This work fine-tunes GPT-2 for generating patent claims.
problem Generating coherent patent claims automatically.
method Fine-tuning OpenAI GPT-2 on patent claim language structure.
result Demonstrated the first machine-generated patent claims.
BERT learns claim descriptions to identify patent novelty.
problem Identifying novel patent claims among existing documents.
method Training BERT on concatenated claims and descriptions, scoring BERT's output.
result BERT identifies relevant X documents for patent novelty.
Improved patent classification using fine-tuned BERT model.
problem Classifying large patent datasets efficiently and accurately.
method Fine-tuning a pre-trained BERT model on patent claims.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art methods by 20%.
Improved AI patent classifier measures U.S. and China's AI patenting.
problem Measuring AI patents with high precision and generalization.
method Fine-tuning PatentSBERTa on manually labeled data from USPTO's AI Patent Dataset.
result Rapid growth in AI patenting in both countries, but different organizational patterns.
The paper proposes a novel model to forecast patent citations using multi-attention recurrent networks.
problem Forecasting forward citations to patents to discover emerging technologies.
method The approach employs a sequence-to-sequence model with an attention-of-attention mechanism to capture dependencies in multiple time sequences.
result The proposed model outperforms state-of-the-art models in forward citation forecasting.
Patent lawsuits are costly and time-consuming. An ability to forecast a patent litigation and time to litigation allows companies to better allocate budget and time in managing their patent portfolios. We develop predictive models for estimating the likelihood of litigation for patents and the expected time to litigati…
Estimates yearly improvement rates for nearly all technologies using US patent data.
problem Providing a comprehensive account of technological change rates.
method Mapping patents to technology domains, calculating average centrality, and estimating improvement rates.
result Variation in improvement rates from 1.9% to 228.8% per year, with software-based domains often the fastest.
Study predicts startup outcomes like funding, patenting, IPOs using machine learning.
problem Forecasting startup success metrics like funding, patenting, IPOs.
method Developed interpretable machine learning framework, used preprocessing, class imbalance handling, and compared multiple models.
result Achieved high AUROC values for patent, funding, and exit predictions.
Improved antibody humanness prediction using patent data.
problem Predicting the immunogenic response of antibody therapeutics.
method Multi-stage, multi-loss training process with contrastive learning and cross-entropy loss.
result The model outperforms baselines on five out of six inference tasks, improving humanness prediction.
This paper explores using NFTs for patents, offering a framework and addressing challenges.
problem Lack of research in applying NFT to intellectual property, especially patents.
method Developed a layered conceptual NFT-based patent framework.
result Promotes transparency and liquidity in patent markets.
Mass algorithm predicts M&A deals from patent data.
problem Hard to automatically predict M&A deals due to complex human skills.
method Machine learning-based similarity measure (MASS) applied to patent data.
result MASS outperforms LightGCN in forecasting M&A deals.
Dolby has the best financial health, but competition for patents could create jobs.
problem Comparing stock valuation of companies using financial metrics.
method Analysis of financial statements over three years.
result Dolby has stable profit margins and generates billions in revenue.
The paper models network formation using mixed logit models.
problem Modeling network formation in various fields.
method Mixed logit models, specifically the repeated-choice (RC) model.
result The RC model outperforms the multinomial logit (MNL) model in estimating network formation.
Paper introduces ML for rare-event prediction in patent quality estimation.
problem Lack of predictive modeling in econ, management, tech forecasting.
method Introduces ML approach for optimizing predictive performance.
result Demonstrates synergy between ML and inferential statistics.
Automatic measurement of semantic text similarity is an important task in natural language processing. In this paper, we evaluate the performance of different vector space models to perform this task. We address the real-world problem of modeling patent-to-patent similarity and compare TFIDF (and related extensions), t…
We describe a number of devices for pulling candy, called taffy pullers,that are related to pseudo-Anosov maps of punctured spheres. Though the mathematical connection has long been known for the two most common taffy puller models, we unearth a rich variety of early designs from the patent literature, and introduce a …
Develops a deep learning framework to predict future tech directions for high-tech companies.
problem Difficult task in predicting future R&D trends for high-tech companies due to complexity and variety of factors.
method Deep Technology Forecasting (DTF) framework with three components: PCR, CTR, and DTT neural network.
result DTF framework precisely predicts future tech emphasis of companies using hybrid factors.
