A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Optimal withdrawal strategy for DC pension plans maximizes total withdrawals while managing risk.
Optimal tontine strategy maximizes withdrawals while minimizing shortfall.
This paper presents numerical algorithm and results for pricing a capital protection option offered by many asset managers for investment portfolios to take advantage of market growth and protect savings. Under optimal withdrawal policyholder behaviour the pricing of such a product is an optimal stochastic control prob…
The paper analyzes GMWB annuities in low interest rate environments.
A variable annuity contract with Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit (GMWB) promises to return the entire initial investment through cash withdrawals during the policy life plus the remaining account balance at maturity, regardless of the portfolio performance. Under the optimal withdrawal strategy of a policyholder,…
Investigates optimal withdrawal strategies in VA contracts with tax and ratchet mechanisms.
Optimizes retirement spending and asset allocation to maximize withdrawals and shortfall.
Maximizes probability of completing investment schedules with optimal portfolio weights.
Maximizing withdrawal success in a pooled annuity fund with multiple annuitants.
Proposes GLWB-LTC for enhanced life care annuities with dynamic withdrawal strategies and stochastic interest rates.
Under the optimal withdrawal strategy of a policyholder, the pricing of variable annuities with Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit (GMWB) is an optimal stochastic control problem. The surrender feature available in marketed products allows termination of the contract before maturity, making it also an optimal stoppi…
Upper bound on withdrawal success for geometric Levy alpha-stable wealth process.
Withdrawal guarantees ensure the periodical deduction of a constant dollar-amount from a fund investment for a fixed number of periods. If the fund depletes before the last withdrawal, the guarantor has to finance the outstanding withdrawals. We derive a robust hedging strategy which leads to closed form solutions for …
Project forecasts liquidity withdrawal using machine learning models.
A model explains why 4% is a safe retirement withdrawal rate.
The Australian Government uses the means-test as a way of managing the pension budget. Changes in Age Pension policy impose difficulties in retirement modelling due to policy risk, but any major changes tend to be `grandfathered' meaning that current retirees are exempt from the new changes. In 2015, two important chan…
Develops a new method for pricing GMWBs with jumps and stochastic interest rates.
Valuing Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit (GMWB) has attracted significant attention from both the academic field and real world financial markets. As remarked by Yang and Dai, the Black and Scholes framework seems to be inappropriate for such a long maturity products. Also Chen Vetzal and Forsyth in showed that th…
The paper models ATM cash withdrawal chaos and forecasts using deep learning.
A variable annuity contract with Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit (GMWB) promises to return the entire initial investment through cash withdrawals during the contract plus the remaining account balance at maturity, regardless of the portfolio performance. Under the optimal(dynamic) withdrawal strategy of a policyh…
A large collection of financial contracts offering guaranteed minimum benefits are often posed as control problems, in which at any point in the solution domain, a control is able to take any one of an uncountable number of values from the admissible set. Often, such contracts specify that the holder exert control at a…
Valuing Guaranteed Lifelong Withdrawal Benefit (GLWB) has attracted significant attention from both the academic field and real world financial markets. As remarked by Forsyth and Vetzal the Black and Scholes framework seems to be inappropriate for such long maturity products. They propose to use a regime switching mod…
Paper presents deep LSMC method for efficient variable annuity pricing.
Existence of stochastic financial equilibria giving rise to semimartingale asset prices is established under a general class of assumptions. These equilibria are expressed in real terms and span complete markets or markets with withdrawal constraints.We deal with random endowment density streams which admit jumps and g…
Optimizes liquidity withdrawal timing for AMM LPs to balance fees and impermanent loss.
this is a duplicate submission(original is arXiv:1612.02141). Hence want to withdraw it
In this paper we present a numerical valuation of variable annuities with combined Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit (GMWB) and Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefit (GMDB) under optimal policyholder behaviour solved as an optimal stochastic control problem. This product simultaneously deals with financial risk, mortali…
In this paper we consider the pricing of variable annuities (VAs) with guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefits. We consider two pricing approaches, the classical risk-neutral approach and the benchmark approach, and we examine the associated static and optimal behaviors of both the investor and insurer. The first model …
There is a technical issue in the analysis that is not easily fixable. We, therefore, withdraw the submission. Sorry for the inconvenience.
