Pension benefits in rural China lead to cognitive decline among the elderly.
problem Cognitive decline in late adulthood among rural Chinese elderly.
method Examined the effects of a new pension scheme on cognitive performance.
result Pension benefits negatively impact cognitive functioning, particularly delayed recall.
Pension benefits valuation with Florida second election and DB Underpin options.
problem Valuation of hybrid pension benefits with embedded options.
method Arbitrage-free pricing methodology to value Bermudan options.
result Illustrates the difference between FSE, DB Underpin, and Bermudan DB Underpin options.
India introduces NPS to manage pension liabilities and promote savings.
problem Managing pension liabilities and promoting savings among employees.
method Comparative analysis of NPS and OPS, addressing stakeholder claims.
result NPS reduces government pension liabilities and promotes disciplined saving.
The Australian Government uses the means-test as a way of managing the pension budget. Changes in Age Pension policy impose difficulties in retirement modelling due to policy risk, but any major changes tend to be `grandfathered' meaning that current retirees are exempt from the new changes. In 2015, two important chan…
Optimizes pension fund management under funding risks.
problem Managing DB pension fund under underfunded and overfunded conditions.
method Stochastic model with Ornstein-Uhlenbeck interest rate, geometric Brownian motion for benefits, and cash, bond, stock investments.
result Optimal wealth process, portfolio, and efficient frontier obtained under various tolerance levels for solvency risk.
New pension design reduces volatility without guarantees.
problem Pension volatility and guarantees issues.
method Split premium, invest in funds, redistribute to smooth volatility.
result Maximizes total accumulated capital at retirement.
This paper discusses the financial risks faced by the UK Pension Protection Fund (PPF) and what, if anything, it can do about them. It draws lessons from the regulatory regimes under which other financial institutions, such as banks and insurance companies, operate and asks why pension funds are treated differently. It…
Collectivized funds need less initial capital to match individual funds, improving pension adequacy.
problem Determining optimal fund management for diverse investor needs.
method Modeling collectivized investment funds with realistic parameters and demonstrating their superiority over individual funds.
result Collectivized funds require less initial capital to match individual funds, enhancing pension adequacy.
Paper analyzes robust strategies in a pension plan game with ambiguous financial markets.
problem Analyzing robust strategies in a defined benefit pension plan game with ambiguous financial markets.
method Formulated and solved two robust non-zero-sum games using stochastic dynamic programming.
result Explicit forms and optimality of the solutions are shown for the firm and union.
Investigates optimal pension policies in PAYG systems with forward utility and ageing population.
problem Optimal investment and pension policies in PAYG systems with sustainability and adequacy constraints.
method Non-zero volatility forward CRRA utilities, closed-form optimal policies, detailed numerical analysis.
result Characterization of optimal policies and detailed impact analysis under various scenarios.
Study finds risk management significantly improves pension scheme efficiency in Kenya.
problem Improving efficiency of pension schemes in Kenya.
method Panel data analysis of 128 pension schemes from 2015-2021.
result Risk management significantly mediates the relationship between corporate governance and pension scheme efficiency.
Two pension funds mutually insure against longevity risk.
problem Mutual insurance against systematic longevity risk for pension funds.
method Mathematical demonstration and market clearing condition.
result Insurance provides little benefit when fund preferences are similar, but can be beneficial when preferences vary significantly.
Structuring a viable pension plan is a problem that arises in the study of financial contracts pricing and bears special importance these days. Deterministic pension models often rely on projections that are based on several assumptions concerning the "average" long-time behavior of the stock market. Our aim here is to…
UK universities pension scheme valuation study shows high dependence on gilt yields.
problem High dependence of UK universities pension scheme on UK government bond yields.
method Analysis of USS valuations from 2014 to 2023, examination of self-sufficiency conditions, and evaluation of metrics.
result Second self-sufficiency condition amplifies gilt yield dependence, leading to inflated liabilities and excessive prudence.
Study evaluates UK CDC schemes, finding intergenerational cross-subsidies in flat-accrual schemes and dynamic-accrual schemes can reduce but not eliminate them.
problem Intergenerational cross-subsidies in UK CDC schemes, particularly in flat-accrual schemes.
method Comparison of flat-accrual and dynamic-accrual CDC schemes, analysis of performance and level of cross-subsidies.
result Dynamic-accrual schemes can reduce but not eliminate intergenerational cross-subsidies, while flat-accrual schemes often have significant cross-subsidies.
Stochastic model for pension insurer assets and liabilities with mortality risk.
problem Modeling assets and liabilities with mortality risk in pensions insurers.
method Multivariate stochastic process for asset and liability returns, capturing dynamics and dependencies.
result Efficient computation of a million scenarios on personal computers.
