Convex program for estimating nonlinear recurrent models with stability conditions.
problem Estimating parameters in nonlinear recurrent models with stability conditions.
method Formulated a convex program for the estimator of nonlinear recurrent models under stability conditions.
result Sample complexity for the convex program estimator under stable dynamics.
DeepBayes uses neural networks to efficiently estimate parameters in complex dynamical models.
problem Estimating parameters in stochastic, nonlinear dynamical models is challenging.
method DeepBayes leverages deep recurrent neural networks to learn an estimator that minimizes mean-squared error.
result DeepBayes achieves asymptotically equivalent performance to Bayesian estimation methods.
Generalizes memory and forecasting capacities for nonlinear recurrent networks with dependent inputs.
problem Understanding memory and forecasting capabilities in networks with dependent inputs.
method Formulated bounds for memory and forecasting capacities in terms of network size and input properties.
result Proved that memory capacity for linear recurrent networks with independent inputs is given by the rank of the controllability matrix.
Enhances RSCNs with hybrid regularization for nonlinear dynamics.
problem Modeling nonlinear dynamic systems with uncertainties.
method Recurrent stochastic configuration networks with hybrid regularization.
result The method outperforms other models in nonlinear system identification and industrial tasks.
Lipschitz RNNs improve stability and performance in various tasks.
problem Improving stability and performance of RNNs.
method Introduced a Lipschitz recurrent unit with a linear and Lipschitz nonlinear component for stability analysis.
result Lipschitz RNNs outperform existing units on benchmark tasks.
Nonlinear RNNs' memory capacity varies widely, making it impractical.
problem The usefulness of memory capacity as a metric for linear RNNs is questioned.
method Analysis of random nonlinear RNNs with varying input scales.
result Memory capacity of nonlinear RNNs is arbitrary and impractical.
New method infers nonlinear Granger causality from time series data.
problem Inferring nonlinear Granger causality from time series data.
method Statistical Recurrent Units (SRUs) for modeling nonlinear interactions.
result The proposed economy-SRU model outperforms existing models in inferring Granger causality.
SORSCNs improve nonstationary data modeling by self-organizing and adjusting network parameters.
problem Nonstationary data challenges traditional models in continuous learning.
method SORSCNs autonomously adjust network parameters and structure in real-time using adaptive algorithms.
result SORSCNs outperform other models in generalizing to nonstationary data.
DeepRSCN models nonlinear systems using stochastic configurations.
problem Modeling nonlinear dynamic systems efficiently.
method Incrementally constructed deep reservoir computing framework with random parameters and online weight updates.
result DeepRSCN outperforms single-layer networks in efficiency, learning, and generalization.
Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are nonlinear dynamical models commonly used in the machine learning and dynamical systems literature to represent complex dynamical or sequential relationships between variables. More recently, as deep learning models have become more common, RNNs have been used to forecast increasingl…
New analysis explains pathology of deep Gaussian processes.
problem Pathology of deep Gaussian processes reduces learning capacities with increased layers.
method Study nonlinear dynamic systems corresponding to DGPs, derive recurrence relations.
result Provide tighter bounds and rate of convergence for dynamic systems.
How can we efficiently propagate uncertainty in a latent state representation with recurrent neural networks? This paper introduces stochastic recurrent neural networks which glue a deterministic recurrent neural network and a state space model together to form a stochastic and sequential neural generative model. The c…
Many real-world systems studied are governed by complex, nonlinear dynamics. By modeling these dynamics, we can gain insight into how these systems work, make predictions about how they will behave, and develop strategies for controlling them. While there are many methods for modeling nonlinear dynamical systems, exist…
Scalable verifier for recurrent neural networks using polyhedral abstractions.
problem Certifying the correctness of recurrent neural networks.
method Combining sampling, optimization, and Fermat's theorem for polyhedral abstractions; gradient descent for refinement.
result Successfully verified challenging recurrent models in various domains.
Study uses neural networks to detect nonlinear dynamics in short time series.
problem Challenges in testing dynamical nonlinearities in short time series.
method Recurrent neural network classification framework using raw time series data.
result Classifier accuracy is higher than 50% for chaotic processes, around 50% for nonlinearly correlated noise.
Framework for reconstructing nonlinear systems from multi-modal time series data.
problem Reconstructing nonlinear dynamical systems from multi-modal time series data.
method Dynamic interpretable recurrent neural networks coupled with generalized linear models for multi-modal data integration.
result Framework efficiently compensates for noisy or missing information in one data channel using other channels.
