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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Offline Regression

Framework reduces contextual bandit learning to offline regression with near-optimal regret.

problem Efficient learning with large action spaces and complex reward functions.
method Offline Estimation to Decisions (OE2D) algorithm that minimizes regret with near-optimal oracle calls.
result Near-optimal regret for contextual bandits with large action spaces and O(log(T))O(log(T)) offline oracle calls.

OE2D framework reduces contextual bandits to offline regression for near-optimal regret.

problem Efficiently learning contextual bandits with large action spaces and complex reward functions.
method Offline Estimation to Decisions (OE2D) algorithm that reduces contextual bandits to offline regression.
result Near-optimal regret for contextual bandits with large action spaces and O(logT)O(\log T) calls to an offline regression oracle.

Faster algorithm reduces contextual bandit regret with fewer offline regression calls.

problem Optimizing reward in contextual bandits with unknown functions.
method Designing a simple algorithm with O(logT){O}(\log T) offline regression calls.
result Achieves statistically optimal regret with minimal offline calls.

Normalizing flow regression approximates posterior distributions without additional sampling.

problem Bayesian inference with computationally expensive likelihood evaluations.
method Normalizing flow regression (NFR) for offline inference.
result NFR yields a tractable posterior approximation through regression on existing log-density evaluations.

Robust multivariate linear regression methods for online and offline use.

problem Estimating parameters of multivariate Gaussian linear regression models robustly.
method Robust versions of least-square criterion with online and offline algorithms.
result Asymptotic normality of robust estimates proved under weak assumptions.

This research improves online learning by correcting for target shift in machine learning.

problem Online learning struggles with distributional shift, especially in target values.
method Derives closed-form expressions for online and offline learning, and target correction.
result Online kernel-based learning can learn the same predictor as offline learning with target correction.

A novel approach for safe offline RL using latent safety constraints.

problem Balancing safety constraints and reward maximization in offline RL.
method Conditional Variational Autoencoders for latent safety modeling, Constrained Reward-Return Maximization.
result Our approach maintains safety compliance while optimizing rewards, outperforming existing methods.

Transforms offline algorithms to online with low regret in random order model.

problem Developing online algorithms with low approximate regret from offline approximation algorithms.
method General reduction theorem and coreset construction method.
result Achieves polylogarithmic ε-approximate regret for various online problems.

Efficient algorithm for CMDPs reduces to offline density estimation.

problem Offline learning for CMDPs with horizon H.
method Reduction to offline density estimation, layerwise exploration-exploitation tradeoff.
result First efficient and near-optimal reduction from CMDPs to offline density estimation.

Papers learn from data to make decisions without interacting, improving on previous methods.

problem Achieving optimal decision-making from offline data with non-linear function approximation.
method Pessimistic Nonlinear Least-Square Value Iteration (PNLSVI) with three innovative components.
result Achieves minimax optimal instance-dependent regret for non-linear function approximation.

This paper explores how IV methods can improve Q-function estimates in offline policy evaluation.

problem Confounding in estimating Q-function using reinforcement learning.
method Integrates IV techniques into offline policy evaluation (OPE) to improve Q-function estimates.
result State-of-the-art OPE methods are closely matched in performance by some IV methods.

Paper proposes real-time VaR estimation using quantile regression forest with conformal calibration.

problem Real-time estimation of Value at Risk (VaR) in rapidly changing markets.
method Quantile regression forest trained offline, real-time VaR estimates via observed risk factors, conformalized estimator for reliability.
result The proposed method provides reliable real-time VaR estimates.

Paper analyzes SGD in kernel regression, showing it outperforms offline methods.

problem Performance of SGD in kernel regression compared to offline methods.
method Analyzes Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) in kernel regression under misspecified models.
result SGD achieves min-max optimal rates up to constants, avoiding saturation.

Develops efficient algorithm for distilling supervised and offline RL datasets.

problem Creating synthetic datasets for supervised and offline RL models to match training data performance.
method An efficient algorithm based on matching losses without model training, using randomly sampled regressors.
result Synthetic datasets derived with ildeO(d2) ilde{O}(d^2) sampled regressors match MSE loss of bounded linear models on training data.

Novel optimization method detects change points in Gaussian data.

problem Detecting change points in univariate Gaussian data sequences.
method Continuous optimization for best subset selection (COMBSS) applied to a reformulated statistical inverse problem.
result Adaptation and evaluation of COMBSS for offline normal mean multiple change-point detection.

New algorithm learns optimal policies in strategic MDPs with private types.

problem Optimal policy learning in strategic MDPs with private types and information asymmetry.
method PLAN algorithm using instrumental variable regression and pessimism principle.
result PLAN achieves near-optimal policy with 1/K1 / \sqrt{K} optimality.