Study finds actuarial unfairness in China's pension system, proposing income-dependent annuitization rules.
problem Actuarial fairness in China's NDC pension system when mortality differs across income groups.
method Developed a mortality-differentiated Lee-Carter framework with group-specific baseline mortality schedules and a common period effect, estimated using national and subgroup data.
result Substantial actuarial unfairness in the current age-only divisor, with a reverse transfer from poorer to richer retirees.
Researchers analyze optimal investment strategies for a collectivised pension fund with identical investors.
problem Optimizing investment strategies for a collectivised pension fund with identical investors.
method Analytical computation of optimal investment-consumption strategies for a fund of n identical investors with Epstein-Zin preferences.
result Constant consumption strategy is suboptimal for infinite collectives, suggesting annuities and defined benefit investments are suboptimal.
Study optimizes pension scheme risk-sharing for longevity bonds.
problem Managing longevity basis risk in pension schemes with income-drawdown guarantees.
method Stochastic optimal control, dynamic programming, HJB equations.
result Sharing longevity risk increases both manager and member utilities.
Investigates risk measures for DC pension decumulation.
problem Develop optimal decumulation strategies for DC plan holders.
method Formulates decumulation as a control problem, studies risk measures (expected shortfall, linear shortfall, probability of shortfall).
result Optimal controls for expected reward and expected shortfall are identical to those for expected reward and linear shortfall.
Georgia's pension reform affects individual welfare.
problem Optimizing pension systems to ensure old age welfare and reduce budgetary pressure.
method Historical analysis, comparative international experience, and assessment of investment potential.
result Challenges and potential improvements of the mandatory funded pension system.
A risk of small defined-benefit pension schemes is that there are too few members to eliminate idiosyncratic mortality risk, that is there are too few members to effectively pool mortality risk. This means that when there are few members in the scheme, there is an increased risk of the liability value deviating signifi…
Study fills the Italian pension gap with an optimal investment strategy.
problem Italian pension system reform gap between old and new pensions.
method Stochastic Optimal Control approach to fill the pension gap.
result It is possible to cover the pension gap with additional income from a pension scheme.
New CDC scheme avoids intergenerational subsidies, offering better outcomes.
problem Intergenerational cross-subsidies in UK CDC schemes.
method Collective-Drawdown CDC approach using explicit insurance contracts.
result Better pension outcomes with no intergenerational cross-subsidies.
Proposes a mixed pension system combining PAYG and funded contributions to address sustainability.
problem Sustainability of public pension systems due to declining birth rates and increasing life expectancy.
method Combines a classical PAYG scheme with a funded investment scheme to ensure financial sustainability.
result Individuals contribute to a funded part, making them active participants in addressing demographic risks.
The paper proposes a dynamic risk measure approach for evaluating defined-contribution pension funds.
problem Periodic evaluation of defined-contribution pension funds to manage risk and improve projections.
method Dynamic risk measure criterion, model-free reinforcement learning, Lee-Carter mortality model.
result Periodic evaluations lead to more risk-averse strategies, while mortality improvements encourage risk-seeking behaviors.
The paper optimizes pension policies with guarantees and sustainability constraints.
problem Designing optimal pension policies with guarantees and sustainability constraints.
method Dynamic utility model, stochastic domain, overlapping generations, time-consistent decision criterion.
result Optimal investment/pension policy computed for a general framework.
We study the effects of non-systematic and systematic mortality risks on the required initial capital in a pension plan, in the presence of financial risks. We discover that for a pension plan with few members the impact of pooling on the required capital per person is strong, but non-systematic risk diminishes rapidly…
Forecasting pension impacts using microsimulations and deep learning.
problem Analyzing and predicting pension cost dependency ratio under state reforms and Brexit scenarios.
method Stochastic dynamic microsimulations and deep learning for mortality rate modeling.
result Recent reforms can mitigate pension crisis and improve fiscal health.
Study examines market risks on pension system sustainability.
problem Impact of market risks on pension corpus sustainability.
method Monte Carlo simulations with historical data.
result Market risks significantly impact pension corpus sustainability.
We introduce a generic model for spouse's pensions. The generic model allows for the modeling of various types of spouse's pensions with payments commencing at the death of the insured. We derive abstract formulas for cashflows and liabilities corresponding to common types of spouse's pensions. We show how the standard…
Optimizes pension fund strategies considering age-dependent risk preferences.
problem Maximizing utility of future consumption and wealth in DC pension plans.
method Solves optimal consumption and investment policies using Black-Scholes framework and HARA utility functions.
result Only extended model with time-varying preference parameters provides adequate fit for real-life data.
