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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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60121181241 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for Overlap control

CausalMix generates synthetic data with causal controls for mixed-type tables.

problem Synthetic data for causal inference with mixed-type and multimodal tabular data.
method CausalMix combines Gaussian latent priors with data-type-specific decoders for control over overlap, confounding, and treatment effect heterogeneity.
result CausalMix achieves state-of-the-art distributional metrics and stable causal control.

Proposes a sensitivity framework to handle limited overlap in causal inference.

problem Limited overlap between treated and control groups in observational studies.
method Sensitivity framework based on worst-case confidence bounds on bias introduced by trimming.
result Protects against spurious findings by quantifying uncertainty in regions with limited overlap.

Deconfounding scores improve causal effect estimation with weak overlap.

problem Poor overlap in treatment and control groups makes causal effect estimators brittle.
method Introduces feature representations that improve overlap without introducing bias.
result Deconfounding scores satisfy a zero-covariance condition that is identifiable in observed data.

New method identifies how platforms can influence consumer behavior.

problem Estimating the causal effect of digital platforms on consumption.
method General causal inference problem, focusing on observational designs, and explicitly modeling consumption dynamics.
result Exogenous variation in consumption and responsive algorithmic control actions are sufficient for identifying steerability of consumption.

New LT-O-learners improve HLTE estimation with low overlap.

problem Challenges in estimating heterogeneous long-term treatment effects due to limited overlap.
method Introduces LT-O-learners that use custom overlap weights to downweight low-overlap samples.
result LT-O-learners provide robust HLTE estimates with lower variance in low-overlap regimes.

New risk control method for non-monotonic losses in complex parameters.

problem Controlling risk for non-monotonic losses with multidimensional parameters.
method Stability-based guarantees for generic algorithms applied to non-monotonic losses.
result Guarantees depend on algorithm stability, with looser guarantees for unstable algorithms.

In the paradigm of multi-task learning, mul- tiple related prediction tasks are learned jointly, sharing information across the tasks. We propose a framework for multi-task learn- ing that enables one to selectively share the information across the tasks. We assume that each task parameter vector is a linear combi- nat…

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

New study on time series anomaly detection shows overlapping inference improves performance.

problem Heterogeneous evaluation practices and inference procedures in time series anomaly detection.
method Unified training, tuning, and evaluation protocol on TSB-AD benchmark, analyzing overlapping vs. disjoint inference.
result Overlapping inference yields consistent improvements, with average relative gain up to +28%.

The goal of confidence-set learning in the binary classification setting is to construct two sets, each with a specific probability guarantee to cover a class. An observation outside the overlap of the two sets is deemed to be from one of the two classes, while the overlap is an ambiguity region which could belong to e…

2018-09-28abs ↗pdf ↗

In a standard cluster analysis, such as k-means, in addition to clusters locations and distances between them, it's important to know if they are connected or well separated from each other. The main focus of this paper is discovering the relations between the resulting clusters. We propose a new method which is based …

2017-05-18abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper provides concentration inequalities for Markov chain variance estimators.

problem Estimating the variance of Markov chains with concentration properties.
method Martingale decomposition method for uniformly geometrically ergodic Markov chains.
result Explicit control of the p-th moment of the OBM estimator difference and dependence on p and mixing time.

Proposes efficient estimators for weighted cumulative treatment effects in observational studies.

problem Inconsistent and inefficient estimators due to model misspecification and lack of overlap.
method Double/debiased machine learning for weighted cumulative causal effects.
result Proposed estimators are consistent, asymptotically linear, and reach semiparametric efficiency bounds.

Emergent misalignment is influenced by training dynamics, model priors, and data.

problem Emergent misalignment in models
method Exploring training dynamics, model priors, and data
result Activation deltas before and after narrow fine-tuning correlate with their similarities when measured with the last prompt-token activations.

We develop a generalisation of disentanglement in VAEs---decomposition of the latent representation---characterising it as the fulfilment of two factors: a) the latent encodings of the data having an appropriate level of overlap, and b) the aggregate encoding of the data conforming to a desired structure, represented t…

2018-12-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Catastrophic forgetting continues to severely restrict the learnability of controllers suitable for multiple task environments. Efforts to combat catastrophic forgetting reported in the literature to date have focused on how control systems can be updated more rapidly, hastening their adjustment from good initial setti…

2019-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes efficient data acquisition for personalized treatment effects from observational data.

problem Efficiently acquiring outcomes for personalized treatment effects in observational studies.
method Introduces causal, Bayesian acquisition functions to select points with overlapping support.
result Demonstrates improved sample efficiency and accuracy in learning personalized treatment effects.