Optimizes cash management in ATM networks to reduce costs and increase revenue.
Optimizes retirement income with MBGs and neural networks for longevity risk.
We generalize the classic Shiller cyclically adjusted price-earnings ratio (CAPE) used for prediction of future total returns of the stock market. We treat earnings growth as exogenous. The difference between log wealth and log earnings is modeled as an autoregression of order 1 with linear trend 4.6% and Gaussian inno…
Retirees who exhaust their savings while still alive are said to experience financial ruin. These savings are typically grown during the accumulation phase then spent during the retirement decumulation phase. Extensive research into invest-and-harvest decumulation strategies has been conducted, but recommendations diff…
The guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefit (GMWB) rider, as an add on to a variable annuity (VA), guarantees the return of premiums in the form of peri- odic withdrawals while allowing policyholders to participate fully in any market gains. GMWB riders represent an embedded option on the account value with a fee structu…
In this paper we explore an identity in distribution of hitting times of a finite variation process (Yor's process) and a diffusion process (geometric Brownian motion with affine drift), which arise from various applications in financial mathematics. As a result, we provide analytical solutions to the fair charge of va…
In this paper we investigate price and Greeks computation of a Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefit (GMWB) Variable Annuity (VA) when both stochastic volatility and stochastic interest rate are considered together in the Heston Hull-White model. We consider a numerical method the solves the dynamic control problem due…
Dynamic retirement glidepaths evolve over time based on some measure such as the retiree's funded status or current market valuations. Conversely, static glidepaths are fixed at a starting point and selected under the assumption that they will not change. In practice, new static glidepaths may be derived periodically m…
A neural network approach solves optimal decumulation problems for pension plans.
The main theorem of the paper shows that a smooth manifold which is homeomorphic to S^2xS^2 and has nonvanishing Ozsvath-Szabo invariant does not admit a perfect Morse function. I am withdrawing the paper because it is unclear to me if such a manifold exists.
Model shows bailout stigma affects firm funding and market performance.
We used machine learning methods to predict NaV1.7 inhibitors and found the model RF-CDK that performed best on the imbalanced dataset. Using the RF-CDK model for screening drugs, we got effective compounds K1. We use the cell patch clamp method to verify K1. However, because the model evaluation method in this article…
This work is motivated by numerical solutions to Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman quasi-variational inequalities (HJBQVIs) associated with combined stochastic and impulse control problems. In particular, we consider (i) direct control, (ii) penalized, and (iii) semi-Lagrangian discretization schemes applied to the HJBQVI proble…
Modeling taxation of Variable Annuities has been frequently neglected but accounting for it can significantly improve the explanation of the withdrawal dynamics and lead to a better modeling of the financial cost of these insurance products. The importance of including a model for taxation has first been observed by Mo…
Variable annuities, as a class of retirement income products, allow equity market exposure for a policyholder's retirement fund with electable additional guarantees to limit the downside risk of the market. Management fees and guarantee insurance fees are charged respectively for the market exposure and for the protect…
In this paper we treat a gas storage valuation problem as a Markov Decision Process. As opposed to existing literature we model the gas price process as a regime-switching model. Such a model has shown to fit market data quite well in Chen and Forsyth (2010). Before we apply a numerical algorithm to solve the problem, …
The paper defines and solves time-inconsistent stopping control problems in multi-dimensional diffusion models.
The paper develops a valuation framework for GLWB-LTC contracts with Levy dynamics and stochastic interest rates.
New RL method improves financial index tracking accuracy.