The nature of fluctuations in the Indian financial market is analyzed in this paper. We have looked at the price returns of individual stocks, with tick-by-tick data from the National Stock Exchange (NSE) and daily closing price data from both NSE and the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE), the two largest exchanges in India.…
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We introduce a new loss function for evaluating forecasts and estimate models using it.
problem Lack of a decision-theoretic foundation for evaluating forecasts using the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency.
method We introduce and analyze the Nash-Sutcliffe loss function and its application in estimating models.
result Nash-Sutcliffe loss provides a decision-theoretic foundation for evaluating and estimating models.
We present a memory augmented neural network for natural language understanding: Neural Semantic Encoders. NSE is equipped with a novel memory update rule and has a variable sized encoding memory that evolves over time and maintains the understanding of input sequences through read}, compose and write operations. NSE c…
Study compares Indian derivatives markets and finds NSE outperforming BSE.
problem Lack of strong regulations and robust framework in Indian derivatives market.
method Comparison of performance of derivatives in BSE and NSE, analysis of derivatives with cash market and market volatility.
result NSE derivatives outperform BSE, need stronger regulations.
Noise Sensitivity Exponent controls statistical-computational gaps in learning.
problem Understanding when learning is statistically possible yet computationally hard in high-dimensional statistics.
method Investigating statistical-computational gaps in single- and multi-index models using Noise Sensitivity Exponent.
result Noise Sensitivity Exponent governs statistical-computational gaps in high-dimensional learning.
This non-linear relationship in the joint time-frequency domain has been studied for the Indian National Stock Exchange (NSE) with the international Gold price and WTI Crude Price being converted from Dollar to Indian National Rupee based on that week's closing exchange rate. Though a good correlation was obtained duri…
One of the principal statistical features characterizing the activity in financial markets is the distribution of fluctuations in market indicators such as the index. While the developed stock markets, e.g., the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) have been found to show heavy-tailed return distribution with a characteristi…
Hypothesis testing is an important cognitive process that supports human reasoning. In this paper, we introduce a computational hypothesis testing approach based on memory augmented neural networks. Our approach involves a hypothesis testing loop that reconsiders and progressively refines a previously formed hypothesis…
The cross-correlations between price fluctuations of 201 frequently traded stocks in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India are analyzed in this paper. We use daily closing prices for the period 1996-2006, which coincides with the period of rapid transformation of the market following liberalization. The eigenvalue…
We consider the problem of estimating an unknown signal from noisy linear observations . In many practical instances, has a certain structure that can be captured by a structure inducing convex function . For example, norm can be used to encourage a sparse solution. T…
GARCH models predict stock volatility in Indian sectors.
problem Designing accurate models for future stock volatility.
method GARCH framework applied to ten Indian stocks.
result Asymmetric GARCH models outperform in volatility forecasting.
Describing the effect of influential spreaders on the different sectors of Indian market: a complex networks perspectivephysics.soc-ph
This study uses complex networks to analyze influential spreaders and their effects on different market sectors.
problem Existing methods failed to distinguish between positive and negative influences of market sectors.
method LIEST (Local Influential Effects for Specific Target) method using complex network analysis.
result LIEST effectively distinguishes positive and negative influences of market sectors during different periods.
Traditional sequence-to-sequence (seq2seq) models and other variations of the attention-mechanism such as hierarchical attention have been applied to the text summarization problem. Though there is a hierarchy in the way humans use language by forming paragraphs from sentences and sentences from words, hierarchical mod…
This study assesses how share capital affects financial growth of non-financial firms listed at NSE.
problem Non-financial firms listed at NSE struggle with financial growth due to declining performance and lack of investor interest.
method Descriptive and panel data analysis of 45 non-financial firms over 10 years.
result Share capital positively and significantly influences financial growth, explaining 32.73% and 11.62% of variations in earnings per share and market capitalization growth, respectively.
Study compares three portfolio optimization methods on Indian stocks.
problem Optimizing portfolios for the Indian stock market.
method Three portfolio optimization methods (MVP, HRP, HERC) applied to 15 sectors.
result Identified portfolios with highest cumulative return, lowest volatility, and best Sharpe Ratio.
Deep learning models predict financial market trends from social media leaders.
problem Predicting financial market trends using social media data.
method Deep learning models trained on NLP analysis of leaders' Twitter handles.
result Substantial improvement in financial market prediction accuracy.
