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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Neural variability

A neural network finds causal relationships among latent variables.

problem Learning causal structure among latent variables in high-dimensional data.
method Redundant Input Neural Network (RINN) with modified architecture and regularized objective function.
result The RINN method successfully recovers latent causal structure between input and output variables.

DSVNP uses global and local latent variables for improved neural process predictions.

problem Limited expressiveness of vanilla neural processes in capturing target-specific local variation.
method Introduces DSVNP combining global and local latent variables for prediction.
result Competitive prediction performance in multi-output regression and uncertainty estimation.

New method identifies latent variables in cognitive models using neural networks.

problem Inference of latent variables in complex cognitive models is limited.
method Recurrent neural networks and simulation-based inference for latent variable sequences.
result Extends neural Bayes estimation to broader classes of cognitive models.

For recurrent neural networks trained on time series with target and exogenous variables, in addition to accurate prediction, it is also desired to provide interpretable insights into the data. In this paper, we explore the structure of LSTM recurrent neural networks to learn variable-wise hidden states, with the aim t…

2019-05-28abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper shows how neural networks with less decision boundary variability generalize better.

problem Improving neural network generalizability by reducing decision boundary variability.
method Introduces new measures (algorithm DB variability and (ε,η)(ε, η)-data DB variability) to quantify decision boundary variability and proves theoretical bounds on generalizability.
result Neural networks with lower decision boundary variability have better generalizability, as shown by extensive experiments and theoretical bounds.

This study compares machine learning methods for high-cardinality categorical variables.

problem Machine learning struggles with high-cardinality categorical variables.
method Empirical comparison of tree-boosting, deep neural networks, and linear mixed effects models.
result Tree-boosting with random effects outperforms deep neural networks with random effects.

Paper proposes knockoff-based methods to simplify deep neural networks by controlling false discovery rates.

problem High-dimensional deep neural networks with many irrelevant parameters and inputs.
method Knockoff methods combined with regularized neural networks for variable screening.
result Proposed algorithms show satisfactory performance in controlling false discovery rates.

This work develops rigorous theoretical basis for the fact that deep Bayesian neural network (BNN) is an effective tool for high-dimensional variable selection with rigorous uncertainty quantification. We develop new Bayesian non-parametric theorems to show that a properly configured deep BNN (1) learns the variable im…

2019-12-03abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we propose multi-variable LSTM capable of accurate forecasting and variable importance interpretation for time series with exogenous variables. Current attention mechanism in recurrent neural networks mostly focuses on the temporal aspect of data and falls short of characterizing variable importance. To …

2018-06-17abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper theoretically explains and validates a deep neural network approach to IV estimation.

problem Endogeneity issues in empirical applications, especially in the presence of omitted variables, measurement error, or simultaneous causality.
method A two-stage estimator using deep neural networks in a linear instrumental variables model, with a latent structural assumption on the reduced form equation.
result The second-stage estimator achieves the semiparametric efficiency bound, with a smaller estimation error and requiring weaker conditions on the smoothness of optimal instruments.

LAVARNET predicts multivariate time series by estimating causal variable relationships.

problem Forecasting multivariate time series requires understanding causal interrelationships among variables.
method LAVARNET is a neural network architecture that estimates causal effects and predicts future values.
result LAVARNET outperforms other models on various real-world data sets.

Fast method estimates variable importance for large neural networks.

problem Estimating variable importance in large neural networks is computationally expensive and lacks theoretical guarantees.
method Linearization initialized at full model parameters with ridge-like penalty.
result Estimates variable importance with error rate of O(1n)O(\frac{1}{\sqrt{n}}) and asymptotic normality.

The study investigates how data variability impacts the generalization of neural networks.

problem Understanding the impact of data variability on neural network generalization.
method Developed a field-theoretic formalism to compute generalization properties of neural networks, focusing on data variability.
result Data variability leads to non-Gaussian action, affecting the learning curve and generalization properties of neural networks.

Bayesian neural networks improve uncertainty quantification in non-linear dimensionality reduction.

problem Current neural network models lack adequate uncertainty quantification.
method Deploy Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling algorithms for Bayesian inference in ANN models with latent variables.
result New research directions are needed due to fundamental challenges in neural networks with latent variables.

