Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

188377565753 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Or Your Money Back

Refundable income annuities offer a money-back guarantee, now the majority of sales.

problem The complexity and market neglect of refundable income annuities.
method Explained the pricing, duration, and money's-worth-ratio of refundable IAs, proving a counterintuitive price behavior.
result The market price of cash-refund IAs is not a declining function of age, and older buyers might pay more than younger ones.

The paper reveals the hidden costs of digitizing commodity money and proposes a new stable-coin system.

problem Depreciation of banknotes due to high logistics costs after digitization.
method Analyzing the functions of money from a logistics perspective and comparing commodity money to digital currency.
result There is no honest money that is both a store of value and has negligible logistics costs.

A simple example shows that losing all money is compatible with a very high Sharpe ratio (as computed after losing all money). However, the only way that the Sharpe ratio can be high while losing money is that there is a period in which all or almost all money is lost. This note explores the best achievable Sharpe and …

2011-09-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Recently, in order to explore the mechanism behind wealth or income distribution, several models have been proposed by applying principles of statistical mechanics. These models share some characteristics, such as consisting of a group of individual agents, a pile of money and a specific trading rule. Whatever the trad…

2005-07-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Money is a technology for promoting economic prosperity. Over history money has become increasingly abstract, it used to be hardware, gold coins and the like, now it is mostly software, data structures located in banks. Here I propose the logical conclusion of the abstraction of money: to use as money the most general …

2016-08-02abs ↗pdf ↗

This review is about the convenience, the benefits, as well as the destructive capacities of money. It deals with various aspects of money creation, with its value, and its appropriation. All sorts of money tend to get corrupted by eventually creating too much of them. In the long run, this renders money worthless and …

2008-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

We argue that the present crisis and stalling economy continuing since 2007 are rooted in the delusionary belief in policies based on a "perpetual money machine" type of thinking. We document strong evidence that, since the early 1980s, consumption has been increasingly funded by smaller savings, booming financial prof…

2012-12-12abs ↗pdf ↗

We have studied here the self-organising features of the dynamics of a model market, where the agents `trade' for a single commodity with their money. The model market consists of fixed numbers of economic agents, money supply and commodity. We demonstrate that the model, apart from showing a self-organising behaviour,…

2000-12-21abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the ideal-gas models of trading markets, where each agent is identified with a gas molecule and each trading as an elastic or money-conserving (two-body) collision. Unlike in the ideal gas, we introduce saving propensity λλ of agents, such that each agent saves a fraction λλ of its money and trades with t…

2003-11-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Research predicts money market volume based on capital market and bank rates ratio.

problem Understanding the influence of capital market and bank rates on money market instruments.
method Correlation matrix and time series model to predict money market volume.
result Predictive model for money market instrument volume based on historical data.

Money flow models are essential tools to understand different economical phenomena, like saving propensities and wealth distributions. In spite of their importance, most of them are based on synthetic transaction networks with simple topologies, e.g. random or scale-free ones, as the characterisation of real networks i…

2016-02-23abs ↗pdf ↗

This is an invited article for the Discussion and Debate special issue of The European Physical Journal Special Topics on the subject "Can Economics Be a Physical Science?" The first part of the paper traces the personal path of the author from theoretical physics to economics. It briefly summarizes applications of sta…

2016-08-17abs ↗pdf ↗

We study here numerically the behavior of an ideal gas like model of markets having only one non-consumable commodity. We investigate the behavior of the steady-state distributions of money, commodity and total wealth, as the dynamics of trading or exchange of money and commodity proceeds, with local (in time) fluctuat…

2006-09-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Transformer learns representations from time series data for money laundering detection.

problem Detecting money laundering using structured time series data.
method Contrastive learning for representation learning, followed by scoring and thresholding.
result Transformer outperforms rule-based and LSTM methods in detecting money laundering with controlled false positives.

