Extracting significant places or places of interest (POIs) using individuals' spatio-temporal data is of fundamental importance for human mobility analysis. Classical clustering methods have been used in prior work for detecting POIs, but without considering temporal constraints. Usually, the involved parameters for cl…
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48 results for “POI prediction”
VisitHGNN predicts visit probabilities between neighborhoods and POIs using graph neural networks.
problem Estimating visit probabilities between neighborhoods and POIs for urban planning.
method Heterogeneous, relation-specific graph neural network (VisitHGNN) trained on mobility data.
result Strong predictive performance with high fidelity to observed travel behavior.
Urban2Vec: Incorporating Street View Imagery and POIs for Multi-Modal Urban Neighborhood Embeddingcs.LG
Urban2Vec combines street view imagery and POIs for better urban neighborhood embeddings.
problem Lack of comprehensive representation of urban neighborhoods using heterogeneous data.
method Unsupervised multi-modal framework using CNN for visual features and bag-of-words for POI data.
result Urban2Vec achieves better performance than baseline models and comparable to fully-supervised methods.
A model for POI recommendation using relation embedding.
problem Challenges in POI recommendation due to sparse user-POI matrix and varying context.
method Translation-based relation embedding using Knowledge Graph Embedding techniques, combined matrix factorization framework.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of the proposed model on real-world datasets.
Trajectory owner prediction is the basis for many applications such as personalized recommendation, urban planning. Although much effort has been put on this topic, the results archived are still not good enough. Existing methods mainly employ RNNs to model trajectories semantically due to the inherent sequential attri…
Trip recommendation is an important location-based service that helps relieve users from the time and efforts for trip planning. It aims to recommend a sequence of places of interest (POIs) for a user to visit that maximizes the user's satisfaction. When adding a POI to a recommended trip, it is essential to understand…
Next point-of-interest (POI) recommendation aims to offer suggestions on which POI to visit next, given a user's POI visit history. This problem has a wide application in the tourism industry, and it is gaining an increasing interest as more POI check-in data become available. The problem is often modeled as a sequenti…
With the availability of vast amounts of user visitation history on location-based social networks (LBSN), the problem of Point-of-Interest (POI) prediction has been extensively studied. However, much of the research has been conducted solely on voluntary checkin datasets collected from social apps such as Foursquare o…
PriRec preserves privacy in POI recommendation by keeping data and models on users' devices.
problem Privacy concerns in centralized POI recommendation models.
method Local differential privacy for sensitive data, secure decentralized gradient descent for linear models, secure aggregation for feature interactions.
result PriRec achieves comparable or better recommendation accuracy than FM while protecting user privacy.
Point-of-Interest (POI) recommender systems play a vital role in people's lives by recommending unexplored POIs to users and have drawn extensive attention from both academia and industry. Despite their value, however, they still suffer from the challenges of capturing complicated user preferences and fine-grained user…
DMF improves POI recommendation privacy and efficiency.
problem Privacy leaks and high computation/storage costs in centralized MF.
method Decentralized Matrix Factorization (DMF) with random walk training.
result DMF significantly improves recommendation performance.
Recently, the online car-hailing service, Didi, has emerged as a leader in the sharing economy. Used by passengers and drivers extensive, it becomes increasingly important for the car-hailing service providers to minimize the waiting time of passengers and optimize the vehicle utilization, thus to improve the overall u…
GSNE improves house price predictions by embedding geo-spatial context.
problem Lack of contextual information in house price prediction models.
method Geo-Spatial Network Embedding (GSNE) using graph neural networks.
result GSNE embeddings consistently improve house price prediction performance.
Understanding Urban Dynamics via Context-aware Tensor Factorization with Neighboring Regularizationcs.LG
Recent years have witnessed the world-wide emergence of mega-metropolises with incredibly huge populations. Understanding residents mobility patterns, or urban dynamics, thus becomes crucial for building modern smart cities. In this paper, we propose a Neighbor-Regularized and context-aware Non-negative Tensor Factoriz…
In this paper, we investigate the common scenario where every candidate item for recommendation is characterized by a maximum capacity, i.e., number of seats in a Point-of-Interest (POI) or size of an item's inventory. Despite the prevalence of the task of recommending items under capacity constraints in a variety of s…
The understanding of geographical reality is a process of data representation and pattern discovery. Former studies mainly adopted continuous-field models to represent spatial variables and to investigate the underlying spatial continuity/heterogeneity in the regular spatial domain. In this article, we introduce a more…
Space2Vec learns multi-scale spatial representations from grid cell insights.
problem Encoding spatial features with varying scales from GIS data.
method Proposes Space2Vec, a multi-scale representation learning model using grid cell insights.
result Space2Vec outperforms baselines in predicting POI types and image classification with geo-locations.
