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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Optimal Error Rate

Optimal classification rules control error rates in multiclass mixture models.

problem Classifying observations in multiclass mixture models while controlling error rates.
method Finding optimal classification rules by searching an optimal region in the observation space, using Maximum A Posteriori (MAP) rule and heuristic computation.
result The FDR-like optimal rule can be significantly less conservative than thresholded MAP rules.

Optimal number of voters for a voting ensemble can be estimated from the distribution of classifier errors.

problem Finding the optimal number of voters for a voting ensemble to minimize error rate.
method Estimate the distribution of classifier errors and infer error rates for different numbers of voters.
result Lower-variance estimates of error rates can be obtained by inferring them for different numbers of voters.

Paper establishes universal lower bounds and optimal rates for clustering sub-exponential mixture models.

problem Achieving optimal error rates in clustering sub-exponential mixture models.
method Establishes universal lower bounds and demonstrates iterative algorithms' optimality in sub-exponential mixture models.
result Iterative algorithms achieve the universal lower bound in sub-exponential mixture models.

Study problem-dependent rates in statistical learning theory, achieving optimal generalization error bounds.

problem Generalization error in statistical learning theory.
method Uniform localized convergence framework.
result Optimal generalization error bounds for various learning problems.

Meta learning of optimal classifier error rates allows an experimenter to empirically estimate the intrinsic ability of any estimator to discriminate between two populations, circumventing the difficult problem of estimating the optimal Bayes classifier. To this end we propose a weighted nearest neighbor (WNN) graph es…

2017-10-31abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper constructs optimal confidence bands for kernel gradient flow estimators.

problem Estimating generalization error and constructing confidence bands for kernel gradient flows.
method Established convergence rates and constructed optimal confidence bands under capacity-source condition.
result Optimal confidence bands for kernel gradient flows have shrinkage rates close to minimax optimal rates.

We study the problem of approximate ranking from observations of pairwise interactions. The goal is to estimate the underlying ranks of nn objects from data through interactions of comparison or collaboration. Under a general framework of approximate ranking models, we characterize the exact optimal statistical error …

2017-11-30abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper studies the problem of estimating the grahpon model - the underlying generating mechanism of a network. Graphon estimation arises in many applications such as predicting missing links in networks and learning user preferences in recommender systems. The graphon model deals with a random graph of nn vertices…

2017-09-10abs ↗pdf ↗

This research examines how the error rate of nearest neighbor classifiers varies with dataset size.

problem The scaling of classification error rates with dataset size is not uniform.
method Theoretical analysis of nearest neighbor classifiers, focusing on early and late phases of dataset size.
result The error rate of nearest neighbor classifiers can have fine-grained rates depending on the dataset size and data distribution.

Paper optimizes clustering for multi-layer networks and discrete mixtures.

problem Optimizing clustering in multi-layer networks and discrete mixtures.
method Two-stage method: tensor-based initialization and likelihood-based refinement.
result Achieves minimax optimal error rate for multi-layer networks and discrete mixtures.

New algorithm optimally identifies best arm in both stochastic and adversarial settings.

problem Best arm identification in stochastic and adversarial reward scenarios.
method Parameter-free algorithm designed to be robust to adversarial rewards and optimal in stochastic problems.
result Algorithm's error rate matches optimal bounds in stochastic problems and is robust to adversarial rewards.

Crowdsourcing is an effective tool for human-powered computation on many tasks challenging for computers. In this paper, we provide finite-sample exponential bounds on the error rate (in probability and in expectation) of hyperplane binary labeling rules under the Dawid-Skene crowdsourcing model. The bounds can be appl…

2013-07-10abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes kNN density estimation's convergence rates under different conditions.

problem Analyzing convergence rates of kNN density estimation under bounded and unbounded support conditions.
method Examined two cases: bounded support with known and unknown support sets, and unbounded support with smooth density function.
result kNN density estimation is minimax optimal under certain conditions and better than kernel density estimation in some cases.

