Exact simulation of correlated binary outcomes using PMF constraints and linear programming.
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Trend · papers per month
A simple method for estimating PMF on large supports, preserving structure and suppressing noise.
Estimating the joint probability mass function (PMF) of a set of random variables lies at the heart of statistical learning and signal processing. Without structural assumptions, such as modeling the variables as a Markov chain, tree, or other graphical model, joint PMF estimation is often considered mission impossible…
This paper presents a Bayesian method for estimating the rank of a low-rank tensor model of joint PMF.
Kaimanovich and Masur showed that a random walk on the mapping class group for an initial distribution with finite first moment and whose support generates a non-elementary subgroup, converges almost surely to a point in the space PMF of projective measured foliations on the surface. This defines a harmonic measure on …
New method selects features via tensor decomposition and submodular optimization.
There has recently been considerable interest in completing a low-rank matrix or tensor given only a small fraction (or few linear combinations) of its entries. Related approaches have found considerable success in the area of recommender systems, under machine learning. From a statistical estimation point of view, the…
CG-BGs combine flow-based models with PMFs to sample large systems efficiently.
In this paper, we investigate the common scenario where every candidate item for recommendation is characterized by a maximum capacity, i.e., number of seats in a Point-of-Interest (POI) or size of an item's inventory. Despite the prevalence of the task of recommending items under capacity constraints in a variety of s…
Estimates joint probability distribution from 1-way marginals using low-rank tensors and random projections.
Probabilistic matrix factorization (PMF) is a powerful method for modeling data associated with pairwise relationships, finding use in collaborative filtering, computational biology, and document analysis, among other areas. In many domains, there is additional information that can assist in prediction. For example, wh…
Probabilistic matrix factorization (PMF) is a powerful method for modeling data associ- ated with pairwise relationships, Finding use in collaborative Filtering, computational bi- ology, and document analysis, among other areas. In many domains, there are additional covariates that can assist in prediction. For example…
Develops probabilistic models for gene regulatory network inference.
Recommender systems recommend items more accurately by analyzing users' potential interest on different brands' items. In conjunction with users' rating similarity, the presence of users' implicit feedbacks like clicking items, viewing items specifications, watching videos etc. have been proved to be helpful for learni…
We propose a novel exponentially-modified Gaussian (EMG) mixture residual model. The EMG mixture is well suited to model residuals that are contaminated by a distribution with positive support. This is in contrast to commonly used robust residual models, like the Huber loss or , which assume a symmetric contami…
We construct a Teichmuller geodesic which does not have a limit on the Thurston boundary of the Teichmuller space.
This work proposes a new method to estimate joint probability from pairwise marginals, reducing sample complexity.
Paper proves non-arithmetic Teichmüller length spectra for subgroup of mapping class groups.
Polytopic Matrix Factorization models data as latent vectors from a polytope, maximizing determinant for identifiability.
Previous work on recommender systems mainly focus on fitting the ratings provided by users. However, the response patterns, i.e., some items are rated while others not, are generally ignored. We argue that failing to observe such response patterns can lead to biased parameter estimation and sub-optimal model performanc…
This project compares MCMC and VI for Bayesian PMF on MovieLens.
We consider the limit set in Thurston's compactification PMF of Teichmueller space of some Teichmueller geodesics defined by quadratic differentials with minimal but not uniquely ergodic vertical foliations. We show that a) there are quadratic differentials so that the limit set of the geodesic is a unique point, b) th…
Application of discrete-time survival methods for continuous-time survival prediction is considered. For this purpose, a scheme for discretization of continuous-time data is proposed by considering the quantiles of the estimated event-time distribution, and, for smaller data sets, it is found to be preferable over the …
For a convex cocompact subgroup , and points we obtain asymptotic formulas as of as well as the number of conjugacy classes of pseudo-Anosov elements in of dilatation at most . We do this by developing an analogue of Patterson-Sullivan theory for the…
PRZI traders adapt their quote-prices based on a strategy parameter s, affecting market dynamics.
Rare Teichmüller disks converge to small limit sets.
Introduce a thermodynamically informed, temperature-transferable MLCG framework for proteins.
Paper shows ergodicity and irreducibility of mapping class group boundary representation.
Graph convolutional neural networks (GCNNs) have been attracting increasing research attention due to its great potential in inference over graph structures. However, insufficient effort has been devoted to the aggregation methods between different convolution graph layers. In this paper, we introduce a graph attribute…
We study the asymptotic behavior of the solution curves of the dynamics of spacetimes of the topological type , , where is a closed Riemann surface of genus , in the regime of dimensional classical general relativity. The configuration space of the gauge fixed dynamics is i…
I propose a frequency domain adaptation of the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm to group a family of time series in classes of similar dynamic structure. It does this by viewing the magnitude of the discrete Fourier transform (DFT) of each signal (or power spectrum) as a probability density/mass function (pdf/pm…
Matrix factorization (MF) has become a common approach to collaborative filtering, due to ease of implementation and scalability to large data sets. Two existing drawbacks of the basic model is that it does not incorporate side information on either users or items, and assumes a common variance for all users. We extend…
While the Matrix Generalized Inverse Gaussian () distribution arises naturally in some settings as a distribution over symmetric positive semi-definite matrices, certain key properties of the distribution and effective ways of sampling from the distribution have not been carefully studied. In this paper…
Transforms uniform learners to work under arbitrary distributions efficiently.
Improved SVI with adjustable annealing for better optimization.
Study recovers tree structure in noisy MRFs with support size 3 or more.
This work tackles multivariate CDFs and copulas using tensor factorization.
Each training step for a variational autoencoder (VAE) requires us to sample from the approximate posterior, so we usually choose simple (e.g. factorised) approximate posteriors in which sampling is an efficient computation that fully exploits GPU parallelism. However, such simple approximate posteriors are often insuf…
Study analyzes Airbnb lead-time distributions for Nights Booked and Gross Booking Value, finding divergent shapes and tail behavior.
A new algorithm tackles submodular bandit problems with multiple constraints.
This work proposes an online learning approach to tighten constraints in stochastic control problems.
We study constrained clustering, where constraints guide the clustering process. In existing works, two categories of constraints have been widely explored, namely pairwise and cardinality constraints. Pairwise constraints enforce the cluster labels of two instances to be the same (must-link constraints) or different (…
Simplifies neural network constraints with computationally efficient method.
Reduces Lie (bi-)algebroids and Dirac manifolds using constraint vector bundles.
Optimistic algorithm reduces regret and constraint violations in online convex optimization with adversarial constraints.
Holistic GLMs add constraints for better model quality.
Paper tackles constrained bandit problems with a new learning framework.
In the present paper, the minimal investment risk for a portfolio optimization problem with imposed budget and investment concentration constraints is considered using replica analysis. Since the minimal investment risk is influenced by the investment concentration constraint (as well as the budget constraint), it is i…