DETECT clusters mobility behaviors from trajectories using deep learning.
problem Clustering similar mobility behaviors in large, complex trajectory data.
method DETECT uses deep learning to cluster mobility behaviors from trajectories, transforming and summarizing them to identify similar behaviors.
result DETECT effectively clusters mobility behaviors from real-world datasets.
This paper calculates the exact probability distribution of hypervolume improvement for bi-objective problems.
problem Calculating the exact probability distribution of hypervolume improvement in bi-objective problems.
method Cell partition-based method to derive the probability distribution of hypervolume improvement from a bi-variate Gaussian random variable.
result The proposed -PoHVI acquisition function outperforms other related functions in Bayesian optimization.
Spatio-temporal (ST) data for urban applications, such as taxi demand, traffic flow, regional rainfall is inherently stochastic and unpredictable. Recently, deep learning based ST prediction models are proposed to learn the ST characteristics of data. However, it is still very challenging (1) to adequately learn the co…
Policy optimization is an effective reinforcement learning approach to solve continuous control tasks. Recent achievements have shown that alternating online and offline optimization is a successful choice for efficient trajectory reuse. However, deciding when to stop optimizing and collect new trajectories is non-triv…
Smartphones and portable devices have become ubiquitous and part of everyone's life. Due to the fact of its portability, these devices are perfect to record individuals' traces and life-logging generating vast amounts of data at low costs. These data is emerging as a new source for studies in human mobility patterns ra…
PHP connects to ReLU neural networks for scalable Bayesian inference.
problem Scalability and Bayesian inference in two-layer ReLU neural networks.
method PHP with Gaussian prior, decomposition propositions, annealed sequential Monte Carlo.
result PHP provides an alternative scalable representation for two-layer ReLU neural networks.
Study of embedding spaces using homotopy theory and operads.
problem Understanding the stable homotopy type of embedding spaces.
method Analysis of cubes of framed configuration spaces, homotopy theory of presheaves, operadic structures.
result Induced action of the Poisson operad on the homology of configuration spaces is a homotopy invariant.
In the field of multi-objective optimization algorithms, multi-objective Bayesian Global Optimization (MOBGO) is an important branch, in addition to evolutionary multi-objective optimization algorithms (EMOAs). MOBGO utilizes Gaussian Process models learned from previous objective function evaluations to decide the nex…
In recent years, dock-less shared bikes have been widely spread across many cities in China and facilitate people's lives. However, at the same time, it also raises many problems about dock-less shared bike management due to the mismatching between demands and real distribution of bikes. Before deploying dock-less shar…
Fuzzy prediction sets generalize binary predictions to include elements at varying confidence levels.
problem Binary prediction sets are limited; fuzzy prediction sets offer richer guarantees.
method Generalize prediction sets to fuzzy sets, showing they are e-values with merging properties.
result Optimal e-values lead to optimal fuzzy prediction sets, including optimal conformal prediction.
Self-calibrating conformal prediction improves interval efficiency and offers a practical alternative.
problem Improving the reliability and uncertainty quantification of machine learning predictions.
method Combines Venn-Abers calibration and conformal prediction for binary and regression problems.
result Improves interval efficiency through model calibration and offers practical alternatives.
Study uses deep learning to predict asset prices, finds complex target processes lead to meaningless predictions.
problem Complexity of successful price prediction models hinders understanding.
method Deep learning models for high-frequency price prediction, focusing on volatility and directional prediction.
result Inadequately defined target price process renders predictions meaningless.
The paper emphasizes the importance of joint predictions over marginal predictions for decision-making.
problem The need for accurate joint predictions in decision-making problems.
method The paper analyzes combinatorial decision problems, sequential predictions, and multi-armed bandits, introducing an approximate Thompson sampling algorithm and new regret bounds.
result Accurate joint predictions are essential for good performance in decision-making problems.
Behavior modification improves prediction accuracy by nudging user behavior.
problem Improving prediction accuracy using behavior modification techniques.
method Combining prediction and behavior modification with reinforcement learning algorithms.
result Behavior modification can make predictions more certain but may not generalize.