Online active regression algorithms minimize label queries for efficient data regression.

problem Efficiently predict data points with minimal label queries in an online setting.
method Proposed online algorithms for active regression under ℓ_p loss, achieving (1+ε)-approximation with minimal label queries.
result Achieves (1+ε)-approximation with only ε^(-1) d log(nκ) label queries, matching offline methods in performance.

Algorithm balances online and offline data for linear bandits.

problem Online learning with an offline dataset in linear bandits.
method Proposes a linear bandit algorithm that uses offline data early and increasingly favors exploration as the horizon grows.
result Establishes regret bounds showing competitive performance with both purely online and offline solutions.

Algorithm learns from offline data to improve performance in target environment.

problem Learning from offline data in a target environment with unknown shifts.
method Adaptive algorithm that uses offline data to improve performance when informative.
result Algorithm provably improves performance over purely online learning when offline data are informative.

New algorithm mitigates misspecification amplification in regression models with covariate shift.

problem Distribution shift and model misspecification in regression models.
method Developed a new algorithm inspired by robust optimization to avoid misspecification amplification.
result No misspecification amplification while still achieving optimal statistical rates.

Paper offers a fast convergence theory for offline decision making.

problem Offline decision making problems, including reinforcement learning and off-policy evaluation.
method Introduces a framework (DMOF) and algorithm (EDD) with a fast convergence guarantee.
result Demonstrates a fast convergence guarantee with a lower bound complement.

This work bridges offline RL and DRL to address distributional shift.

problem Distributional shift in offline RL due to difference in state-action visitation distributions.
method Proposes offline RL algorithms using DRL framework, characterizes sample complexity under single policy concentrability.
result Demonstrates superior performance of proposed algorithms through simulations.

FOCUS improves offline RL by incorporating causal structure into world-models.

problem Learning effective policies from historical data without interaction.
method FOCUS proposes a practical algorithm that learns and leverages causal structure in offline RL.
result FOCUS outperforms plain model-based offline RL algorithms and other causal model-based RL algorithms.

BOMS enhances offline MBRL by improving model selection with Bayesian optimization.

problem Inaccurate model selection in offline MBRL due to distribution shift.
method Proposes BOMS, an active model selection framework using Bayesian optimization.
result Improves model selection with only a small amount of online interaction.

Paper establishes baselines for offline RL from visual observations.

problem Challenges in offline reinforcement learning from visual observations with continuous action spaces.
method Simple baselines and benchmarking tasks for offline RL from visual observations.
result Simple modifications to existing online RL algorithms outperform existing offline RL methods.

Off-policy reinforcement learning (RL) using a fixed offline dataset of logged interactions is an important consideration in real world applications. This paper studies offline RL using the DQN replay dataset comprising the entire replay experience of a DQN agent on 60 Atari 2600 games. We demonstrate that recent off-p…

2019-07-10abs ↗pdf ↗

CAG method predicts nonlinear solid mechanics responses in real-time with high accuracy and efficiency.

problem Real-time prediction of nonlinear solid mechanics responses.
method Clustering adaptive Gaussian process regression (CAG) method.
result Offers predictions within a second with high precision using only 20 samples.

Study minimax-optimal rates for offline decision-making with function approximation.

problem Statistical complexity of offline decision-making with function approximation.
method Near minimax-optimal rates for stochastic contextual bandits and Markov decision processes, using pseudo-dimension and behavior policy.
result Established performance limits and new characterization of behavior policy.

Offline RL with pre-trained features amplifies errors even under mild shifts.

problem Sample-efficient offline RL with pre-trained features under mild distribution shift.
method Empirical study of offline RL with pre-trained neural representations.
result Substantial error amplification occurs even with pre-trained features, requiring stronger conditions for successful offline RL.

A new offline RL framework unifies imitation learning and vanilla offline RL.

problem Learning from expert datasets without active data collection.
method A new offline RL framework that interpolates between imitation learning and vanilla offline RL, using a weak concentrability coefficient and a lower confidence bound algorithm.
result LCB algorithm achieves a faster rate of 1/N1/N for nearly-expert datasets, and is adaptively optimal for the entire data composition range.

Anchor-TS uses median anchoring to improve online decision-making from offline data with distribution shift.

problem Improving online decision-making from offline data with distribution shift.
method Sample-Mean Anchored Thompson Sampling (Anchor-TS) with median anchoring.
result Anchor-TS safely leverages offline data to accelerate online learning and reduces regret.