Study finds no statistically significant trading edge in MNQ futures signals from OHLCV data.
problem Testing intraday momentum signals from OHLCV data in MNQ futures under realistic execution constraints.
method 947 trading days of five-minute data, 14 signal families evaluated, strict institutional criteria applied.
result No signal satisfies all criteria simultaneously, gross edge insufficient to overcome costs.
AIMM-X monitors markets for suspicious behavior using transparent scoring.
problem Detecting market manipulation from benign mechanisms.
method Combines microstructure signals and public attention signals for anomaly detection.
result Transparent scoring allows tracing and understanding flagged windows.
LSTM and gradient boosting models fail to outperform random chance in predicting MNQ futures.
problem Predicting intraday direction in MNQ futures using LSTM and gradient boosting.
method Comparing LSTM and gradient boosting models on 944 trading days of MNQ futures data.
result No model achieves statistically significant accuracy above random chance.
This paper evaluates LLMs for technical market analysis, finding GPT-4 Turbo and FinGPT outperform passive benchmarks.
problem Evaluating LLMs for technical market analysis in financial markets.
method Structured evaluation of five LLMs (GPT-4 Turbo, Claude 3 Opus, Gemini 1.5 Pro, Llama 3 70B, FinGPT) on four tasks: candlestick pattern recognition, directional signal generation, backtesting, and financial report comprehension.
result GPT-4 Turbo and FinGPT outperform passive benchmarks in simulated backtesting, with GPT-4 Turbo achieving the highest annualized return and Sharpe ratio.
Develops a validated trading framework for market microstructure signals.
problem Overfitting and lookahead bias in algorithmic trading.
method Interpretable hypothesis-driven signal generation, reinforcement learning, strict out-of-sample testing.
result Modest annualized returns with strong downside protection and market-neutral characteristics.
Study fusion methods for financial image views to improve robustness against attacks.
problem Improving robustness of financial image views for next-day direction prediction.
method Same-source multi-view learning with early fusion and late fusion, using OHLCV and technical-indicator views, and evaluating pixel-space L-infinity attacks.
result Early fusion can suffer negative transfer under noisy settings, while late fusion is more reliable once labels stabilize.
LLM trading agents show risk feedback can improve alignment without fine-tuning.
problem Aligning LLM trading agents with financial risk.
method TradeArena testbed, risk reports, execution simulation, memory replay.
result Risk feedback can improve alignment without fine-tuning, but not universally.
Benchmark detects decision-time leakage in financial backtests.
problem Detecting decision-time leakage in financial machine-learning backtests.
method Toggles one evaluation convention at a time around a clean t+1-open reference, holding other factors fixed. result Inflation is highly selective, affecting specific features and execution methods.
LSTM model predicts stock prices with high accuracy in stable sectors but struggles with volatile ones.
problem Predicting stock prices in emerging markets with limited data.
method Developed and evaluated an LSTM network on historical OHLCV data and technical indicators.
result Strong predictive performance (R2>0.87) for stable sectors, but challenges for volatile ones. Study analyzes cryptocurrency pump-and-dump dynamics using minute-level data.
problem Identifying and quantifying insider trading in cryptocurrency markets.
method Algorithmic identification of insider volume spikes, conservative profit bounds calculation, social-media verification.
result Median returns above 100%, upper-quartile returns exceeding 2000% for insider profits.
QTMRL uses RL with multi-indicators to improve trading adaptability.
problem Traditional trading models fail in volatile markets due to rigid assumptions.
method Combines multi-indicators with RL for adaptive portfolio management.
result QTMRL outperforms baselines in profitability and risk control.
Martingale Doppelgänger-Eval benchmarks VLMs on candlestick evidence vs. trend extrapolation
problem Auditing whether VLMs use chart evidence or trend extrapolation
method Proving formal limitations and designing controlled mechanisms
result Identifying regression coefficients for evidence vs. trend
AI models failed to profitably predict cryptocurrency extrema on Binance Spot.
problem Tackling the profitability of candle-based machine learning models for short-term cryptocurrency trading.
method Scripted fixed-seed model runs and deterministic simulators with human supervision.
result Strongest evidence found negative, with models underperforming buy-and-hold strategies.
A new geometry for comparing signals, overcoming traditional limitations.
problem Comparing and interpolating discontinuous and signed signals.
method Investigation of Riemannian geometry on signal space, introducing a metric that measures both horizontal and vertical deformations.
result Characterization of metric properties and establishment of geodesic regularity and stability.