DynNet models dynamic responses of linear and nonlinear systems with fewer variables and higher accuracy.
problem Predicting dynamic responses of linear and nonlinear systems.
method Physics-based recurrent neural network with optimized architecture and training techniques.
result Higher accuracy and fewer trainable variables compared to existing models.
We define Recurrent Gaussian Processes (RGP) models, a general family of Bayesian nonparametric models with recurrent GP priors which are able to learn dynamical patterns from sequential data. Similar to Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), RGPs can have different formulations for their internal states, distinct inference…
Recurrent iterated function systems (RIFSs) are improvements of iterated function systems (IFSs) using elements of the theory of Marcovian stochastic processes which can produce more natural looking images. We construct new RIFSs consisting substantially of a vertical contraction factor function and nonlinear transform…
RVRAE combines deep learning and dynamic factor models for better stock returns prediction.
problem Improving stock returns prediction in volatile markets.
method Combines dynamic factor modeling with variational recurrent autoencoder (VRAE). Uses prior-posterior learning for optimal factor model.
result RVRAE outperforms traditional methods in predicting stock returns and estimating variances.
Recurrent Neural Processes model time series with conditional independence to capture slow variabilities efficiently.
problem Modeling time series data with slow long-term variabilities efficiently.
method Recurrent Neural Processes (RNP) model state space with conditional independence among subsequences.
result RNP state spaces improve predictive performance on real-world time-series data and nonlinear system identification.
Model captures complex neural dynamics with Gaussian process and RNN.
problem Challenges in extracting latent dynamics from noisy neural data.
method Gaussian process recurrent neural networks (GP-RNN) for nonlinear, non-Markovian dynamics.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art methods in reconstructing latent dynamics.
ParaRNN improves RNN interpretability and parallelizability for time-dependent data.
problem Limited interpretability and slow training of RNNs.
method Parallelized RNN with additive representation and recurrence features.
result ParaRNN achieves comparable performance to vanilla RNNs but with improved interpretability and efficiency.
Large-scale recurrent networks have drawn increasing attention recently because of their capabilities in modeling a large variety of real-world phenomena and physical mechanisms. This paper studies how to identify all authentic connections and estimate system parameters of a recurrent network, given a sequence of node …
This paper tackles data-efficient nonlinear control in Hamiltonian systems using symplectic geometry.
problem Data-efficient nonlinear control in Hamiltonian systems.
method Combines symplectic geometry, recurrence on energy level sets, and chain policies to solve target reachability problems.
result Data requirements depend on geometric and recurrence properties of the Hamiltonian, not the state dimension.
Improves LSTM performance by initializing states via manifold learning.
problem Improving LSTM performance through better initialization.
method Learning an intrinsic data manifold to initialize LSTM internal states.
result Improved LSTM performance through consistent initialization.
Hybrid model for online nonlinear prediction using LSTM and soft GBDT.
problem Online nonlinear prediction with manual feature selection and model selection issues.
method End-to-end architecture with LSTM for feature extraction and soft GBDT for regression, jointly optimized.
result Significant performance improvements over conventional methods on real datasets.
We investigate the performance of features that can capture nonlinear recurrence dynamics embedded in the speech signal for the task of Speech Emotion Recognition (SER). Reconstruction of the phase space of each speech frame and the computation of its respective Recurrence Plot (RP) reveals complex structures which can…
In this paper, we introduce the notion of liquid time-constant (LTC) recurrent neural networks (RNN)s, a subclass of continuous-time RNNs, with varying neuronal time-constant realized by their nonlinear synaptic transmission model. This feature is inspired by the communication principles in the nervous system of small …
Reverse engineered RNNs reveal line attractor dynamics for sentiment classification.
problem Understanding how recurrent neural networks solve sequential tasks like sentiment classification.
method Dynamical systems analysis to reverse engineer trained RNNs, identifying fixed points and linearized dynamics.
result Trained RNNs converge to low-dimensional line attractor dynamics, providing interpretable solutions.
This paper describes a method for learning low-dimensional approximations of nonlinear dynamical systems, based on neural-network approximations of the underlying Koopman operator. Extended Dynamic Mode Decomposition (EDMD) provides a useful data-driven approximation of the Koopman operator for analyzing dynamical syst…
Neural networks predict traffic flow in smart cities.
problem Forecasting stochastic and nonlinear traffic flow.
method Various recurrent neural networks trained on intersection data.
result Vector output model with gated recurrent units performed best.