DREAM model improves computational efficiency for non-linear effects in relational event models.
problem Efficiently modeling non-linear effects in dynamic relational networks.
method Introduces Deep Relational Event Additive Model (DREAM) using Neural Additive Models.
result Demonstrates superior computational efficiency compared to traditional REM approaches.
We study the relationship between firms' performance and their technological portfolios using tools borrowed from the complexity science. In particular, we ask whether the accumulation of knowledge and capabilities related to a coherent set of technologies leads firms to experience advantages in terms of productive eff…
New algorithm classifies and generates genomic sequences using RG-flow categorifier.
problem Classifying and generating genomic sequences for disease prediction.
method RG-flow based categorifier combining quantum field theory, holographic duality, and neural ODEs.
result RG categorifier can classify and generate new sequences from genomic data.
The paper analyzes tech specialization and diversification at various scales.
problem Trade-offs between specialization and diversification in economic development.
method Patent data and Economic Complexity framework.
result Technological Coherence positively impacts growth at metropolitan areas but negatively at larger scales.
We perform an optimal localization of asymptotically flat initial data sets and construct data that have positive ADM mass but are exactly trivial outside a cone of arbitrarily small aperture. The gluing scheme that we develop allows to produce a new class of N-body solutions for the Einstein equation, which patently…
Higher-order optimization problems naturally appear when investigating the effects of a patent with finite length, as in the pioneering work of Futagami and Iwaisako (2007). In this paper, we establish the Euler equations and transversality conditions necessary for analyzing such higher-order optimization problems. We …
NoLBERT avoids lookback and lookahead biases for better econometric inference.
problem Information leakage in language models affects econometric inference.
method Pretrained on text from 1976-1995, avoiding lookback and lookahead biases.
result NoLBERT outperforms domain-specific baselines and predicts higher profit growth.
New machine learning model faster, more accurate, and can identify hard-to-classify samples.
problem Improving classification models in machine learning.
method Quadratic Multiform Separation approach.
result Produces comparable predictive accuracy, runs faster, and identifies hard-to-classify samples.
Reinforcement learning improves insurance claims reserving by learning from all claim trajectories.
problem Traditional reserving models learn only from settled claims, missing valuable data from ongoing claims.
method Formulated as a Markov decision process, uses reinforcement learning to update OCL estimates sequentially.
result Soft Actor-Critic implementation achieves competitive claim-level accuracy and strong aggregate performance.
The study analyzes how bonus-malus systems and delayed claims settlement affect insurance companies' financial stability.
problem Analyzing the impact of bonus-malus systems and delayed claims settlement on insurance companies' financial stability.
method Examined a discrete-time risk model with time-varying premiums, evaluating two types of claims and settlement delays.
result Delayed settlement of by-claims leads to lower ruin probabilities under specific assumptions.
Deep Claim predicts payer responses from claims data using deep learning.
problem Predicting payer responses from claims data to improve healthcare performance.
method Learning complex dependencies in claim inputs to create a compact representation, then using deep learning to predict responses.
result Deep Claim improves claim denial prediction by 22.21%.
New method for individual claims reserving using machine learning.
problem Traditional claims reserving methods are limited in individual claim prediction.
method Restructured data utilization for CL prediction, using multi-period factors.
result Neural networks applied for individual claims reserving.
The tail of the distribution of a sum of a random number of independent and identically distributed nonnegative random variables depends on the tails of the number of terms and of the terms themselves. This situation is of interest in the collective risk model, where the total claim size in a portfolio is the sum of a …
Two machine learning models detect anomalies in ER claims, saving up to 40% in improper payments.
problem Improper health insurance payments from fraud and upcoding.
method Two machine learning models: an upcoding model based on severity code distributions and a random forest model for claim sorting.
result Random forest model saved 12% to 40% in improper payments compared to a baseline approach.
Optimizes insurance processing capacity to minimize costs.
problem Processing delays and backlogs in insurance claims.
method Optimal capacity selection to minimize delay-adjusted and fixed costs.
result Minimizes claims costs by balancing processing capacity and delays.
