Risk management in financial derivative markets requires inevitably the calculation of the different price sensitivities. The literature contains an abundant amount of research works that have studied the computation of these important values. Most of these works consider the well-known Black and Scholes model where th…
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48 results for “Order Sensitivity”
New Monte Carlo method outperforms existing strategy for estimating Sobol' indices.
problem Estimating first-and total-orders Sobol' indices accurately.
method Comparing two Monte Carlo estimators for Sobol' indices.
result New method outperforms current approach in accuracy.
Transformers for binary decisions are sensitive to evidence order, leading to unreliable outcomes.
problem Order sensitivity in Transformers for binary decisions leads to unreliable outcomes.
method Formalized an expectation-realization gap and developed QMV and EDFL bounds.
result Uniform permutation mixtures reduce dispersion and improve reliability.
Recent work has explored how to train machine learning models which do not discriminate against any subgroup of the population as determined by sensitive attributes such as gender or race. To avoid disparate treatment, sensitive attributes should not be considered. On the other hand, in order to avoid disparate impact,…
We demonstrate an application of risk-sensitive reinforcement learning to optimizing execution in limit order book markets. We represent taking order execution decisions based on limit order book knowledge by a Markov Decision Process; and train a trading agent in a market simulator, which emulates multi-agent interact…
Study local sensitivity of HDD and CDD temperature derivatives prices.
problem Understanding how temperature derivatives prices change with small temperature changes.
method Analyzes sensitivity of HDD and CDD futures and options prices to temperature perturbations using a CAR process.
result Identifies the order of the CAR process and its impact on temperature derivatives prices.
Cost-Sensitive Online Classification has drawn extensive attention in recent years, where the main approach is to directly online optimize two well-known cost-sensitive metrics: (i) weighted sum of sensitivity and specificity; (ii) weighted misclassification cost. However, previous existing methods only considered firs…
In this paper, we propose an effective THresholding method based on ORder Statistic, called THORS, to convert an arbitrary scoring-type classifier, which can induce a continuous cumulative distribution function of the score, into a cost-sensitive one. The procedure, uses order statistic to find an optimal threshold for…
We analyze how uncertainty in models affects optimization outcomes using Wasserstein distances.
problem Sensitivity of optimization problems to model uncertainty.
method Non-parametric approach using Wasserstein balls to capture uncertainty, providing explicit corrections for value function and optimizer.
result Explicit formulae for first-order corrections to value function and optimizer.
Researchers quantify risk exposure and sensitivities in financial markets under model uncertainty.
problem Optimizing investment and pricing under model uncertainty in financial markets.
method Distributionally robust optimization, Wasserstein ball, first-order sensitivity analysis.
result Sensitivities of value function, investment policy, and marginal prices to model uncertainty can be non-monotonic.
FairGP uses graph partitioning to make Graph Transformers fair and scalable.
problem Fairness issues in Graph Transformers, especially against sensitive features.
method Graph partitioning to minimize the influence of higher-order nodes and optimize attention mechanisms.
result FairGP improves fairness in Graph Transformers while reducing computational complexity.
Selecting the right drugs for the right patients is a primary goal of precision medicine. In this manuscript, we consider the problem of cancer drug selection in a learning-to-rank framework. We have formulated the cancer drug selection problem as to accurately predicting 1). the ranking positions of sensitive drugs an…
Motivated by safety-critical classification problems, we investigate adversarial attacks against cost-sensitive classifiers. We use current state-of-the-art adversarially-resistant neural network classifiers [1] as the underlying models. Cost-sensitive predictions are then achieved via a final processing step in the fe…
This paper improves robot traders' market impact sensitivity.
problem Market impact in automated trading systems.
method Critiqued existing methods, introduced MLOFI, and demonstrated new algorithms.
result New imbalance-sensitive trader-agents exhibit market impact effects.
New method speeds up causal sensitivity analysis.
problem Bounding causal effects in unobserved confounding.
method Amortized approach using prior-data fitted networks.
result Orders of magnitude faster computation.
Sensitivity analysis of the utility maximization problem with respect to model perturbationsq-fin.PM
We study the sensitivity of the expected utility maximization problem in a continuous semi-martingale market with respect to small changes in the market price of risk. Assuming that the preferences of a rational economic agent are modeled with a general utility function, we obtain a second-order expansion of the value …
Two of the most important areas in computational finance: Greeks and, respectively, calibration, are based on efficient and accurate computation of a large number of sensitivities. This paper gives an overview of adjoint and automatic differentiation (AD), also known as algorithmic differentiation, techniques to calcul…
Proposes a sensitivity framework to handle limited overlap in causal inference.
problem Limited overlap between treated and control groups in observational studies.
method Sensitivity framework based on worst-case confidence bounds on bias introduced by trimming.
result Protects against spurious findings by quantifying uncertainty in regions with limited overlap.