Paper presents a unique method to recover signals from their bispectrum.
problem Retrieving signals accurately from their bispectrum.
method Two-step trust region algorithm that minimizes a non-convex objective function.
result Signals with finite spectral or temporal support can be recovered from at least 3B measurements of their bispectrum.
Paper proposes efficient methods for clustering and signal recovery in high-dimensional data with block structures.
problem High-dimensional clustering and signal recovery under block signal structures.
method CFA-PCA and MA-PCA methods for sparse and dense block signals.
result Proposed methods achieve computational minimax optimality for clustering and signal recovery.
Proposes a novel graph signal model using narrowband kernels.
problem Graph signals with multiple concentrated frequency regions.
method Jointly learns graph signal model parameters and coefficients.
result Joint learning improves signal interpolation accuracy.
New framework models graph signals as distribution-valued signals in Wasserstein space.
problem Limitations of classical vector-based GSP, including synchronous observations and uncertainty.
method Introduces graph distribution-valued signals (GDSs) in the Wasserstein space.
result GDSs naturally encode uncertainty and stochasticity, generalizing traditional graph signals.
New algorithms improve signal processing in federated learning.
problem Efficiently process distributed signal samples with privacy and communication constraints.
method Proposes overpredictive signal approximations using convex optimization.
result Quantifies tradeoffs between communication cost, sampling rate, and approximation error.
We consider the problem of signal recovery on graphs as graphs model data with complex structure as signals on a graph. Graph signal recovery implies recovery of one or multiple smooth graph signals from noisy, corrupted, or incomplete measurements. We propose a graph signal model and formulate signal recovery as a cor…
Proposes a new signal model for high-dimensional, small-sample-size data.
problem Signal detection in high-dimensional, small-sample-size datasets.
method Intrinsic signal model based on dynamical system assumption.
result Taguchi method effectively detects signals in the proposed model.
This paper reconstructs complex graph signals using kernel methods on manifolds.
problem Reconstructing complex graph signals from samples on graph vertices.
method Kernel methods on complex manifolds, embedding vertices into higher-dimensional spaces.
result Effective reconstruction of complex graph signals, outperforming conventional methods.
Study on signal-plus-noise decomposition in nonlinear spiked random matrices.
problem Nonlinear spiked random matrix models with rank-one signal and noise.
method Signal-plus-noise decomposition and phase transition analysis.
result Identified precise phase transitions in signal components at critical thresholds.
We find ways to make physical signals misclassified by computer vision models.
problem Vulnerability of signal classifiers to adversarial perturbations in physical signals.
method Solving PDE-constrained optimization problems to construct imperceptible perturbations.
result Effective and physically realizable adversarial perturbations can be computed for machine learning models.
The presence of noise is common in signal processing regardless the signal type. Deep neural networks have shown good performance in noise removal, especially on the image domain. In this work, we consider deep neural networks as a denoising tool where our focus is on one dimensional signals. We introduce an encoder-de…
In this paper, we address the problem of reconstructing a time-domain signal (or a phase spectrogram) solely from a magnitude spectrogram. Since magnitude spectrograms do not contain phase information, we must restore or infer phase information to reconstruct a time-domain signal. One widely used approach for dealing w…
Optimizes signal detection in particle physics by decorrelating classifiers.
problem Systematic errors in background models can mislead signal detection.
method Use optimal transport to decorrelate classifiers from protected variables, then apply semiparametric mixture model.
result Decorrelation and signal enrichment improve the stability, robustness, and power of signal detection tests.
Signal recovery is one of the key techniques of Compressive sensing (CS). It reconstructs the original signal from the linear sub-Nyquist measurements. Classical methods exploit the sparsity in one domain to formulate the L0 norm optimization. Recent investigation shows that some signals are sparse in multiple domains.…
Paper improves signal proportion estimation by accounting for variable dependence.
problem Traditional estimators assume independence, limiting applicability in real-world scenarios.
method Integrates arbitrary covariance dependence information using principal factor approximation.
result Method outperforms state-of-the-art estimators in accuracy and detection of weaker signals.