Conformal predictive systems are a recent modification of conformal predictors that output, in regression problems, probability distributions for labels of test observations rather than set predictions. The extra information provided by conformal predictive systems may be useful, e.g., in decision making problems. Conf…
Predictions can shape outcomes, study helps predict these effects.
problem Understanding how predictions influence real-world outcomes.
method Causal identifiability analysis of prediction-covariate-outcome relationships.
result Standard supervised learning can identify transferable relationships from predictions.
Prediction problems often admit competing models that perform almost equally well. This effect challenges key assumptions in machine learning when competing models assign conflicting predictions. In this paper, we define predictive multiplicity as the ability of a prediction problem to admit competing models with confl…
Proposes feature conformal prediction for broader application in semantic feature spaces.
problem Establishing valid prediction intervals in semantic feature spaces.
method Extends conformal prediction to semantic feature spaces using deep representation learning.
result Feature conformal prediction outperforms regular conformal prediction under mild assumptions.
Acute kidney injury (AKI) commonly occurs in hospitalized patients and can lead to serious medical complications. In order to optimally predict AKI before it develops at any time during a hospital stay, we present a novel framework in which AKI is continually predicted automatically from EHR data over the entire hospit…
AutoCP automates the construction of accurate prediction intervals.
problem Creating valid and accurate prediction intervals for machine learning models.
method AutoML framework that optimizes prediction interval length for better accuracy and less conservatism.
result AutoCP significantly outperforms benchmark algorithms in constructing accurate prediction intervals.
Proposes a method to apply conformal prediction to probabilistic time series forecasting models.
problem Obtaining accurate prediction regions for multi-step time series forecasting with probabilistic models.
method Conformalises conditional normalising flows to generate potentially disjoint prediction regions.
result Improves predictive efficiency in time series forecasting with multimodal distributions.
ICP improves prediction intervals for continuous outcomes at lower computational cost.
problem Systematic bias in point predictions that undermines their use in decision-making.
method Develops Isotonic Conformal Prediction (ICP) framework to decouple calibration from prediction-set construction.
result SICP and TICP procedures match SC-CP coverage at lower computational cost.
Optimizes predictions for specific tasks using parametrized decision analysis.
problem Optimizing predictions for specific decision tasks of interest.
method Designs a class of parametrized actions for Bayesian decision analysis.
result Derives efficient and interpretable solutions for various action parametrizations and loss functions.
This paper discusses a counterpart of conformal prediction for e-values, conformal e-prediction. Conformal e-prediction is conceptually simpler and had been developed in the 1990s as a precursor of conformal prediction. When conformal prediction emerged as result of replacing e-values by p-values, it seemed to have imp…
RFpredInterval: An R Package for Prediction Intervals with Random Forests and Boosted Forestsstat.ML
RFpredInterval package builds prediction intervals for random forests and boosted forests.
problem Quantifying uncertainty in random forest and boosted forest point predictions.
method 16 methods to build prediction intervals with random forests and boosted forests.
result The proposed method outperforms existing methods in building prediction intervals.
FPPI selectively uses predictions to improve inference efficiency.
problem Improving statistical inference with limited labeled data and heterogeneous prediction quality.
method Filtered Prediction-Powered Inference (FPPI) framework.
result FPPI achieves strictly improved asymptotic efficiency compared to existing methods.
COP improves online conformal prediction by incorporating data patterns, leading to tighter prediction sets.
problem Overly conservative prediction sets in online conformal prediction methods when data distribution shifts.
method Conformal Optimistic Prediction (COP) incorporating estimated cumulative distribution function of non-conformity scores.
result COP produces tighter prediction sets with valid coverage guarantees, outperforming other methods.
Most existing examples of full conformal predictive systems, split-conformal predictive systems, and cross-conformal predictive systems impose severe restrictions on the adaptation of predictive distributions to the test object at hand. In this paper we develop split-conformal and cross-conformal predictive systems tha…
This paper studies trade-offs in private prediction methods.
problem Leakage of training data information in machine learning predictions.
method Private training and private prediction methods with trade-offs.
result Private training methods outperform private prediction methods in various settings.
Conformal prediction helps quantify uncertainty but its use by humans is unclear.
problem Uncertainty quantification in predictions for human decision making.
method Decision theoretic framework for evaluating predictive uncertainty.
result Conformal prediction sets and human decision making goals are in tension.
New tree splitting criteria improve probabilistic predictions.
problem Improving tree-based nonparametric predictive distributions.
method Using proper scoring rules for tree splitting criteria.
result Trees with new splitting criteria produce better predictive distributions.