Improved NTL detection using human-in-the-loop approach with explainability.
problem Challenges in detecting NTL due to biased data and black-box models.
method Human-in-the-loop approach with explanatory methods to guide model training.
result Improved accuracy, interpretability, robustness, and flexibility of the prediction model.
In order to keep track of the operational state of power grid, the world's largest sensor systems, smart grid, was built by deploying hundreds of millions of smart meters. Such system makes it possible to discover and make quick response to any hidden threat to the entire power grid. Non-technical losses (NTLs) have al…
Diamonds help compute volatility models efficiently.
problem Computing volatility models in forward variance form.
method Application of diamond trees and forests.
result Efficient computation of volatility models.
Introduces non-regular spacetime geometry without smooth calculus.
problem Defining gravity without smooth spacetime geometry.
method Discusses non-regular spacetime geometry and curvature without differential calculus.
result Curvature and gravity can be defined without smooth spacetime calculus.
Statistical learning theory provides the theoretical basis for many of today's machine learning algorithms. In this article we attempt to give a gentle, non-technical overview over the key ideas and insights of statistical learning theory. We target at a broad audience, not necessarily machine learning researchers. Thi…
The first part of this survey is a heuristic, non-technical discussion of what an HHS is, and the aim is to provide a good mental picture both to those actively doing research on HHSs and to those who only seek a basic understanding out of pure curiosity. It can be read independently of the second part, which is a deta…
In this text I present some problems which led to the introduction of special kinds of graphs as tools for studying singular points of algebraic surfaces. I explain how such graphs were first described using words, and how several classification problems made it necessary to draw them, leading to the elaboration of a s…
Review of gradient-based algorithms in statistical inference problems.
problem Understanding the dynamics of gradient-based algorithms in statistical inference.
method Insights from physics of glassy systems.
result Quantitative and qualitative understanding of algorithm performance.
We provide a lean, non-technical exposition on the pricing of path-dependent and European-style derivatives in the Cox-Ross-Rubinstein (CRR) pricing model. The main tool used in the paper for cleaning up the reasoning is applying static hedging arguments. This can be accomplished by taking various routes through some a…
CliMB-DC combines human guidance and data-centric tools to improve ML for non-technical experts.
problem Lack of data-centric handling in LLM co-pilots for non-technical users.
method Human-guided, data-centric framework combining advanced tools and LLM reasoning.
result Significantly outperforms existing co-pilot baselines for data-centric challenges.
Seq2Seq models perform well in generating If-Then programs from natural language.
problem Creating If-Then programs for business process automation without technical expertise.
method Modeling If-Then programs as a sequence learning task using Seq2Seq approaches.
result Seq2Seq models can effectively generate If-Then programs from natural language.
Enhances trading signals using image analysis and weighted moving averages.
problem Improving price trend trading strategies in financial markets.
method Image-induced importance weights applied to weighted moving averages of trading signals.
result Significant enhancement of price trend trading signals with improved portfolio selection.
Recent efforts in Machine Learning (ML) interpretability have focused on creating methods for explaining black-box ML models. However, these methods rely on the assumption that simple approximations, such as linear models or decision-trees, are inherently human-interpretable, which has not been empirically tested. Addi…
Accessibility is a major challenge of machine learning (ML). Typical ML models are built by specialists and require specialized hardware/software as well as ML experience to validate. This makes it challenging for non-technical collaborators and endpoint users (e.g. physicians) to easily provide feedback on model devel…
CEILS generates feasible counterfactual explanations by considering causal impacts.
problem Current counterfactual explanations lack feasibility and causal impact consideration.
method CEILS integrates causal reasoning into existing counterfactuals generation algorithms.
result CEILS provides feasible recommendations to achieve desired outcomes.
There is no doubt that both the special and general theories of relativity capture the imagination. The anti-intuitive properties of the special theory of relativity and its deep philosophical implications, the bizzare and dazzling predictions of the general theory of relativity: the curvature of spacetime, the exotic …
Collectively, machine learning (ML) researchers are engaged in the creation and dissemination of knowledge about data-driven algorithms. In a given paper, researchers might aspire to any subset of the following goals, among others: to theoretically characterize what is learnable, to obtain understanding through empiric…
Introduces Fitzpatrick losses, tighter than Fenchel-Young losses.
problem Improving loss functions for machine learning.
method Introduces Fitzpatrick losses based on the Fitzpatrick function.
result Fitzpatrick losses are tighter than Fenchel-Young losses.