A major tenet in theoretical neuroscience is that cognitive and behavioral processes are ultimately implemented in terms of the neural system dynamics. Accordingly, a major aim for the analysis of neurophysiological measurements should lie in the identification of the computational dynamics underlying task processing. …
Many natural systems, such as neurons firing in the brain or basketball teams traversing a court, give rise to time series data with complex, nonlinear dynamics. We can gain insight into these systems by decomposing the data into segments that are each explained by simpler dynamic units. Building on switching linear dy…
Paper introduces RNTK for recurrent neural networks, improving performance across various datasets.
problem Understanding and optimizing overparametrized recurrent neural networks.
method Developed the Recurrent Neural Tangent Kernel (RNTK) to compare inputs of different lengths.
result RNTK offers significant performance gains over other kernels, including standard NTKs, across multiple datasets.
A new RNN model based on coupled oscillators mitigates gradient issues.
problem Gradient vanishing and exploding issues in RNNs.
method Time-discretization of a system of second-order ODEs modeling coupled oscillators.
result The model maintains bounded gradients, leading to stable learning of long-term dependencies.
New neural networks with variable time constants for better time-series prediction.
problem Improving neural network performance in time-series prediction.
method Constructing networks of linear dynamical systems modulated by nonlinear gates, using numerical differential equation solvers.
result Liquid Time-Constant Networks (LTCs) yield superior performance on time-series prediction tasks.
Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have been drawing much attention with great success in many applications like speech recognition and neural machine translation. Long short-term memory (LSTM) is one of the most popular RNN units in deep learning applications. LSTM transforms the input and the previous hidden states to …
The paper develops a convex parameterization for robust RNNs ensuring stability and robustness.
problem Lack of stability and robustness guarantees in RNNs for sequence-to-sequence mapping applications.
method Formulated convex sets of RNNs with stability and robustness guarantees using incremental quadratic constraints.
result The proposed model structure ensures global exponential stability and bounds on incremental ℓ2 gain. Recent advances in the estimation of deep directed graphical models and recurrent networks let us contribute to the removal of a blind spot in the area of probabilistc modelling of time series. The proposed methods i) can infer distributed latent state-space trajectories with nonlinear transitions, ii) scale to large d…
Study predicts synchronization state of financial time series using cross-recurrence plots.
problem Predicting the state of synchronization of financial time series.
method Cross-correlation analysis and deep learning framework for predicting synchronization state based on cross-recurrence plots.
result Satisfactory performance in predicting synchronization state for certain pairs of stocks.
This study uses high-frequency data to identify early warning signals for bank crises.
problem Identifying early warning signals for impending bank crises.
method Constructing multiple recurrence networks (MRNs) based on high-frequency stock returns to monitor nonlinear dynamics.
result Key indicators of MRNs, particularly average mutual information, provide valuable insights into periods of extreme volatility.
Recent advances in conditional recurrent language modelling have mainly focused on network architectures (e.g., attention mechanism), learning algorithms (e.g., scheduled sampling and sequence-level training) and novel applications (e.g., image/video description generation, speech recognition, etc.) On the other hand, …
Central Pattern Generators (CPGs) are biological neural circuits capable of producing coordinated rhythmic outputs in the absence of rhythmic input. As a result, they are responsible for most rhythmic motion in living organisms. This rhythmic control is broadly applicable to fields such as locomotive robotics and medic…
Paper uses neural networks to speed up simulations of complex systems.
problem Rapid simulations of advection-dominated problems in engineering and geophysics.
method Recurrent neural network for approximating nonlinear component of ROM.
result The proposed framework accurately recovers transient dynamics without full nonlinear computations.
Markovian RNN adapts to nonstationary data using HMM for better time series prediction.
problem Nonstationary sequential data in real-life applications.
method Markovian RNN with HMM for regime switching and end-to-end optimization.
result Significant performance gains over vanilla RNN and Markov Switching ARIMA.
This paper reports empirical evidence that a neural networks model is applicable to the statistically reliable prediction of foreign exchange rates. Time series data and technical indicators such as moving average, are fed to neural nets to capture the underlying "rules" of the movement in currency exchange rates. The …
Regularizes RNNs to handle long-range dependencies and multiple time scales.
problem Identifying nonlinear dynamical systems with varying time scales and long-range dependencies.
method A simple regularization scheme for vanilla RNNs with ReLU activation.
result Regularized RNNs can solve long-range dependency problems and express slow time scales.