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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,341 papers · 148 categories

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481115 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for Perfect foresight

Trader can make money without borrowing or short selling if they predict future prices perfectly.

problem Trading without borrowing or short selling is theoretically possible with perfect foresight.
method Constructs a self-financing process of finite variation using a semimartingale.
result Shows it's possible to make money without conventional arbitrage constraints.

ADR helps LLMs find and use historical analogies for foresight analysis.

problem LLMs struggle to find relevant historical analogies due to surface-level matching.
method Proposes CANA framework with mechanism alignment and cross-analogy confirmation.
result CANA improves historical analogy generation by up to 10%.

Hierarchical Foresight improves robot vision tasks by planning long-term goals.

problem Compounding uncertainty and scalability issues in long horizon video prediction.
method Subgoal generation and planning using hierarchical visual foresight (HVF).
result Achieves nearly 200% performance improvement in vision-based manipulation tasks.

Paper optimizes battery storage in multiple energy markets for better profits.

problem Optimizing battery storage participation in multiple energy markets to balance supply and demand.
method Developed a joint bidding strategy combining intraday and frequency markets using mixed integer linear programming and a learned classifier strategy.
result The LCS increases overall profits by over 4% compared to static strategies and by more than 3% over a naive dynamic benchmark.

VFDS selects dynamic features for efficient HAR tasks, optimizing performance-cost trade-offs.

problem Optimizing feature selection for varying costs and dynamic contexts in machine learning tasks.
method Bayesian learning framework with variational dynamic selection policy.
result VFDS selects different features under changing contexts, saving sensory costs while maintaining HAR accuracy.

Foresight Arena benchmarks AI forecasting on real-world markets, isolating predictive edge.

problem Evaluating AI forecasting ability in real-world markets is challenging due to overfitting, centralized trust, and conflated metrics.
method Permissionless, on-chain benchmark using probabilistic forecasts, commit-reveal protocol, and smart contracts.
result Demonstrates the need for 350 predictions to reliably distinguish agents of different skill levels.

Develops a new trading strategy for renewable producers to manage price volatility.

problem Price volatility and imbalance risk in power markets due to renewable generation.
method Data-driven continuous-time stochastic optimal control framework using SDEs and diffusion models.
result Trading strategy outperforms benchmarks and reduces profit and loss.

ARL bridges non-Markovian decision processes with reinforcement learning, improving foresight and stability.

problem Inaccurate foresight in non-Markovian environments due to state-based methods' limitations.
method Lifted state space into a signature-augmented manifold, using a self-consistent field approach to anticipate future path-law.
result ARL achieves deterministic evaluation of expected returns with reduced computational complexity and variance.

New findings challenge the importance of forecast accuracy in battery storage optimization, highlighting the role of rank correlation instead.

problem The challenge of optimizing battery storage dispatch decisions in multi-market electricity trading using forecast accuracy metrics.
method A hierarchical three-layer optimization system trading in multiple markets (FCR, aFRR, day-ahead, intraday) with real market data.
result Rank correlation (Kendall tau) is a better predictor of intraday dispatch value than forecast accuracy (MAE), with a threshold of tau around 0.85-0.95 capturing up to 97-100% of perfect-foresight revenue.

FRONT optimizes decisions with interference, reducing regret over time.

problem Short-sighted policies in online decision-making due to ignoring interference.
method FRONT considers long-term impacts of decisions, using exploratory and exploitative strategies.
result FRONT achieves sublinear regret in both immediate and consequential impacts.

New set type with no uniformly perfect subsets.

problem Understanding compact sets without uniformly perfect subsets.
method Introduced hereditarily non uniformly perfect sets and compared them with other types of sets.
result Example of a compact set with Hausdorff dimension 2 and positive logarithmic capacity is hereditarily non uniformly perfect.

The study examines perfect fluid spacetimes and their properties.

problem Characterizing properties of perfect fluid spacetimes with concircular vector fields.
method Analyzing the conformal curvature tensor, state equation, and solitons in perfect fluid spacetimes.
result Perfect fluid spacetimes with concircular vector fields have specific properties related to the state equation and solitons.

In his seminal 1951 paper "Extreme forms" Coxeter \cite{cox51} observed that for n9n \ge 9 one can add vectors to the perfect lattice $\sfA_9$ so that the resulting perfect lattice, called $\sfA_9^2$ by Coxeter, has exactly the same set of minimal vectors. An inhomogeneous analog of the notion of perfect lattice is tha…

2009-05-28abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper studies Ricci solitons in perfect fluid spacetimes with specific vector fields.

problem Analyzing Ricci solitons in perfect fluid spacetimes with torse-forming vector fields.
method Examined perfect fluid spacetimes with torse-forming vector fields ξ, determined Ricci solitons, and classified their behavior as expanding, steady, or shrinking.
result Conditions for the behavior of Ricci solitons in these spacetimes were identified.

Paper introduces ρρ-Perfect to estimate model-human correlation in subjective datasets.

problem Inherent noise in subjective ratings limits model-human correlation quantification.
method Defines ρρ-Perfect as highest achievable correlation between perfect predictor and human ratings. Estimates based on heteroscedastic noise scenarios.
result Demonstrates ρρ-Perfect can distinguish model limitations from data quality issues.