We consider the ideal-gas models of trading markets, where each agent is identified with a gas molecule and each trading as an elastic or money-conserving (two-body) collision. Unlike in the ideal gas, we introduce saving propensity λλ of agents, such that each agent saves a fraction λλ of its money and trades with t…

2003-02-07abs ↗pdf ↗

We analyze a monetary system of random money transfer on the basis of double entry bookkeeping. Without boundary conditions, we do not reach a price equilibrium and violate text-book formulas of economists quantity theory (MV=PQ). To match the resulting quantity of money with the model assumption of a constant price, w…

2002-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Analysis of the 2007-8 credit crisis has concentrated on issues of relaxed lending standards, and the perception of irrational behaviour by speculative investors in real estate and other assets. Asset backed securities have been extensively criticised for creating a moral hazard in loan issuance and an associated incre…

2009-04-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Investigates optimal life insurance and annuity decisions in inflationary economies.

problem Optimal consumption and investment decisions in an inflationary economy with money illusion.
method Formulated as a random horizon utility maximization problem, derived optimal strategy.
result Money illusion increases life insurance demand for young adults and reduces annuity demand for retirees.

We analyze an ideal gas like models of a trading market. We propose a new fit for the money distribution in the fixed or uniform saving market. For the marketwith quenched random saving factors for its agents we show that the steady state income (mm) distribution P(m)P(m) in the model has a power law tail with Pareto in…

2005-05-06abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the short maturity asymptotics for prices of forward start Asian options under the assumption that the underlying asset follows a local volatility model. We obtain asymptotics for the cases of out-of-the-money, in-the-money, and at-the-money, considering both fixed strike and floating Asian options. The expone…

2017-10-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Investigates the relationship between US money supply and asset indices over 2001-2019.

problem Determining the relationship between US money supply and asset indices growth.
method Information entropy methodology applied to US asset indices (Property, Russell 2000, S&P 500, NASDAQ) over 2001-2019.
result Growth in US broad money supply is the main determinant of US asset indices growth, especially the NASDAQ and Russell 2000.

Money was invented to address the difficulty in the double coincidence of wants between the supply and demand when people exchanged their goods and services. There are two information states in society: one is the initial state that people have goods and services due to division of labor; the other is the final state t…

2018-03-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Our study proposes a new currency system to protect wealth from over-issued fiat and stablecoins.

problem The over-issuance of fiat and stablecoins undermines the stability of currency purchasing power.
method We introduce a parallel monetary system based on redeemable self-decaying money (RSDM) to provide a stable currency alternative.
result A parallel monetary system including RSDM, domestic fiat, and major reserve currencies can safeguard wealth and prevent the reverse Gresham law.

Model predicts three market regimes: Good, Bad, and Ugly.

problem Understanding market dynamics and predicting different market states.
method Developed a nonlinear diffusion model of price formation with feedback from money flows and memory of past flows.
result The model predicts three distinct market regimes: Good, Bad, and Ugly.

We have studied the statistical mechanics of money circulation in a closed economic system. An explicit statistical formulation of the circulation velocity of money is presented for the first time by introducing the concept of holding time of money. The result indicates that the velocity is governed by behavior pattern…

2005-07-20abs ↗pdf ↗

The distribution of money is analysed in connection with the Boltzmann distribution of energy in the degenerate states of molecules. Plots of the population density of income distribution for various countries are well reproduced by a Gamma function, confirming the validity of the statistical distribution at equilibriu…

2003-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper the dependence of wealth distribution and the velocity of money on the required reserve ratio is examined based on a random transfer model of money and computer simulations. A fractional reserve banking system is introduced to the model where money creation can be achieved by bank loans and the monetary a…

2005-07-21abs ↗pdf ↗

LLMs prefer Bitcoin under crisis frames, affecting financial decisions.

problem Testing whether LLMs have built-in biases towards specific financial assets.
method Developed a three-level audit protocol to examine Bitcoin's representation and influence in LLMs.
result An identifiable internal feature in LLMs can be perturbed to move financial choices, but only within measurable limits.