A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Flexible nonstationary Gaussian process with neural network parameters.
Model nonstationary spatial processes using normalizing flows.
ConvNets improve nonstationary covariance estimation for large-scale spatial data.
The analysis of nonstationary time series is of great importance in many scientific fields such as physics and neuroscience. In recent years, Gaussian process regression has attracted substantial attention as a robust and powerful method for analyzing time series. In this paper, we introduce a new framework for analyzi…
A novel nonstationary permanental process relaxes kernel constraints and captures complex data patterns.
A new method for nonstationary Gaussian processes using Fourier features.
Optimizes spectral density estimation for stationary and nonstationary processes.
Develops nonstationary MOGP kernels for better performance.
We study a special case of the problem of statistical learning without the i.i.d. assumption. Specifically, we suppose a learning method is presented with a sequence of data points, and required to make a prediction (e.g., a classification) for each one, and can then observe the loss incurred by this prediction. We go …
New method tests independence with single nonstationary time series.
Most real world phenomena such as sunlight distribution under a forest canopy, minerals concentration, stock valuation, exhibit nonstationary dynamics i.e. phenomenon variation changes depending on the locality. Nonstationary dynamics pose both theoretical and practical challenges to statistical machine learning algori…
New method infers causal relationships from nonstationary time series data.
We introduce a new class of nonstationary kernels, which we derive as covariance functions of a novel family of stochastic processes we refer to as string Gaussian processes (string GPs). We construct string GPs to allow for multiple types of local patterns in the data, while ensuring a mild global regularity condition…
A new method warps inputs to learn nonstationary kernels efficiently.
Most environmental phenomena, such as wind profiles, ozone concentration and sunlight distribution under a forest canopy, exhibit nonstationary dynamics i.e. phenomenon variation change depending on the location and time of occurrence. Non-stationary dynamics pose both theoretical and practical challenges to statistica…
A new method for separating mixed signals in space and time.
Paper uses RL to estimate long-term treatment effects efficiently.
Quantum reservoir computing needs coherence influx for effective information processing.
We propose multivariate nonstationary Gaussian processes for jointly modeling multiple clinical variables, where the key parameters, length-scales, standard deviations and the correlations between the observed output, are all time dependent. We perform posterior inference via Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC). We also prov…
New RL algorithm tackles nonstationary MDPs with linear approximations and varying rewards.
Bayesian optimization has shown to be a fundamental global optimization algorithm in many applications: ranging from automatic machine learning, robotics, reinforcement learning, experimental design, simulations, etc. The most popular and effective Bayesian optimization relies on a surrogate model in the form of a Gaus…
The use of covariance kernels is ubiquitous in the field of spatial statistics. Kernels allow data to be mapped into high-dimensional feature spaces and can thus extend simple linear additive methods to nonlinear methods with higher order interactions. However, until recently, there has been a strong reliance on a limi…
In many scientific fields, such as economics and neuroscience, we are often faced with nonstationary time series, and concerned with both finding causal relations and forecasting the values of variables of interest, both of which are particularly challenging in such nonstationary environments. In this paper, we study c…
Bayesian optimization has become a fundamental global optimization algorithm in many problems where sample efficiency is of paramount importance. Recently, there has been proposed a large number of new applications in fields such as robotics, machine learning, experimental design, simulation, etc. In this paper, we foc…
A typical audio signal processing pipeline includes multiple disjoint analysis stages, including calculation of a time-frequency representation followed by spectrogram-based feature analysis. We show how time-frequency analysis and nonnegative matrix factorisation can be jointly formulated as a spectral mixture Gaussia…
A new method optimizes in nonstationary environments with many arms efficiently.
RLGP model improves robustness and accuracy for discontinuous response surfaces.
Recent work in distance metric learning has focused on learning transformations of data that best align with provided sets of pairwise similarity and dissimilarity constraints. The learned transformations lead to improved retrieval, classification, and clustering algorithms due to the better adapted distance or similar…
Bayesian Complementary Kernelized Learning models complex spatiotemporal data.
New method disentangles latent variables in nonstationary data.
Recent work in distance metric learning has focused on learning transformations of data that best align with specified pairwise similarity and dissimilarity constraints, often supplied by a human observer. The learned transformations lead to improved retrieval, classification, and clustering algorithms due to the bette…
New kernel enables exact GP analysis of massive datasets.
Estimates neuronal connectivity from spike times using flexible Hawkes processes.
Unified formulation bridges adversarial and nonstationary bandits.
SA-REMBO adapts to nonstationary high-dimensional optimization.
LEAP identifies latent causal variables from temporal data.
MPS selects models for nonstationary time series in real-time.
Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a nonparametric representation of functions. However, classical GP inference suffers from high computational cost and it is difficult to design nonstationary GP priors in practice. In this paper, we propose a sparse Gaussian process model, EigenGP, based on the Karhunen-Loeve (KL) expan…
Flexible spatial models improve predictive performance over nonstationary alternatives.
Develops deep models to handle nonstationary spatial extremal dependence.
NoTMF forecasts sparse urban road movement speeds with nonstationary temporal matrix factorization.
A new approach learns to represent context for nonstationary bandits.
New algorithm for nonstationary multi-armed bandits with optimal performance.
We analyze the question whether sliding window time averages applied to stationary increment processes converge to a limit in probability. The question centers on averages, correlations, and densities constructed via time averages of the increment x(t,T)=x(t+T)-x(t)and the assumption is that the increment is distribute…
Exponential inequalities are main tools in machine learning theory. To prove exponential inequalities for non i.i.d random variables allows to extend many learning techniques to these variables. Indeed, much work has been done both on inequalities and learning theory for time series, in the past 15 years. However, for …
SORSCNs improve nonstationary data modeling by self-organizing and adjusting network parameters.
Spatial processes with nonstationary and anisotropic covariance structure are often used when modelling, analysing and predicting complex environmental phenomena. Such processes may often be expressed as ones that have stationary and isotropic covariance structure on a warped spatial domain. However, the warping functi…
Natural language processing often involves computations with semantic or syntactic graphs to facilitate sophisticated reasoning based on structural relationships. While convolution kernels provide a powerful tool for comparing graph structure based on node (word) level relationships, they are difficult to customize and…