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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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120239359478 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Online variational inference

We review three algorithms for Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA). Two of them are variational inference algorithms: Variational Bayesian inference and Online Variational Bayesian inference and one is Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm -- Collapsed Gibbs sampling. We compare their time complexity and performance.…

2013-07-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian method improves online NARMAX model identification.

problem Online identification of nonlinear systems with small sample sizes and low noise.
method Variational Bayesian inference using message passing algorithm for polynomial NARMAX models.
result Variational Bayesian estimator outperforms recursive and offline least-squares methods.

Paper develops a scalable distributed inference algorithm for sensor networks.

problem Efficient inference in intelligent sensor networks for location, tracking, and mapping.
method Distributed variational inference algorithm for continuous variables and large-scale data.
result Derives a separable lower bound for distributed variational inference with one-hop communication.

Bayesian inference provides an attractive online-learning framework to analyze sequential data, and offers generalization guarantees which hold even with model mismatch and adversaries. Unfortunately, exact Bayesian inference is rarely feasible in practice and approximation methods are usually employed, but do such met…

2019-04-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved continual learning method using variational inference and FiLM layers.

problem Training models on new tasks and datasets in an online fashion.
method Generalized Variational Continual Learning (GVCL) with likelihood-tempering and FiLM layers.
result GVCL outperforms existing baselines in both small and large datasets, providing better calibration.

A new method for online VI in SSMs using asymptotic contrast.

problem Lack of functionality for streaming data in standard VI methods for SSMs.
method Propose maximising an IWAE-type variational lower bound on the asymptotic contrast function using stochastic approximation.
result OSIWAE allows for online learning of model parameters and latent states.

The Duffing oscillator's parameters are identified online using variational message passing.

problem Estimating parameters of a nonlinear Duffing oscillator in real-time.
method Variational message passing on a factor graph of the Duffing oscillator's generative model.
result The online inference procedure performs as well as offline methods.

The article describe the model, derivation, and implementation of variational Bayesian inference for linear and logistic regression, both with and without automatic relevance determination. It has the dual function of acting as a tutorial for the derivation of variational Bayesian inference for simple models, as well a…

2013-10-21abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method learns posterior and predictive distributions together, reducing computational cost.

problem Sequential two-stage Bayesian inference is computationally expensive.
method Amortized variational inference targeting posterior-predictive distribution.
result Efficient online inference with more accurate predictive distributions.

OCEAN infers online task identities from context variables.

problem Online task inference for compositional tasks with context adaptation.
method Variational inference framework OCEAN models global and local context variables in a joint latent space.
result OCEAN provides more effective task inference with sequential context adaptation.

Noisy labeled data is more a norm than a rarity for crowd sourced contents. It is effective to distill noise and infer correct labels through aggregation results from crowd workers. To ensure the time relevance and overcome slow responses of workers, online label aggregation is increasingly requested, calling for solut…

2018-07-19abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method infers neural trajectories in real-time, improving experimental design.

problem Real-time inference of neural trajectories for immediate feedback.
method Exponential family variational Kalman filter (eVKF) for online learning.
result eVKF achieves competitive performance on synthetic and real-world data.

Bayesian online meta-learning framework tackles catastrophic forgetting in few-shot classification.

problem Catastrophic forgetting in few-shot classification problems.
method Bayesian online learning, meta-learning, Laplace approximation, variational inference.
result Framework effectively achieves goal of overcoming catastrophic forgetting in few-shot classification.

Online algorithm detects community structure in dynamic event streams.

problem Community detection in networks with temporal event streams.
method Continuous-time point process latent network models with fast online variational inference.
result Online inference achieves comparable community recovery to non-online methods but with computational gains.

State-space models have been successfully used for more than fifty years in different areas of science and engineering. We present a procedure for efficient variational Bayesian learning of nonlinear state-space models based on sparse Gaussian processes. The result of learning is a tractable posterior over nonlinear dy…

2014-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a hybrid algorithm for Bayesian topic models that combines the efficiency of sparse Gibbs sampling with the scalability of online stochastic inference. We used our algorithm to analyze a corpus of 1.2 million books (33 billion words) with thousands of topics. Our approach reduces the bias of variational infe…

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Adaptive Bayesian learning aggregates experts to improve performance.

problem Bayesian online learning's performance depends on inferential choices.
method Treat Bayesian update rules as experts and aggregate them based on sequential predictive losses.
result The aggregate competes with the best expert in hindsight at a low aggregation cost.

We present the discrete infinite logistic normal distribution (DILN), a Bayesian nonparametric prior for mixed membership models. DILN is a generalization of the hierarchical Dirichlet process (HDP) that models correlation structure between the weights of the atoms at the group level. We derive a representation of DILN…

2011-03-24abs ↗pdf ↗

This work improves Gaussian process regression for large, non-stationary data.

problem Scalability issues and performance degradation for non-stationary data.
method Combines variational free energy approximations with online expectation propagation and local splitting steps.
result Incremental adaptation to locality, heterogeneity, and non-stationarity in training data.

Nonlinear state-space models are powerful tools to describe dynamical structures in complex time series. In a streaming setting where data are processed one sample at a time, simultaneous inference of the state and its nonlinear dynamics has posed significant challenges in practice. We develop a novel online learning f…

2019-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper develops variational continual learning (VCL), a simple but general framework for continual learning that fuses online variational inference (VI) and recent advances in Monte Carlo VI for neural networks. The framework can successfully train both deep discriminative models and deep generative models in compl…

2017-10-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Understanding users' context is essential for successful recommendations, especially for Online-to-Offline (O2O) recommendation, such as Yelp, Groupon, and Koubei. Different from traditional recommendation where individual preference is mostly static, O2O recommendation should be dynamic to capture variation of users' …

2019-07-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Hierarchical IBP model for Bayesian neural networks in continual learning.

problem Resource allocation in continual learning with dynamic network complexity.
method Indian Buffet process (IBP) and Hierarchical-IBP (H-IBP) priors for structure learning, online variational inference with reparameterization.
result Our model effectively learns the number of weights in each layer, overcoming overfitting and underfitting.

Adaptive learning method identifies and corrects corrupted data.

problem Robust learning from corrupted training sets.
method Identifies corrupted and non-corrupted samples with latent Bernoulli variables, formulates as likelihood maximization with marginalized latent variables, solved via variational inference and Expectation-Maximization.
result Improves over state-of-the-art by automatically inferring corruption level with minimal overhead.

We present Spectral Inference Networks, a framework for learning eigenfunctions of linear operators by stochastic optimization. Spectral Inference Networks generalize Slow Feature Analysis to generic symmetric operators, and are closely related to Variational Monte Carlo methods from computational physics. As such, the…

2018-06-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Many methods for machine learning rely on approximate inference from intractable probability distributions. Variational inference approximates such distributions by tractable models that can be subsequently used for approximate inference. Learning sufficiently accurate approximations requires a rich model family and ca…

2019-07-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Changepoints are abrupt variations in the generative parameters of a data sequence. Online detection of changepoints is useful in modelling and prediction of time series in application areas such as finance, biometrics, and robotics. While frequentist methods have yielded online filtering and prediction techniques, mos…

2007-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

In real-world and online social networks, individuals receive and transmit information in real time. Cascading information transmissions (e.g. phone calls, text messages, social media posts) may be understood as a realization of a diffusion process operating on the network, and its branching path can be represented by …

2016-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