A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Framework for games with uncertain parameters, ensuring no player can improve by changing strategy.
New method finds all Nash equilibria via vector optimization.
In this paper we study the nonzero-sum Dynkin game in continuous time which is a two player non-cooperative game on stopping times. We show that it has a Nash equilibrium point for general stochastic processes. As an application, we consider the problem of pricing American game contingent claims by the utility maximiza…
New game theory approach to bond market liquidity and participant behavior.
Unified framework for Bayesian and Frequentist statistics.
Paper proposes efficient UAV placement for aerial base stations.
Extends trading framework to incorporate real-world constraints.
Unsupervised domain adaptation (UDA) amounts to assigning class labels to the unlabeled instances of a dataset from a target domain, using labeled instances of a dataset from a related source domain. In this paper, we propose to cast this problem in a game-theoretic setting as a non-cooperative game and introduce a ful…
Over the past few years, the futures market has been successfully developing in the North-West region. Futures markets are one of the most effective and liquid-visible trading mechanisms. A large number of buyers are forced to compete with each other and raise their prices. A large number of sellers make them reduce pr…
In this work, we systematically investigate mean field games and mean field type control problems with multiple populations using a coupled system of forward-backward stochastic differential equations of McKean-Vlasov type stemming from Pontryagin's stochastic maximum principle. Although the same cost functions as well…
Develops an equilibrium model for securities pricing in a mixed cooperative and non-cooperative market.
Modeling dynamic groundwater markets with price formation and trading strategies.
This paper studies two important signal processing aspects of equilibrium behavior in non-cooperative games arising in social networks, namely, reinforcement learning and detection of equilibrium play. The first part of the paper presents a reinforcement learning (adaptive filtering) algorithm that facilitates learning…
Study optimal reinsurance strategies in a game between insurer and two reinsurers.
A minimal model of a market of myopic non-cooperative agents who trade bilaterally with random bids reproduces qualitative features of short-term electric power markets, such as those in California and New England. Each agent knows its own budget and preferences but not those of any other agent. The near-equilibrium pr…
Deep CapsNet improves sign language recognition from wearable IMUs.
Game theory models storage investment to balance market competition and profits.
Framework improves self-play for cooperative multi-agent learning.
The implementation of smart building technology in the form of smart infrastructure applications has great potential to improve sustainability and energy efficiency by leveraging humans-in-the-loop strategy. However, human preference in regard to living conditions is usually unknown and heterogeneous in its manifestati…
This paper analyzes the dynamic incentives for technology adoption under a transferable permits system, which allows for strategic trading on the permit market. Initially, firms can invest both in low-emitting production technologies and trade permits. In the model, technology adoption and allowance price are generated…
We explore value-based solutions for multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) tasks in the centralized training with decentralized execution (CTDE) regime popularized recently. However, VDN and QMIX are representative examples that use the idea of factorization of the joint action-value function into individual ones f…
This paper tackles task offloading in edge computing systems with dynamic interactions.
A decentralized approach for agents to learn and optimize collectively.
Paper presents content-based models for game recommendation in cold start scenarios.
In this work, we ask the following question: Can visual analogies, learned in an unsupervised way, be used in order to transfer knowledge between pairs of games and even play one game using an agent trained for another game? We attempt to answer this research question by creating visual analogies between a pair of game…
Potential games, originally introduced in the early 1990's by Lloyd Shapley, the 2012 Nobel Laureate in Economics, and his colleague Dov Monderer, are a very important class of models in game theory. They have special properties such as the existence of Nash equilibria in pure strategies. This note introduces graphical…
IGGP learns game rules from varying quality game play, finding no overall trend.
We introduce a topological combinatorial game called the Region Smoothing Swap Game. The game is played on a game board derived from the connected shadow of a link diagram on a (possibly non-orientable) surface by smoothing at crossings. Moves in the game are performed on regions of the diagram and can switch the direc…
We present a new general board game (GBG) playing and learning framework. GBG defines the common interfaces for board games, game states and their AI agents. It allows one to run competitions of different agents on different games. It standardizes those parts of board game playing and learning that otherwise would be t…
Introduces SM-games to analyze machine learning interactions.
Just as war is sometimes fallaciously represented as a zero sum game -- when in fact war is a negative sum game - stock market trading, a positive sum game over time, is often erroneously represented as a zero sum game. This is called the "zero sum fallacy" -- the erroneous belief that one trader in a stock market exch…
The existence of stationary Markov perfect equilibria in stochastic games is shown under a general condition called "(decomposable) coarser transition kernels". This result covers various earlier existence results on correlated equilibria, noisy stochastic games, stochastic games with finite actions and state-independe…
Game theory helps analyze ESOs/EBIs in production and service sectors.
Combinatorial two-player games have recently been applied to knot theory. Examples of this include the Knotting-Unknotting Game and the Region Unknotting Game, both of which are played on knot shadows. These are turn-based games played by two players, where each player has a separate goal to achieve in order to win the…
We start briefly surveying research on optimal stopping games since their introduction by E.B.Dynkin more than 40 years ago. Recent renewed interest to dynkin's games is due, in particular, to the study of Israeli (game) options introduced in 2000. We discuss the work on these options and related derivative securities …
The paper explores how regularization can lead to convergence in imperfect information games.
Educational game on crypto investment helps students grasp macroeconomics.
Simplified NFT games discussed with methods for extracting value.
We introduce TextWorld, a sandbox learning environment for the training and evaluation of RL agents on text-based games. TextWorld is a Python library that handles interactive play-through of text games, as well as backend functions like state tracking and reward assignment. It comes with a curated list of games whose …
Paper tackles hidden game problem in AI alignment and language games.
AEC Games model represents software MARL environments better than POSGs.
Gradient Descent Ascent converges to von-Neumann solution in hidden zero-sum games.
Generalizes region select game to -colored knot diagrams.
We introduce CSE for MLSF games and devise online learning algorithms for achieving no-external Stackelberg-regret.
Deep Reinforcement Learning automates match-3 game testing.
New game approximates mean curvature flow evolution.
Under appropriate cooperation protocols and parameter choices, fully decentralized solutions for stochastic optimization have been shown to match the performance of centralized solutions and result in linear speedup (in the number of agents) relative to non-cooperative approaches in the strongly-convex setting. More re…
Study on mean field games with singular controls and their applications.