Develops a new duality between entropy martingale optimal transport and nonlinear pricing-hedging.
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In this work we study the price-hedge issue for general defaultable contracts characterized by the presence of a contingent CSA of switching type. This is a contingent risk mitigation mechanism that allow the counterparties of a defaultable contract to switch from zero to full/perfect collateralization and switch back …
The goal is to re-examine and extend the findings from the recent paper by Dumitrescu, Quenez and Sulem (2017) who studied game options within the nonlinear arbitrage-free pricing approach developed in El Karoui and Quenez (1997). We consider the setup introduced in Kim, Nie and Rutkowski (2018) where contracts of an A…
We re-examine and extend the findings from the recent paper by Dumitrescu, Quenez and Sulem (2018) who studied American and game options in a particular market model using the nonlinear arbitrage-free pricing approach developed in El Karoui and Quenez (1997). In the first part, we provide a detailed study of unilateral…
Study collective pricing and hedging with admissible risk exchanges forming a finitely generated convex cone.
New model for pricing volatility derivatives considering rough volatility and jumps.
We investigate pricing-hedging duality for American options in discrete time financial models where some assets are traded dynamically and others, e.g. a family of European options, only statically. In the first part of the paper we consider an abstract setting, which includes the classical case with a fixed reference …
The introduction of CCPs in most derivative transactions will dramatically change the landscape of derivatives pricing, hedging and risk management, and, according to the TABB group, will lead to an overall liquidity impact about 2 USD trillions. In this article we develop for the first time a comprehensive approach fo…
The paper extends collective arbitrage concepts to multi-agent markets with cooperation.
We price and hedge American options robustly in continuous time.
This paper applies an algorithm for the convolution of compactly supported Legendre series (the CONLeg method) (cf. Hale and Townsend 2014a), to pricing/hedging European-type, early-exercise and discrete-monitored barrier options under a Levy process. The paper employs Chebfun (cf. Trefethen et al. 2014) in computation…
Banks must manage their trading books, not just value them. Pricing includes valuation adjustments collectively known as XVA (at least credit, funding, capital and tax), so management must also include XVA. In trading book management we focus on pricing, hedging, and allocation of prices or hedging costs to desks on an…
We investigate asymmetry of information in the context of robust approach to pricing and hedging of financial derivatives. We consider two agents, one who only observes the stock prices and another with some additional information, and investigate when the pricing--hedging duality for the former extends to the latter. …
New deep learning methods solve symmetric PDEs efficiently.
We pursue robust approach to pricing and hedging in mathematical finance. We consider a continuous time setting in which some underlying assets and options, with continuous paths, are available for dynamic trading and a further set of European options, possibly with varying maturities, is available for static trading. …
Monte Carlo methods are critical to many routines in quantitative finance such as derivatives pricing, hedging and risk metrics. Unfortunately, Monte Carlo methods are very computationally expensive when it comes to running simulations in high-dimensional state spaces where they are still a method of choice in the fina…
The pricing, hedging, optimal exercise and optimal cancellation of game or Israeli options are considered in a multi-currency model with proportional transaction costs. Efficient constructions for optimal hedging, cancellation and exercise strategies are presented, together with numerical examples, as well as probabili…
We construct a binomial model for a guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefit (GMWB) rider to a variable annuity (VA) under optimal policyholder behaviour. The binomial model results in explicitly formulated perfect hedging strategies funded using only periodic fee income. We consider the separate perspectives of the insur…
American options are studied in a general discrete market in the presence of proportional transaction costs, modelled as bid-ask spreads. Pricing algorithms and constructions of hedging strategies, stopping times and martingale representations are presented for short (seller's) and long (buyer's) positions in an Americ…
In the present paper we show that the Binomial-tree approach for pricing, hedging, and risk assessment of Convertible bonds in the framework of the Tsiveriotis-Fernandes model has serious drawbacks. Key words: Convertible bonds, Binomial tree, Tsiveriotis-Fernandes model, Convertible bond pricing, Convertible bond Gree…
In this paper we investigate novel applications of a new class of equations which we call time-delayed backward stochastic differential equations. Time-delayed BSDEs may arise in finance when we want to find an investment strategy and an investment portfolio which should replicate a liability or meet a target depending…
Pricing and hedging rainbow options using Bayesian MS-VAR process.
CPCMs integrate causal drivers for robust portfolio optimization.
A simple statement and accessible proof of a version of the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing in discrete time is provided. Careful distinction is made between prices and cash flows in order to provide uniform treatment of all instruments. There is no need for a ``real-world'' measure in order to specify a model for…
Study shows cooperation can reduce investment risk and price gaps.
A one-factor asset pricing model with an Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process as its state variable is studied under partial information: the mean-reverting level and the mean-reverting speed parameters are modeled as hidden/unobservable stochastic variables. No-arbitrage pricing formulas for derivative securities written on a …
New method for pricing and hedging options in risky markets.
Since Hobson's seminal paper [D. Hobson: Robust hedging of the lookback option. In: Finance Stoch. (1998)] the connection between model-independent pricing and the Skorokhod embedding problem has been a driving force in robust finance. We establish a general pricing-hedging duality for financial derivatives which are s…
In this paper we propose a general framework for modeling an insurance liability cash flow in continuous time, by generalizing the reduced-form framework for credit risk and life insurance. In particular, we assume a nontrivial dependence structure between the reference filtration and the insurance internal filtration.…
In this paper we provide a pricing-hedging duality for the model-independent superhedging price with respect to a prediction set , where the superhedging property needs to hold pathwise, but only for paths lying in . For any Borel measurable claim which is bounded from below, the superhedging …
Machine learning risks in finance pricing and hedging
Backward SDEs help price XVA for OTC derivatives.
We consider the pricing and hedging of exotic options in a model-independent set-up using \emph{shortfall risk and quantiles}. We assume that the marginal distributions at certain times are given. This is tantamount to calibrating the model to call options with discrete set of maturities but a continuum of strikes. In …
Study proves duality in exotic option pricing under uncertain model and delayed information.
We develop a robust framework for pricing and hedging of derivative securities in discrete-time financial markets. We consider markets with both dynamically and statically traded assets and make minimal measurability assumptions. We obtain an abstract (pointwise) Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing and Pricing--Hedgin…
Deep learning for financial derivatives pricing and hedging.
The paper shows real market exists free lunches with vanishing risks.
The paper introduces a new volatility model using Fourier techniques for pricing and hedging.
Improved pricing method for illiquid assets using Lambert function.
This paper offers a framework for FX dealers to decide between internalizing and externalizing their market making to balance risk control and costs.
We provide a model-free pricing-hedging duality in continuous time. For a frictionless market consisting of risky assets with continuous price trajectories, we show that the purely analytic problem of finding the minimal superhedging price of a path dependent European option has the same value as the purely probabi…
The paper examines fair pricing and hedging stability under small numéraire perturbations.
Two neural network methods solve American-style option pricing and hedging.
Reinforcement learning improves option pricing and hedging accuracy.
The paper prices and replicates various financial contracts on a risky asset with stochastic volatility and jumps.
Mathematical framework for differential machine learning in finance.
Paper examines pricing and hedging for cross-currency swaps referencing backward-looking rates.
Assume that an agent models a financial asset through a measure Q with the goal to price / hedge some derivative or optimize some expected utility. Even if the model Q is chosen in the most skilful and sophisticated way, she is left with the possibility that Q does not provide an "exact" description of reality. This le…