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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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48 results for Patent Claims

Improved AI patent classifier measures U.S. and China's AI patenting.

problem Measuring AI patents with high precision and generalization.
method Fine-tuning PatentSBERTa on manually labeled data from USPTO's AI Patent Dataset.
result Rapid growth in AI patenting in both countries, but different organizational patterns.

The paper proposes a novel model to forecast patent citations using multi-attention recurrent networks.

problem Forecasting forward citations to patents to discover emerging technologies.
method The approach employs a sequence-to-sequence model with an attention-of-attention mechanism to capture dependencies in multiple time sequences.
result The proposed model outperforms state-of-the-art models in forward citation forecasting.

Patent lawsuits are costly and time-consuming. An ability to forecast a patent litigation and time to litigation allows companies to better allocate budget and time in managing their patent portfolios. We develop predictive models for estimating the likelihood of litigation for patents and the expected time to litigati…

2016-03-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates yearly improvement rates for nearly all technologies using US patent data.

problem Providing a comprehensive account of technological change rates.
method Mapping patents to technology domains, calculating average centrality, and estimating improvement rates.
result Variation in improvement rates from 1.9% to 228.8% per year, with software-based domains often the fastest.

Study predicts startup outcomes like funding, patenting, IPOs using machine learning.

problem Forecasting startup success metrics like funding, patenting, IPOs.
method Developed interpretable machine learning framework, used preprocessing, class imbalance handling, and compared multiple models.
result Achieved high AUROC values for patent, funding, and exit predictions.

Paper introduces ML for rare-event prediction in patent quality estimation.

problem Lack of predictive modeling in econ, management, tech forecasting.
method Introduces ML approach for optimizing predictive performance.
result Demonstrates synergy between ML and inferential statistics.

Automatic measurement of semantic text similarity is an important task in natural language processing. In this paper, we evaluate the performance of different vector space models to perform this task. We address the real-world problem of modeling patent-to-patent similarity and compare TFIDF (and related extensions), t…

2018-09-24abs ↗pdf ↗

We describe a number of devices for pulling candy, called taffy pullers,that are related to pseudo-Anosov maps of punctured spheres. Though the mathematical connection has long been known for the two most common taffy puller models, we unearth a rich variety of early designs from the patent literature, and introduce a …

2016-07-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops a deep learning framework to predict future tech directions for high-tech companies.

problem Difficult task in predicting future R&D trends for high-tech companies due to complexity and variety of factors.
method Deep Technology Forecasting (DTF) framework with three components: PCR, CTR, and DTT neural network.
result DTF framework precisely predicts future tech emphasis of companies using hybrid factors.

DREAM model improves computational efficiency for non-linear effects in relational event models.

problem Efficiently modeling non-linear effects in dynamic relational networks.
method Introduces Deep Relational Event Additive Model (DREAM) using Neural Additive Models.
result Demonstrates superior computational efficiency compared to traditional REM approaches.

We study the relationship between firms' performance and their technological portfolios using tools borrowed from the complexity science. In particular, we ask whether the accumulation of knowledge and capabilities related to a coherent set of technologies leads firms to experience advantages in terms of productive eff…

2017-07-07abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm classifies and generates genomic sequences using RG-flow categorifier.

problem Classifying and generating genomic sequences for disease prediction.
method RG-flow based categorifier combining quantum field theory, holographic duality, and neural ODEs.
result RG categorifier can classify and generate new sequences from genomic data.

The paper analyzes tech specialization and diversification at various scales.

problem Trade-offs between specialization and diversification in economic development.
method Patent data and Economic Complexity framework.
result Technological Coherence positively impacts growth at metropolitan areas but negatively at larger scales.

We perform an optimal localization of asymptotically flat initial data sets and construct data that have positive ADM mass but are exactly trivial outside a cone of arbitrarily small aperture. The gluing scheme that we develop allows to produce a new class of NN-body solutions for the Einstein equation, which patently…

2014-07-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Reinforcement learning improves insurance claims reserving by learning from all claim trajectories.

problem Traditional reserving models learn only from settled claims, missing valuable data from ongoing claims.
method Formulated as a Markov decision process, uses reinforcement learning to update OCL estimates sequentially.
result Soft Actor-Critic implementation achieves competitive claim-level accuracy and strong aggregate performance.

The study analyzes how bonus-malus systems and delayed claims settlement affect insurance companies' financial stability.

problem Analyzing the impact of bonus-malus systems and delayed claims settlement on insurance companies' financial stability.
method Examined a discrete-time risk model with time-varying premiums, evaluating two types of claims and settlement delays.
result Delayed settlement of by-claims leads to lower ruin probabilities under specific assumptions.

Deep Claim predicts payer responses from claims data using deep learning.

problem Predicting payer responses from claims data to improve healthcare performance.
method Learning complex dependencies in claim inputs to create a compact representation, then using deep learning to predict responses.
result Deep Claim improves claim denial prediction by 22.21%.

The tail of the distribution of a sum of a random number of independent and identically distributed nonnegative random variables depends on the tails of the number of terms and of the terms themselves. This situation is of interest in the collective risk model, where the total claim size in a portfolio is the sum of a …

2007-03-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Two machine learning models detect anomalies in ER claims, saving up to 40% in improper payments.

problem Improper health insurance payments from fraud and upcoding.
method Two machine learning models: an upcoding model based on severity code distributions and a random forest model for claim sorting.
result Random forest model saved 12% to 40% in improper payments compared to a baseline approach.

This study compares the largest claims from two insurance portfolios using stochastic orderings.

problem Comparing the largest claims from two heterogeneous insurance portfolios.
method Used various stochastic orderings and established sufficient conditions associated with model parameters.
result Established sufficient conditions for comparing the largest claims from two insurance portfolios.

Model detects insurance fraud using social network analysis.

problem Fraudulent insurance claims by exaggeration or intentional damage.
method Network construction linking claims and parties, BiRank algorithm for fraud score computation, feature extraction from network and claims, supervised model building.
result Network features improve fraud detection performance.

Model predicts individual insurance claim reserves using activation patterns.

problem Accurately predicting individual claim reserves in insurance contracts.
method Multinomial logistic regression to model claim activation and development.
result The model generates accurate predictions of total and per coverage reserves.

A new model integrates claim history and covariates for non-life insurance reserving.

problem Lack of information in traditional reserving models for non-life insurance claims.
method Hierarchical reserving model integrating claim history and covariates.
result Flexibility and robustness of the hierarchical reserving model demonstrated.

A new method for modeling insurance claim frequencies using random proportions.

problem Inaccurate fitting of classical distributions to insurance claim frequency data.
method Modeling claim frequencies using random proportions of insurance contracts and applying goodness-of-fit tests.
result A new statistical approach for better modeling insurance claim frequencies.

The paper introduces BCART models for aggregate claim amount, improving frequency-severity and joint modeling.

problem Modeling aggregate claim amount with frequency-severity and joint dependencies.
method Developed three types of BCART models: frequency-severity, sequential, and joint models. Used various distributions for claim severity data.
result Weibull distribution outperforms gamma and lognormal for right-skewed, heavy-tailed claim severity data.

Study on risk model with claims, dividends, and random probabilities.

problem Analyzing a risk model with claims, delayed claims, and randomized dividends.
method Discrete time Compound Beta-Binomial Risk Model with recursive expressions for Gerber-Shiu function.
result Recursive relations for ruin-related quantities obtained.