New model bridges pricing and reserving for insurance claims.
problem Incomplete claim data due to reporting and settlement delays.
method Develops an occurrence and development model to estimate both claims and premiums.
result Effective resolution of pricing and reserving inconsistencies.
This study compares the largest claims from two insurance portfolios using stochastic orderings.
problem Comparing the largest claims from two heterogeneous insurance portfolios.
method Used various stochastic orderings and established sufficient conditions associated with model parameters.
result Established sufficient conditions for comparing the largest claims from two insurance portfolios.
Model detects insurance fraud using social network analysis.
problem Fraudulent insurance claims by exaggeration or intentional damage.
method Network construction linking claims and parties, BiRank algorithm for fraud score computation, feature extraction from network and claims, supervised model building.
result Network features improve fraud detection performance.
We consider trading in a financial market with proportional transaction costs. In the frictionless case, claims are maximal if and only if they are priced by a consistent price process--the equivalent of an equivalent martingale measure. This result fails in the presence of transaction costs. A properly maximal claim i…
Investor maximizes utility from an unknown claim using robust optimization.
problem Maximizing utility from an unknown contingent claim.
method Robust optimization with quantile formulation and variational inequalities.
result Optimal trading strategy and utility indifference price determined.
Model predicts individual insurance claim reserves using activation patterns.
problem Accurately predicting individual claim reserves in insurance contracts.
method Multinomial logistic regression to model claim activation and development.
result The model generates accurate predictions of total and per coverage reserves.
Insurance companies must manage millions of claims per year. While most of these claims are non-fraudulent, fraud detection is core for insurance companies. The ultimate goal is a predictive model to single out the fraudulent claims and pay out the non-fraudulent ones immediately. Modern machine learning methods are we…
A new model integrates claim history and covariates for non-life insurance reserving.
problem Lack of information in traditional reserving models for non-life insurance claims.
method Hierarchical reserving model integrating claim history and covariates.
result Flexibility and robustness of the hierarchical reserving model demonstrated.
Paper introduces EEMs for pricing contingent claim returns.
problem Computing expected future prices of contingent claims.
method Dynamic change of measure approach to construct EEMs.
result EEMs provide physical and pricing expectations of contingent claim prices.
A new method for modeling insurance claim frequencies using random proportions.
problem Inaccurate fitting of classical distributions to insurance claim frequency data.
method Modeling claim frequencies using random proportions of insurance contracts and applying goodness-of-fit tests.
result A new statistical approach for better modeling insurance claim frequencies.
The paper introduces BCART models for aggregate claim amount, improving frequency-severity and joint modeling.
problem Modeling aggregate claim amount with frequency-severity and joint dependencies.
method Developed three types of BCART models: frequency-severity, sequential, and joint models. Used various distributions for claim severity data.
result Weibull distribution outperforms gamma and lognormal for right-skewed, heavy-tailed claim severity data.
FiNCAT tool automatically identifies financial numerals in documents.
problem Differentiating between in-claim and out-of-claim numerals in financial documents.
method Extracts context embeddings of numerals using BERT, then uses Logistic Regression to classify.
result Achieved a Macro F1 score of 0.8223 on validation set.
Study on risk model with claims, dividends, and random probabilities.
problem Analyzing a risk model with claims, delayed claims, and randomized dividends.
method Discrete time Compound Beta-Binomial Risk Model with recursive expressions for Gerber-Shiu function.
result Recursive relations for ruin-related quantities obtained.
LLMs help automate extraction of actuarial variables from unstructured claims data.
problem Manual processing of unstructured claims data is time-consuming and inconsistent.
method Two-stage processing architecture using LLMs, modular Python pipeline.
result LLM-based extraction achieved high accuracy and practical actuarial value.
New method simplifies individual claims reserving.
problem Insufficient flexibility and robustness in existing methods.
method Building on classical chain-ladder method, introduces new perspective.
result Advances toward a new standard for micro-level reserving.
Using a suitable change of probability measure, we obtain a novel Poisson series representation for the arbitrage- free price process of vulnerable contingent claims in a regime-switching market driven by an underlying continuous- time Markov process. As a result of this representation, along with a short-time asymptot…