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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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132264395527 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Observer variability

New method for fitting graphical models with latent variables using regularized conditional likelihood.

problem Graphical modeling with latent variables and confounding dependencies.
method Regularized conditional likelihood for exponential family graphical models.
result Framework applicable to broader settings without knowing latent variables' distribution.

Quantitatively assessing relationships between latent variables and observed variables is important for understanding and developing generative models and representation learning. In this paper, we propose latent-observed dissimilarity (LOD) to evaluate the dissimilarity between the probabilistic characteristics of lat…

2016-03-30abs ↗pdf ↗

The framework of variational autoencoders allows us to efficiently learn deep latent-variable models, such that the model's marginal distribution over observed variables fits the data. Often, we're interested in going a step further, and want to approximate the true joint distribution over observed and latent variables…

2019-07-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Study tackles causal structure learning in linear models with unobserved variables and measurement error.

problem Challenges of unobserved common causes and measurement error in causal structure learning.
method Introduces LV-SEM-ME model with four types of variables and characterizes identifiability under separability condition.
result Establishes form of identification robustness for target effect in broader LV-SEM-ME model.

Consider an experiment involving a potentially small number of subjects. Some random variables are observed on each subject: a high-dimensional one called the "observed" random variable, and a one-dimensional one called the "outcome" random variable. We are interested in the dependencies between the observed random var…

2018-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

New method identifies latent causal variables from observed data, overcoming indeterminacies.

problem Identifying latent causal variables from observed data, especially when latent variables are weight-variant.
method Introduces a novel identifiability condition for latent causal models, proposing SuaVE method.
result Identifies latent causal variables up to trivial permutation and scaling, demonstrating consistency and efficacy.

Characterizes causal structure dominance for latent variables.

problem Determining dominance relations between causal structures with latent variables.
method Complete characterization for three visible variables, partial for four; uses nontrivial inequality constraints.
result Equivalence classes with nontrivial inequality constraints become ubiquitous as the number of visible variables increases.

A new algorithm uses IVs to learn optimal policies from observational data.

problem Learning optimal policies from unobserved variable confounded data.
method IV-aided Value Iteration (IVVI) algorithm based on conditional moment restrictions.
result First provably efficient algorithm for instrument-aided offline RL.

New method identifies causal variables from partially observed data.

problem Learning from unpaired observations with instance-dependent partial observability.
method Proposes two methods enforcing sparsity in the inferred representation.
result Establishes two identifiability results for linear and piecewise linear mixing functions.

The paper proposes a method to precisely decompose confounders and estimate treatment effects.

problem Estimating treatment effects from observational data with confounder identification and balancing.
method Learning decomposed representations to identify and balance confounders and non-confounders.
result The method achieves more precise treatment effect estimation than existing methods.

New method identifies latent variables with causal dependencies from observed data.

problem Identify latent variables with causal relationships from observed data.
method Linear causal disentanglement via higher-order cumulants, with perfect and soft interventions.
result Recovery of parameters via coupled tensor decomposition and polynomial equations.

We use the score function for causal discovery, tackling challenges with hidden variables.

problem Causal discovery from observational data with hidden variables.
method Fine-tuning identifiability results, establishing conditions for inferring causal relations from the score, proposing a flexible algorithm.
result Empirical validation of the proposed algorithm for causal discovery on linear, nonlinear, and latent variable models.

Extends linear structural causal models to include deterministic relations and latent confounders for causal discovery.

problem Causal discovery in linear SCMs with deterministic relations and latent confounders.
method Extended existing results to include deterministic relations and latent confounders, derived necessary and sufficient conditions for unique identifiability, proposed an algorithm for recovery.
result First work on identifiability results for causal discovery under latent confounding and deterministic relationships.

Researchers identify latent variables and causal structures from nonlinear hierarchical models.

problem Challenging task of identifying latent variables and causal structures from observational data, especially when relationships are nonlinear.
method Investigated nonlinear latent hierarchical causal models, developed identification criterion, and constructed an estimation procedure.
result Identifiability of causal structures and latent variables achieved under mild assumptions.

Paper proposes a new method to identify causal graphs with latent variables using higher-order cumulants.

problem Estimating causal directed acyclic graphs with latent confounders.
method Uses higher-order cumulants to identify causal structures among observed and latent variables.
result Validates the proposed algorithm through simulations and real-world data.

This work presents entropic constraints from DAGs with hidden variables.

problem Characterizing causal relations in systems with hidden variables.
method Entropic inequality constraints derived from ee-separation relations.
result These constraints can learn about true causal models from observed data.

