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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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326495127 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Penalized Likelihood

In high-dimensional data analysis, penalized likelihood estimators are shown to provide superior results in both variable selection and parameter estimation. A new algorithm, APPLE, is proposed for calculating the Approximate Path for Penalized Likelihood Estimators. Both the convex penalty (such as LASSO) and the nonc…

2012-11-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Researchers develop a method to learn CTBN structure using penalized maximum likelihood.

problem Learning the structure of continuous-time Bayesian networks (CTBNs) when the dependence structure is unknown.
method Penalized maximum likelihood method.
result The algorithm can accurately identify the network structure with high probability under certain conditions.

We develop a maximum penalized quasi-likelihood estimator for estimating in a nonparametric way the diffusion function of a diffusion process, as an alternative to more traditional kernel-based estimators. After developing a numerical scheme for computing the maximizer of the penalized maximum quasi-likelihood function…

2010-08-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved convergence rates for MLE in mixture models using penalized log-likelihood.

problem Convergence rates for MLE in finite mixture models.
method Penalizing log-likelihood to discourage vanishing mixing weights, using Wasserstein distance and new loss functions.
result Improved convergence rates for some mixture components, faster than traditional methods.

Study EM and GD for clustering with penalties for misspecification and high dimensions.

problem Clustering with misspecification and high-dimensional data.
method Model-based Gaussian Mixture Models, EM algorithm, GD optimization with AD, penalized likelihood.
result GD outperforms EM on high-dimensional data but both have poor cluster interpretation.

Graphical Gaussian models have proven to be useful tools for exploring network structures based on multivariate data. Applications to studies of gene expression have generated substantial interest in these models, and resulting recent progress includes the development of fitting methodology involving penalization of th…

2014-08-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Recently, there has been focus on penalized log-likelihood covariance estimation for sparse inverse covariance (precision) matrices. The penalty is responsible for inducing sparsity, and a very common choice is the convex l1l_1 norm. However, the best estimator performance is not always achieved with this penalty. The …

2014-08-05abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce GAMSEL (Generalized Additive Model Selection), a penalized likelihood approach for fitting sparse generalized additive models in high dimension. Our method interpolates between null, linear and additive models by allowing the effect of each variable to be estimated as being either zero, linear, or a low-co…

2015-06-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Determining how to appropriately select the tuning parameter is essential in penalized likelihood methods for high-dimensional data analysis. We examine this problem in the setting of penalized likelihood methods for generalized linear models, where the dimensionality of covariates p is allowed to increase exponentiall…

2016-05-11abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper considers the problem of networks reconstruction from heterogeneous data using a Gaussian Graphical Mixture Model (GGMM). It is well known that parameter estimation in this context is challenging due to large numbers of variables coupled with the degeneracy of the likelihood. We propose as a solution a penal…

2013-08-15abs ↗pdf ↗

New model handles complex non-linear relationships with hidden graph structures.

problem Modeling non-linear relationships with hidden graph-structured interactions.
method Block-diagonal localized mixture of polynomial experts (BLoMPE) regression model with penalized maximum likelihood selection criterion.
result Strong theoretical guarantee for finite-sample oracle inequality.

AFTNet uses a network-constrained Weibull model for biomarker discovery.

problem Discovering biomarkers from survival data with correlated predictors.
method Survival analysis method based on Weibull AFT model, incorporating network constraints and penalized likelihood for variable selection.
result Theoretical consistency and efficient algorithm for AFTNet estimator validated on synthetic and real data.

We propose a new sparsity-smoothness penalty for high-dimensional generalized additive models. The combination of sparsity and smoothness is crucial for mathematical theory as well as performance for finite-sample data. We present a computationally efficient algorithm, with provable numerical convergence properties, fo…

2008-06-25abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes LASSO penalization for high-dimensional Beta regression models.

problem Theoretical analysis of LASSO in high-dimensional Beta regression.
method Non-convexity handling through a neighborhood framework, debiasing for confidence intervals, proximal gradient algorithm.
result Non-asymptotic bound on 1\ell_1-error of stationary points.

