Investigates how NSFR affects FVA and formulates FVA as a shortest path problem.
problem Relationship between FVA and NSFR, and optimal funding strategy.
method Formulates FVA as a shortest path problem, calculates optimal funding decisions.
result Provides optimal funding decisions for minimum funding cost.
Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) have been gaining increasing popularity in the investment community as is evidenced by the high growth both in the number of ETFs and their net assets since 2000. As ETFs are in nature similar to index mutual funds, in this paper we examined if this growing demand for ETFs can be explained …
This paper improves fund net value prediction using ARIMA-LSTM hybrid model.
problem Inaccurate prediction of fund net value due to linear characteristics of models.
method ARIMA-LSTM hybrid model: ARIMA for linear characteristics, LSTM for nonlinear.
result Hybrid model shows higher accuracy in predicting fund net value.
Tests Sharpe ratio for skill vs luck in asset management.
problem Accuracy of Sharpe ratio in measuring skill vs luck.
method Statistical tests to assess the significance of Sharpe ratios.
result Tests reveal the statistical significance of Sharpe ratios and their impact of auto-correlation.
Deep learning models predict mutual funds' performance better than traditional methods.
problem Predicting mutual funds' performance accurately.
method Deep learning models (LSTM, GRUs) trained with Bayesian optimization and ensemble methods.
result Ensemble method of LSTM and GRUs achieves the highest accuracy in forecasting mutual funds' Sharpe ratios.
Reinforcement learning crypto agent achieves high returns on Bitcoin derivatives.
problem Maximizing returns on volatile cryptocurrency markets.
method Online transfer learning with an echo state network and recurrent reinforcement learning.
result Achieves a total return of 350%, net of transaction costs, over five years.
Study analyzes costs of managing research funds, developing a model for optimal administration.
problem High variability in administration costs among research funding agencies.
method Identified standard agency activities, developed a model estimating optimum portfolio success rate and administration ratio.
result Model estimates optimum portfolio success rate and administration ratio based on input variables.
A new perspective on GANs using density ratio estimation.
problem Understanding and improving GANs through a novel algorithm.
method Repeating density ratio estimation and f-divergence minimization.
result Offers a new understanding of GANs and utilizes multiple viewpoints from density ratio estimation.
This paper develops an XVA (costs) analysis of centrally cleared trading, parallel to the one that has been developed in the last years for bilateral transactions. We introduce a dynamic framework that incorporates the sequence of cash-flows involved in the waterfall of resources of a clearing house. The total cost of …
An option market maker incurs funding costs when carrying and hedging inventory. To hedge a net long delta inventory, for example, she pays a fee to borrow stock from the securities lending market. Because of haircuts, she posts additional cash margin to the lender which needs to be financed at her unsecured debt rate.…
Analyzes how many people can receive stable income in a pooled annuity fund.
problem Quantifying the trade-off between income stability and the number of members in a pooled annuity fund.
method Investment returns held constant, systematic longevity risk omitted. Derived an analytical expression for income stability.
result The number of fund members who receive stable income is independent of the mortality model.
Study finds Indian mutual funds adjust cash holdings based on inflows, impacting stock purchases.
problem Active liquidity management by mutual funds in India.
method Examined cash holdings and stock purchases of Indian equity mutual funds.
result Funds with active liquidity choices outperform, highlighting the importance of this strategy.
Stable nets on convex hypersurfaces maintain their shape under small perturbations.
problem Maintaining the shape of nets on convex surfaces under slight changes.
method Constructing stable geodesic nets on convex hypersurfaces.
result Stable geodesic nets on convex hypersurfaces do not change shape under small perturbations.
SC-Net learns interpretable filters for inverse problems, achieving optimal convergence and super-resolution.
problem Solving ill-posed inverse problems with effective regularization and interpretability.
method SC-Net operates in the spectral domain, learning a pointwise adaptive filter function based on signal-to-noise ratio.
result SC-Net achieves optimal convergence rate and zero-shot super-resolution, matching theoretical bounds.
In this paper we describe how to include funding and margining costs into a risk-neutral pricing framework for counterparty credit risk. We consider realistic settings and we include in our models the common market practices suggested by the ISDA documentation without assuming restrictive constraints on margining proce…
Commodity ETFs' portfolio optimization under heavy-tailed returns.
problem Optimizing commodity ETF portfolios under heavy-tailed return behavior.
method Passive buy-and-hold vs. rolling-window optimized portfolios.
result Improved risk-adjusted performance with minimum-risk and CVaR-based portfolios.
The paper develops a new discount rate for derivatives using imperfect securities as collateral.
problem Inconsistent and non-observable collateral rates in derivatives markets.
method Synthesizes effects of imperfect collateral into a new discount rate, employs break-even repo formulae, and uses linear programming for optimization.
result Liquidity value adjustment (LVA) can be significant for long-term derivatives portfolios.
