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168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Opportunistic trading

In this paper, we propose and study opportunistic contextual bandits - a special case of contextual bandits where the exploration cost varies under different environmental conditions, such as network load or return variation in recommendations. When the exploration cost is low, so is the actual regret of pulling a sub-…

2019-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

TraderTalk uses LLMs to simulate human trading interactions in financial markets.

problem Simulating realistic human trading interactions in financial markets.
method Hybrid ABM with LLM-generated behaviors for detailed conversations.
result Successfully replicates trade-to-order volume ratios in financial markets.

We consider the task of opportunistic channel access in a primary system composed of independent Gilbert-Elliot channels where the secondary (or opportunistic) user does not dispose of a priori information regarding the statistical characteristics of the system. It is shown that this problem may be cast into the framew…

2009-08-03abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper uses bandit algorithms to reduce the cost of user interface experimentation in online retail.

problem Reducing the cost of user interface experimentation in online retail.
method Modeling user interface experimentation as an opportunistic bandit problem, reducing the cost of exploration.
result Significant regret reduction and improved contextual information for testing.

This paper improves fairness in recommendation systems by learning individual preferences across multiple dimensions.

problem Fairness in recommender systems, especially in areas with social impact.
method Opportunistic multi-aspect re-ranking approach that learns individual preferences and enhances provider fairness.
result Achieves a better trade-off between accuracy and fairness across multiple fairness dimensions.

Market impact is reduced when orders are filled with concentrated counterparts.

problem Market impact increases with a large number of trading counterparts.
method Analyzed London Stock Exchange data to show concentrated trading impacts market price.
result Concentrated trading reduces market impact when matched with similarly concentrated counterparts.

Optimal trading strategy using LQR framework with price mean-reversion.

problem Developing a dynamic trading strategy in a market with linear and quadratic costs.
method Model Predictive Control (MPC) approach to optimize trading curve with positivity constraints.
result Optimal trading curve reacts opportunistically to price changes while satisfying constraints.

In this paper, we propose and study opportunistic bandits - a new variant of bandits where the regret of pulling a suboptimal arm varies under different environmental conditions, such as network load or produce price. When the load/price is low, so is the cost/regret of pulling a suboptimal arm (e.g., trying a suboptim…

2017-09-12abs ↗pdf ↗

ClusterLOB clusters market events to identify different trading behaviors.

problem Understanding market microstructure and participant behavior in financial markets.
method ClusterLOB uses K-means++ algorithm to cluster market events based on six time-dependent features.
result ClusterLOB identifies three distinct trading behaviors: directional, opportunistic, and market-making participants.

Study uses random forest to detect unlawful insider trading in financial data.

problem Detecting and identifying unlawful insider trading in complex financial data.
method Integrates PCA-RF and standalone RF models with semi-manually labeled transactions.
result 96.43% accurate classification of transactions, 95.47% lawful, 98.00% unlawful.

Empirical study shows carriers ignore past shippers' behavior, focusing only on current actions.

problem Opportunistic behavior by shippers and carriers in dynamic freight markets.
method Empirical analysis of carrier reciprocity in US truckload transportation sector.
result Carriers do not remember shippers' past behaviors but respond to current actions.

AI traders learn to exploit meta-orders from slower traders, increasing their profits.

problem Adverse selection of medium-frequency traders by high-frequency AI agents.
method Reinforcement learning in a Hawkes LOB model, with impulse control and PPO.
result AI agents can learn to capitalize on meta-orders, increasing their profits.

In this paper, we investigate cost-aware joint learning and optimization for multi-channel opportunistic spectrum access in a cognitive radio system. We investigate a discrete time model where the time axis is partitioned into frames. Each frame consists of a sensing phase, followed by a transmission phase. During the …

2018-04-11abs ↗pdf ↗

RL-Exec uses reinforcement learning to optimize BTC-USD liquidation, outperforming traditional methods.

problem Optimizing liquidation strategies on BTC-USD limit-order books with transient impact and latency.
method PPO agent trained on historical BTC-USD limit-order book replays, incorporating impact resilience and fees.
result RL-Exec significantly outperforms TWAP and a VWAP-like baseline on BTC-USD liquidation, with performance improving with longer execution horizons.

OverQ increases model accuracy by handling outliers in neural networks with minimal hardware changes.

problem Handling outliers in neural network weights and activations for low-precision quantization.
method Overwrite quantization (OverQ) that opportunistically increases bitwidth for activation outliers.
result OverQ can handle over 90% of outliers and achieve +5% ImageNet Top-1 accuracy on a quantized ResNet-50 at 4 bits.

