction methods for safety in vision models under shifts and long-tailed data.

problem Safety guarantees of conformal prediction methods under distribution shifts and long-tailed data.
method Empirical evaluation of post-hoc and training-based conformal prediction methods on large-scale datasets and models.
result Performance of conformal prediction methods degrades significantly under distribution shifts and long-tailed data.

New algorithms improve performance guarantees for multi-armed bandits problems.

problem Allocating effort under uncertainty in scenarios like investing research effort.
method Proposed two new families of bandit algorithms with stronger guarantees.
result Achieved optimal dependence on k with additional properties of arm reward curves.

Networked-guarantee loans may cause the systemic risk related concern of the government and banks in China. The prediction of default of enterprise loans is a typical extremely imbalanced prediction problem, and the networked-guarantee make this problem more difficult to solve. Since the guaranteed loan is a debt oblig…

2017-02-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Domain adaptation in imitation learning represents an essential step towards improving generalizability. However, even in the restricted setting of third-person imitation where transfer is between isomorphic Markov Decision Processes, there are no strong guarantees on the performance of transferred policies. We present…

2020-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper provides performance guarantees for neural estimation of statistical distances.

problem Developing performance guarantees for neural estimation of statistical distances.
method Non-asymptotic error bounds using function approximation theorems and empirical process theory.
result Established a fundamental tradeoff between approximation and estimation errors in neural estimation of statistical distances.

The paper tackles robust reinforcement learning with performance guarantees.

problem Finding a robust policy for RMDP with state space uncertainties.
method Proposes RLSPI algorithm for learning optimal robust policy with performance bounds.
result Demonstrates the performance of RLSPI on standard benchmark problems.

Paper provides statistical guarantees for GNNs in link prediction.

problem Link prediction accuracy in graph neural networks.
method Proposes a linear GNN architecture (LG-GNN) and derives statistical guarantees.
result LG-GNN produces consistent estimators for edge probabilities and has better detection of high-probability edges.

Recent literature on online learning has focused on developing adaptive algorithms that take advantage of a regularity of the sequence of observations, yet retain worst-case performance guarantees. A complementary direction is to develop prediction methods that perform well against complex benchmarks. In this paper, we…

2015-01-26abs ↗pdf ↗

New method improves predictive systems with better theoretical guarantees.

problem Constructing predictive systems with out-of-sample calibration guarantees.
method Residual Distribution Predictive Systems (RDPs) that nest conformal predictive systems and offer flexibility.
result Empirically, RDPs perform competitively with conformal predictive systems and can be implemented with various regression methods.

New framework calibrates models to control risk under performativity.

problem Calibrating models to ensure reliable decision-making under performativity.
method Iteratively refined calibration process for different risk measures and tail bounds.
result Statistically rigorous risk control under performativity demonstrated.

Algorithm provides online learning guarantees against general comparators in full and bandit feedback.

problem Adversarial online learning with data-dependent regret guarantees.
method Completely online algorithm with data-dependent regret guarantees for full and bandit feedback.
result Algorithm achieves expected performance against arbitrary comparator sequences in full and bandit feedback settings.

Paper develops robust neural network sensors for fuel injection quantities.

problem Adversarial noise increases error in standard neural network models for fuel injection measurements.
method Apply provable robust network learning and verification methods to fuel injection measurements.
result Provable robust model reduces mean relative error to 16.5% under sensor noise.

Paper develops a method to predict spatial point processes with guarantees.

problem Predicting the number of events in space with uncertainty.
method Regularized method to learn spatial models with out-of-sample guarantees.
result Method provides valid prediction intervals even when model is misspecified.

We study a robust alternative to empirical risk minimization called distributionally robust learning (DRL), in which one learns to perform against an adversary who can choose the data distribution from a specified set of distributions. We illustrate a problem with current DRL formulations, which rely on an overly broad…

2019-12-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Regularization methods are often employed in deep learning neural networks (DNNs) to prevent overfitting. For penalty based DNN regularization methods, convex penalties are typically considered because of their optimization guarantees. Recent theoretical work have shown that nonconvex penalties that satisfy certain reg…

2019-09-11abs ↗pdf ↗