Counterparty Risk FAQ: Credit VaR, PFE, CVA, DVA, Closeout, Netting, Collateral, Re-hypothecation, WWR, Basel, Funding, CCDS and Margin Lendingq-fin.PR We present a dialogue on Counterparty Credit Risk touching on Credit Value at Risk (Credit VaR), Potential Future Exposure (PFE), Expected Exposure (EE), Expected Positive Exposure (EPE), Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA), Debit Valuation Adjustment (DVA), DVA Hedging, Closeout conventions, Netting clauses, Collateral …
Agent learns to trade currency pairs with improved risk management.
problem Improving systematic FX trading performance with online transfer learning.
method Online inductive transfer learning using feature representation from Gaussian mixture model to a reinforcement learning agent.
result Annualized portfolio information ratio of 0.52, compound return of 9.3%.
Study assesses the impact of Basel III reforms on Bangladeshi banks.
problem Impact of Basel III liquidity and capital requirements on Bangladeshi banks.
method Panel data analysis with fixed effects, including macroeconomic variables.
result Higher capital and liquidity requirements negatively affect banks' profitability but positively impact interest rates and private sector lending.
This study considers a model of the income distribution of agents whose pairwise interaction is asymmetric and price-invariant. Asymmetric transactions are typical for chain-trading groups who arrange their business such that commodities move from senior to junior partners and money moves in the opposite direction. The…
Paper optimizes DC pension fund management with VaR and relative performance constraints.
problem Optimizing DC pension fund performance under VaR and relative performance constraints.
method Introduced an auxiliary process to transform the problem into a self-financing problem, combined linearization, Lagrange dual, martingale, and concavification methods.
result Explicit investment strategies obtained for certain penalty and reward functions.
Perpetual futures offer leverage without maturity, with prices influenced by funding rates.
problem Understanding and pricing perpetual futures with funding rates.
method Derive no-arbitrage prices and bounds in markets with trading costs. Empirically analyze deviations and Sharpe ratios of implied arbitrage strategies.
result Implied arbitrage strategies in crypto markets yield high Sharpe ratios, indicating significant pricing inefficiencies.
PolyModel theory and iTransformer improve hedge fund portfolio construction.
problem Sparse financial time series data makes portfolio construction challenging.
method Identify asset pool, select risk factors, create quantitative and classical measures, and use iTransformer for trend capture.
result Improved Sharpe ratio and annualized return compared to benchmarks.
The model of this paper gives a convenient strategy that a bank in the federal funds market can use in order to maximize its profit in a contemporaneous reserve requirement (CRR) regime. The reserve requirements are determined by the demand deposit process, modelled as a Brownian motion with drift. We propose a new mod…
GRAM improves generative models without saddlepoint optimization.
problem Training deep generative models with saddlepoint optimization is challenging.
method GRAM uses a fixed kernel as an adversary instead of a critic network.
result GRAM networks match and outperform adversarial training in generative quality.
Model explains money creation under regulatory constraints.
problem Understanding money creation dynamics under regulatory pressures.
method Agent-based model of secured interbank network.
result Excess liquidity and repurchase agreements emerge due to regulatory constraints.
Estimates growth loss in fund models and proposes a shrinkage method.
problem Estimating growth loss in fund models under frequentist and Bayesian estimation.
method Proposes a shrinkage method to target maximal growth with minimal deviation.
result Empirical evidence shows shrinkage gives a stable estimate closer to growth potential.
Modeling climate change costs with stochastic interest rates shows inequality, but funding abatement can reduce this.
problem Evaluating the costs and benefits of climate change mitigation with uncertain discount rates.
method Amended DICE model with stochastic interest rates and funding abatement costs.
result Introducing funding abatement can reduce intergenerational inequality in climate change costs.
The proprietary nature of Hedge Fund investing means that it is common practise for managers to release minimal information about their returns. The construction of a Fund of Hedge Funds portfolio requires a correlation matrix which often has to be estimated using a relatively small sample of monthly returns data which…
Investors can enhance their portfolios by strategically using LETFs, especially with dynamic strategies.
problem Unsuitability of passive or static approaches to LETFs leads to undesirable risk-return profiles.
method Demonstrated the effectiveness of simple dynamic strategies in exploiting favorable Omega ratio dynamics.
result Dynamic strategies can exploit the compounding effect of LETFs, improving risk-return profiles.
U-Net trained to recover acoustic interference striations from distorted data.
problem Recovering acoustic interference striations from distorted signals.
method Training a U-Net using a random mode-coupling matrix model to generate training data.
result U-Net successfully recovers AISs under various conditions.