To investigate the universality of the structure of interactions in different markets, we analyze the cross-correlation matrix C of stock price fluctuations in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India. We find that this emerging market exhibits strong correlations in the movement of stock prices compared to developed…
In the present report, by using the Stokes-Helmholtz decomposition theorem the 3-dimensional Navier-Stokes equation (NSE) is uncoupled and transformed into a scalar equation for the velocity potential when the flow field is toroidal. The dynamics of the velocity potential is independent of the vector potential. The red…
Study shows long-term debt impacts financial growth of non-financial firms listed at Nairobi Securities Exchange.
problem Declining financial performance and reluctance to lend to non-financial firms listed at Nairobi Securities Exchange.
method Descriptive and panel data analysis of 45 non-financial firms over 10 years.
result Long-term debt positively and significantly influences financial growth measured by earnings per share and market capitalization.
Study assesses short-term debt's impact on non-financial firms' financial growth.
problem Declining financial performance and reluctance to lend to non-financial firms listed at Nairobi Securities Exchange.
method Explanatory research design, descriptive statistics, and panel data analysis.
result Short-term debt positively and significantly influences financial growth.
Paper presents a machine learning algorithm for hedging ETF options, outperforming static hedging methods.
problem Semi-static hedging of ETF options with transaction costs and varying market conditions.
method Data-driven machine learning algorithm considering transaction costs, automated portfolio management, and PnL attribution analysis.
result The static hedging approach outperforms dynamic hedging methods in terms of profit and loss.
Regularities in stock marketsq-fin.GN
From the stock markets of six countries with high GDP, we study the stock indices, S&P 500 (NYSE, USA), SSE Composite (SSE, China), Nikkei (TSE, Japan), DAX (FSE, Germany), FTSE 100 (LSE, Britain) and NIFTY (NSE, India). The daily mean growth of the stock values is exponential. The daily price fluctuations about the me…
This study compares three portfolio design approaches for stock selection.
problem Designing a profitable portfolio with precise stock returns and risks.
method Three portfolio design approaches: mean-variance portfolio, hierarchical risk parity, and autoencoder-based portfolio.
result Autoencoder portfolios outperform MVP on annual returns, but MVP is best on risk-adjusted returns.
Study confirms Indian stock market is weak form inefficient.
problem Impact of stock market efficiency on investment returns.
method Runs test, Autocorrelation test, Autoregression test on daily stock indices.
result Indian stock market is weak form inefficient and can be outperformed.
Cluster analysis of stocks using price movements of high frequency data from National Stock Exchangeq-fin.ST
This paper aims to develop new techniques to describe joint behavior of stocks, beyond regression and correlation. For example, we want to identify the clusters of the stocks that move together. Our work is based on applying Kernel Principal Component Analysis(KPCA) and Functional Principal Component Analysis(FPCA) to …
Financial markets can be seen as complex systems in non-equilibrium steady state, one of whose most important properties is the distribution of price fluctuations. Recently, there have been assertions that this distribution is qualitatively different in emerging markets as compared to developed markets. Here we analyse…
A flexible calendar rebalancing approach for Indian stock portfolios.
problem Optimizing stock portfolio performance in the Indian stock market.
method Calendar rebalancing of sector-specific portfolios based on historical stock prices.
result The proposed calendar rebalancing approach improves portfolio performance over the test period.
Study finds physical momentum portfolios in Indian stock market yield higher returns than benchmarks.
problem Determining abnormal returns for physical momentum portfolios in the Indian stock market.
method Constructed physical momentum portfolios for daily, weekly, monthly, and yearly timescales, evaluated historical returns and risk profiles.
result Daily time scale physical momentum portfolios showed the strongest reversal with a 16-fold profit.
Deep learning models predict stock prices with high accuracy.
problem Accurate prediction of stock prices despite market unpredictability.
method CNN and LSTM-based deep learning models trained on historical stock data.
result Models achieve high accuracy in forecasting future stock prices.
Performance Evaluation of Equal-Weight Portfolio and Optimum Risk Portfolio on Indian Stocksq-fin.PM
This study evaluates different portfolio designs for Indian stocks.
problem Optimizing portfolio weights for risk and return in volatile stock markets.
method Three portfolio design approaches: risk minimization, risk optimization, and equal weighting. Historical data from 2017-2022 used.
result Equal-weight portfolios outperformed other designs in most sectors.
The study predicts stock volatility using LSTM and GARCH models.
problem Accurately predicting stock price volatility is challenging.
method Multiple volatility models (GARCH, GJR-GARCH, EGARCH, LSTM) applied to three sectors.
result LSTM outperformed other models in pharma sector volatility prediction.
This paper optimizes portfolios of thematic sector stocks using LSTM models.
problem Designing an optimized portfolio of stocks to maximize return and minimize risk.
method Extracted stock prices from Jan 2016 to Dec 2020, used LSTM model for prediction, designed portfolios based on critical stocks.
result LSTM model accurately predicted future stock returns, indicating high accuracy.
