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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,341 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Neural Autoregressive

IAF improves variational inference by scaling to high-dimensional spaces.

problem Flexible variational inference of posteriors over latent variables.
method Inverse autoregressive flow (IAF) using invertible transformations based on autoregressive neural networks.
result IAF significantly improves upon diagonal Gaussian approximate posteriors.

HCNAF models complex conditional distributions for probabilistic occupancy forecasting.

problem Modeling complex conditional probability density functions for occupancy forecasting.
method Hyper-Conditioned Neural Autoregressive Flow (HCNAF) combining AF and hyper-network.
result HCNAF achieves state-of-the-art performance in self-driving datasets.

SNL trains autoregressive flows on simulated data to learn likelihood for Bayesian inference.

problem Intractable likelihood in simulator models.
method Trains autoregressive flow on simulated data to model likelihood.
result SNL is more robust, accurate, and requires less tuning than related methods.

A new model estimates complex densities without explicit normalizing constants.

problem Accurately estimating the normalizing constant of high-dimensional energy functions.
method Autoregressive Energy Machine (AEM) learns an unnormalized density and an importance-sampling estimate of the normalizing constant.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance on density-estimation tasks.

A new training method improves autoregressive data completion efficiency.

problem Efficiently completing missing data in autoregressive models.
method Proposed an alternative training procedure (OA++) that reduces overfitting and leverages prior knowledge.
result OA++ achieves better performance with fewer computations and less overfitting.

Study finds optimal vocabulary size for neural machine translation.

problem Imbalanced class distribution in language data affects NMT performance.
method Casts NMT as a classification task, analyzes vocabulary sizes, and tests multiple languages.
result Certain vocabulary sizes outperform others, explaining NMT performance.

A new neural model improves collaborative filtering performance.

problem Improving recommendation systems for better user satisfaction.
method Integrates neural autoregressive distribution estimation with collaborative filtering, sharing parameters, and considering ordinal preferences.
result CF-NADE outperforms previous methods on various datasets.

This work proposes an efficient autoregressive model for text generation.

problem The challenge of generating high-quality text with autoregressive models.
method Introduces a cascaded decoding approach using Markov transformers to achieve sub-linear parallel time generation.
result Shows competitive accuracy/speed tradeoff compared to existing methods on five machine translation datasets.

Deep neural network solves complex groundwater contaminant source identification.

problem Identifying groundwater contaminant sources in highly heterogeneous media.
method Deep autoregressive neural network surrogate for forward model, ILUES for inversion.
result Deep autoregressive neural network provides accurate approximation for high-dimensional model.

Method uses autoregressive models to interpret neural network representations.

problem Understanding and quantifying information preserved in neural network layers.
method Trains autoregressive models to invert model representations and estimate mutual information.
result Mutual information between inputs and network layers decreases over training.

Paper proposes a neural network method for fast, interpretable AR model estimation.

problem Computational inefficiency and convergence issues in conventional AR model estimation.
method Embeds autoregressive structure into a feedforward neural network for coefficient estimation via backpropagation.
result Neural network method consistently recovers AR model coefficients, converging in all cases and providing reliable estimates.

UMNNs improve density estimation and variational inference without constraints.

problem Creating expressive invertible transformations without constraints.
method Proposed UMNN architecture enforcing monotonicity with a free-form neural network.
result UMNNs enhance autoregressive flows for density estimation and variational inference.

CTRNNs improve blood glucose forecasting in ICU, outperforming traditional models.

problem Forecasting blood glucose in ICU with irregular measurements.
method Continuous time autoregressive recurrent neural networks (CTRNNs) using neural ODE or neural flow layers.
result CTRNNs generally outperform traditional autoregressive models in probabilistic forecasting of blood glucose.

Study reveals issues with neural autoregressive models and proposes mode recovery cost.

problem Unreasonable affinity of neural autoregressive models to short and long sequences.
method Investigates modes of ground-truth, empirical, and decoding-induced distributions via mode recovery cost.
result Mode recovery cost varies depending on ground-truth distribution and impacts decoding-induced distribution.

