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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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225449674898 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Optimal Bidding Strategy

Optimizes RTB bidding without exploration, improving performance under various budgets.

problem Lack of clear evaluation and generalization issues in RTB systems.
method Maximum entropy principle and conditional independence structures to train a model that generalizes to unseen budget conditions.
result Significantly improved performance under various budget settings compared to baselines.

Paper proposes a decentralized payment clearing system using blockchain and optimal bidding strategies.

problem Default contagion in a network of smart contracts cleared through blockchain.
method Constructs a decentralized clearing mechanism using blockchain and optimal bidding strategies.
result Proves existence and uniqueness of equilibrium clearing condition for terminal net worths.

This work optimizes bid strategies for online auctions using measure-valued optimization.

problem Optimizing bid strategies in first-price auctions to maximize expected surplus.
method Formulates the problem as convex optimization over the joint distribution of shading parameters, adapts the distribution after each auction using a Wasserstein-proximal update.
result The proposed algorithm encourages bids on values with high expected surplus.

This paper tackles optimal bidding strategies in adversarial first-price auctions.

problem How to bid optimally and efficiently in adversarial first-price auctions.
method Developed a minimax optimal online bidding algorithm leveraging expert-chaining structure and exploiting product structure.
result Achieved an O~(T)\widetilde{O}(\sqrt{T}) regret, superior to existing algorithms.

The ad-trading desks of media-buying agencies are increasingly relying on complex algorithms for purchasing advertising inventory. In particular, Real-Time Bidding (RTB) algorithms respond to many auctions -- usually Vickrey auctions -- throughout the day for buying ad-inventory with the aim of maximizing one or severa…

2015-11-26abs ↗pdf ↗

In recent years, RTB(Real Time Bidding) becomes a popular online advertisement trading method. During the auction, each DSP(Demand Side Platform) is supposed to evaluate current opportunity and respond with an ad and corresponding bid price. It's essential for DSP to find an optimal ad selection and bid price determina…

2017-05-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal bidding strategy for multi-platform ad auctions under budget constraints.

problem Optimizing ad placements for budget-constrained advertisers across multiple platforms.
method Developed an optimal bidding strategy for non-incentive-compatible auctions with budget constraints.
result Maximized total utility across auctions while satisfying budget constraints in expectation.

Study optimal bidding strategies for digital ads targeting purchases and health campaigns.

problem Optimizing advertising strategies in digital channels.
method Continuous-time models encoding user behavior and auction mechanisms, semi-explicit formulas for optimal bidding.
result Semi-explicit formulas for optimal value and bidding policy for different types of advertising.

The paper proposes a new method to forecast winning prices in real-time bidding.

problem Accurately forecasting winning prices in real-time bidding with limited data.
method The paper introduces a heteroscedastic fully parametric censored regression approach and a mixture density censored network.
result The proposed method significantly improves winning price forecasting compared to existing methods.

Optimistic Mirror Descent framework improves bidding strategies in non-stationary first-price auctions.

problem Optimizing bidding strategies in non-stationary first-price auctions.
method Introducing Optimistic Mirror Descent (OMD) framework with novel optimism configuration.
result Minimax-optimal dynamic regret rates achieved for non-stationary first-price auctions.

Taobao, as the largest online retail platform in the world, provides billions of online display advertising impressions for millions of advertisers every day. For commercial purposes, the advertisers bid for specific spots and target crowds to compete for business traffic. The platform chooses the most suitable ads to …

2017-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a virtual bidding strategy for electricity markets using stochastic control.

problem Optimizing electricity prices in day-ahead and real-time markets.
method Modeling price differences as Brownian motion with meteorological variables, transforming into portfolio management problem.
result Developed a strategy to manage electricity prices efficiently.

New algorithms minimize regret in repeated auctions by estimating values and optimizing bids.

problem Minimizing regret in repeated first-price auctions with limited feedback.
method Incorporates causal inference to estimate private values and optimize bidding strategies under different feedback types.
result Achieves near-optimal regret bounds for both full and binary feedback types.

This paper improves bidding price prediction for ancillary services markets, boosting revenues.

problem Volatility in renewable energy sources affects grid stability and revenue optimization.
method Machine learning models (SVR, DT, k-NN) and offset adjustment for pay-as-bid markets.
result The proposed approach increases potential revenues by 27.43% to 37.31% compared to baseline models.

We consider rate swaps which pay a fixed rate against a floating rate in presence of bid-ask spread costs. Even for simple models of bid-ask spread costs, there is no explicit strategy optimizing an expected function of the hedging error. We here propose an efficient algorithm based on the stochastic gradient method to…

2015-01-29abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the problem of a single seller repeatedly selling a single item to a single buyer (specifically, the buyer has a value drawn fresh from known distribution DD in every round). Prior work assumes that the buyer is fully rational and will perfectly reason about how their bids today affect the seller's decisio…

2017-11-25abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes profitable bidding strategies for BESS in day-ahead and intraday markets.

problem Optimizing profitability of Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) in day-ahead and intraday markets.
method Employing the rolling intrinsic approach to model continuous intraday markets, accounting for bid-ask spreads and liquidity constraints.
result Multi-market bidding strategies outperform single-market participation, and relaxing daily cycling constraints can unlock additional value.