The study uses ML and AI to forecast pension fund mortality, outperforming traditional methods.
problem Incorporating longevity risk into pension fund financial assessments.
method Employed actuarial learning with ML/AI techniques (regression trees, random forest, boosting, XGBoost, CatBoost, neural networks) on actuarial data.
result ML/AI algorithms outperform the Lee-Carter model in mortality forecasting for pension funds.
The paper explores how to fairly share longevity risk among participants of tontine schemes.
problem Fair distribution of longevity risk among participants with varying wealth and health.
method Develops a modeling framework for sharing benefits among survivors in tontine schemes.
result There are multiple ways to share longevity risk, depending on social cohesion.
Adaptive strategies reduce pension fund costs and risks.
problem Managing longevity and volatility risks in pension funds.
method Modular simulation framework with customizable metrics.
result Substantial reduction in pension plan costs and default risk.
New pension product combines lifetime income and estate value.
problem Optimal allocation of pension savings between income and estate.
method Power utility function analysis of tontine and bequest accounts.
result Risk aversion affects optimal allocation, with least risk averse allocating most to tontine.
Paper optimizes DC pension fund management with VaR and relative performance constraints.
problem Optimizing DC pension fund performance under VaR and relative performance constraints.
method Introduced an auxiliary process to transform the problem into a self-financing problem, combined linearization, Lagrange dual, martingale, and concavification methods.
result Explicit investment strategies obtained for certain penalty and reward functions.
This review examines TDFs in Chile's pension reform, recommending dynamic glide paths and diversified benchmarks.
problem Chile's pension system needs to adapt to modern investment strategies.
method Comprehensive review of TDFs, highlighting challenges and opportunities for Chilean regulators and fund managers.
result Dynamic glide paths and diversified benchmarks are recommended for better retirement outcomes.
Study improves pension scheme efficiency in Kenya through governance and risk management.
problem Limited research on efficiency of Kenyan pension schemes under governance structures.
method Quantitative panel regression analysis on 128 Kenyan pension schemes over 7 years.
result Employee board members have a significant positive effect on pension scheme efficiency.
This paper revisits optimal investment strategies for defined contribution pension schemes using forward preferences.
problem Optimal investment strategies derived from backward models are not time-consistent and sub-optimal in real scenarios.
method Introduces forward preferences and solves optimal investment strategies for defined contribution pension schemes.
result Constructs optimal investment strategies for defined contribution pension schemes using forward preferences.
Study optimal investment strategy for pension schemes to hedge longevity risk.
problem Hedging longevity risk in defined contribution pension schemes.
method Transformed optimal investment problem into an unconstrained problem using dynamic programming and numerical studies.
result Longevity risk significantly impacts investment strategies, supporting the use of mortality-linked securities.
Investment strategies in occupational pension plans are optimized for non-tradable income risk.
problem Optimizing investment strategies for occupational pension plans in the presence of non-tradable income risk.
method Formulated as a stochastic optimization problem, analyzed in both constant and stochastic volatility environments.
result Random contributions induce the optimal glide path structure, influenced by initial wealth, contributions, and risk aversion.
Neural network predicts optimal pension investments based on preferences.
problem Optimal pension investment problem with varying preferences.
method Used a neural network to identify optimal solutions to a family of investment problems.
result Validated network accuracy using classical numerical methods.
Paper proposes decentralized annuities for better retirement security.
problem Current pension systems' limitations and fairness issues.
method Theoretical models and fairness concepts analysis.
result Decentralized annuities offer enhanced flexibility and social welfare.
Deep neural network optimizes retirement consumption in defined contribution pensions.
problem Optimizing consumption in a defined contribution pension system.
method Formulated as a stochastic control problem, trained deep neural network policy.
result Deep neural network outperforms deterministic rules and adapts to market changes.
USS fund risk assessment shows low default chance but high overfunding.
problem Risk assessment of Universities Superannuation Scheme (USS) fund.
method Estimates risk of default and overfunding using a cautious model.
result Fund has less than 7% chance of defaulting but overfunding by at least £100bn.
This paper examines the economic benefits of monthly gratuity options.
problem Evaluating the economic advantages of monthly gratuity options over traditional ones.
method Quantitative analysis comparing tax relief benefits to savings or loan repayment.
result Monthly gratuity options provide economic benefits through tax relief.
This paper compares different DRO formulations for pension fund management.
problem Navigating uncertainty in asset liability management for pension funds.
method Three DRO formulations: mixture, box, and Wasserstein ambiguity sets.
result Wasserstein and box ambiguity sets outperform traditional approaches in fund performance.