Optimal multistage method solves noisy minimax problems.

problem Minimizing/maximizing in noisy conditions with smooth and strongly convex-strongly concave settings.
method Multistage Stochastic Gradient Descent Ascent (M-GDA) and Optimistic Gradient Descent Ascent (M-OGDA).
result Achieves optimal linear decay rate with respect to initial error and condition number.

This paper analyzes error feedback in compressed federated learning for non-convex optimization problems.

problem Reducing communication cost in federated learning with biased gradient compression.
method Proposes Fed-EF, a compressed federated learning scheme with error feedback, and analyzes its convergence rate and performance under partial client participation.
result Fed-EF can match the convergence rate of full-precision FL under data heterogeneity with a linear speedup and no extra slow-down factor due to stale error compensation.

Paper analyzes convergence rate of noisy Bayesian Optimization with Expected Improvement.

problem Theoretical convergence behaviors and rates of Expected Improvement (EI) in Bayesian optimization.
method Analyzes Expected Improvement (EI) under Gaussian process (GP) prior assumption, considering noisy observations.
result Established asymptotic error bound and rate for GP-EI with noisy observations.

We characterize the asymptotic performance of nonparametric one- and two-sample testing. The exponential decay rate or error exponent of the type-II error probability is used as the asymptotic performance metric, and an optimal test achieves the maximum rate subject to a constant level constraint on the type-I error pr…

2019-08-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Neural networks estimate statistical divergences with performance guarantees.

problem Estimating statistical divergences with theoretical performance guarantees.
method Parametrizing empirical variational form by a neural network and optimizing over parameter space.
result Established non-asymptotic absolute error bounds for neural estimators of four f\mathsf{f}-divergences.

In many machine learning applications, crowdsourcing has become the primary means for label collection. In this paper, we study the optimal error rate for aggregating labels provided by a set of non-expert workers. Under the classic Dawid-Skene model, we establish matching upper and lower bounds with an exact exponent …

2016-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

GANs learn distributions well from samples, with rates depending on intrinsic dimension.

problem Learning distributions from samples using GANs.
method Oracle inequality, Hölder functions approximation, neural network approximation, integral probability metrics.
result Convergence rates of GANs depend on intrinsic dimension, not ambient dimension.

We formulate statistical watermarking as hypothesis testing and establish near-optimal bounds.

problem Statistical watermarking in the context of hypothesis testing.
method Formulated as a hypothesis testing problem, using coupling of output tokens and rejection regions.
result Established nearly matching upper and lower bounds on the number of i.i.d. tokens required for small Type I and Type II errors.

New method preserves convergence rates in gradient-based optimization.

problem How to discretize gradient-based optimization systems while preserving stability and convergence rates.
method Geometric framework for dissipative symplectic integration.
result Dissipative symplectic integrators preserve rates of convergence up to a controlled error.

We find a deterministic equivalent for random feature regression's test error, independent of feature map dimension.

problem Understanding the generalization performance of random feature ridge regression.
method We derive a deterministic equivalent for the test error of RFRR under a concentration property, showing it can be approximated by a closed-form expression dependent on feature map eigenvalues.
result Our approximation guarantee is non-asymptotic, multiplicative, and independent of the feature map dimension, providing a tight result for the smallest number of features achieving optimal minimax error rate.

New estimator optimizes black-box model errors in semiparametric estimation.

problem How nuisance estimation errors affect low-dimensional target parameters in semiparametric models.
method Proposed a new estimator achieving a sharper rate of convergence.
result The first-order stochastic error of nuisance estimation can be eliminated.

Smooth activations enable optimal error rates in neural networks for Sobolev function classes.

problem Achieving optimal approximation and estimation error rates for neural networks in Sobolev function classes.
method Study of neural networks with smooth activations, proving optimal rates via approximation and statistical properties.
result Constant-depth networks with smooth activations achieve optimal rates of approximation and estimation, demonstrating smoothness adaptivity.