Path weighting sensitivitiesmath.PR
The paper calculates sensitivities for financial derivatives using path weighting methods.
problem Computing sensitivities for path-dependent financial derivatives with high variance and degeneracy issues.
method Proposes explicit path weighting formula, variance reduction adjustment, and covariance inflation technique.
result Effective methods to address high variance and degeneracy in sensitivities computation.
We study a risk sensitive control version of the lifetime ruin probability problem. We consider a sequence of investments problems in Black-Scholes market that includes a risky asset and a riskless asset. We present a differential game that governs the limit behavior. We solve it explicitly and use it in order to find …
Fairness is becoming a rising concern w.r.t. machine learning model performance. Especially for sensitive fields such as criminal justice and loan decision, eliminating the prediction discrimination towards a certain group of population (characterized by sensitive features like race and gender) is important for enhanci…
New method achieves small-loss regret bounds in random-order model.
problem Online learning with adversarial loss functions in random order.
method Extending batch-to-online transformation, using average sensitivity and stability.
result Small-loss regret bounds of order .
With the growth of renewable generation (RG) and the development of associated ride through curves serving as operating limits, during disturbances, on violation of these limits, the power system is at risk of losing large amounts of generation. In order to identify preventive control measures that avoid such scenarios…
This study generalizes an econophysics model to account for trader heterogeneity, finding robust power-law exponents but sensitive prefactors.
problem The original Lillo-Mike-Farmer model assumed homogeneity in traders' order-splitting strategies, which this study generalizes.
method The study proposes a generalised Lillo-Mike-Farmer model and solves it exactly without heuristic assumptions.
result The power-law exponent in the order-sign ACF is robust for arbitrary heterogeneous intensity distributions, but the prefactor is sensitive to heterogeneity.
Transforms offline algorithms to online with low regret in random order model.
problem Developing online algorithms with low approximate regret from offline approximation algorithms.
method General reduction theorem and coreset construction method.
result Achieves polylogarithmic ε-approximate regret for various online problems.
The study sets lower bounds on MMSE for inferring sensitive features from noisy data.
problem Estimating sensitive features from noisy observations of correlated features.
method Adversarial evaluation framework based on MMSE estimation with theoretical lower bounds.
result Derives closed-form bounds for linear models, showing optimality in noise variance.
SONODEs and ANODEs improve learning of second order dynamics.
problem Learning dynamics governed by second order laws.
method Extended adjoint sensitivity method and theoretical analysis of ANODEs.
result SONODEs and ANODEs can learn higher order dynamics efficiently.
Hedging methods to mitigate the exposure of variable annuity products to market risks require the calculation of market risk sensitivities (or "Greeks"). The complex, path-dependent nature of these products means these sensitivities typically must be estimated by Monte Carlo simulation. Standard market practice is to m…
New framework for higher-order singular-value derivatives of rectangular matrices.
problem Challenging to derive higher-order Fréchet derivatives of singular values in real rectangular matrices.
method Using Kato's analytic perturbation theory for self-adjoint operators and embedding rectangular matrices into block self-adjoint operators.
result Closed-form expressions for the -th order spectral variations of singular values.
Study risk-sensitive market making with entropy regularization for better quote control.
problem Risk-sensitive market making with exponential utility and penalties.
method Entropy-regularized certainty-equivalent Bellman policies for discrete-time market dynamics.
result Proves convergence and performance bounds for entropy-regularized policies.
We use the Heegaard-Floer homology correction terms defined by Ozsváth--Szabó to formulate a new obstruction for a knot to be of finite order in the smooth concordance group. This obstruction bears a formal resemblance to that of Casson and Gordon but is sensitive to the difference between the smooth versus topological…
The paper examines stability of ReLU networks in tangent space and activation regions.
problem Stability and sensitivity of ReLU networks to small changes.
method Tangent sensitivity measure for ReLU networks, focusing on stability induced by individual examples.
result Tangent sensitivity correlates with the distribution of activation regions and generalization gap.