CIPNN model tackles continuous latent variables, solving intractable posterior problems.

problem Solving intractable posterior calculation for continuous latent variables.
method Derives analytical solution for posterior of continuous latent variables, proposes CIPNN and CIPAE.
result CIPNN model demonstrates great classification capability, solving problems for continuous latent variables.

Neural networks learn faster with correlated latent variables.

problem Efficiently learning from higher-order correlations in neural networks.
method Analytical derivation and simulations of two-layer neural networks.
result Correlations between latent variables speed up learning from higher-order correlations.

Improved robust latent variable estimation for neural dynamics.

problem Inconsistent results due to noise and nonlinearity in existing models.
method Probabilistic approach to latent variable estimation in decomposed models.
result More accurate latent variable inference in nonlinear systems with diverse noise conditions.

Paper introduces multitask neural networks for efficient stochastic control problems.

problem Infeasibility of simulating state variables in some stochastic control problems.
method Multitask neural networks with dynamic task balancing.
result Multitask neural networks outperform state-of-the-art approaches in derivatives pricing problems.

FAIR-NN finds invariant variables for causal inference across diverse environments.

problem Nonparametric invariance and causal learning in regression models with varying joint distributions.
method FAIR-NN framework using adversarial optimization and neural networks.
result FAIR-NN identifies invariant variables and quasi-causal variables under minimal conditions.

Variational autoencoders often collapse, showing latent variables are non-identifiable.

problem Posterior collapse in variational autoencoders due to non-identifiable latent variables.
method Proves latent variable non-identifiability causes posterior collapse. Proposes latent-identifiable models using Brenier maps and input convex neural networks.
result Latent-identifiable models resolve posterior collapse and provide meaningful representations.

Algorithm learns latent variables for thermodynamically-consistent deep neural networks.

problem Predicting time evolution of large-scale physical systems with thermodynamic consistency.
method Sparse autoencoders and structure-preserving neural networks.
result Method conserves total energy and entropy inequality for both conservative and dissipative systems.

Proposes a neural network framework for feature selection in high-dimensional settings.

problem Challenges in feature selection and non-linear function estimation in high-dimensional settings.
method Sparse-input neural networks using group concave regularization.
result Establishes finite-sample guarantees for variable selection consistency and prediction accuracy.

Deep neural networks estimate regression functions on manifolds.

problem Estimating regression functions on manifolds from data.
method Fully connected deep neural networks with ReLU activation, analyzing convergence rates.
result Estimates achieve a rate of convergence dependent on manifold dimension, not predictor dimension.

The architectures of deep neural networks (DNN) rely heavily on the underlying grid structure of variables, for instance, the lattice of pixels in an image. For general high dimensional data with variables not associated with a grid, the multi-layer perceptron and deep belief network are often used. However, it is freq…

2019-12-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhances FDR control in variable selection using neural networks.

problem Balancing rigorous error control with statistical power in high-dimensional variable selection.
method Learning-augmented T-Rex Selector framework with a neural network trained on synthetic datasets.
result Achieves superior detection of true variables compared to existing approaches.

In genomic analysis, biomarker discovery, image recognition, and other systems involving machine learning, input variables can often be organized into different groups by their source or semantic category. Eliminating some groups of variables can expedite the process of data acquisition and avoid over-fitting. Research…

2019-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

We develop a pivotal test to assess the statistical significance of the feature variables in a single-layer feedforward neural network regression model. We propose a gradient-based test statistic and study its asymptotics using nonparametric techniques. Under technical conditions, the limiting distribution is given by …

2019-02-16abs ↗pdf ↗

LatentNN corrects neural network attenuation bias in astronomical data.

problem Neural networks underestimate extreme values due to measurement errors.
method Jointly optimizes network parameters and latent input values.
result LatentNN reduces attenuation bias across various signal-to-noise ratios.

Method discovers local independence in systems with continuous variables.

problem Applying Context-Specific Independence (CSI) to continuous variables is impractical.
method Neural contextual decomposition (NCD) learns partition of joint outcome space.
result NCD successfully discovers local independence in synthetic and real-world systems.

New method estimates variable importance for large models efficiently.

problem Estimating variable importance for large, opaque models is computationally challenging.
method Combining early stopping and warm-start techniques for scalable variable importance estimation.
result The method provides theoretical guarantees and demonstrates improved accuracy and computational efficiency.