A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Paper optimizes prediction in semi-functional linear models using kernel methods.
problem Optimizing prediction in semi-functional linear models with functional and nonparametric components.
method Double-penalized least squares method in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces, with regularization parameter selection via generalized cross validation.
result Achieves minimax optimal rates of convergence for both functional and nonparametric components.
In this paper, we consider the nonparametric least square regression in a Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS). We propose a new randomized algorithm that has optimal generalization error bounds with respect to the square loss, closing a long-standing gap between upper and lower bounds. Moreover, we show that our al…
We consider least squares estimation in a general nonparametric regression model. The rate of convergence of the least squares estimator (LSE) for the unknown regression function is well studied when the errors are sub-Gaussian. We find upper bounds on the rates of convergence of the LSE when the errors have uniformly …
We consider nonparametric estimation of the state price density encapsulated in option prices. Unlike usual density estimation problems, we only observe option prices and their corresponding strike prices rather than samples from the state price density. We propose to model the state price density directly with a nonpa…
Algorithm learns interaction kernels for particle systems from data.
problem Understanding and modeling interactions in systems of interacting particles.
method Nonparametric algorithm using least squares with regularization, probabilistic error functional, and reproducing kernel Hilbert space convergence.
result The algorithm converges optimally and accurately learns interaction kernels.
We investigate regularized algorithms combining with projection for least-squares regression problem over a Hilbert space, covering nonparametric regression over a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. We prove convergence results with respect to variants of norms, under a capacity assumption on the hypothesis space and a …
We consider the problem of nonparametric regression under shape constraints. The main examples include isotonic regression (with respect to any partial order), unimodal/convex regression, additive shape-restricted regression, and constrained single index model. We review some of the theoretical properties of the least …
The paper tackles extrapolation in extreme regions of regression problems.
problem Extrapolation on the tails of covariates in continuous regression problems.
method Statistical regression on a subsample of furthest observations, focusing on their angular components, using multivariate regular variation theory.
result Quantifies predictive performance on tail regions in terms of excess risk, presenting it as a finite sample risk bound with a bias-variance decomposition.
Nonparametric methods are widely applicable to statistical inference problems, since they rely on a few modeling assumptions. In this context, the fresh look advocated here permeates benefits from variable selection and compressive sampling, to robustify nonparametric regression against outliers - that is, data markedl…
In this work we are interested in the problems of supervised learning and variable selection when the input-output dependence is described by a nonlinear function depending on a few variables. Our goal is to consider a sparse nonparametric model, hence avoiding linear or additive models. The key idea is to measure the …
This paper introduces an interpolation-based method, called the reconstruction approach, for nonparametric regression. Based on the fact that interpolation usually has negligible errors compared to statistical estimation, the reconstruction approach uses an interpolator to parameterize the regression function with its …
We propose a minimum distance estimation method for robust regression in sparse high-dimensional settings. The traditional likelihood-based estimators lack resilience against outliers, a critical issue when dealing with high-dimensional noisy data. Our method, Minimum Distance Lasso (MD-Lasso), combines minimum distanc…
While stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is one of the major workhorses in machine learning, the learning properties of many practically used variants are poorly understood. In this paper, we consider least squares learning in a nonparametric setting and contribute to filling this gap by focusing on the effect and inter…
We study randomized sketching methods for approximately solving least-squares problem with a general convex constraint. The quality of a least-squares approximation can be assessed in different ways: either in terms of the value of the quadratic objective function (cost approximation), or in terms of some distance meas…
Instrumental variable (IV) regression is a strategy for learning causal relationships in observational data. If measurements of input X and output Y are confounded, the causal relationship can nonetheless be identified if an instrumental variable Z is available that influences X directly, but is conditionally independe…
Cross validation residuals are well known for the ordinary least squares model. Here leave-M-out cross validation is extended to generalised least squares. The relationship between cross validation residuals and Cook's distance is demonstrated, in terms of an approximation to the difference in the generalised residual …
In most adaptive signal processing applications, system linearity is assumed and adaptive linear filters are thus used. The traditional class of supervised adaptive filters rely on error-correction learning for their adaptive capability. The kernel method is a powerful nonparametric modeling tool for pattern analysis a…
We use statistical learning methods to construct an adaptive state estimator for nonlinear stochastic systems. Optimal state estimation, in the form of a Kalman filter, requires knowledge of the system's process and measurement uncertainty. We propose that these uncertainties can be estimated from (conditioned on) past…