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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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134269403537 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Optimistic Policy Evaluation

Optimistic NPG improves policy optimization in online RL with efficient sample complexity.

problem Limited theoretical understanding of policy optimization, especially in online RL.
method Combines natural policy gradient with optimistic policy evaluation.
result Achieves optimal dimension dependence sample complexity for learning near-optimal policies.

PROPO tackles non-stationary MDPs with efficient policy optimization.

problem Non-stationary MDPs with varying reward and transition kernels.
method PROPO, a periodic restarted optimistic policy optimization algorithm with sliding-window-based policy evaluation and improvement.
result PROPO achieves near-optimal performance in non-stationary MDPs.

New algorithm reduces regret in sequential decision-making problems.

problem Balancing exploration and exploitation in online sequential decision problems.
method Variational Bayesian optimistic sampling (VBOS) for optimizing policies.
result VBOS achieves ildeO(AT) ilde O(\sqrt{AT}) Bayesian regret for stochastic multi-armed bandits.

Optimistic actor-critic tackles linear MDPs with parametric policies.

problem Theoretical limitations of existing actor-critic methods for linear MDPs.
method Proposes an optimistic actor-critic framework with parametric log-linear policies and approximate Thompson sampling.
result Achieves state-of-the-art sample complexity in both on-policy and off-policy settings.

Paper proposes a framework for reliable off-policy evaluation in reinforcement learning.

problem Quantifying uncertainty in off-policy estimates for safe deployment of target policies.
method Distributionally robust optimization for creating confidence bounds.
result Non-asymptotic and asymptotic guarantees for robust cumulative reward estimates.

DORIS algorithm achieves no-regret learning in Markov games with adversarial opponents.

problem Decentralized policy learning in Markov games with nonstationary opponents.
method DORIS algorithm using optimistic hyperpolicy mirror descent.
result Achieves K\sqrt{K}-regret in general function approximation.

Optimistic PPO variant solves linear MDPs with improved regret bound.

problem Understanding theoretical limits of PPO in linear MDPs.
method Proposes an optimistic variant of PPO for episodic adversarial linear MDPs with full-information feedback.
result Establishes a ildeO(d3/4H2K3/4) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(d^{3/4}H^2K^{3/4}) regret bound.

Proposes H-UCRL for efficient model-based RL with sublinear regret.

problem Greedy policy exploration in model-based RL ignores epistemic uncertainty.
method Reparameterizes plausible models, hallucinates control, augments input space, solves with greedy planners.
result H-UCRL achieves provably sublinear regret for Gaussian Process models.

While policy-based reinforcement learning (RL) achieves tremendous successes in practice, it is significantly less understood in theory, especially compared with value-based RL. In particular, it remains elusive how to design a provably efficient policy optimization algorithm that incorporates exploration. To bridge su…

2019-12-12abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm achieves data-dependent regret bounds in MDPs with unknown transitions.

problem Achieving best-of-both-worlds guarantees with data-dependent regret bounds in MDPs with unknown transitions.
method Optimistic follow-the-regularized-leader algorithm with new optimistic Q-function estimators and transition bonus.
result First-order, second-order, and path-length bounds with polylog(T) regret in the stochastic regime.

New method for robust policy evaluation in offline reinforcement learning with sequentially exogenous unobserved confounders.

problem Offline reinforcement learning in domains with unobserved confounders.
method Orthogonalized robust fitted-Q-iteration with closed-form solutions and bias-correction.
result Effective in simulations and real-world data, improving robustness and computational ease.

Policy optimization methods are one of the most widely used classes of Reinforcement Learning (RL) algorithms. Yet, so far, such methods have been mostly analyzed from an optimization perspective, without addressing the problem of exploration, or by making strong assumptions on the interaction with the environment. In …

2020-02-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Study optimal policy regret in partially observable Markov games with adaptive opponents.

problem Optimal sequential decision-making in partially observable environments against strategic, adaptive opponents.
method An epoch-based optimistic maximum-likelihood algorithm that selects one policy per epoch using confidence sets built cumulatively from past data.
result Achieves ildeO(T) ilde{O}(\sqrt{T}) policy regret for fixed problem parameters, with explicit dependence on horizon, adversary memory, confidence radius, and aggregate Eluder dimension.

Algorithm converges to Nash equilibria in competitive games.

problem Finding Nash equilibria in decentralized, competitive Markov games.
method Decentralized Optimistic Gradient Descent/Ascent with a critic.
result Converges to the set of Nash equilibria under self-play.

Paper proposes a new dynamic pricing method with always-valid online statistical learning.

problem Designing dynamic pricing policies that adapt to online uncertainty and maintain validity.
method Regularized online statistical learning with theoretical guarantees and three major advantages.
result Proposed OORMLP pricing policy secures logarithmic regret in decision horizon.

Optimistic estimate predicts best fitting performance of nonlinear models.

problem Evaluating the potential of nonlinear models in fitting.
method Proposes an optimistic estimate to quantify the smallest sample size for fitting nonlinear models.
result Predicts specific subsets of targets that can be fitted at overparameterization.