Proposes a method to improve surrogate models by incorporating sensitivity information.
problem Pruned neural networks often fail to capture sensitivities and uncertainties of original models.
method Combines Interval Adjoint Significance Analysis and Sobolev Training to accurately model sensitivities.
result Pruned models based on the proposed method better match original sensitivities.
PARD generates graphs efficiently and invariantly to node ordering.
problem Graph generation sensitivity to node ordering.
method Integrates autoregressive and diffusion models with a partial order for nodes and edges.
result PARD achieves state-of-the-art performance on molecular and non-molecular datasets.
New methods for calculating credit valuation adjustment with reduced noise and faster computation.
problem High statistical noise in computing sensitivities of CVA due to non-differentiable default intensities.
method Ad hoc analytical estimators to overcome non-differentiability and finite differences.
result Low statistical noise and fast computation of sensitivities to market quotes.
We propose a method for zeroth order stochastic convex optimization that attains the suboptimality rate of after queries for a convex bounded function . The method is based on a random walk (the \emph{Ball Walk}) on the epigraph of the function. Th…
We consider a simple and overarching representation for permutation-invariant functions of sequences (or multiset functions). Our approach, which we call Janossy pooling, expresses a permutation-invariant function as the average of a permutation-sensitive function applied to all reorderings of the input sequence. This …
This paper deals with the computation of second or higher order greeks of financial securities. It combines two methods, Vibrato and automatic differentiation and compares with other methods. We show that this combined technique is faster than standard finite difference, more stable than automatic differentiation of se…
The Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) is a popular machine learning model for various tasks in recent years. In this paper, we study how to improve model accuracy of GBDT while preserving the strong guarantee of differential privacy. Sensitivity and privacy budget are two key design aspects for the effectiveness o…
Emulator speeds up landslide run-out modeling sensitivity analysis.
problem Computational challenges in assessing landslide run-out model sensitivity.
method Gaussian process emulation integrated into r.avaflow.
result Strong interactions detected between friction coefficients and release volume.
In this paper, we focus on developing efficient sensitivity analysis methods for a computationally expensive objective function in the case that the minimization of it has just been performed. Here "computationally expensive" means that each of its evaluation takes significant amount of time, and therefore our m…
Two ANOVA-based algorithms boost random Fourier feature models for function approximation.
problem Approximating high-dimensional functions with low-order interactions.
method Utilizes ANOVA decomposition to learn low-order functions and index sets of important variables.
result Significantly reduces approximation error compared to existing methods.
While recent continual learning methods largely alleviate the catastrophic problem on toy-sized datasets, some issues remain to be tackled to apply them to real-world problem domains. First, a continual learning model should effectively handle catastrophic forgetting and be efficient to train even with a large number o…
Growth of Betti Numbersmath.GT
Suppose X is any finite complex with vanishing L^2 Betti number. We prove upper bounds on the Betti numbers for regular coverings of X, sublinear in the order of covering. The bounds are sensitive to the Novikov-Shubin invariants of X, and are improved in the presence of a spectral gap.
Optimizer memory affects learning rate sensitivity in shuffle order, impacting fine-tuning noise.
problem Optimizer memory affects the learning rate sensitivity in shuffle order, leading to fine-tuning noise.
method Isolated the mechanism of fixed-clock optimizer memory affecting the learning rate sensitivity in shuffle order, deriving a fit-free way to size the noise.
result Fixed-clock optimizers like AdamW produce a larger first-order noise channel compared to memoryless optimizers, affecting fine-tuning comparisons.
It has been shown that dimension reduction methods such as PCA may be inherently prone to unfairness and treat data from different sensitive groups such as race, color, sex, etc., unfairly. In pursuit of fairness-enhancing dimensionality reduction, using the notion of Pareto optimality, we propose an adaptive first-ord…
Diffusion models accurately recover mixture weights from generated samples despite score function insensitivity.
problem Score-based generative models often fail to learn correct relative mode amplitudes (mixture weights) from generated samples.
method Relate diffusion score matching (DSM) loss to mixture weight estimation error, define diffusion score sensitivity index (DSSI), and prove its governing role in mixture weight recovery.
result Generated samples can accurately recover mixture weights from the DSM loss, even when the target score is insensitive to mixture weights.
Developing a differentially private deep learning algorithm is challenging, due to the difficulty in analyzing the sensitivity of objective functions that are typically used to train deep neural networks. Many existing methods resort to the stochastic gradient descent algorithm and apply a pre-defined sensitivity to th…