In this paper we consider high-dimensional multiclass classification by sparse multinomial logistic regression. We propose first a feature selection procedure based on penalized maximum likelihood with a complexity penalty on the model size and derive the nonasymptotic bounds for misclassification excess risk of the re…

2020-03-04abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a penalized likelihood method to jointly estimate multiple precision matrices for use in quadratic discriminant analysis and model based clustering. A ridge penalty and a ridge fusion penalty are used to introduce shrinkage and promote similarity between precision matrix estimates. Block-wise coordinate desc…

2013-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimation in generalized linear models (GLM) is complicated by the presence of constraints. One can handle constraints by maximizing a penalized log-likelihood. Penalties such as the lasso are effective in high dimensions, but often lead to unwanted shrinkage. This paper explores instead penalizing the squared distanc…

2017-11-03abs ↗pdf ↗

A new family of penalty functions, adaptive to likelihood, is introduced for model selection in general regression models. It arises naturally through assuming certain types of prior distribution on the regression parameters. To study stability properties of the penalized maximum likelihood estimator, two types of asym…

2013-08-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian networks, with structure given by a directed acyclic graph (DAG), are a popular class of graphical models. However, learning Bayesian networks from discrete or categorical data is particularly challenging, due to the large parameter space and the difficulty in searching for a sparse structure. In this article,…

2014-03-10abs ↗pdf ↗

New method resolves inconsistency in learning directed acyclic graphs using penalized likelihood.

problem Inconsistency of 1\ell_1-penalized likelihood in learning directed acyclic graphs.
method Developed a hybrid differentiable structure learning method based on 0\ell_0-penalized likelihood with hard acyclicity constraint.
result Demonstrated and explained why 1\ell_1-penalized likelihood is fundamentally inconsistent in identifying true structure up to Markov equivalence classes.

Paper proposes methods to learn sub-manifolds and estimate densities in normalizing flows.

problem Normalizing flows struggle with finding sub-manifolds in high-dimensional data.
method Introduces per-pixel penalized log-likelihood and hierarchical training approaches.
result Validated superior performance in manifold learning and density estimation.

This paper introduces a gradient analysis framework to improve language model performance by rewarding good examples and penalizing bad ones.

problem Improving language model output quality by penalizing bad examples.
method Gradient analysis of loss functions to reward good examples and penalize bad ones.
result ExMATE is superior to MLE and combining DPO with ExMATE enhances performance.

New method estimates mixture model components efficiently.

problem Estimating the number of components in finite mixture models.
method Group-Sort-Fuse (GSF) procedure for simultaneous estimation of order and mixing measure.
result GSF achieves consistent estimation of true mixture order and n1/2n^{-1/2} convergence rate.

Many traditional signal recovery approaches can behave well basing on the penalized likelihood. However, they have to meet with the difficulty in the selection of hyperparameters or tuning parameters in the penalties. In this article, we propose a global adaptive generative adjustment (GAGA) algorithm for signal recove…

2019-11-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Modified asymmetric hidden Markov models for time series with autoregressive components.

problem Dynamic relationships between variables in time series data.
method Introducing an asymmetric autoregressive component to recent asymmetric hidden Markov models.
result The model can choose the optimal autoregressive order for better likelihood.

This paper addresses the estimation of parameters of a Bayesian network from incomplete data. The task is usually tackled by running the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm several times in order to obtain a high log-likelihood estimate. We argue that choosing the maximum log-likelihood estimate (as well as the max…

2011-10-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Stochastic volatility (SV) models mimic many of the stylized facts attributed to time series of asset returns, while maintaining conceptual simplicity. The commonly made assumption of conditionally normally distributed or Student-t-distributed returns, given the volatility, has however been questioned. In this manuscri…

2013-08-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Consider a social network where only a few nodes (agents) have meaningful interactions in the sense that the conditional dependency graph over node attribute variables (behaviors) is sparse. A company that can only observe the interactions between its own customers will generally not be able to accurately estimate its …

2017-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm optimizes Bayesian network learning from Gaussian data.

problem Learning Bayesian networks from Gaussian observational data.
method Proposes a coordinate descent algorithm for 0\ell_0-penalized maximum likelihood estimation.
result The algorithm converges to a coordinate-wise minimum and achieves optimal objective value as sample size increases.