Signal retrieval from a series of indirect measurements is a common task in many imaging, metrology and characterization platforms in science and engineering. Because most of the indirect measurement processes are well-described by physical models, signal retrieval can be solved with an iterative optimization that enfo…
Goal: This paper deals with the problems that some EEG signals have no good sparse representation and single channel processing is not computationally efficient in compressed sensing of multi-channel EEG signals. Methods: An optimization model with L0 norm and Schatten-0 norm is proposed to enforce cosparsity and low r…
A new model classifies lightning signals more accurately across different scales.
problem Classifying VLF lightning transients to reduce interference and improve navigation system reliability.
method Introduces a multi-scale residual transformer (MRTransformer) to classify lightning signals.
result Achieved 90% accuracy in lightning signal classification.
Generalizes PCA and ICA for continuous-time signals using neural networks.
problem Low-rank decomposition of continuous-time vector-valued signals.
method Implicit neural network framework to learn numerical approximations of PCA and ICA.
result Unified approach to PCA and ICA in continuous domain, enforcing decorrelation and independence.
Research compares ML and Time Series methods for generating trading signals.
problem Efficiency of on-line learning Algorithms in generating trading signals.
method Used technical indicators and ensemble of Random Forests, also Kalman Filter.
result Kalman Filter outperformed Random Forests in on-line learning predictions of stock prices.
In this manuscript, we investigate deep invertible networks for EEG-based brain signal decoding and find them to generate realistic EEG signals as well as classify novel signals above chance. Further ideas for their regularization towards better decoding accuracies are discussed.
We study the problem of corrupted sensing, a generalization of compressed sensing in which one aims to recover a signal from a collection of corrupted or unreliable measurements. While an arbitrary signal cannot be recovered in the face of arbitrary corruption, tractable recovery is possible when both signal and corrup…
Model improves emotion recognition using multiple physiological signals.
problem Single physiological signal is insufficient for accurate emotion recognition.
method Fused multiple modal physiological signals (EEG, EMG, EOG) for emotion classification.
result Best classification accuracy of 94.42% on arousal and 94.02% on valence in two-class tasks.
The paper presents a novel approach of spoofing wireless signals by using a general adversarial network (GAN) to generate and transmit synthetic signals that cannot be reliably distinguished from intended signals. It is of paramount importance to authenticate wireless signals at the PHY layer before they proceed throug…
There are three equivalent ways of representing two jointly observed real-valued signals: as a bivariate vector signal, as a single complex-valued signal, or as two analytic signals known as the rotary components. Each representation has unique advantages depending on the system of interest and the application goals. I…
Machine learning detects foreign stock market signals for U.S. companies.
problem Detecting value-relevant foreign information for U.S. companies.
method Training over 100,000 models to capture stock-specific relationships.
result Foreign signals predict U.S. stock returns, especially in emerging markets.
Signals are submanifolds; bounds on energy calculated.
problem Abstract theory of signal propagation.
method Energy inequalities and bounds calculated for specific signal spaces.
result Upper and lower bounds on energy derived for various signal configurations.
CNN model for efficient wireless spectrum sensing and signal identification.
problem Efficient utilization of scarce wireless spectrum.
method Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) based on spectral correlation function.
result Significant performance gains over existing methods.
We consider the problem of detecting whether a tensor signal having many missing entities lies within a given low dimensional Kronecker-Structured (KS) subspace. This is a matched subspace detection problem. Tensor matched subspace detection problem is more challenging because of the intertwined signal dimensions. We s…
High throughput biomedical measurements normally capture multiple overlaid biologically relevant signals and often also signals representing different types of technical artefacts like e.g. batch effects. Signal identification and decomposition are accordingly main objectives in statistical biomedical modeling and data…
Many problems in image processing and computer vision (e.g. colorization, style transfer) can be posed as 'manipulating' an input image into a corresponding output image given a user-specified guiding signal. A holy-grail solution towards generic image manipulation should be able to efficiently alter an input image wit…
Paper learns hypergraph structures from signals with smoothness priors.
problem Learning hypergraph structures from signals with high-order relationships.
method Proposes HGSL framework with dual smoothness prior to map signals to hypergraph structure.
result HGSL efficiently infers meaningful hypergraph topologies from signals.
Study detects signal in financial stock correlations using phase-ordering kinetics.
problem Detecting meaningful signals in financial stock return correlations.
method Stochastic field theory model to establish a detection threshold.
result Detection of a signal in the largest eigenvalues of the stock return correlation matrix.
This paper presents a unified framework to tackle estimation problems in Digital Signal Processing (DSP) using Support Vector Machines (SVMs). The use of SVMs in estimation problems has been traditionally limited to its mere use as a black-box model. Noting such limitations in the literature, we take advantage of sever…