The paper introduces a method to accurately price swaps and their Value at Risk (VaR) using dynamic trading and regression/simulation.
problem Theoretical and practical concerns about uncollateralized swaps and their risk not being fully hedged.
method Dynamic trading of CCP swaps, applying discount rates based on counterparty's or own bond curves, and using Longstaff-Schwartz regression and finite difference schemes.
result The uncollateralized swap can be fully replicated, and FVA is redefined as a liquidity or funding basis component of total valuation adjustment.
The paper finds optimal ways to combine ETFs to minimize costs for investors.
problem Finding the best combination of ETFs to match a target gearing ratio at the lowest expense.
method Linear programming and convex geometry to prove the two-fund theorem for ETFs.
result The cheapest way to achieve a target gearing ratio is by combining the two nearest undominated ETF products.
Study on pooled annuity funds and how initial savings affect income stability.
problem Analyzing the stability of income payments in pooled annuity funds.
method Examining the influence of initial savings on income fluctuations and developing a criterion for pooling funds.
result Identification of a term, the 'implied number of homogeneous members', linking initial savings to income fluctuations.
Paper connects Sharpe ratio and Student t-statistic, providing exact distribution and asymptotic behavior.
problem Error-prone Sharpe ratio due to statistical estimation of expected returns and volatilities.
method Derive exact distribution of Sharpe ratio for independent normally distributed returns, extend to AR(1) assumptions.
result Empirical Sharpe ratio is asymptotically optimal and achieves Cramer Rao bound.
Hedge Funds are considered as one of the portfolio management sectors which shows a fastest growing for the past decade. An optimal Hedge Fund management requires an appropriate risk metrics. The classic CAPM theory and its Ratio Sharpe fail to capture some crucial aspects due to the strong non-Gaussian character of He…
NAIS-Net stabilizes deep networks using non-autonomous dynamical systems.
problem Stabilizing deep neural networks to prevent vanishing/exploding gradients.
method NAIS-Net uses non-autonomous dynamical systems with skip connections to enforce stability.
result NAIS-Net proves to be globally asymptotically stable and reduces generalization gap.
Study benchmarks mutual funds in India using DEA, finding efficiency metrics.
problem Benchmark mutual funds in India based on efficiency metrics.
method Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) model incorporating risk, cost, return, and information ratio.
result DEA model identifies efficiency frontier and compares results with traditional metrics.
Deep learning optimizes portfolio Sharpe ratio without forecasting returns.
problem Optimizing portfolio weights without accurate expected returns forecasts.
method Using deep learning models to directly optimize ETF portfolios based on market indices.
result Our model outperformed other algorithms over the 2011-2020 period, including financial instabilities.
This paper compares different DRO formulations for pension fund management.
problem Navigating uncertainty in asset liability management for pension funds.
method Three DRO formulations: mixture, box, and Wasserstein ambiguity sets.
result Wasserstein and box ambiguity sets outperform traditional approaches in fund performance.
Wave-U-Net with MHE regularization improves singing voice separation.
problem Singing voice separation from mixed music recordings.
method Wave-U-Net architecture with MHE regularization applied to 1D filters.
result Adding MHE regularization to the loss function consistently improves singing voice separation.
The main result of this paper is a collateralized counterparty valuation adjusted pricing equation, which allows to price a deal while taking into account credit and debit valuation adjustments (CVA, DVA) along with margining and funding costs, all in a consistent way. Funding risk breaks the bilateral nature of the va…
Deep learning predicts market sensitivities for cost-effective index tracking.
problem Costly and impractical replication of index funds.
method Learning to predict market sensitivities using deep learning models.
result Significant reduction in prediction errors compared to historical methods.
We discuss discretization of Koenigs nets (conjugate nets with equal Laplace invariants) and of isothermic surfaces. Our discretization is based on the notion of dual quadrilaterals: two planar quadrilaterals are called dual, if their corresponding sides are parallel, and their non-corresponding diagonals are parallel.…
Study finds CNNs perform better with financial ratio data than fundamental data.
problem Improving CNN performance with financial data.
method Developed and analyzed three image encoding methods for financial data.
result Image encoding methods improve CNN performance for financial ratio data but not significantly for fundamental data.
Paper develops models to forecast private equity fund cash flows.
problem Limited literature on illiquid alternative asset cash flow forecasting.
method Develops benchmark model and two novel approaches (direct vs. indirect) using LSTM/GRU models and macroeconomic indicators.
result Direct model performs better and aligns with actual cash flows, but indirect model's performance is less clear.
Study analyzes factors affecting capital adequacy in Bangladesh's banks.
problem Factors influencing capital adequacy in commercial banks in Bangladesh.
method Fixed Effect, Random Effect, and Pooled Ordinary Least Square (POLS) methods.
result Several independent variables significantly affect capital adequacy, with specific relationships between leverage, liquidity risk, and other factors.