Curriculum learning and imitation learning improve control over financial time-series data.

problem Improving control performance over complex financial time-series data.
method Data augmentation for curriculum learning and policy distillation for imitation learning.
result Curriculum learning shows significant improvement over time-series control tasks.

We quantify forgetting in post-training models, distinguishing mass and drift.

problem Understanding and preventing forgetting in post-training generative models.
method Developed theoretical results under a two-mode mixture abstraction, formalizing mass and drift forgetting.
result Forgetting can be precisely quantified based on divergence direction, geometric overlap, and training regime.

Improved FDR control for sparse financial index tracking.

problem Maintaining FDR control in high-dimensional financial data with strong variable dependencies.
method Expanding T-Rex framework to handle overlapping groups of correlated variables with nearest neighbors penalization.
result Accurately tracks the S&P 500 index using only a small number of stocks.

Overlapping clustering problem is an important learning issue in which clusters are not mutually exclusive and each object may belongs simultaneously to several clusters. This paper presents a kernel based method that produces overlapping clusters on a high feature space using mercer kernel techniques to improve separa…

2012-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Deconfounding scores improve causal effect estimation with weak overlap.

problem Challenges in causal treatment effect estimation due to weak overlap in high-dimensional data.
method Propose deconfounding scores to preserve identification and target estimation while improving overlap.
result Prognostic scores are overlap-optimal under a broad family of generalized linear models with Gaussian features.

A new method speeds up overlapping group lasso computations.

problem Time-consuming optimization of overlapping group lasso on large-scale problems.
method Non-overlapping statistical approximation to overlapping group lasso.
result The proposed penalty is statistically equivalent to overlapping group lasso.

Optimizes electric field to control molecule states in Hartree-Fock theory.

problem Optimizing electric field to drive molecule from initial to target state.
method Trust region optimization with gradients from adjoint state method.
result Achieves desired target states with minimal control effort.

Class-conditional extensions of generative adversarial networks (GANs), such as auxiliary classifier GAN (AC-GAN) and conditional GAN (cGAN), have garnered attention owing to their ability to decompose representations into class labels and other factors and to boost the training stability. However, a limitation is that…

2018-11-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Producing overlapping schemes is a major issue in clustering. Recent proposed overlapping methods relies on the search of an optimal covering and are based on different metrics, such as Euclidean distance and I-Divergence, used to measure closeness between observations. In this paper, we propose the use of another meas…

2012-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

The study simplifies assessing overlap in logistic regression models using empirical likelihood.

problem Assessing overlap in multidimensional logistic regression models.
method Translation of Silvapulle's condition to empirical likelihood maximization, mechanized with R code.
result Minimal overlapping structures are cataloged in dimensions less than four, providing rules for higher dimensions.

Study shows how transformers classify symbols without naming them, proving a margin-versus-collision criterion.

problem How transformers classify symbols without naming them.
method Logistic classification analysis of transformer-kernel regime, colored collision graph.
result Decomposes learned predictor into ideal template-level classifier and finite-sample perturbation.

Designing a controller for autonomous vehicles capable of providing adequate performance in all driving scenarios is challenging due to the highly complex environment and inability to test the system in the wide variety of scenarios which it may encounter after deployment. However, deep learning methods have shown grea…

2019-12-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Recently, to solve large-scale lasso and group lasso problems, screening rules have been developed, the goal of which is to reduce the problem size by efficiently discarding zero coefficients using simple rules independently of the others. However, screening for overlapping group lasso remains an open challenge because…

2014-10-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Clustering of data sets is a standard problem in many areas of science and engineering. The method of spectral clustering is based on embedding the data set using a kernel function, and using the top eigenvectors of the normalized Laplacian to recover the connected components. We study the performance of spectral clust…

2014-04-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Community detection is a fundamental problem in network analysis which is made more challenging by overlaps between communities which often occur in practice. Here we propose a general, flexible, and interpretable generative model for overlapping communities, which can be thought of as a generalization of the degree-co…

2014-12-10abs ↗pdf ↗

RISA improves VFL by using imputed samples with low uncertainty.

problem Limited overlapping samples constrain VFL performance.
method Imputing non-overlapping samples and using evidence theory to select reliable imputed samples.
result Significant performance gains achieved, especially with limited overlapping samples.

New method estimates individual treatment effects using domain generalization.

problem Estimating causal individual treatment effects from observational data with treatment bias.
method Invariant Risk Minimization (IRM) framework to learn predictors invariant to domain-dependent factors.
result IRM-based ITE estimator shows gains over classical regression approaches in settings with pronounced support mismatch.

Overlap-Local-SGD improves distributed SGD by overlapping communication and computation.

problem High communication delay and node slowdown in distributed SGD.
method Adding an anchor model to synchronize local updates and pull them towards the anchor model.
result Overlap-Local-SGD speeds up distributed training and mitigates straggler effects.