We study losses for binary classification and class probability estimation and extend the understanding of them from margin losses to general composite losses which are the composition of a proper loss with a link function. We characterise when margin losses can be proper composite losses, explicitly show how to determ…
We present the Tamed Cross Entropy (TCE) loss function, a robust derivative of the standard Cross Entropy (CE) loss used in deep learning for classification tasks. However, unlike other robust losses, the TCE loss is designed to exhibit the same training properties than the CE loss in noiseless scenarios. Therefore, th…
Unified surrogate loss framework for multi-label learning with strong consistency guarantees.
problem Improving consistency and accounting for label correlations in multi-label learning.
method Introducing multi-label logistic loss and extending it to comprehensive multi-label comp-sum losses, proving strong consistency guarantees for any multi-label loss.
result Unified surrogate loss framework benefiting from strong consistency guarantees for any multi-label loss.
This paper introduces new loss functions for balanced multi-class classification.
problem Balancing class imbalance in multi-class classification.
method Introduces two new surrogate loss families: GLA and GCA.
result GCA losses offer stronger theoretical guarantees in imbalanced settings.
We present α-loss, α∈[1,∞], a tunable loss function for binary classification that bridges log-loss (α=1) and 0-1 loss (α=∞). We prove that α-loss has an equivalent margin-based form and is classification-calibrated, two desirable properties for a good surrogate loss function for the ideal y…
This work broadens calibeating to various proper losses using Bregman divergence.
problem Calibration for a wide range of proper losses.
method Regret minimization and Bregman divergence approach.
result U-calibration results for a family of Tsallis losses with logarithmic regret and dimension independence.
This work generalizes calibeating for a broader range of proper losses using Bregman divergence.
problem Calibration for a wide range of proper losses beyond Brier and log loss.
method Regret minimization based on Bregman divergence for a family of proper losses.
result U-calibration results for a family of Tsallis losses with logarithmic regret and dimension independence.
Proposes squentropy loss for improved classification accuracy and model calibration.
problem Theoretical and empirical evidence for cross-entropy loss is lacking.
method Introduces squentropy loss as the sum of cross-entropy and average square loss over incorrect classes.
result Squentropy loss outperforms cross-entropy and rescaled square losses in classification accuracy and model calibration.
New loss function calibrates WW-hinge loss for multiclass SVM.
problem WW-hinge loss not calibrated with 0-1 loss.
method Introduced ordered partition loss and proved WW-hinge loss is calibrated.
result WW-hinge loss is calibrated with ordered partition loss.
The study analyzes a model for aggregate losses with dependent and overdispersed inter-losses times.
problem Analyzing aggregate loss models with dependent and overdispersed inter-losses times.
method The study uses a two-state Markovian arrival process (MAP2) and a Markov renewal process to model the inter-losses times. Severities are modeled using a heavy-tailed, double-Pareto Lognormal distribution. The model is estimated via direct maximization of the likelihood function.
result The model with dependence and overdispersion in inter-losses times leads to higher capital charges compared to a Poisson process.
Symmetric losses improve classifier robustness from corrupted labels.
problem Improving classifier performance from corrupted labels.
method Symmetric losses that satisfy a certain condition.
result Symmetric losses enhance robust classification from corrupted labels.
Two new algorithms improve performance in adversarial bandits with unbounded losses.
problem Adversarial Multi-Armed Bandits with unbounded losses.
method Developed UMAB-NN and UMAB-G for non-negative and general unbounded losses respectively.
result UMAB-NN achieves the first adaptive and scale-free regret bound for non-negative unbounded losses.
Paper explores connections between loss functions and consistency in binary classification and regression.
problem Consistency in binary classification and regression applications.
method Characterization of conformable loss functions and derivation of a new Huber-type loss function.
result Margin-based loss functions are equivalent to loss functions of squared standardized logistic regression residuals.
Paper introduces a new topological loss for better convergence.
problem Optimizing topological losses for model's desired topological behavior.
method Introduces a new regularized topology-aware loss function.
result Guarantees efficient optimization of the new loss function.
Novel loss functions improve decision tree learning from noisy data.
problem Training decision trees with noisy labels.
method Introducing distribution losses and a new negative exponential loss.
result The negative exponential loss leads to efficient and robust decision tree learning.