We generalize to the finite-state case the notion of the extreme effect variable YY that accumulates all the effect of a variant variable VV observed in changes of another variable XX. We conduct theoretical analysis and turn the problem of finding of an effect variable into a problem of a simultaneous decomposition…

2019-12-24abs ↗pdf ↗

DAG models with hidden variables present many difficulties that are not present when all nodes are observed. In particular, fully observed DAG models are identified and correspond to well-defined sets ofdistributions, whereas this is not true if nodes are unobserved. Inthis paper we characterize exactly the set of dist…

2013-01-10abs ↗pdf ↗

New method learns graphical models with latent variables for extreme events.

problem Learning graphical models with latent variables for multivariate extremes.
method Tractable convex program exttt{eglatent} for Hüsler-Reiss models.
result Consistently recovers conditional graph and latent variables.

Proposes a new condition to estimate latent variable causal graphs from observed data.

problem Estimating causal structures when observed variables are not the underlying causal variables.
method Introduces Generalized Independent Noise (GIN) condition and a recursive learning algorithm.
result Shows that GIN helps locate latent variables and identify their causal structure.

This work considers the problem of learning the structure of multivariate linear tree models, which include a variety of directed tree graphical models with continuous, discrete, and mixed latent variables such as linear-Gaussian models, hidden Markov models, Gaussian mixture models, and Markov evolutionary trees. The …

2011-07-07abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper explores what causal structures can be distinguished by observational and interventional probing schemes.

problem Identifying causal structures with latent variables using observational and interventional data.
method Investigates the power of different probing schemes (observation vs. intervention) to distinguish causal structures.
result Two causal structures are indistinguishable if they share the same mDAG structure.

Study explores K-means clustering of variables and its relation to PCA.

problem Exploring the relationship between K-means clustering of variables and PCA.
method Apply PCA to original data and K-means to transposed data, quantify variable contributions to principal components.
result Identifies how variable clusters contribute to principal components identified by PCA.

We study covariance matrix estimation for the case of partially observed random vectors, where different samples contain different subsets of vector coordinates. Each observation is the product of the variable of interest with a 010-1 Bernoulli random variable. We analyze an unbiased covariance estimator under this mod…

2018-04-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Much research has been devoted to the problem of estimating treatment effects from observational data; however, most methods assume that the observed variables only contain confounders, i.e., variables that affect both the treatment and the outcome. Unfortunately, this assumption is frequently violated in real-world ap…

2020-01-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Ising models describe the joint probability distribution of a vector of binary feature variables. Typically, not all the variables interact with each other and one is interested in learning the presumably sparse network structure of the interacting variables. However, in the presence of latent variables, the convention…

2019-01-28abs ↗pdf ↗

New model captures state-dependent variability in partially observed systems.

problem Structured stochasticity not captured by constant-variance models.
method State-coupled stochastic volatility framework with particle expectation-maximization.
result Model consistently reduces recovery bias under partial observation.

Recently there has been a significant interest in learning disentangled representations, as they promise increased interpretability, generalization to unseen scenarios and faster learning on downstream tasks. In this paper, we investigate the usefulness of different notions of disentanglement for improving the fairness…

2019-05-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Causal inference concerns the identification of cause-effect relationships between variables, e.g. establishing whether a stimulus affects activity in a certain brain region. The observed variables themselves often do not constitute meaningful causal variables, however, and linear combinations need to be considered. In…

2015-12-03abs ↗pdf ↗

New method for causal inference with observed covariates improves learning rates.

problem Causal inference with observed covariates in nonparametric instrumental variable regression.
method Introduces novel Fourier measure for partial smoothing and adapts kernel lengthscales for anisotropic smoothness.
result Upper and lower learning rates for KIV-O show interpolation between NPIV and NPR rates.

A serious problem in learning probabilistic models is the presence of hidden variables. These variables are not observed, yet interact with several of the observed variables. Detecting hidden variables poses two problems: determining the relations to other variables in the model and determining the number of states of …

2013-01-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Deciding what and when to observe is critical when making observations is costly. In a medical setting where observations can be made sequentially, making these observations (or not) should be an active choice. We refer to this as the active sensing problem. In this paper, we propose a novel deep learning framework, wh…

2019-06-16abs ↗pdf ↗

New method for evaluating policies in complex decision-making models with hidden variables.

problem Evaluating policies in partially observable Markov decision processes with hidden confounders.
method Introduces novel identification methods and minimax estimation techniques for linking target policy's value and observed data distribution.
result Proposes three estimators for off-policy evaluation in POMDPs with latent confounders, demonstrating their effectiveness through nonasymptotic and asymptotic analysis.

We identify direct causes of a target variable from observational data without full DAG identifiability.

problem Learning direct causes of a target variable from observational data.
method Developed algorithms under relaxed identifiability assumptions for one environment without interventions.
result Identifiable set of direct causes from observational data under specific assumptions.