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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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155310465620 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Online Experiments

Two methods estimate effect size for online experiments, improving accuracy and efficiency.

problem Determining the correct effect size for online experiment duration.
method Two approaches: hierarchical models and utility theory.
result Proposed methods outperform baseline approaches in accuracy and efficiency.

This paper uses bandit algorithms to reduce the cost of user interface experimentation in online retail.

problem Reducing the cost of user interface experimentation in online retail.
method Modeling user interface experimentation as an opportunistic bandit problem, reducing the cost of exploration.
result Significant regret reduction and improved contextual information for testing.

We propose a nonparametric sequential test that aims to address two practical problems pertinent to online randomized experiments: (i) how to do a hypothesis test for complex metrics; (ii) how to prevent type 11 error inflation under continuous monitoring. The proposed test does not require knowledge of the underlying…

2016-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗

New ranking algorithms improve online content delivery by learning from click data.

problem Bias in ranking systems due to production system biases.
method Proposed novel extensions of LinUCB and Linear Thompson Sampling algorithms to handle position-based click model.
result Validated the proposed algorithms through offline and online experiments.

Machine learning experiments often mislead due to unmet assumptions.

problem Machine learning experiments with pooled data may not meet necessary assumptions for unbiased causal effect estimation.
method Analysis of assumptions required for unbiased causal effect estimation in machine learning experiments.
result Practical applications of A/B-tests with machine learning models may not yield unbiased estimates of causal effect.

Novel algorithm reduces feature inclusion in online decision-making.

problem Optimizing decision-making for personalized user experiences with fairness.
method Online Batched Sequential Inclusion (OBSI) algorithm for sequential feature inclusion.
result OBSI outperforms other algorithms in terms of regret, relevance of features, and compute.

We propose the online machine learning for big data analysis with heterogeneity. We performed an experiment to compare the accuracy of each iteration between batch one and online one. It is possible to converge quickly with the same accuracy as the batch one.

2019-06-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper studies early stopping methods in linear contextual bandits.

problem Minimizing in-experiment regret and conducting robust post-experiment inferences in contextual bandits.
method The study proposes early stopping rules based on the Opportunity Cost and Threshold Method, using variances of estimators to quantify upper regret bounds.
result The proposed method provides a systematic approach to minimize in-experiment regret and conduct robust post-experiment inferences.

Paper accelerates nonlinear mapping in online systems with lower time complexity.

problem Speeding up nonlinear mapping in online systems.
method Integrates an acceleration module into Dendrite Net (DD) to reduce time complexity.
result DD with AC has lower time complexity while maintaining nonlinear mapping and system identification properties.

A/B testing improves marketing decisions by selecting effective stratification variables.

problem Improving the sensitivity of A/B testing through stratified sampling.
method Designing an algorithm to select a subset of stratification variables for variance reduction.
result The subset selection method outperforms other variance reduction techniques in A/B testing.

We study the task of online boosting--combining online weak learners into an online strong learner. While batch boosting has a sound theoretical foundation, online boosting deserves more study from the theoretical perspective. In this paper, we carefully compare the differences between online and batch boosting, and pr…

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

New method optimizes experiments under constraints.

problem Adapting BED to dynamic constraints in real-world tasks.
method Offline pre-training of an amortized policy and posterior network with online multi-step lookahead planning.
result Significantly more informative design sequences than existing methods.

New algorithms control FDX while achieving more power in online multiple testing.

problem Problems with previous online multiple testing methods, including high FDX and low power.
method Developed new dynamic algorithms that adjust testing levels based on accumulated wealth.
result SupLORD algorithm achieves higher power and FDR control in synthetic experiments.

Online learning algorithms update models via one sample per iteration, thus efficient to process large-scale datasets and useful to detect malicious events for social benefits, such as disease outbreak and traffic congestion on the fly. However, existing algorithms for graph-structured models focused on the offline set…

2019-05-26abs ↗pdf ↗

A scalable system detects price anomalies in online marketplaces to improve customer experience.

problem Inaccurate prices on online marketplaces lead to poor customer experience and revenue loss.
method MoatPlus uses unsupervised statistical features and an ensemble of models to generate upper price bounds.
result Our approach improves precise anchor coverage by up to 46.6% in high-vulnerability item subsets.

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework for optimizing online experiments to maximize profit.

problem Statistical flaws and reliance on proxy metrics in A/B tests compromise their effectiveness.
method Hierarchical Bayesian model for estimating conversion probability and monetary value, decision-theoretic stopping rule.
result The framework ensures experiments conclude when no variant offers a significant profit improvement, conserving resources.