Traditional activity recognition systems work on the basis of training, taking a fixed set of sensors into account. In this article, we focus on the question how pattern recognition can leverage new information sources without any, or with minimal user input. Thus, we present an approach for opportunistic activity reco…

2017-01-30abs ↗pdf ↗

New method uses interval-based metric to validate prediction uncertainty in machine learning.

problem Validation of prediction uncertainty in machine learning regression tasks is unreliable due to heavy-tailed distributions.
method Shift from variance-based metrics to interval-based Prediction Interval Coverage Probability (PICP).
result PICP method more quickly and reliably tests prediction intervals than variance-based metrics.

Multitask Gaussian process regression reduces data generation costs for molecular property prediction.

problem Data bottleneck in training surrogate models for molecular properties.
method Multitask Gaussian process regression over heterogeneous data sources (CC and DFT).
result Predicts at CC-level accuracy with over an order of magnitude reduction in data generation cost.

The paper tackles individualized decision-making under unmeasured confounding, providing a novel minimax solution and a paradox.

problem Unmeasured confounding in causal inference leads to biased estimates and affects individualized decision-making.
method The authors establish a formal link between individualized decision-making under partial identification and classical decision theory, providing a minimax solution and a paradox.
result A novel minimax solution for individualized decision-making/policy assignment is provided, and an interesting paradox is drawn.

Enhances mobile context prediction using weakly supervised learning.

problem Power consumption and limited training data for always-on context prediction.
method Weakly supervised learning framework for multi-modal sensing.
result Personalized context prediction model with improved accuracy.

FOCUS addresses label quality disparity in FL for healthcare applications.

problem Label quality disparity in federated learning for healthcare applications.
method FOCUS maintains a small set of benchmark samples and computes the mutual cross-entropy between local and benchmark datasets to quantify label credibility. It then adjusts client weights based on credibility values.
result FOCUS effectively reduces the impact of noisy labels from clients, improving model performance.

This paper examines how regional trade agreements affect global trade relationships.

problem The relationship between regional trade agreements and global trade purity.
method Defined and decomposed synthesized trade resistance, separated natural and artificial factors, used expectation maximization algorithm to optimize parameters, and quantified trade purity indicator.
result Regional trade agreements contribute to the relative prosperity of EU and NAFTA countries, but weaken the role of trade unions and accelerate multilateral trade liberalization.

With the maturation of metabolomics science and proliferation of biobanks, clinical metabolic profiling is an increasingly opportunistic frontier for advancing translational clinical research. Automated Machine Learning (AutoML) approaches provide exciting opportunity to guide feature selection in agnostic metabolic pr…

2017-10-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper predicts international trade flows using machine learning and factorization models.

problem Predicting international bilateral trade flows with PTAs.
method Two-stage approach combining SHAP Explainer and Factorization Machine models.
result Enhanced predictive accuracy and deeper insights into trade dynamics.

Model predicts trading strategies based on latent demand and price impact.

problem Predicting strategic trading behavior of investors with private targets.
method Equilibrium model of dynamic trading, learning, and pricing by strategic investors.
result Trading strategies are a combination of target following, liquidity provision, and front-running based on latent demand and price pressure.

A dynamic herding model with interactions of trading volumes is introduced. At time tt, an agent trades with a probability, which depends on the ratio of the total trading volume at time t1t-1 to its own trading volume at its last trade. The price return is determined by the volume imbalance and number of trades. The …

2008-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper conducts an empirically study on the trade package composed of a sequence of consecutive purchases or sales of 23 stocks in Chinese stock market. We investigate the probability distributions of the execution time, the number of trades and the total trading volume of trade packages, and analyze the possible s…

2011-03-08abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper limits the profitability of technical trading rules and finds they are not better than random trading.

problem The profitability of technical trading rules in stock markets is controversial.
method Proves the upper bound of cumulative return and investigates the profitability of technical trading rules using bootstrap methodology.
result Technical trading rules are not better than random trading and less profitable than the market.

The paper classifies trades into types based on proximity and measures their impact on stock prices.

problem Understanding the impact of high-frequency trades on stock prices and their predictability.
method Classifies trades into five types based on proximity, measures conditional order imbalance (COI), and develops trading strategies.
result Strong positive correlations between contemporaneous returns and COIs, and positive associations with future returns for isolated trades.

Study high-frequency trading patterns in cryptocurrencies.

problem Understanding automated trading algorithms in cryptocurrency markets.
method Analyzes intraday trading data of cryptocurrencies, focusing on returns, volumes, and volatility.
result Provides insights into predictability of economic value in cryptocurrency markets.