The paper develops a learning theory for neural network-based CHARME models.

problem Developing a learning theory for CHARME models using neural networks.
method Proves the stationarity and ergodicity of CHARME models under weak conditions, then applies neural networks to derive strong consistency and asymptotic normality of estimators.
result Strong consistency and asymptotic normality of NN-based estimators of CHARME model weights and biases under weak conditions.

New model predicts univariate and multivariate time series with improved accuracy.

problem Complex patterns in univariate and multivariate time series forecasting.
method Uses autoregressive convolutional recurrent neural network with feature extraction and recurrent encoder.
result Outperforms existing architectures in multivariate time series datasets.

Proposes a neural density estimator for anomaly detection using labeled data.

problem Improving anomaly detection performance with limited labeled data.
method Uses deep autoregressive neural density estimators trained with anomaly labels to maximize normal likelihood and minimize anomalous likelihood.
result Significantly improves anomaly detection performance with few labeled instances compared to existing methods.

Thermalizer stabilizes autoregressive models for long-term predictions in chaotic systems.

problem Long-term predictions in chaotic spatiotemporal systems are unreliable due to trajectory divergence.
method Diffusion models are used to implicitly estimate the score of an invariant measure, which stabilizes autoregressive emulators by applying denoising during inference.
result Thermalization extends the time horizon of stable predictions by an order of magnitude in chaotic systems.

This work maps Boltzmann distributions to ARNNs for better physics-based model approximations.

problem Approximating Boltzmann distributions of binary systems.
method Exact mapping of Boltzmann distribution to autoregressive neural network architecture.
result New ARNN architectures derived from physical models show superior performance.

Efficiently combines autoregressive and set-based models for joint distributions.

problem Joint distributions over multiple predictions from set-based models.
method Causal autoregressive buffer that caches context and captures dependencies.
result Up to 20x faster joint sampling and density evaluation, up to 7x lower memory usage.

Neural networks improve gravitational-wave parameter estimation.

problem Estimating parameters of binary black hole systems from gravitational-wave data.
method Autoregressive normalizing flows for likelihood-free inference.
result Performance comparable to current best deep-learning approaches, with fast sampling.

Improved lattice field theory simulations with local-Autoregressive Conditional Normalizing Flow.

problem Efficiently sampling lattice field theories with computational challenges.
method Integrates locality into autoregressive conditional normalizing flows.
result Autocorrelation times improved by orders of magnitude for φ4φ^{4} theory on a 2D lattice.

Improved simulation of phase transitions using hierarchical autoregressive networks.

problem Simulating phase transitions in complex systems.
method Hierarchical Autoregressive Neural (HAN) network sampling algorithm.
result Significant improvement in statistical uncertainty compared to the Wolff cluster algorithm.

The paper addresses statistical guarantees for autoregressive models in non-Gaussian settings.

problem Statistical guarantees for autoregressive models in non-Gaussian settings.
method Sparsity-regularized maximum likelihood estimator, martingale concentration inequalities, and modern empirical process techniques.
result Sample complexity bounds derived for autoregressive generalized linear models.

LMConv improves autoregressive models for image generation and completion.

problem Limited generation order in autoregressive models restricts their applicability.
method Introduces LMConv, a modified 2D convolution that allows arbitrary masks to be applied to weights.
result LMConv achieves improved performance on image density estimation and coherent completions.

mLSTM improves sequence modeling with better autoregressive density estimation.

problem Improving autoregressive density estimation in sequence modeling.
method Introduces mLSTM, a recurrent neural network combining LSTM and multiplicative recurrent networks.
result mLSTM outperforms standard LSTM and its variants in character-level language modeling tasks.

Transformers become faster by linearizing self-attention.

problem Quadratic complexity of transformers makes them slow for long sequences.
method Expressed self-attention as a linear dot-product and used matrix product associativity to reduce complexity.
result Linear transformers are up to 4000x faster on long sequences.