We study data poisoning attacks in the online setting where training items arrive sequentially, and the attacker may perturb the current item to manipulate online learning. Importantly, the attacker has no knowledge of future training items nor the data generating distribution. We formulate online data poisoning attack…

2019-03-05abs ↗pdf ↗

This work establishes always-valid risk bounds for online matrix completion.

problem Challenges in establishing always-valid concentration inequalities for online matrix completion.
method Combines non-asymptotic martingale concentration and regularized low-rank matrix regression.
result Establishes always-valid risk bound process for online matrix completion.

A distributed system identification method for LTI systems using reverse experience replay.

problem Online system identification of LTI systems over multi-agent networks.
method DSGD-RER, a distributed variant of SGD-RER with backward updates.
result The estimation error decreases as the network size grows.

Interactive user interfaces need to continuously evolve based on the interactions that a user has (or does not have) with the system. This may require constant exploration of various options that the system may have for the user and obtaining signals of user preferences on those. However, such an exploration, especiall…

2018-12-01abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper tackles robust design selection for online experiments under uncertain interference mechanisms.

problem Designing experiments in ads, recommendations, and member-experience systems when interference mechanisms are unknown.
method Formulates the problem as robust design selection over uncertain exposure mechanisms. Compares designs by worst-case planning risk over an ambiguity set combining various factors.
result Develops a geometry-aware guarantee and robust selector theorem with excess-risk control, exact recovery under separation, and certified shortlists when the risk surface is flat.

Current online learning methods suffer issues such as lower convergence rates and limited capability to select important features compared to their offline counterparts. In this paper, a novel framework for online learning based on running averages is proposed. Many popular offline regularized methods such as Lasso, El…

2018-03-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper tackles online multi-source domain adaptation using Gaussian mixtures and dictionary learning.

problem Adapting multiple, heterogeneous source domains to a target domain in a streaming fashion.
method Introduces a novel approach for online fitting of Gaussian Mixture Models based on Wasserstein geometry, combined with dataset dictionary learning.
result Demonstrates ability to adapt 'on the fly' to target domain data streams.

OpenML is an online machine learning platform where researchers can easily share data, machine learning tasks and experiments as well as organize them online to work and collaborate more efficiently. In this paper, we present an R package to interface with the OpenML platform and illustrate its usage in combination wit…

2017-01-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper develops robust policy evaluation for reinforcement learning with outlier and heavy-tailed rewards.

problem Outlier contamination and heavy-tailed rewards in reinforcement learning.
method Develops a fully online robust policy evaluation procedure and efficient statistical inference.
result Establishes the Bahadur-type representation of the estimator and develops an online inference procedure.

Bayesian optimization for long-term outcomes using fast and slow experiments.

problem Optimizing long-term system effects with short-term misleading results.
method Combining fast and slow experiments for Bayesian optimization.
result Sequential optimization over large action spaces in a short time.

Algorithm learns from offline data to improve performance in target environment.

problem Learning from offline data in a target environment with unknown shifts.
method Adaptive algorithm that uses offline data to improve performance when informative.
result Algorithm provably improves performance over purely online learning when offline data are informative.

Regularized online learning is widely used in machine learning applications. In online learning, performing exact minimization (i.e.,i.e., implicit update) is known to be beneficial to the numerical stability and structure of solution. In this paper we study a class of regularized online algorithms without linearizing the…

2018-09-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper tackles dynamic label shift in online learning, achieving optimal performance.

problem Adapting to changing class marginals in online supervised and unsupervised learning.
method Develops novel algorithms reducing adaptation to online regression, achieving optimal dynamic regret.
result Achieves superior performance in various online label shift scenarios.

Biological research often involves testing a growing number of null hypotheses as new data is accumulated over time. We study the problem of online control of the familywise error rate (FWER), that is testing an apriori unbounded sequence of hypotheses (p-values) one by one over time without knowing the future, such th…

2019-10-10abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the problem of learning a latent variable model from a stream of data. Latent variable models are popular in practice because they can explain observed data in terms of unobserved concepts. These models have been traditionally studied in the offline setting. In the online setting, on the other hand, the online…

2017-09-21abs ↗pdf ↗

New method optimizes on curved manifolds without curvature dependence.

problem Curvature-dependent regret in online optimization on Hadamard manifolds.
method Riemannian online gradient descent for h-convex functions.
result Established O(T)O(\sqrt{T}) and O(log(T))O(\log(T)) regret guarantees, curvature-independent.