The notion of a locally continuously perfect group is introduced and studied. This notion generalizes locally smoothly perfect groups introduced by Haller and Teichmann. Next, we prove that the path connected identity component of the group of all homeomorphisms of a manifold is locally continuously perfect. The case o…

2011-04-12abs ↗pdf ↗

New conditions for GRW space-times to be perfect-fluid space-times.

problem Conditions for GRW space-times to be perfect-fluid.
method Gray's decomposition of the gradient of the Ricci tensor, determining Ricci tensor forms in invariant subspaces.
result For most GRW space-times, the Ricci tensor is Einstein or perfect fluid.

Study on static perfect fluid space-time geometry and boundary estimates.

problem Investigate the geometry and boundary properties of static perfect fluid space-time.
method Used generalized Reilly's formula to establish geometric inequalities and boundary estimates.
result Obtained new boundary estimates involving the Brown-York mass and first eigenvalue of the Jacobi operator.

The paper examines uniform perfectness of diffeomorphism groups on open manifolds.

problem Uniform perfectness of diffeomorphism groups on open manifolds.
method Study of uniform perfectness, boundedness, and simplicity of diffeomorphism groups of compact and open manifolds.
result Obtained upper bounds of diameters for commutator length, balls, and conjugation-generated norm.

Uniformly perfect Morse boundaries characterize geometric properties of groups.

problem Characterizing geometric properties of groups using Morse boundaries.
method Introducing and geometrically characterizing uniformly perfect Morse boundaries for proper geodesic metric spaces.
result The Morse boundary of any finitely generated, non-elementary group is uniformly perfect if it is nonempty.

Study mapping class groups of infinite type surfaces with noncompact boundaries.

problem Classify pure mapping class groups of infinite type surfaces.
method Developed a method to cut surfaces into simpler ones and combined recent results.
result Complete classification of perfect and uniformly perfect pure mapping class groups.

The property of perfectness plays an important role in the theory of Bayesian networks. First, the existence of perfect distributions for arbitrary sets of variables and directed acyclic graphs implies that various methods for reading independence from the structure of the graph (e.g., Pearl, 1988; Lauritzen, Dawid, La…

2012-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper explores uniform perfectness and centers in Morse boundaries.

problem Detecting κκ-center exhaustivity in uniformly perfect Morse boundaries.
method Analyzes CAT(0) and geodesic spaces, using visual boundary data and metric transforms.
result Fixed-basepoint uniform perfectness is insufficient for κκ-center exhaustivity.

The paper finds conditions for pseudosymmetric spacetimes to be perfect fluids.

problem Characterizing pseudosymmetric spacetimes as perfect fluids.
method Analyzes generalized Robertson-Walker spacetimes, conformally flat spacetimes, and dust fluids.
result Conditions for pseudosymmetric spacetimes to be perfect fluids are established.

Study fluid spacetimes, proving shear-free implies vanishing expansion or vorticity.

problem Understanding shear and vorticity in perfect-fluid spacetimes.
method Analyzing perfect-fluid spacetimes using Weyl tensor and divergence.
result Proves shear-free implies vanishing expansion or vorticity for perfect fluids.

Given a lattice L of R^n, a polytope D is called a Delaunay polytope in L if the set of its vertices is S\cap L where S is a sphere having no lattice points in its interior. D is called perfect if the only ellipsoid in R^n that contains S\cap L is exactly S. For a vector v of the Leech lattice Λ_{24} we define Λ_{24}(v…

2009-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper studies geometric structures in perfect fluid spacetimes with specific metrics.

problem Analyzing the geometric properties of perfect fluid spacetimes with specific metrics.
method Investigates conditions for conformal Ricci-Yamabe soliton and derives Laplace equations.
result Conditions for expanding, steady, or shrinking conformal Ricci-Yamabe solitons are identified.

Study of kk-almost Yamabe solitons in perfect fluid spacetimes.

problem Analyzing kk-almost Yamabe solitons in perfect fluid spacetimes.
method Examined perfect fluid spacetimes and kk-almost Yamabe solitons using Einstein field equations.
result Characterized properties of kk-almost Yamabe solitons in perfect fluid spacetimes.

Study shows instability of naked singularities in perfect fluid models.

problem Instability of naked singularities in Einstein equations coupled with isothermal perfect fluid.
method Investigated spherically symmetric self-similar naked singularities under C1,αC^{1,α} perturbations of an external massless scalar field.
result Spherically symmetric self-similar naked singularities are unstable to trapped surface formation.

Study shows compact mapping class groups of infinite type surfaces are never perfect.

problem Characterizing the perfection of mapping class groups of infinite type surfaces.
method Analyzing the closure of compactly supported mapping class groups and Torelli groups, examining their abelianizations.
result The abelianization of the closure of compactly supported mapping class groups contains uncountable direct sums of rationals.

Perfect pairing for tropical cycles on integral affine manifolds.

problem Computing period integrals and versality of Calabi-Yau degenerations.
method Introducing a cap product pairing and using simplicial methods for constructible sheaves.
result The pairing is perfect in degree one for symplectic singularities.