Adaptive Heston model calibration using PCRLB and switching filters.
problem Estimating volatility in stochastic volatility models like Heston.
method Bayesian filtering (EKF, UKF, PF) with PCRLB for parameter estimation.
result Adaptive estimation of Heston model parameters improves volatility estimation.
Deep learning models predict stock prices with high accuracy.
problem Accurate prediction of future stock prices in an efficient market.
method Robust deep learning models using historical stock data.
result Models achieve high precision in predicting stock prices.
This study optimizes stock portfolios for Indian sectors using historical data.
problem Challenges in optimizing stock portfolios due to volatility and future value estimation.
method Used Sharpe, Sortino, and Calmar ratios to design mean-variance optimized portfolios.
result Identified the ratio that maximizes cumulative returns for most sectors.
Wind power as a renewable source of energy, has numerous economic, environmental and social benefits. In order to enhance and control renewable wind power, it is vital to utilize models that predict wind speed with high accuracy. Due to neglecting of requirement and significance of data preprocessing and disregarding t…
Deep learning LSTM predicts stock prices for portfolio design in Indian sectors.
problem Predicting stock prices in Indian stock market.
method Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model for historical stock price prediction.
result Efficacy of LSTM model in predicting stock prices and informing investment decisions.
LSTM model predicts stock returns with over 90% accuracy.
problem Predicting future stock market prices and returns is challenging.
method Used Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model trained on historical NSE data.
result LSTM model achieved over 90% accuracy in predicting stock prices and returns.
A Time Series Analysis-Based Stock Price Prediction Using Machine Learning and Deep Learning Modelsq-fin.ST
This study predicts stock prices using various machine and deep learning models.
problem Predicting stock price movements is challenging but possible.
method Agglomerative approach combining statistical, machine learning, and deep learning models.
result Deep learning models outperform traditional methods in stock price prediction.
This study predicts stock prices using hybrid machine learning and LSTM models.
problem Accurately predicting stock prices despite the efficient market hypothesis.
method Hybrid modeling combining machine learning and deep learning (LSTM) for NIFTY 50 index prediction.
result LSTM-based univariate model with one-week prior data is most accurate.
The paper uses LSTM to predict stock prices and analyzes sector profitability.
problem Predicting future stock prices in a volatile market.
method LSTM architecture for predicting stock prices from historical data.
result The model accurately predicts stock prices and analyzes sector profitability.
New algorithms improve vascular flow simulations in aortic aneurysms.
problem Limited accuracy of MRI in hemodynamics, patient-specific flow boundary conditions, and CFD's computational demands.
method Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) and Deep Operator Networks (DeepONets) integrated with 3D Navier-Stokes equations.
result Improved computational efficiency and good agreement with CFD simulations.
This paper uses cointegration to identify profitable pair-trading strategies for Indian stocks.
problem Finding profitable pair-trading opportunities in Indian stock market.
method Cointegration analysis to identify co-movement stocks, forming pairs, evaluating portfolios.
result Pairs from auto and realty sectors generally yielded the highest returns, while IT sector pairs had negative returns.
Study validates capital structure theories in Indian public sector banks.
problem Understanding the impact of capital structure on financial performance in Indian banks.
method Developed theoretical framework from capital structure theories, tested hypotheses using statistical techniques.
result Established relation between debt component and financial performance variables.
Our model predicts stock market intervals using chaotic fusion and graph convolutional networks.
problem Uncertainty in financial market predictions without quantified uncertainty.
method Bi-level chaotic fusion, graph convolutional networks, volatility-aware gating, temporal dependencies.
result Significant improvements in prediction intervals and coverage compared to existing methods.
This paper uses spectrum analysis to understand price behavior in the Indian stock market.
problem Understanding price formation and discovery in the Indian stock market.
method Adapting mathematical physics theories and spectrum analysis to decompose price cycles.
result Decomposing price cycles helps in understanding the effect of information on price formation and discovery.
Hybrid models improve groundwater level prediction and uncertainty analysis.
problem Predicting and analyzing uncertainty of monthly groundwater levels.
method Six evolutionary optimization algorithms (GOA, CSO, WA, GA, KA, PSO) hybridized with ANFIS, ANN, and SVM.
result ANFIS-GOA outperformed other models in predicting groundwater levels.
Big data sets must be carefully partitioned into statistically similar data subsets that can be used as representative samples for big data analysis tasks. In this paper, we propose the random sample partition (RSP) data model to represent a big data set as a set of non-overlapping data subsets, called RSP data blocks,…