Data-driven decision-making often overestimates benefits due to the winner's curse.

problem Accurate policy evaluation in data-driven decision-making.
method Model-based policy evaluation using estimated models from data.
result Model-based methods can produce large, spurious reported benefits even when true effects are zero.

New algorithm reduces reinforcement learning regret to sqrt(T) without strong dynamics assumptions.

problem Infinite-horizon average-reward reinforcement learning with linear MDPs.
method Approximate by discounted-reward MDPs and apply optimistic value iteration.
result Achieves O(sqrt(T)) regret with polynomial complexity.

Off-policy reinforcement learning (RL) using a fixed offline dataset of logged interactions is an important consideration in real world applications. This paper studies offline RL using the DQN replay dataset comprising the entire replay experience of a DQN agent on 60 Atari 2600 games. We demonstrate that recent off-p…

2019-07-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved POMDP regret to sqrt(T) with known observation model.

problem Average-reward POMDPs with unknown transition model but known observation model.
method Optimistic algorithm using deterministic policies and novel estimation techniques.
result First approach with regret guarantee of sqrt(T) against optimal policy.

We consider the problem of online planning in a Markov Decision Process when given only access to a generative model, restricted to open-loop policies - i.e. sequences of actions - and under budget constraint. In this setting, the Open-Loop Optimistic Planning (OLOP) algorithm enjoys good theoretical guarantees but is …

2019-04-09abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithms reduce regret in online MDPs by adapting to data and variance.

problem Adapting to both adversarial and stochastic environments in online MDPs.
method Develops algorithms based on global optimization and policy optimization, using optimistic follow-the-regularized-leader with log-barrier regularization.
result Achieves refined data-dependent and variance-dependent regret bounds.

Decouples critic chunk length from policy to improve policy reactivity and performance.

problem Bootstrapping bias and difficulty in extracting optimal policies from chunked critics.
method Optimizes policy against a distilled critic for partial action chunks, allowing shorter chunks for policy.
result Reliably outperforms prior methods on long-horizon offline goal-conditioned tasks.

A framework for navigating environments with spatially correlated obstacles and uncertain blockage status.

problem Navigation in environments with spatially correlated obstacles of uncertain blockage status.
method Modeling spatial correlation with Gaussian Random Field, developing Bayesian belief updates, proposing a two-stage learning framework with offline and online phases.
result Consistent performance gains over baselines in environments with adversarial interruptions or clustered natural hazards.

Paper proposes an RL algorithm to ensure policy performance guarantees.

problem Lack of performance guarantees for RL policies compared to baselines.
method Online model-free algorithm that ensures conservative exploration.
result Regret bound of ildeO(T) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{T}) for both discrete and continuous spaces.

In many cases an intelligent agent may want to learn how to mimic a single observed demonstrated trajectory. In this work we consider how to perform such procedural learning from observation, which could help to enable agents to better use the enormous set of video data on observation sequences. Our approach exploits t…

2019-04-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimistic method adapted for faster convex-concave min-max problems.

problem Solving convex-concave min-max optimization problems efficiently.
method Adaptive, line search-free second-order methods combining optimistic updates and second-order information.
result Achieves optimal convergence rate without line search or backtracking.

Optimistic search speeds up change point detection in large datasets.

problem Efficiently detecting change points in large-scale data with high computational demands.
method Adaptive logarithmic queries to reduce evaluation complexity.
result Asymptotic minimax optimality and fast localization rates for change point detection.

New rule reduces exploration regret to logarithmic, improving bad episode handling.

problem Improving exploration regret in average reward MDPs.
method Replacing Doubling Trick with Vanishing Multiplicative rule in EVI-based algorithms.
result Regret is logarithmic under the new rule, significantly better than linear.

Paper optimizes GAIL for online and offline learning with linear approximations.

problem Imitation learning from expert demonstrations with linear function approximations.
method Proposes optimistic and pessimistic algorithms for online and offline settings.
result Proves optimality and efficiency of proposed algorithms.

Robust Optimization has traditionally taken a pessimistic, or worst-case viewpoint of uncertainty which is motivated by a desire to find sets of optimal policies that maintain feasibility under a variety of operating conditions. In this paper, we explore an optimistic, or best-case view of uncertainty and show that it …

2017-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

RANDomized-exploration policy Optimization via Multiple Importance Sampling with Truncation (RANDOMIST) for PO with mediator feedback.

problem Policy Optimization in continuous control tasks.
method RANDomized-exploration policy Optimization via Multiple Importance Sampling with Truncation (RANDOMIST) for regret minimization in PO.
result Achieving constant regret under certain circumstances in PO with mediator feedback.

Online Apprenticeship Learning aims to match expert performance without access to cost functions.

problem Learning an agent's policy to match expert performance in an MDP without cost function access.
method Combines mirror descent based no-regret algorithms for policy optimization and cost learning, with optimistic exploration.
result Derives an algorithm with O(K)O(\sqrt{K}) regret, practical for high-dimensional control problems.