Study optimal semi-static hedging for illiquid markets using dynamic cash and static quoted derivatives.

problem Optimal pricing of exotic derivatives in illiquid markets with bid-ask spreads.
method Use Galerkin method and integration quadratures to approximate hedging problem as convex optimization, solved by interior point method.
result Semi-static hedging improves pricing and reduces transaction costs compared to static or dynamic trading alone.

This paper deals with numerical solutions to an impulse control problem arising from optimal portfolio liquidation with bid-ask spread and market price impact penalizing speedy execution trades. The corresponding dynamic programming (DP) equation is a quasi-variational inequality (QVI) with solvency constraint satisfie…

2010-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified models for asset prices with transaction costs and infinite variation strategies.

problem Models with transaction costs and infinite variation strategies.
method Unified models using semimartingale price systems.
result Existence of a semimartingale price system consistent with transaction costs.

In this paper, the optimal pricing strategy in Avellande-Stoikov's for a monopolistic dealer is extended to a general situation where multiple dealers are present in a competitive market. The dealers' trading intensities, their optimal bid and ask prices and therefore their spreads are derived when the dealers are info…

2015-12-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes bidding in hourly and quarter-hourly electricity markets to reduce price impact.

problem Maximizing profit in two consecutive electricity markets with market impact and transaction costs.
method Examined multiple price scenarios, estimated market impact, used trading strategies, provided theoretical results.
result Minimizing price impact is more profitable than maximizing arbitrage in the German EPEX market.

The paper introduces SuccessProbaMax to optimize policy success probability in online advertising.

problem Optimizing policy success probability in online advertising systems.
method SuccessProbaMax algorithm that optimizes for the probability of success rather than expected value.
result SuccessProbaMax outperforms conventional algorithms in terms of success rate.

Study learns optimal bidding strategy in auctions with dynamic values and aggregated feedback.

problem Optimizing bidding in auctions with time-dependent values and limited feedback.
method Combines plug-in estimators with differential-equation characterization of optimal policy.
result Achieves near optimal regret bounds for learning optimal policy.

Paper uses conformal prediction for solar power forecasting in electricity markets.

problem Enhancing participation in electricity markets through accurate day-ahead PV power predictions.
method Combines machine learning for point predictions and conformal prediction for uncertainty quantification.
result CP with k-nearest neighbors and Mondrian binning outperforms linear quantile regressors in predicting PV power.

Proposes a framework for modeling RTB auctions using point processes.

problem Modeling and optimizing repeated auctions in the RTB ecosystem.
method Develops a stochastic framework using point processes to model and optimize RTB auctions.
result The proposed framework can be approximated to a Poisson point process, enabling the use of established properties.

We consider a class of auctions (Lowest Unique Bid Auctions) that have achieved a considerable success on the Internet. Bids are made in cents (of euro) and every bidder can bid as many numbers as she wants. The lowest unique bid wins the auction. Every bid has a fixed cost, and once a participant makes a bid, she gets…

2010-07-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper optimizes trading strategies by creating shadow prices for markets with transaction costs.

problem Optimizing trading strategies in markets with transaction costs.
method Developed shadow prices to simplify optimization into a frictionless market, considering second-order transaction costs.
result Alternative strategies outperform shadow prices for risk aversion different from one.

The paper develops a reinforcement learning model to estimate ad impact considering delayed and cumulative effects.

problem Accurately estimating ad impact considering delayed and long-term effects, cumulative impacts, and customer heterogeneity.
method Modeling ad bidding as a Contextual Markov Decision Process (CMDP) with delayed Poisson rewards, proposing a two-stage maximum likelihood estimator and reinforcement learning algorithm.
result Achieves a near-optimal regret bound of O~(dH2T)\tilde{O}{(dH^2\sqrt{T})}, validating the approach through simulation experiments.

Paper optimizes battery storage in multiple energy markets for better profits.

problem Optimizing battery storage participation in multiple energy markets to balance supply and demand.
method Developed a joint bidding strategy combining intraday and frequency markets using mixed integer linear programming and a learned classifier strategy.
result The LCS increases overall profits by over 4% compared to static strategies and by more than 3% over a naive dynamic benchmark.

Study optimal auction formats for maximizing MEV on Ethereum.

problem Maximizing extractable value from Ethereum auctions.
method Empirical analysis of 2.2 million transactions, modeling affiliation among bidders.
result English and second-price sealed-bid auctions dominate other formats, with significant revenue losses.

Real-Time Bidding is nowadays one of the most promising systems in the online advertising ecosystem. In the presented study, the performance of RTB campaigns is improved by optimising the parameters of the users' profiles and the publishers' websites. Most studies about optimising RTB campaigns are focused on the biddi…

2019-10-29abs ↗pdf ↗

A new relaxed framework for pricing illiquid derivatives using bid-ask spreads.

problem Pricing illiquid derivatives with realistic bounds and hedging prices.
method Introducing Bid--Ask Martingale Optimal Transport (BAMOT) that relaxes the exact calibration of model marginals to mid-prices of vanilla options.
result BAMOT yields realistic price bounds and superhedging prices for illiquid derivatives.

Study optimal strategies for unwinding uncertain order flows in financial trading desks.

problem Optimizing strategies for handling uncertain order flows in financial trading desks.
method Modeling and solving the problem for a general class of in-flow processes, enabling an analytic solution.
result Optimal strategies depend on the autocorrelation of orders; only truth-telling flow is unwound myopically.