Theoretical analysis of cross-entropy loss functions and their robustness.
problem Guarantees for using cross-entropy as a surrogate loss function.
method Theoretical analysis of a broad family of loss functions, including cross-entropy.
result First H-consistency bounds for comp-sum losses and smooth adversarial comp-sum losses. This paper improves operational risk modeling by selecting better loss severity distributions.
problem Inconsistent regulatory capital calculations due to changing loss severity distribution families.
method Presented truncation probability estimates and a consistent quantile scoring function for selection criteria. Also, recommended collecting loss frequencies below the minimum reporting threshold.
result More stable regulatory capital calculations through better selection of loss severity distributions.
This paper improves loss functions for deep learning with noisy labels.
problem Training deep neural networks with noisy labels.
method The paper introduces a normalization technique to make any loss function robust to noisy labels and proposes a framework called Active Passive Loss (APL) to combine robust loss functions.
result The proposed APL framework consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods, especially under high noise rates.
Classification is the most important process in data analysis. However, due to the inherent non-convex and non-smooth structure of the zero-one loss function of the classification model, various convex surrogate loss functions such as hinge loss, squared hinge loss, logistic loss, and exponential loss are introduced. T…
We study cross-country GDP losses due to financial crises in terms of frequency (number of loss events per period) and severity (loss per occurrence). We perform the Loss Distribution Approach (LDA) to estimate a multi-country aggregate GDP loss probability density function and the percentiles associated to extreme eve…
The paper proves deep learning can be robust with certain loss functions.
problem The robustness of deep learning models under flawed data.
method Empirical-risk minimization with unbounded, Lipschitz-continuous loss functions.
result These loss functions provide efficient prediction under minimal data assumptions.
The paper explores transferability of adversarial examples between convex and 01 loss models, finding non-transferability due to different decision boundaries caused by outliers.
problem Transferability of adversarial examples between convex and 01 loss models.
method Empirical study of transferability between linear 01 loss and convex (hinge) loss models, and between neural networks with different activation functions.
result Adversarial examples are non-transferable between convex and 01 loss models due to different decision boundaries caused by outliers.
Symmetrizes loss functions to improve neural network robustness against noisy labels.
problem Designing robust loss functions for noisy labels in neural networks.
method Symmetrization of multi-class loss functions, focusing on cross-entropy and unhinged loss.
result The multi-class unhinged loss is the unique convex symmetric loss under suitable assumptions.
EnsLoss combines multiple loss functions to prevent overfitting in classification.
problem Preventing overfitting in classification models.
method EnsLoss is an ensemble method that combines loss functions, ensuring calibration and consistency.
result EnsLoss improves classification accuracy compared to fixed loss methods.
Quantification of the stationary points and the associated basins of attraction of neural network loss surfaces is an important step towards a better understanding of neural network loss surfaces at large. This work proposes a novel method to visualise basins of attraction together with the associated stationary points…
Study compares metric learning loss functions for speaker verification.
problem Comparing metric learning loss functions for end-to-end speaker verification.
method Cross entropy loss, cosine loss, angular margin loss, center loss, contrastive loss, triplet loss.
result Additive angular margin loss outperforms other loss functions.
SoftAdapt dynamically adjusts loss weights for multi-part functions.
problem Slow convergence and poor weight selection for multi-part loss functions.
method SoftAdapt dynamically changes weights based on live performance statistics.
result Improved convergence and better weight selection for multi-part loss functions.
In this work, we introduce the {\em average top-k} (\atk) loss as a new aggregate loss for supervised learning, which is the average over the k largest individual losses over a training dataset. We show that the \atk loss is a natural generalization of the two widely used aggregate losses, namely the average loss a…
Novel approach embeds loss tunnels in neural networks, revealing insights into their structure.
problem Understanding the structure of neural network loss surfaces, especially low-loss tunnels.
method Directly embedding loss tunnels into the loss landscape of neural networks.
result Improved insights into the length and structure of loss tunnels, and better subspace inference in Bayesian neural networks.
We establish linear regret bounds for convex smooth losses using Fenchel-Young losses.
problem Establishing linear regret bounds for convex smooth losses.
method Constructing a convex smooth surrogate loss using Fenchel-Young losses generated by the convolutional negentropy.
result We derive a smooth loss with a linear surrogate regret bound.